Group 1: Agricultural Products Price Index - The wholesale and retail price indices for agricultural products in Zibo have increased, with notable fluctuations in vegetables and fruits [1][2] - Garlic prices have decreased slightly, with a wholesale average of 3.19 yuan/kg, down 0.3 yuan/kg (7.89%) from last week, while retail prices remain stable at 5.13 yuan/kg [1] - Cucumber prices have risen significantly, with a wholesale average of 2.70 yuan/kg, up 0.50 yuan/kg (22.73%), driven by reduced supply due to weather conditions and high demand from the catering industry [1] - Leek prices have increased, with a wholesale average of 1.30 yuan/kg, up 0.30 yuan/kg (30.00%), attributed to slower growth and reduced supply of quality leeks [2] - Cabbage prices have also risen, with a wholesale average of 1.00 yuan/kg, up 0.20 yuan/kg (25.00%), due to adverse weather affecting vegetable production [2] - Pear prices have slightly decreased, with a wholesale average of 3.19 yuan/kg, down 0.03 yuan/kg (0.93%), as market demand shows seasonal recovery [3] - Overall, the supply of vegetables and fruits in Zibo is stable, with recommendations for consumers to purchase according to their needs [3] Group 2: Chemical Products Price Index - The Zibo chemical products price index is at 718.84, down from 721.70, indicating a slight decline [4] - The basic chemical products price index averages 708.16, down from 710.51, reflecting weak market conditions influenced by falling international oil prices [4] - The plastic products price index averages 744.34, down from 748.39, due to varying price trends among different plastic products [4] - The rubber products price index averages 548.27, up from 543.13, supported by strong synthetic rubber prices and tight supply of certain grades [4] Group 3: New Materials Price Index - The Zibo new materials price index is at 805.05, down from 808.07, indicating a downward trend [5] - The PC price index averages 758.32, down from 762.11, due to falling raw material prices [5] - The PA price index averages 678.37, down from 678.74, reflecting a stable but declining trend due to oversupply [5] - The PET bottle chip price index averages 894.20, down from 898.80, influenced by weak demand and declining raw material prices [5] Group 4: Natural Gas Price Index - The average LNG price in Zibo is 4192 yuan/ton, down 180 yuan/ton (4.13%) from last week, due to increased competition from imported LNG [6] - The liquid natural gas price index is declining, while the pipeline natural gas index remains unchanged [6] - Future expectations indicate continued downward pressure on LNG prices due to weak downstream demand [6] Group 5: Cement Price Index - The average price for various types of cement in Zibo remains stable, with no significant changes reported [7] - Specific prices include 264 yuan/ton for bagged PC42.5 cement and 270 yuan/ton for bulk PC42.5 cement, indicating stability in the market [7] - The overall cement price index in Zibo shows no fluctuations, reflecting a steady market environment [7]

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index of Linyi Mall decreased slightly this week, indicating mixed trends across various product categories, with some experiencing price increases while others faced declines [1]. Price Index Summary 1. Home Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment - The price index for home appliances and audio-visual equipment rose to 103.15 points, an increase of 0.08 points, driven by higher prices in refrigeration and purification appliances, while air conditioning sales are declining [1]. 2. Lighting - The lighting category's price index increased to 104.36 points, up by 0.06 points, primarily due to rising prices of lighting accessories and outdoor lighting, despite a slight drop in procurement demand [2]. 3. Daily Necessities - The daily necessities price index reached 102.76 points, with a minor increase of 0.01 points, as demand for bags and textiles rose during the summer vacation, although some beauty and personal care products saw price reductions due to e-commerce competition [3]. 4. Steel - The steel price index fell to 97.94 points, down by 0.92 points, with all subcategories experiencing declines due to weak demand and falling upstream raw material prices [4]. 5. Clothing and Accessories - The clothing and accessories price index decreased to 104.30 points, a drop of 0.20 points, with footwear prices continuing to decline amid increased promotional activities and weak demand [5]. 6. Boards - The board price index declined to 96.53 points, down by 0.08 points, influenced by weak demand due to high temperatures and falling prices of raw materials like rubber and timber [6].

