Core Viewpoint - The dollar remains steady after reaching a two-week high, despite weak U.S. jobs data, as investors focus on upcoming nonfarm payrolls data and the potential impact of Federal Reserve leadership changes [1] Economic Data - U.S. job openings fell to the lowest level in over five years in December, indicating a potential slowdown in the labor market [1] - The upcoming nonfarm payrolls data, delayed due to a recent partial government shutdown, is anticipated to provide further insights into employment trends [1] Federal Reserve Influence - President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair has positively influenced the dollar, with market expectations leaning towards a restrictive policy stance and the maintenance of central bank independence [1] - Markets are not fully anticipating another interest-rate cut until June, according to LSEG data, suggesting a cautious outlook on monetary policy [1]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar reached a two-week high but remained stable as investors overlooked weak US employment data [1] Group 1: Employment Data - The US Labor Department reported that job openings in December fell to the lowest level in over five years [1] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data, which was delayed due to a recent government shutdown, is a key focus for the market [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Dollar Strength - President Trump nominated Kevin Walsh to chair the Federal Reserve, boosting the dollar as the market bets on his restrictive policy stance and commitment to central bank independence [1] - Data from the London Stock Exchange Group indicates that the market does not fully anticipate another rate cut before June [1] Group 3: Market Indicators - The DXY dollar index remained flat at 97.819 [1]

Group 1 - The Democratic Party is seeking to delay the nomination process for the Federal Reserve Chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, until the criminal investigation into current Chair Jerome Powell and other Fed governors is concluded, although the committee chair Tim Scott believes Warsh's confirmation is highly likely [1] - The Federal Reserve announced that it will not adjust the capital levels of large banks during the 2026 stress test cycle and is considering multiple reforms to enhance transparency in the annual test [1] - The U.S. Treasury Department plans to maintain the current issuance scale of medium- and long-term bonds, with a total of $125 billion in bonds to be issued this quarter, including $58 billion in 3-year, $42 billion in 10-year, and $25 billion in 30-year Treasury bonds [1] Group 2 - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the January non-farm employment report on February 11, with the ADP reporting only 22,000 new jobs in January, significantly below the expected 48,000 [2] - The ISM Services PMI index for January slightly decreased to 53.8, but still exceeded market expectations, indicating a slowdown in new orders and a contraction in export orders [2] - The Eurozone's January CPI rose only 1.7% year-on-year, the lowest level since September 2024, with core CPI dropping to 2.2%, the lowest since October 2021 [2] Group 3 - The UK National Institute of Economic and Social Research has raised its 2026 economic growth forecast for the UK from 1.2% to 1.4%, indicating the economy is nearing a normal state [3] - South Korea's foreign exchange reserves decreased for the second consecutive month in January, totaling $425.91 billion, down by $2.15 billion from the previous month due to government efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market [3] Group 4 - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.53% at 49,501.3 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell by 0.51% and 1.51%, respectively [4] Group 5 - U.S. oil futures rose by 1.99% to $64.47 per barrel, while Brent crude increased by 2.09% to $68.74 per barrel [5] - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 1.04% at $4,986.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 5.36% at $87.77 per ounce [5] - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 10-year yield rising by 0.8 basis points to 4.274% and the 30-year yield increasing by 2.38 basis points to 4.918% [5] - The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.25% to 97.63, while most non-U.S. currencies declined against the dollar [5]

今日国内黄金价格继续保持平稳格局，多数品牌报价与昨日持平，市场整体波动有限。其中，老庙黄金报价1434元/克，下 调5元，与六福、金至尊等价格持平；潮宏基、周大生仍报1436元/克，位居今日高位。菜百黄金持续保持1392元/克的最低 报价，市场高低价差为44元/克，较昨日进一步收窄。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价： | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2026年1月16日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 1434 | 元/克 | 5 | 跌 | | 六福黄金价格 | 1434 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 周大福黄金价格 | 1426 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 1421 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 1434 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 1434 | 元/克 | 2 | 跌 | | 潮宏基黄金价格 | 1436 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 周生生黄金价格 | 1431 | 元 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "new stability" in the U.S. employment market as reflected in the December employment data, highlighting trends and implications for the economy [2] Group 1: Employment Data Analysis - The U.S. added 223,000 jobs in December, indicating a steady job growth despite economic uncertainties [2] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 3.5%, suggesting a resilient labor market [2] - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% month-over-month, reflecting ongoing wage pressures [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The leisure and hospitality sector saw significant job gains, contributing to overall employment growth [2] - Professional and business services also added jobs, indicating strength in these sectors [2] - Manufacturing employment showed signs of stabilization, which is crucial for economic outlook [2] Group 3: Economic Implications - The steady employment figures suggest that the Federal Reserve may continue its current monetary policy stance [2] - The data indicates a potential for sustained consumer spending, which is vital for economic growth [2] - Overall, the employment report reflects a balanced economic environment, with both opportunities and challenges ahead [2]

