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春节前后累库预期犹在 预计乙二醇依旧承压运行
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-16 07:04
展望后市,国投安信期货表示,隆众公布的乙二醇周度产量小幅下降,港口继续累库,速度有所放缓, 主要因到港预报下降及港口发货量上升。短期市场或低位震荡;但春节前后累库预期犹在,新年度依旧 有较大量装置投产的预期下,乙二醇依旧承压。 12月16日,国内期市能化板块多数飘绿。其中,乙二醇期货行情呈现震荡上行走势,截至发稿主力合约 报3685.00元/吨,涨幅0.60%。 需求方面,西南期货指出,下游聚酯开工小降至91.2%,终端织机开工局部下降,备货下降,需求端支 撑减弱。10月聚酯产品出口总量在119.8万吨,环比增长1.5万吨,同比增长6.5万吨。 库存方面,截至12月11日,华东主港地区MEG库存总量75.5万吨,较上一期增加0.52万吨。详细来看, 张家港31.1万吨,太仓18万吨,宁波13万吨,江阴及常州9.9万吨,上海及常熟3.5万吨。 供应方面,方正中期期货分析称,2025年乙二醇产能继续增加。至12月初,新增三套装置,分别是四川 正达凯的60万吨合成气装置、裕龙石化90万吨油制装置和宁夏畅亿的20万吨合成气装置,其中宁夏畅亿 的装置在12月上旬产出,暂未列入总产能。截止11月末,乙二醇总产能达到300 ...
近一周白银期货行情周报(12月8日至12月12日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-15 07:21
| | 近一周沪银主力行情一览表 | | --- | --- | | 日期 | 价格(单位:元/千克) | | 12月8日 | 13706 | | 12月9日 | 13607 | | 12月10日 | 14373 | | 12月11日 | 14488 | | 12月12日 | 14892 | | 最高价 | 15033 | | 最低价 | 13470 | | 近一周均价 | 14213 | 截至12月12日当周,白银期货收于14892元/千克,全周累计涨幅8.80%,沪银主力合约最高15033元/千 克,最低13470元/千克,近一周均价14213元/千克。 ...
需求端转弱对盘面支撑不足 聚丙烯预计继续承压
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-12 08:05
Group 1 - The domestic futures market for polypropylene showed a significant decline, with the main contract opening at 6176.00 CNY/ton and closing with a drop of 1.18% [1] - The average capacity utilization rate for polypropylene is reported at 78.25%, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.64%, while Sinopec's utilization rate decreased by 2.14% to 77.37% due to maintenance of certain facilities [2] - The inventory of polypropylene in China stands at 565,200 tons, marking an increase of 3.46% compared to the previous period [2] Group 2 - The futures market sentiment is bearish, with low willingness to hold inventory across various segments, and demand from downstream sectors showing signs of weakness [2] - Despite some maintenance activities, weekly production levels remain high, limiting the alleviation of market pressure, while overall inventory continues to rise [2] - The price of polypropylene is expected to remain under pressure due to fluctuating crude oil prices and deteriorating profit margins, although no loss-making shutdowns have been reported [2]
沪银突破重要关口 乌方坚持“停火”优先
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-12 04:24
Group 1 - Silver futures are currently trading above 14688, with a recent price of 14937, reflecting a 4.06% increase, and a high of 15033 and a low of 14486 during the session [1] - The silver market is showing a bullish trend, with support around 14500 and a potential trading range for the main contract between 14000 and 15100 [5] Group 2 - Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that the only way to achieve a comprehensive ceasefire is through signing a framework agreement, as Russia will not agree to a ceasefire without an agreement [2] - Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine's position remains unchanged, advocating for an initial ceasefire, while supporting Turkey's plan for an energy truce [3] - The U.S. stance is to first reach a comprehensive ceasefire agreement before addressing other issues [4]
股指期货将偏强震荡,黄金、白银、铜、焦煤期货将偏强震荡,纸浆期货将震荡偏强,螺纹钢、铁矿石期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-11 13:18
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend of today's futures main contracts. Index futures, gold, silver, copper, aluminum, alumina, lithium carbonate, coking coal, soda ash, and methanol futures are likely to have a relatively strong oscillation; pulp futures are likely to oscillate with a relatively strong trend; 30 - year treasury bond and polysilicon futures are likely to have a wide - range oscillation; tin and fuel oil futures are likely to oscillate weakly; rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, and soybean meal futures are likely