Group 1: PMI Data Overview - In July 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month[2] - The construction PMI was 50.6%, down 2.2 percentage points from June[2] - The services PMI slightly decreased to 50.0%, a drop of 0.1 percentage points[2] Group 2: Price Index Changes - The major raw material purchase price index rose to 51.5%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points from last month[2] - The factory price index increased to 48.3%, up by 2.1 percentage points[2] - The non-manufacturing input price index entered the expansion zone, indicating a potential price recovery[2] Group 3: Demand and Supply Indicators - The manufacturing new orders index fell to 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points from June[2] - The non-manufacturing new orders index decreased to 45.7%, a decline of 0.9 percentage points[2] - The manufacturing production index was 50.5%, down 0.5 percentage points, while the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points[2] Group 4: Employment and Expectations - The manufacturing employment index was 48.0%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points[2] - The service industry employment index remained stable at 46.4%[2] - The manufacturing business activity expectation index rose to 52.6%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points[2]

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.3% in July, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity [1][2] - The production index remained in expansion at 50.5%, while the new orders index fell to 49.4%, reflecting a slowdown in market demand [2] - Large enterprises maintained expansion with a PMI of 50.3%, while medium-sized enterprises improved to 49.5%, and small enterprises decreased to 46.4% [3] Group 2: Price Indices - The price index for major raw materials increased, with the purchasing price index at 51.5% and the factory price index at 48.3%, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [2] - The purchasing price index for major raw materials rose above the critical point for the first time since March, suggesting a recovery in market conditions [2] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical point, indicating continued expansion [1][4] - The service sector's business activity index remained stable at 50.0%, with certain industries like transportation and entertainment showing strong growth due to seasonal effects [4] - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 50.6%, influenced by adverse weather conditions, while the business activity expectation index for the service sector rose to 56.6%, indicating optimism among service enterprises [4] Group 4: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index was 50.2%, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [5][6] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to the composite PMI, standing at 50.5% and 50.1% respectively [6]

Group 1: Agricultural Products Price Index - The wholesale and retail price indices for agricultural products in Zibo have shown a decline, particularly in vegetable categories [1][2][3] - The average wholesale price of potatoes is 0.95 yuan per jin, remaining stable compared to last week, while retail prices have decreased by 0.11 yuan per jin, a drop of 6.36% [1] - The average wholesale price of celery is 0.90 yuan per jin, down 10% from last week, while retail prices remain unchanged [1] - The average wholesale price of cucumbers is 2.00 yuan per jin, down 9.09%, and retail prices decreased by 3.85% [2] - The average wholesale price of eggplants increased by 12.50% to 0.90 yuan per jin, driven by high demand in the catering industry [2] - The average wholesale price of pears is 3.25 yuan per jin, up 1.88%, due to a decrease in supply from new season crops [3] - Overall, the supply of fruits and vegetables in Zibo is adequate, with price fluctuations remaining within a normal range [3] Group 2: Chemical Products Price Index - The Zibo chemical products price index is at 718.40, down 0.84 from the previous period, primarily due to fluctuating international oil prices and seasonal demand decline [4] - The basic chemical products price index averages 703.99, down 1.69, reflecting a bearish market influenced by inventory pressures [4] - The plastic products price index averages 749.61, showing a slight increase, but demand remains weak due to seasonal factors [4][5] - The rubber products price index averages 539.62, initially rising but later declining due to market pressures from supply and demand dynamics [5] Group 3: New Materials Price Index - The Zibo new materials price index averages 812.20, down 8.85 from the previous period, influenced by declining raw material prices and ample supply [6] - The PC price index is at 769.82, down 4.20, due to cost pressures and active selling from suppliers [6] - The PA price index is at 670.60, down 8.85, reflecting slow demand and sufficient market supply [6] - The PET bottle price index is at 896.91, down 2.11, driven by weak market sentiment despite low industry operating levels [6] Group 4: Natural Gas Price Index - The average price of LNG in Zibo is 4634 yuan per ton, up 90 yuan from last week, reflecting a 1.98% decrease [7] - The increase in LNG prices is supported by lower inventory levels and rising downstream demand, while pipeline natural gas prices remain unchanged [7] Group 5: Cement Price Index - The average price of bagged PC42.5 cement in Zibo is 270 yuan per ton, with various other cement types showing stable prices [8] - The cement price indices for different types remain unchanged, indicating a stable market environment [8]

