国内国际双循环

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中共中央政治局召开会议,决定召开二十届四中全会,分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 06:05
Group 1 - The meeting decided to hold the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in October, focusing on the report of work and the formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan for national economic and social development [1] - The "15th Five-Year" period is identified as a critical time for achieving socialist modernization, with both strategic opportunities and risks present in the current economic environment [1][2] - The meeting emphasized the need to maintain strategic determination and confidence, adapt to changes, and focus on domestic matters to gain strategic initiative in international competition [1][2] Group 2 - Economic development during the "15th Five-Year" period should adhere to Marxism, Mao Zedong Thought, Deng Xiaoping Theory, and Xi Jinping's Thought, aiming for a modern socialist strong country and the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation [2] - The meeting acknowledged that under the strong leadership of the Party, the economy has shown resilience and positive performance in key indicators, with high-quality development making new progress [2][3] - The meeting highlighted the importance of maintaining a stable macroeconomic policy, promoting domestic and international dual circulation, and achieving the annual economic and social development goals [3] Group 3 - The meeting called for deepening reforms, promoting technological innovation, and fostering new competitive industries to enhance economic vitality [4] - It emphasized the need for high-level opening up to stabilize foreign trade and investment, while supporting foreign trade enterprises affected by external shocks [4] - The meeting also stressed the importance of safeguarding people's livelihoods, prioritizing employment, and ensuring food security and disaster response [5]
中共中央政治局召开会议 决定召开二十届四中全会 分析研究当前经济形势和经济工作
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-30 06:05
Core Points - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau emphasized the importance of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the upcoming Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee, focusing on economic and social development strategies [1][2] - The meeting highlighted the need to maintain strategic determination and confidence in achieving modernization goals amidst complex global changes and economic challenges [1][2] - The meeting underscored the necessity of implementing proactive macroeconomic policies to ensure stable economic growth and address potential risks [3][4] Economic Development Strategy - The meeting called for adherence to Marxist principles and the comprehensive implementation of Xi Jinping's thoughts to achieve the goal of building a modern socialist country [2][3] - Emphasis was placed on achieving qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth in the economy, while ensuring the well-being of the population and promoting common prosperity [2][3] - The meeting recognized the positive performance of major economic indicators and the resilience of the economy, attributing this to effective leadership and proactive policies [2][3] Policy Implementation - The meeting stressed the importance of maintaining policy continuity and flexibility, focusing on stabilizing employment, businesses, and market expectations [3][4] - It was highlighted that macroeconomic policies should be actively adjusted to support economic recovery, including the issuance of government bonds and the promotion of structural monetary policies [3][4] - The meeting called for measures to stimulate domestic demand and enhance consumption, particularly in the service sector [3][4] Reform and Innovation - The meeting emphasized the need for deepening reforms and fostering technological innovation to develop new competitive industries [4][5] - It was noted that high-level opening-up should be expanded to stabilize foreign trade and investment, with support for affected enterprises [4][5] - The meeting also addressed the importance of risk prevention in key areas, including local government debt management and urban renewal [4][5] Social Welfare and Employment - The meeting highlighted the priority of employment policies, particularly for vulnerable groups such as graduates and migrant workers [5] - It was emphasized that social safety nets should be strengthened to prevent large-scale poverty and ensure food security [5] - The meeting called for a focus on safety regulations and emergency response measures to protect public welfare [5]
共同讲好进博故事上海精彩中国机遇 进博会城市服务保障领导小组扩大会议举行
Jie Fang Ri Bao· 2025-07-30 02:03
市委副书记、市长、中国国际进口博览会城市服务保障领导小组组长龚正主持会议。 记者 张骏 中国国际进口博览会城市服务保障领导小组昨天上午举行扩大会议。市委书记、中国国际进口博览 会城市服务保障领导小组组长陈吉宁出席会议并强调,要深入学习贯彻习近平总书记关于办好进博会的 重要指示精神,切实增强使命感和责任感,进一步优化服务保障、提升工作质效,强化统筹联动、放大 溢出效应,全力确保进博会常办常新、越办越好。 陈吉宁指出,举办进博会,是习近平总书记亲自谋划、亲自部署、亲自推动的重大开放举措。办好 进博会,对于坚定不移办好自己的事、坚定不移扩大高水平对外开放,提高开放型经济能级和水平意义 重大,有利于更好发挥我国超大规模市场优势,进一步做强国内大循环、畅通国内国际双循环,巩固经 济持续回升向好势头,对于上海做好稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期各项工作,推动贸易转型、提升 消费能级、加快培育发展新质生产力具有特殊重要性。要进一步深化思想认识、提高政治站位,按 照"越办越好"总要求,提高办展办会质量和城市服务保障水平,确保第八届进博会圆满成功举行。 陈吉宁指出,要更好服务办展办会。重大活动要全力支持配合、高质量做好组织保障。 ...