Group 1 - The recent U.S. employment data showed a decrease in the unemployment rate from 4.5% in November to 4.4% in December, despite non-farm payrolls increasing by only 50,000, which was below the expected 60,000 [1] - The employment growth in 2025 was reported at 584,000, averaging 49,000 per month, which is significantly lower than the 2 million increase in 2024, marking the weakest growth since 2020 [1] - The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January dropped from 11.6% to 4.8%, indicating that most traders expect the Fed to maintain current rates, with a potential rate cut not likely until April or June [1] Group 2 - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions will depend on the performance of the labor market in the coming months, with concerns about inflation remaining above target levels potentially limiting further monetary easing [2] - The silver TD price experienced a significant increase, ending a two-day decline, with strong bullish momentum indicated by the MACD and DMI signals, while caution is advised for potential pullbacks [3] - Key support levels for silver TD are noted between 18,000 and 18,500, while resistance levels are identified between 20,000 and 25,000 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The early release of the U.S. December employment data by President Trump on social media has significant implications for global capital markets, particularly affecting the $30 trillion U.S. Treasury market [1][2]. Group 1: Employment Data Release - Trump shared a chart on Truth Social showing that the U.S. private sector added 654,000 jobs while the government sector saw a net loss of 181,000 jobs since January [1]. - The leaked data matched the official figures released by the Labor Department, which were published 12 hours later [1]. - The White House confirmed the leak, with Trump stating that he received the data and shared it [1]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Wall Street largely missed Trump's post when it was first published, indicating a lack of immediate attention from traders [2]. - A macro hedge fund portfolio manager noted that traders had difficulty keeping up with Trump's numerous daily posts, which diluted the impact of significant announcements [2].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. job market showed mixed signals with December's job growth falling short of expectations, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions in the near term [1] Group 1: Employment Data - December saw an increase of 50,000 jobs, which was below the Wall Street Journal's survey expectation of 73,000 jobs [1] - The November job figures were revised down from 64,000 to 56,000 [1] - The unemployment rate decreased from a revised 4.5% to 4.4%, slightly better than anticipated [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the employment report, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar experienced significant fluctuations, initially rising before retreating [1] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was reported at 4.173%, while the 2-year yield stood at 3.509% [1] - The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index increased by 0.1% [1]

格隆汇1月7日｜美元走势保持稳健，尽管美国私营部门就业数据略逊于预期。根据周三公布的ADP数 据，12月私营部门雇主增加了41,000个工作岗位。《华尔街日报》调查的经济学家此前预期就业人数将 增加48,000人。然而，上月数据被上修为显示雇主裁减了29,000个工作岗位，而最初报告的就业人数下 降了32,000人。美元指数在数据公布后基本无变动，稳定在98.601。这些数据是在周五关键的美国非农 就业报告公布前发布的，该报告可能会影响市场对美联储下次降息时机的预期。 ...

12月17日，周二（12月16日），现货黄金价格在高位震荡，盘中一度跌至4272美元附近，却又迅速反弹 至4335美元，最终收报4302美元，基本持平。这种波动并非偶然，而是受到了美国就业数据、地缘政治 紧张局势以及美联储政策预期的多重影响。数据显示，美国11月就业岗位增长反弹，但失业率意外升至 4.6%的四年高位，这不仅强化了市场对美联储进一步降息的预期，还推动美元指数触及两个月低点， 令黄金对海外买家更具吸引力。同时，俄乌冲突的最新进展为黄金提供了潜在的避险支撑。投资者们正 密切关注即将公布的CPI和PCE数据，以及美联储官员的讲话，这些因素将共同塑造黄金的短期走势。 黄金技术分析： 黄金维持看涨不变的前提下，继续看这个周期的调整力度和上涨空间，目前的高点是4350，4350破位就 看4385，但周期的调整空间也不得不看，周一强调4350之下不要过分看涨，随时可能出现调整空间，实 际最低跌至4270，而在周二非农出局后上涨至4335附近后，午夜也回落到4290，结合这两波行情可以看 到，黄金在多头趋势中既要看上涨的趋势力度，也要看有效的调整空间，周三维持这个原则做有效的交 易。 从技术面来看，日线周期表现 ...