摘要 深圳商报·读创客户端记者 陈燕青 今年公募基金新发市场呈现显著增长态势。公募排排网数据显示，按认购起始日统计，全年新成立公募 基金产品共计1553只，同比增长35.87%，创下近四年发行数量新高。与此同时，新基金平均认购天数 为16.41天，较去年缩短超6天，也从侧面反映出市场热情高涨。 对此，融智投资FOF基金经理李春瑜表示，今年新基发行数量与效率双升的主要原因包括：一是权益市 场行情向好，市场热情高涨推动发行加速，平均认购天数显著缩短。二是被动投资趋势深化，指数化工 具需求旺盛，审批提速与ETF扩容，被动指数型股票基金成为发行主力。三是行业头部机构引领，大型 公募机构密集布局，尤其在权益及指数领域重点发力，形成发行集中效应。 从产品结构来看，权益类基金占据绝对主导地位。今年新发的股票、偏股混合型等权益类基金共1109 只，占新发基金总数的71.41%。其中，股票型基金发行835只，占比53.77%；偏股混合型基金发行274 只，占比17.64%。 被动指数型产品成为发行主力军。全年新发被动指数型基金达699只，占总量的45.01%。其中，被动指 数型股票基金表现尤为突出，共计发行618只，另有被动指 ...

在2025年即将画上句号之际，数月前一度被暴跌恐惧支配的投资者意外地发现，标普500指数距离7000 点大关竟然只差"临门一脚"。 4月3日和4月4日，美股市值在短短两天内蒸发了创纪录的6.6万亿美元，标普500指数两日累计跌幅达 10.53%，罗素2000指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别在4月3日和4日跌入技术性熊市。而如今，美国所 谓"对等关税"引发的风暴已经成为过去式。 过去一年，AI革命与美联储宽松周期形成强劲共振，美股总市值持续攀升，已逼近70万亿美元大关。 截至12月26日收盘，道指年内已累计上涨14.49%，标普500指数大涨17.82%，逼近7000点，纳指暴涨 22.18%，三大指数均有望连续三年录得两位数百分比的涨幅。 记者丨吴斌 编辑丨和佳 与此同时，警报已然拉响。巴菲特指标（股市总市值/GDP）已经升至223%，远超巴菲特认为的70%～ 80%的合理区间，并显著高于2000年互联网泡沫时期峰值。如果流动性退潮或AI盈利不及预期，这场约 70万亿美元的狂欢或将面临严峻考验…… 美股为何持续大涨 在美股连续三年大涨、标普500指数剑指7000点背后，核心原因究竟是什么？ 法国里昂商学院管理实践教 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant rise of the U.S. stock market, particularly the S&P 500 index nearing the 7000-point mark, driven by factors such as AI advancements and Federal Reserve policies, while also highlighting the potential risks associated with high valuations and market dynamics [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance and Drivers - The U.S. stock market has seen a substantial increase, with the Dow Jones up 14.49%, S&P 500 up 17.82%, and Nasdaq up 22.18% year-to-date, indicating a strong performance over the past three years [1][5]. - Three main drivers of this market surge are identified: 1. Discount rate logic, where the market bets on lower risk-free rates and compressed risk premiums [5]. 2. Cash flow return through dividends and buybacks, which has created a "floor" effect on valuations [6]. 3. The liquidity illusion from passive investments, where high trading volumes in ETFs and index funds lead to a self-reinforcing cycle of stock price increases [6]. Group 2: Valuation Concerns and Risks - The Buffett Indicator (total market cap/GDP) has reached 223%, significantly above the 70%-80% range considered reasonable, raising concerns about potential market corrections if liquidity tightens or AI profits fall short [4][7]. - Current high valuations are contingent on several factors: a soft landing for the U.S. economy, successful interest rate cuts, and sustained profit margins, particularly for AI leaders [7]. - Two deep-seated risks are highlighted: 1. The relatively high U.S. Treasury yields compared to the low earnings yield of the S&P 500, leading to a near-zero or inverted equity risk premium [7]. 2. The current high index levels are largely driven by passive funds, creating a "virtual inflation" that could lead to rapid sell-offs if liquidity conditions change [7]. Group 3: AI's Role and Future Outlook - AI is expected to remain a key driver for the U.S. stock market in 2026, shifting from a focus on hardware to profitability and capital returns [9][10]. - The potential for AI to impact various sectors is noted, with expectations for capital expenditures in data centers to support performance [9]. - Risks associated with AI include valuation disparities among companies, tightening regulatory policies, and the potential for underwhelming commercial applications of AI technologies [10][11]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Asia - As the U.S. economy slows and valuations remain high, Asian markets are becoming increasingly attractive to investors, with several factors driving this trend: 1. A structural weakness in the dollar, leading to capital outflows from dollar assets [12]. 2. Significant valuation differences, with the S&P 500's TTM P/E at 29.5 compared to 14.1 for the CSI 300 [12]. 3. Higher economic growth rates in Asia, particularly China, which is projected to grow at around 5% in 2026 [12][13]. - The article emphasizes three structural opportunities in the Chinese market for 2026: 1. Focus on hard technology and self-sufficiency, particularly in semiconductors and AI applications [13]. 2. Benefits from mergers and acquisitions leading to industry consolidation and improved profitability [13]. 3. Growth opportunities driven by demographic changes and consumer trends, particularly in healthcare and entertainment sectors [13][14].