下半年:还将出台哪些新政策?︱重阳荐文
重阳投资· 2025-07-29 07:31
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the economic outlook for the second half of the year, emphasizing the need for policy support to achieve the annual GDP growth target of 5% after a 5.3% growth in the first half of the year [1][5]. Economic Performance - The actual GDP growth in the first half of the year was 5.3%, with Q1 at 5.4% and Q2 at 5.2%, exceeding the 5% annual target [5][7]. - The GDP deflator index in Q2 fell by 1.2%, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of negative growth, leading to a nominal GDP growth of only 3.9% [5][8]. - The growth was primarily driven by proactive policies and early consumer demand stimulation, particularly through the "trade-in" policy [7][8]. Consumer and Investment Trends - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% in the first half, with significant growth in categories related to the "trade-in" policy, such as home appliances and furniture [8][11]. - Fixed asset investment grew by only 2.8%, with infrastructure investment up by 4.6% and manufacturing investment by 7.5%, while real estate investment declined by 11.2% [11][19]. - Equipment investment surged by 17.3%, contributing 86% to overall investment growth [11][19]. Export Dynamics - Exports showed resilience, with a 5.9% increase in dollar terms, despite a 10.9% decline in exports to the U.S. [15][19]. - The diversification of exports helped mitigate the impact of reduced U.S. demand, with significant growth in exports to Africa, ASEAN, and the EU [15][19]. Economic Concerns - Despite positive data, there are concerns about potential weaknesses in the economy, particularly in consumer spending and manufacturing investment in the second half [19][20]. - The "trade-in" policy's impact on retail sales is expected to diminish in the latter half of the year due to lower funding and higher base effects from last year [19][20]. - Real estate sales and prices are showing signs of weakness, with new housing sales down by 3.5% and sales revenue down by 5.5% in the first half [23][24]. Policy Outlook - The article anticipates that the government will focus on targeted policies rather than large-scale stimulus, given the strong economic foundation laid in the first half [27][28]. - Potential policy directions include optimizing existing programs like the "trade-in" initiative and addressing restrictions on consumer spending [29][30]. - Infrastructure investment is expected to be a key area of focus, with ongoing projects and new financing tools being introduced to support technology and consumption [30][31]. Monetary Policy - The monetary policy is expected to remain supportive, with potential for minor adjustments in reserve requirements and interest rates [34][35]. - The article suggests that the central bank may take a cautious approach to monetary easing, focusing on maintaining stability in the currency exchange rate [35][36]. Structural Issues - The article highlights that the main challenges facing the Chinese economy are structural rather than total output-related, emphasizing the need for a focus on domestic and international circulation [26][38].
李荣灿在儋州市开展提案督办调研
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-07-25 01:14
海南日报洋浦7月24日电(海南日报全媒体记者 黎鹏 通讯员 李发强)7月24日,省政协主席李荣灿在 儋州市围绕"解决经由洋浦港运往内地进口原油运输问题"提案开展专题调研,强调要切实强化责任担 当,高质量推进提案办理,持续发挥自贸港开放优势,助力洋浦港加快国际航运枢纽建设。 李荣灿在儋州市开展提案督办调研时强调 高质量推进提案办理 助力加快国际航运枢纽建设 李荣灿还前往海南金海浆纸业有限公司和光村镇雪茄烟叶种植基地,实地调研绿色甲醇生产使用、 雪茄烟叶产业发展等情况。 省政协秘书长罗时祥参加。 李荣灿走进国投(洋浦)油气储运有限公司,详细了解码头储罐设施建设和油品装卸、仓储状况,听 取推进洋浦港全球绿色甲醇加注示范基地建设情况汇报,并和提案人、相关部门、企业代表聚焦提案办 理情况深入交流。 李荣灿指出,加快实施"运输往来自由便利"政策,事关构建国内国际双循环重要交汇点,是更好发 挥洋浦作为海南自由贸易港"样板间"示范引领作用的题中应有之义。省政协委员聚焦"将洋浦港建设成 为国际油品中转港"提出相关提案,站位高、思考深、聚焦准、建言实,体现出以"政协之为"服务"发展 之需"的履职担当。希望各有关承办单位以提案办理 ...