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index in Linyi Mall has decreased slightly, indicating a mixed trend in various product categories with some experiencing price increases while others face declines [1] Group 1: Price Index Overview - The total weekly price index for Linyi Mall is 102.49 points, down 0.04 points or 0.04% from the previous week [1] - Among 14 categories, 3 categories saw price increases, 4 remained stable, and 7 experienced price declines [1] Group 2: Price Increases - Steel category index rose to 96.57 points, up 0.06 points; medium materials, pipes, and boards increased, while construction steel decreased [1] - Home appliances and audio-visual equipment index reached 103.17 points, up 0.01 points; kitchen appliances saw increased demand due to summer activities [2] - Lighting category index increased to 104.31 points, up 0.01 points; demand for ceiling lights and related accessories has risen [3] Group 3: Price Decreases - Building decoration materials index fell to 105.37 points, down 0.36 points; prices decreased due to lower raw material costs and seasonal demand [4] - Board category index decreased to 96.93 points, down 0.16 points; demand weakened due to high temperatures affecting construction [5] - Furniture category index dropped to 88.98 points, down 0.05 points; sales primarily driven by essential purchases, leading to slight price reductions [6]

Overall Market Price Changes - The overall market price change index for May 2025 is -0.87, with an average transaction price of 157,200 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1,074 yuan or 0.69% [3] - All major market segments saw price increases, with sedans up by 0.03%, SUVs by 0.94%, and MPVs by 2.66% [3] Overall Market Discount Changes - The overall market discount change index for May 2025 is 1.15, with an average discount of 29,600 yuan, which is an increase of 155 yuan or 5.2% month-on-month [3][7] Sedan Market Analysis - The price change index for the sedan market is -0.5, with an average transaction price of 132,800 yuan, showing a slight increase of 33 yuan or 0.02% month-on-month [7] - The overall discount change index for the sedan market is 1.69, with an average discount of 30,400 yuan, reflecting an increase of 1,364 yuan or 4.7% month-on-month [7] SUV Market Analysis - The price change index for the SUV market is -1.07, with an average transaction price of 170,300 yuan, indicating a month-on-month increase of 1,580 yuan or 0.94% [7] - The overall discount change index for the SUV market is 0.68, with an average discount of 29,300 yuan, which is a decrease of 832 yuan or 2.8% month-on-month [7] MPV Market Analysis - The price change index for the MPV market is -1.27, with an average transaction price of 270,600 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 7,001 yuan or 2.66% [7] - The overall discount change index for the MPV market is 1.96, with an average discount of 25,700 yuan, showing a decrease of 2,013 yuan or 7.27% month-on-month [7] New Energy Market Overview - The overall price change index for the new energy market is -2.17, with an average transaction price of 159,400 yuan [8] - The overall discount change index for the new energy market is 0.93, with an average discount of 11,600 yuan [8][13] New Energy Sedan Market - The price change index for the new energy sedan market is -0.39, with an average transaction price of 119,800 yuan, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 116 yuan or 0.1% [13] - The overall discount change index for the new energy sedan market is 0.63, with an average discount of 9,900 yuan, indicating an increase of 242 yuan or 2.5% month-on-month [10][13] New Energy SUV Market - The price change index for the new energy SUV market is -2.57, with an average transaction price of 187,600 yuan, showing a month-on-month increase of 5,155 yuan or 2.8% [11][12] - The overall discount change index for the new energy SUV market is 1.14, with an average discount of 12,800 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 1,788 yuan or 12.2% month-on-month [11][13] New Energy MPV Market - The price change index for the new energy MPV market is -4.34, with an average transaction price of 320,300 yuan [14] - The overall discount change index for the new energy MPV market is 0.9, with an average discount of 16,800 yuan [14]