4月3日和4月4日，美股市值在短短两天内蒸发了创纪录的6.6万亿美元，标普500指数两日累计跌幅达 10.53%，罗素2000指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别在4月3日和4日跌入技术性熊市。而如今，美国所 谓"对等关税"引发的风暴已经成为过去式。 南方财经 21世纪经济报道记者吴斌 在2025年即将画上句号之际，数月前一度被暴跌恐惧支配的投资者意外地发现，标普500指数距离7000 点大关竟然只差"临门一脚"。 过去一年，AI革命与美联储宽松周期形成强劲共振，美股总市值持续攀升，已逼近70万亿美元大关。 截至12月26日收盘，道指年内已累计上涨14.49%，标普500指数大涨17.82%，逼近7000点，纳指暴涨 22.18%，三大指数均有望连续三年录得两位数百分比的涨幅。 与此同时，警报已然拉响。巴菲特指标（股市总市值/GDP）已经升至223%，远超巴菲特认为的 70%-80%的合理区间，并显著高于2000年互联网泡沫时期峰值。如果流动性退潮或AI盈利不及预期， 这场约70万亿美元的狂欢或将面临严峻考验…… 在美股连续三年大涨、标普500指数剑指7000点背后，核心原因究竟是什么？ 法国里昂商学院管理实践教授李徽 ...

风起云涌，大浪淘沙。 如果给2025年的中国资本市场贴标签，那一定少不了——"ETF的大时代"。 这不仅仅是一个概念，更是一场真金白银的买入。 全市场ETF总规模，正式站上6万亿元！短短一年，暴增61.6%。 更令人惊叹的是节奏。4万亿、5万亿、6万亿，三道关口在2025年内被接连踏破，几乎没有停顿，呈现明显的"加速度"。 如果把时间轴拉长，会发现这并非偶然：2020年突破1万亿，2023年突破2万亿，2024年站上3万亿。 2025年更是呈现超级大爆发！一年之内完成"三级跳"，ETF第一次以如此高频的方式，冲击市场的认知边界。 从0到1万亿，用时15年10个月；从1万亿到2万亿，我们走了将近三年；而如今，万亿级别的跨越，竟然只需要短短四个月。 规模的跃迁，直接改写了市场形态。ETF不再是少数投资者的工具，而是成为整个公募体系中最活跃、最具扩张力的板块之一。 全市场1381只ETF中，已经诞生了7只千亿级别的"旗舰航母"，125只ETF规模突破百亿级。 其中，华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF以4270.67亿元的体量一骑绝尘，成为全市场唯一突破4000亿的"单品之王"。紧随其后的易方达、华夏、嘉实旗下的沪深 300E ...

风起云涌，大浪淘沙。 如果给2025年的中国资本市场贴标签，那一定少不了——"ETF的大时代"。 这不仅仅是一个概念，更是一场真金白银的买入。 全市场ETF总规模，正式站上6万亿元！短短一年，暴增61.6%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 规模(亿元) | 2025年以买 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 510300 | 沪深300ETF | 4270.67 | 21.63 | | 510310 | 沪深300ETF易方达 | 3029.96 | 21.68 | | 510330 | 沪深300ETF华夏 | 2302.90 | 21.629 | | 159919 | 沪深300F非人口。 | 1976.90 12 121.489 | | | 510050 | 上证50ETF | 1798.48 | 16.979 | | 510500 | 中证500ETF | 1454.11 | 32.590 | | 159915 | 创业板ETF | 1024.74 | 53.470 | 更令人惊叹的是节奏。4万亿、5万亿、6万亿，三道关口在2025年内被接连踏破，几乎没有停顿，呈现明显的"加速度"。 ...

智通财经记者 | 杜萌 中国ETF正式迎来6万亿时刻。 Wind数据显示，截至12月26日，ETF规模合计为6.02万亿元，较去年底增长超2.2万亿元。 1 1000 0 the open 495 36 pp t 20 p 1997 t with the ar a status and the states t 198 1 and States of the - and all r Property the first State The the comment 1 180 the first 具体到单只ETF规模，共有7只"巨无霸"ETF规模超千亿元。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300.SH）一马当先，规模已经达到了4270.67亿元；易方达沪深 300ETF（510310.SH）紧随其后，达到3029.96亿元。华夏沪深300ETF（510330.SH）、嘉实沪深300ETF（159919.SZ）、华夏上证50ETF（510050.SH）、南 方中证500ETF（510500.SH）、易方达创业板ETF（159915.SZ）的最新规模也突破了1000亿元。 表：截至12月26日，千亿规模以上的ETF有 ...