这场事关全岛封关的发布会为何令人激情澎湃
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-07-24 03:16
Core Viewpoint - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its island-wide customs closure operation on December 18, 2025, marking a significant milestone in China's commitment to high-level opening-up and economic globalization [1][2]. Group 1: Significance of the Announcement - The announcement reflects the central government's high regard for the Hainan Free Trade Port, emphasizing its role as a major national strategy personally planned and promoted by President Xi Jinping [1][2]. - The event signifies a clear timeline and scope for the customs closure, aligning with the overall plan for Hainan's free trade port construction, thus providing stability and confidence to stakeholders [3][4]. Group 2: Policy Support and Economic Impact - The government has outlined a series of favorable policies, including a "zero tariff" policy that will expand from approximately 1,900 to about 6,600 tax items, increasing the proportion of zero-tariff items to 74%, a rise of nearly 53 percentage points [4]. - The Hainan Free Trade Port aims to become a new frontier for China's opening-up, a new hub for regional cooperation, and a new engine for promoting economic globalization [5][6]. Group 3: Preparedness for Customs Closure - Various departments have coordinated to ensure that policies related to customs closure, such as import tax item directories and processing tax exemptions, are well-prepared [7][8]. - Infrastructure and information systems necessary for customs operations have been completed and passed national assessments, indicating readiness for the upcoming changes [8][10]. Group 4: Future Directions and Implementation - The focus will be on implementing policies effectively, enhancing the sense of gain for businesses and the public, and fostering an innovative institutional framework [12]. - The government has set specific targets for industrial development, consumer sectors, and talent attraction, encapsulated in the numbers "4532," which represent key areas for growth and optimization [12][13].
国新办新闻发布会答记者问实录摘登
Hai Nan Ri Bao· 2025-07-24 02:48
Core Points - The press conference highlighted the significance of the Hainan Free Trade Port's closure operation as a milestone for its development, emphasizing the need for effective policy implementation to enhance the experience of businesses and citizens [4][5][6] - Hainan aims to strengthen its international trade relations, particularly with Arab countries, by enhancing economic cooperation and establishing direct transportation links [6][7] - The province plans to build a modern industrial system that leverages its unique advantages, focusing on four main industries that currently contribute 67% to its GDP [7][8][9] - The construction of an international tourism consumption center is a priority, with significant increases in tourist numbers expected in the coming years [10][11] - Hainan is committed to institutional innovation, having developed numerous successful cases that will be expanded upon to support the free trade port's operations [12][13] - The establishment of a "two-line" port system will facilitate smoother trade and travel between Hainan and the mainland, ensuring that the closure operation promotes rather than hinders accessibility [14][15] - The province will continue to expand its openness, focusing on trade management, investment environment, and financial policies to attract foreign investment [16][17][18] - The "zero tariff" policy will see a significant increase in the range of goods eligible, expanding from 1,900 to approximately 6,600 items, enhancing trade liberalization [19][20][21] - Tax reforms will be implemented to support the free trade port, including the continuation of existing tax incentives and the introduction of new measures to stimulate economic activity [22][23] - The introduction of a comprehensive list of prohibited and restricted goods will enhance trade transparency and facilitate easier compliance for businesses [23][24] - The Ministry of Commerce will support Hainan's development as a key player in China's new era of openness, focusing on trade and investment [25][26] - The processing and value-added goods policy will be optimized to encourage local production and enhance the competitiveness of Hainan's industries [27][28] - Customs regulations will be refined to ensure efficient and effective oversight of the free trade port, promoting a seamless trade environment [29][30]
铁路运行交出亮眼成绩单
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-07-23 22:10
Core Insights - The railway sector in China has shown significant growth in both passenger and freight transport, with passenger volume reaching a historical high for the same period last year [1][2][3] - Continuous investment and infrastructure development have enhanced the operational capabilities and service quality of the railway network, contributing to economic stability and growth [1][7][8] Passenger Transport - Passenger volume reached 2.24 billion trips in the first half of 2025, marking a 6.7% year-on-year increase [2] - The expansion of the high-speed rail network has facilitated easier travel between cities, with innovative ticketing options like the "Hohhot + Ulanqab + Ordos" travel pass offering discounts [2][3] - Daily train operations have exceeded 11,000, with a capacity to transport 17 million passengers, reflecting a 7.5% increase in transport capacity [3] Freight Transport - The railway sector has sent 1.01 billion tons of freight by June 5, 2025, a 2.0% increase year-on-year, with coal transport being a significant contributor [4] - A total of 1.98 billion tons of goods were transported in the first half of the year, with an average of 182,400 freight cars dispatched daily, representing a 3.0% increase [4][5] - The introduction of multi-modal transport services and financial products has improved logistics efficiency and reduced costs for businesses [5][6] Infrastructure Investment - Fixed asset investment in railways reached 355.9 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 5.5% increase year-on-year, with 301 kilometers of new lines put into operation [7][8] - Major projects like the Chang-Jiu High-Speed Railway are progressing, with significant investments aimed at enhancing the national railway network [7][8] - The ongoing construction of new rail lines is expected to create substantial employment opportunities and stimulate related industries [8]