Core Viewpoint - The overall price index of Linyi Mall decreased by 0.29% this week, indicating a slight decline in market prices across various categories [1] Price Index Summary - **Household Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment**: The price index increased to 103.16 points, up by 0.05 points, driven by rising demand for air conditioners and audio equipment due to high temperatures [1] - **Building and Decoration Materials**: The price index rose to 105.73 points, up by 0.03 points, with increases in structural installation and decorative materials, despite a slowdown in construction activities [2] - **Hardware and Electrical Materials**: The price index increased to 119.64 points, up by 0.02 points, mainly due to price rises in instruments, cables, and electric tools, although overall sales volume decreased [3] - **Steel Products**: The price index fell to 96.51 points, down by 1.84 points, as upstream raw material prices decreased, leading to lower factory prices and reduced demand [4] - **Board Materials**: The price index decreased to 97.09 points, down by 0.11 points, influenced by weak demand in the real estate market, prompting dealers to lower prices to alleviate inventory pressure [5] - **Automotive Parts and Accessories**: The price index dropped to 93.79 points, down by 0.04 points, primarily due to declining prices of automotive parts amid a sluggish sales environment [6]

Overall Summary - The offline retail consumption situation for Q2 2025 shows a general decline in sales across major categories such as food, beverages, alcohol, and daily chemicals, although the rate of decline has narrowed compared to previous quarters [2][4][6]. Group 1: Retail Performance Overview - The analysis is based on data from the "Shangma Ying Brand CT," which monitors offline retail across various city levels and includes over 30,000 brands and 14 million product barcodes [2]. - The overall sales revenue for Q2 2025 is down approximately 7% year-on-year, with a better performance in order volume compared to average spending, indicating consumer pressure on budgets and prices [4][6]. - The price index for food, beverages, alcohol, and daily chemicals shows a gradual recovery, but remains under pressure, with most categories below the baseline index of 100 [4][6]. Group 2: Key Category Insights - In the food category, frozen products like frozen sausages have shown significant market share growth, while dairy products are stabilizing after previous declines [13][22]. - The beverage category has seen strong growth in sports and plant-based drinks, with some products exceeding 30% year-on-year growth, although the overall market remains competitive [17][29]. - The snack category is experiencing a decline in market share due to health trends and new retail formats, with significant drops in sales for various subcategories [14][22]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Trends - The average spending per order has increased for certain categories like ready-to-drink juices and plant-based beverages, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards higher-quality products [34][35]. - The average purchase quantity per order has decreased across all selected categories, suggesting a trend towards larger packaging or a focus on value [40]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in the frozen food and beverage sectors, with numerous brands vying for market share [46][47].

Core Insights - The overall price index of Linyi Mall decreased slightly this week, indicating a minor decline in market prices across various categories [1] Price Index Summary - **Grain and Food Category**: The price index for grain and food increased to 95.11 points, up by 0.04 points, driven by rising prices in oil and food products, while other subcategories remained stable or saw minor declines [1] - **Board Category**: The price index for boards fell to 97.20 points, down by 0.27 points, due to weak demand and a slight decrease in raw material prices, leading to lower average sales prices [2] - **Home Appliances and Audio-Visual Equipment**: The index for this category decreased to 103.11 points, down by 0.15 points, primarily due to price drops in cooling and kitchen appliances, despite some seasonal sales boosts [3] - **Steel Category**: The steel price index dropped to 98.35 points, down by 0.11 points, as construction activity slowed due to adverse weather, leading to reduced demand and lower prices [4] - **Clothing and Accessories**: The index for clothing and accessories fell to 104.83 points, down by 0.07 points, influenced by price reductions in footwear and overall weak consumer demand [5] - **Furniture Category**: The furniture price index decreased to 89.03 points, down by 0.06 points, reflecting weakened market demand due to the sluggish real estate sector [6]