to have a relatively weak oscillation; and glass futures are likely to oscillate and consolidate [2][3][4][7]. Summary by Related Catalogs Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On December 10, the main contracts of stock index futures showed different trends. On December 11, they are expected to have a relatively strong oscillation. For the whole of December 2025, they are expected to have a relatively strong wide - range oscillation. For example, IF2512 had a resistance of 4590 and 4614 points and a support of 4555 and 4525 points on December 11 [13][14][15][17][18]. - **Treasury Bond Futures** - **Ten - year Treasury Bond Futures**: On December 10, the main contract T2603 rose slightly. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 108.12 and 108.20 yuan and a support of 107.92 and 107.74 yuan [34]. - **Thirty - year Treasury Bond Futures**: On December 10, the main contract TL2603 rebounded. On December 11, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation with a support of 112.3 and 112.0 yuan and a resistance of 113.1 and 113.6 yuan [37][38]. - **Precious Metal Futures** - **Gold Futures**: On December 10, the main contract AU2602 rebounded slightly. In December 2025, it is expected to have a relatively strong wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 961.0 and 963.3 yuan/gram and a support of 951.5 and 945.5 yuan/gram [41]. - **Silver Futures**: On December 10, the main contract AG2602 rose significantly. In December 2025, it is expected to oscillate with a relatively strong trend and set a new high. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation and set a new high, with a resistance of 14419 and 14600 yuan/kg and a support of 14000 and 13892 yuan/kg [47]. - **Base Metal Futures** - **Copper Futures**: On December 10, the main contract CU2601 stopped falling and rebounded. In December 2025, it is expected to oscillate with a relatively strong trend and set a new high. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 92500 and 93300 yuan/ton and a support of 91400 and 90700 yuan/ton [52]. - **Aluminum Futures**: On December 10, the main contract AL2602 stopped falling and rebounded. In December 2025, it is expected to oscillate with a relatively strong trend. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 22090 and 22230 yuan/ton and a support of 21790 and 21750 yuan/ton [58][59]. - **Alumina Futures**: On December 10, the main contract AO2601 fell weakly. In December 2025, it is expected to oscillate weakly and set a new low. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 2525 and 2553 yuan/ton and a support of 2474 and 2460 yuan/ton [64]. - **Tin Futures**: On December 10, the main contract SN2601 rose strongly. In December 2025, it is expected to oscillate with a relatively strong trend. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 322600 and 324200 yuan/ton and a support of 312300 and 310300 yuan/ton [68]. - **Energy and Chemical Futures** - **Fuel Oil Futures**: On December 10, the main contract FU2601 stopped falling and rebounded slightly. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 2427 and 2437 yuan/ton and a support of 2350 and 2330 yuan/ton [102]. - **Methanol Futures**: On December 10, the main contract MA601 fell. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 2089 and 2104 yuan/ton and a support of 2053 and 2038 yuan/ton [105]. - **Coking Coal Futures**: On December 10, the main contract JM2605 fell. In December 2025, it is expected to have a relatively weak wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 1083 and 1110 yuan/ton and a support of 1050 and 1039 yuan/ton [90]. - **Polysilicon Futures**: On December 10, the main contract PS2605 fell slightly. On December 11, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation with a resistance of 56670 and 57350 yuan/ton and a support of 54020 and 52750 yuan/ton [71]. - **Lithium Carbonate Futures**: On December 10, the main contract LC2605 rose strongly. In December 2025, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation with a resistance of 97300 and 98800 yuan/ton and a support of 95900 and 93500 yuan/ton [74]. - **Glass Futures**: On December 10, the main contract FG601 fell weakly. In December 2025, it is expected to have a relatively weak wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate and consolidate with a resistance of 978 and 984 yuan/ton and a support of 950 and 930 yuan/ton [94]. - **Soda Ash Futures**: On December 10, the main contract SA601 fell weakly. In December 2025, it is expected to have a relatively weak wide - range oscillation and set a new low. On December 11, it is expected to have a relatively strong oscillation and set a new low, with a resistance of 1115 and 1121 yuan/ton and a support of 1080 and 1060 yuan/ton [99]. - **Agricultural Futures** - **Soybean Meal Futures**: On December 10, the main contract M2605 fell slightly. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 2763 and 2770 yuan/ton and a support of 2738 and 2728 yuan/ton [107]. - **Pulp Futures**: On December 10, the main contract SP2605 fell slightly. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate with a relatively strong trend with a resistance of 5678 and a daily limit of 5696 yuan/ton and a support of 5444 and 5430 yuan/ton [109]. - **Building Materials Futures** - **Rebar Futures**: On December 10, the main contract RB2605 stopped falling and rebounded. In December 2025, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 3123 and 3140 yuan/ton and a support of 3075 and 3066 yuan/ton [80]. - **Hot - Rolled Coil Futures**: On December 10, the main contract HC2605 stopped falling and rebounded. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 3282 and 3298 yuan/ton and a support of 3248 and 3238 yuan/ton [83]. - **Iron Ore Futures**: On December 10, the main contract I2605 stopped falling and rebounded. In December 2025, it is expected to have a wide - range oscillation. On December 11, it is expected to oscillate weakly with a resistance of 770 and 778 yuan/ton and a support of 761 and 758 yuan/ton [86]. Macro News and Trading Tips - There are reports that China is considering restricting the purchase of NVIDIA's advanced H200 chips [8]. - China's November CPI increased by 0.7% year - on - year, hitting the highest since March 2024; the core CPI increased by 1.2% year - on - year. The CPI decreased by 0.1% month - on - month, and the PPI increased by 0.1% month - on - month [8]. - The IMF believes that the Chinese economy shows significant resilience and is expected to grow by 5.0% and 4.5% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [8]. - The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time this year, lowered the federal funds rate target range to 3.50% - 3.75%, and launched a short - term treasury bond purchase plan of about $40 billion per month [9]. - The US government's November budget deficit decreased to $173 billion [11]. - The US third - quarter employment cost index increased by 3.5% year - on - year, hitting a four - year low [11]. - The ECB may raise its economic growth forecast, and the Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.25% [10][11]. Commodity Futures Related Information - The SHFE adjusted the daily limit range, margin ratio for hedging positions, and general positions of the silver futures AG2602 contract [11]. - On December 10, international precious metal futures generally rose, crude oil futures rose, and most London base metals rose [12]. - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on December 10, and the US dollar index fell [13][16].