【晶采观察·解码“十四五”】“进度条”刷新!这些出行变化与你相关
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-07-23 13:09
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant advancements in China's transportation infrastructure during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the convenience and efficiency of travel for the population [1][2]. Group 1: Transportation Infrastructure Development - China has established the world's largest high-speed railway network, highway network, and postal express network, with high-speed rail accounting for over 70% of the global total [2]. - The highway network covers 99% of cities with populations over 200,000, and the postal industry has set up over 500,000 service points [2]. - These developments support the national strategy of promoting domestic circulation and international dual circulation, enhancing the foundational, service, and guarantee roles of transportation infrastructure [2]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Daily Commuting - Approximately 100 million people use rail transit daily, while another 100 million rely on buses, and a further 100 million utilize taxis and ride-hailing services, showcasing the urban transportation system's capacity and resilience [1]. - The efficient flow of people and goods is described as a "lubricant" for economic circulation, facilitating talent, information, and resource movement, which aids in consumption and industrial upgrades [1]. - The express delivery sector has seen continuous growth, with China leading the world in express delivery volume for 11 consecutive years, averaging over 500 million packages collected daily, equating to nearly 6,000 packages entering the delivery system every second [3].
李迅雷专栏 | 下半年:还将出台哪些新政策?
中泰证券资管· 2025-07-23 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the economic performance in the first half of the year, highlighting a GDP growth of 5.3% and the necessity for continued policy support to achieve the annual growth target of 5% in the second half of the year [2][4][6]. Economic Performance - The actual GDP growth in the first half of the year was 5.3%, with the first quarter at 5.4% and the second quarter at 5.2%, exceeding the annual target [4][6]. - The nominal GDP growth in the second quarter was only 3.9%, with a GDP deflator index decline of 1.2%, indicating persistent supply-demand imbalances [4][6]. Policy Drivers - Economic growth was supported by proactive policies and early implementation of consumption-boosting measures, such as the "trade-in" policy, which significantly improved retail sales in various categories [6][9]. - Retail sales of consumer goods increased by 5% year-on-year, with categories related to the "trade-in" policy showing substantial growth, such as home appliances and communication equipment [6][9]. Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment grew by only 2.8% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment at 4.6% and manufacturing investment at 7.5%, while real estate investment declined by 11.2% [9]. - Investment in equipment and tools surged by 17.3%, contributing 86% to overall investment growth [9]. Export Performance - Exports showed resilience, with a year-on-year increase of 5.9% in dollar terms, despite a 10.9% decline in exports to the U.S. [13][20]. - Diversification of exports helped mitigate the decline in U.S. exports, with significant growth in exports to Africa, ASEAN, and the EU [13][20]. Economic Concerns - Despite positive growth indicators, there are concerns about potential weaknesses in the economy, particularly in consumer spending, manufacturing investment, and real estate [15][16]. - The "trade-in" policy's impact on consumer spending may weaken in the second half due to lower absolute funding compared to the first half and higher base effects from last year [16]. Policy Outlook - The article anticipates that the second half of the year will see targeted policies rather than large-scale stimulus, focusing on optimizing existing budget allocations and supporting key sectors [27][28]. - Consumption policies may be refined to benefit lower-income groups and address unreasonable restrictions on consumer spending [29]. Investment and Infrastructure - Infrastructure investment is expected to be a key growth driver, with ongoing projects and new policy tools aimed at supporting technology innovation and stabilizing foreign trade [31][32]. - The government is likely to focus on urban renewal and improving housing quality while avoiding excessive stimulus measures [34]. Monetary Policy - A slight reduction in reserve requirements and interest rates may occur, but significant monetary easing is not anticipated in the short term [36][37]. - The stability of the RMB against the USD is expected to be maintained, with potential slight depreciation against other currencies [36][37].