中国ETF市场发展迎来重大突破！ Wind数据显示，截至12月26日，全市场ETF总规模已跨越6万亿元门槛，升至6.03万亿元，较今年年初 的3.73万亿元大幅增长超60%，创下历史新高。这一跃升不仅标志着市场规模的快速扩张，也反映出我 国资本市场投资结构与参与方式的深刻演变。 目前，全市场已有125只ETF产品规模突破百亿，其中更有7只成为千亿级别的"旗舰产品"，展现出大中 型产品对市场持续的领导力。从基金管理人角度来看，"头部效应"显著，前三家基金公司合计占据41% 的市场份额，前十家公司合计占据75%市场份额，前十六家合计占据90%市场份额。 回顾2025年，ETF市场接连突破4万亿、5万亿和6万亿三大关口，实现"三级跳"，且规模攀升节奏明显 加快。市场加速扩容，体现了投资者对ETF工具认可度的不断提升。展望未来，机构分析认为，国内指 数化投资正从单纯的"规模扩张"阶段，迈向注重"质量跃升"的新发展周期。 ETF规模突破6万亿 Wind数据显示，截至12月26日，境内ETF总规模达到6.03万亿元，创历史新高。 从资产类型分布看，股票型ETF规模达3.85万亿元，占总规模的64%，占据主导地位。截至同期 ...

刚刚见证历史！ 当上市公司因买私募基金爆亏81%而报案的消息震惊全场时，国内ETF市场再创里程碑式记录，历史首次迈向6万亿时代，创突破万亿关口史上最快纪 录！ 在A股创近10年新高之际，ETF市场突破6万亿，不仅是一个数字的巅峰，更是一个时代的注脚，以前所未有的姿态重塑金融市场。 站在岁末年初的转折时点，基金君将从ETF规模增长、ETF功能、产品发行与创新、投资者结构、资金流向等来盘点中国ETF在2025年的七大变化。 登顶亚洲，国内ETF迈向6万亿时代 2025年12月26日，国内ETF规模历史首次突破6万亿元大关，达到6.03万亿元，较年初的3.73万亿元增长62.6%，年内净增2.29万亿元。 今年ETF连续突破4万亿（204天）、5万亿（131天）、6万亿（122天）三大关口，呈现加速度爆发姿态，从5万亿到6万亿仅用4个月，创突破万亿关口史 上最快纪录！ 2025年8月，国内ETF市场以6810亿美元规模超越日本的6680亿美元，取代日本成为亚太地区ETF之王，成为亚洲最大ETF市场！ 这不仅是数字上的超越，更蕴含着被动投资深刻重塑中国金融生态的信号。 从此，国内资本市场的图谱上，一个属于ETF的黄金 ...

Core Insights - The ETF market in China has reached a significant milestone, with total assets surpassing 6 trillion yuan as of December 26, marking a growth of nearly 2.3 trillion yuan in 2023 alone, the first time the annual increase has exceeded 2 trillion yuan since the inception of ETFs in 2004 [1][4][2] Market Growth - The total number of ETFs in the market has reached 1,391, with a total scale of 6.03 trillion yuan, reflecting a daily increase of 354.52 billion yuan [2] - The growth rate of the ETF market has accelerated, with the time taken to surpass each trillion yuan milestone decreasing significantly: 4 months for 5 trillion yuan and just over 4 months for 6 trillion yuan [4] ETF Types and Performance - Stock ETFs remain the largest segment, totaling 3.85 trillion yuan, but their market share has decreased from 77.38% to 63.78% [4] - Bond ETFs and cross-border ETFs have seen remarkable growth, with their scales reaching 804.56 billion yuan and 938.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 362.46% and 239.42% [4] - The total net inflow into the ETF market this year has reached 1.33 trillion yuan, with bond ETFs, cross-border ETFs, and stock ETFs leading the inflows [5] Leading Products - The top five stock ETFs by net inflow include products from Guotai Junan, Huaxia, and Haitong, with each exceeding 200 billion yuan in inflows [5] - In the cross-border ETF segment, the top inflow product is the Fuguo Hong Kong Internet ETF, which has attracted over 57 billion yuan [8] - The leading bond ETFs include products focused on credit bonds, indicating a shift in investor preference [9] Industry Dynamics - The number of ETF management firms with over 100 billion yuan in assets has increased to 16, highlighting a growing concentration in the industry [16] - The top three firms—Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai-PB—control approximately 41% of the total ETF market, with their combined management scale reaching 2.48 trillion yuan [18] - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a focus on comprehensive service capabilities rather than just the number of products offered [20]