股指期货将震荡整理,白银期货价格再创上市以来新高,黄金期货将偏强震荡,玻璃、纯碱、原油期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-10 11:27
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analyses, the report predicts the likely trends of various futures contracts on December 10, 2025. For instance, stock index futures are expected to fluctuate and consolidate, while silver futures are likely to rise and hit a new high since listing [2][3]. - Global trade is projected to increase by about 7% (an additional $2.2 trillion) in 2025, reaching a record of $35 trillion, driven by East Asia, Africa, and South - South trade. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates for the third consecutive time with internal differences, and the market has highly priced in a 25 - basis - point rate cut [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Outlook - **Stock Index Futures**: On December 10, 2025, they are likely to fluctuate and consolidate. For IF2512, resistance levels are 4600 and 4619 points, and support levels are 4565 and 4535 points. Similar resistance and support levels are given for IH2512, IC2512, and IM2512 [2][17]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The ten - year Treasury bond futures contract T2603 is likely to fluctuate strongly, with resistance at 108.03 and 108.20 yuan and support at 107.92 and 107.74 yuan. The thirty - year Treasury bond futures contract TL2603 is likely to have a wide - range fluctuation, with support at 112.2 and 111.7 yuan and resistance at 112.7 and 113.1 yuan [2][38][40]. - **Precious Metal Futures**: Gold futures contract AU2602 is likely to fluctuate strongly and attack resistance levels of 961.0 and 963.3 yuan/gram, with support at 951.5 and 945.5 yuan/gram. Silver futures contract AG2602 is likely to rise and hit a new high since listing, with resistance at 14200 and 14500 yuan/kg and support at 13726 and 13681 yuan/kg [2][3][43][51]. - **Base Metal Futures**: Copper futures contract CU2601 is likely to fluctuate and consolidate, with support at 90600 and 90100 yuan/ton and resistance at 91700 and 92500 yuan/ton. Aluminum futures contract AL2601 is likely to fluctuate strongly, with resistance at 21920 and 21980 yuan/ton and support at 21710 and 21610 yuan/ton. Alumina futures contract AO2601 is likely to decline and hit a new low since listing, and tin futures contract SN2601 is likely to fluctuate strongly [3][56][63]. - **Other Commodity Futures**: Polycrystalline silicon, lithium carbonate, rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, glass, soda ash, crude oil, PTA, PVC, methanol, soybean meal, and corn futures all have their respective predicted trends and resistance/support levels [3][4][7]. 3.2 Macro - Information and Trading Tips - Chinese Premier Li Qiang emphasized China's economic confidence in achieving the annual goals. Commerce Minister Wang Wentao met with the IMF President. US President Trump said he would approve the sale of NVIDIA H200 AI chips to China. China and Russia conducted a joint air - strategic cruise. The UNCTAD reported that global trade would grow by about 7% in 2025 [8]. - The Fed is expected to cut interest rates with internal differences, and the market has priced in a 25 - basis - point cut. The US private - sector employment situation improved, and Ukraine is preparing for elections [8][9]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - Related Information - On December 9, international precious metal futures generally rose, while US crude oil and London base metals fell. The current high iron ore price is due to capital games and speculation, and the EIA adjusted its oil - price forecasts [9][10][11]. - In November, Russia's daily crude oil production was over 100,000 barrels lower than the target. The on - shore and offshore RMB exchange rates against the US dollar had certain changes, and the US dollar index rose [11][12].
最新美黄金期货实时行情查询(2025年12月10日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-10 03:17
打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 备注:以上 黄金期货价格仅供参考,更多 黄金期货行情实时价格、 黄金期货一手要多少钱请以官方价 格为准,如有对黄期货价格有何疑问可咨询本站客服。 | 今日纽约黄金期货价格(2025年12月10日) | | --- | | 名称 | 最新价 | 开盘价 | 昨收价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 报价单位 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 美期金 | 4244.90 | 4237.50 | 4236.60 | 4247.00 | 4235.20 | 美元/盎司 | 最新美黄金期货价格实时行情查询(2025年12月10日) ...
建信期货PTA日报-20251209
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-09 02:25
Report Information - Report Name: PTA Daily Report [1] - Date: December 09, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - On the 8th, the closing price of the PTA main futures contract TA2601 was 4,694 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan/ton or 0.13%. The settlement price was 4,678 yuan, and the daily position decreased by 31,308 lots. With the crude oil market showing a strong and volatile trend, providing cost support for PTA, but the operating rate of downstream polyester decreasing and the PTA de - stocking speed slowing down, after the game between long and short news, the short - term PTA market is expected to be stable [6]. Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures market: TA2601 closed at 4,694 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan/ton, with a trading volume of 494,289 lots and a decrease of 31,308 lots; TA2605 closed at 4,770 yuan/ton, up 2 yuan/ton, with a trading volume of 213,678 lots and an increase of 19,592 lots [6]. 2. Industry News - International oil prices rose for the third consecutive day to a half - month high. The settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for January 2026 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $60.08 per barrel, up $0.41 or 0.69%. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for February 2026 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $63.75 per barrel, up $0.49 or 0.77% [7]. - The price of PX in the Chinese market was estimated at $840 - 842 per ton, up $3 per ton; the price in the South Korean market was estimated at $820 - 822 per ton, up $3 per ton. There was one deal heard on the day, with any February cargo sold at $842 per ton [7]. - The price of PTA in the East China market was 4,650 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton. The average daily negotiation basis was at a discount of 30 yuan/ton compared to the futures contract 2601, remaining stable [7]. 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are provided, including international crude oil futures main contract closing prices, upstream raw material spot prices, PX prices, MEG prices, PTA price summaries, basis differences, PTA processing margins, TA5 - 9 spreads, PTA warehouse receipt quantities, polyester factory load rates, PTA downstream product prices, and PTA downstream product inventories, all with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [11][13][17]
建信期货MEG日报-20251209
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-12-09 02:25
Report Information - Report Name: MEG Daily Report [1] - Date: December 09, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The current fundamentals of ethylene glycol lack overall drivers, but the continuous decline of spot prices to low levels has weakened the market selling pressure. It is expected to maintain a low-level volatile trend in the short term [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures market: The closing price of EG2601 was 3,701 yuan/ton, down 74 yuan; the closing price of EG2605 was 3,809 yuan/ton, down 64 yuan. The trading volume was 178,188 lots and the open interest was 310,473 lots. The main contract opened at 3,722 yuan, with the highest at 3,732 yuan, the lowest at 3,687 yuan, and settled at 3,706 yuan [7] 2. Industry News - International oil prices: Expected Fed rate cut next week may boost economic growth and energy demand, and geopolitical uncertainties support the market. WTI crude oil futures for January 2026 settled at $60.08 per barrel, up $0.41 or 0.69%; Brent crude oil futures for February 2026 settled at $63.75 per barrel, up $0.49 or 0.77% [8] - Zhangjiagang ethylene glycol market: The spot negotiation price was 3,681 - 3,683 yuan/ton this week, down 65.5 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The negotiation prices before December 19th, late December were in different ranges. The spot basis was at a discount to EG2601, and the basis situation varied in different periods. The futures market continued to be weak, and the spot price continued to decline [8] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts are provided, including PTA - MEG spread, MEG price, MEG futures price, basis between futures and spot, international crude oil futures main contract closing price, raw material price index (ethylene), MEG downstream product price and inventory, etc., with data sources from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][15][16]
收评|国内期货主力合约跌多涨少 集运欧线涨超4%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 07:08
Core Viewpoint - The domestic futures market shows a mixed performance with most contracts declining, while the shipping European line futures have increased significantly, indicating a potential upward trend in shipping rates due to sustained high capacity supply in December [3][7][9]. Group 1: Price Movements - The shipping European line futures rose over 4% [3][7][9]. - Zinc and copper futures increased by more than 2%, while international copper rose nearly 2% [3][7][9]. - Red dates and aluminum futures saw gains exceeding 1% [3][7][9]. Group 2: Declines in Other Commodities - Coking coal futures fell by over 3%, while polysilicon dropped nearly 3% [3][7][9]. - Ethylene glycol, alumina, and coking coal futures all experienced declines exceeding 2% [3][7][9]. Group 3: Market Analysis - Major airlines have announced price increases, and the shipping European line futures have shown a rise of over 5% during trading [9]. - Analysts suggest that while the supply capacity remains high in December, there is expected marginal support for prices during the mid to late month due to price stabilization and long-term contract signing windows [9].