Core Viewpoint - The article discusses investment strategies in the context of increasing uncertainty in global trade and finance, emphasizing the importance of identifying high-quality assets that can withstand market fluctuations [2]. Group 1: Identifying Good Companies - Investment fundamentally involves a series of trade-offs, focusing on business models, competitive advantages (moats), and margin of safety [4]. - A strong moat is crucial, with supply constraints being a significant factor that overlaps with the concept of a moat [5]. - A good business model creates substantial value for customers while allowing the company to capture some of that value, requiring pricing power [4][5]. - Examples of good business models include high-end liquor, which has strong customer willingness to pay and retains value over time [5][6]. Group 2: Quality Company Standards - High-quality companies are the most competitive in their industry, not necessarily the largest, and should consistently generate high return on equity (ROE) [7]. - Companies with potential for significant future ROE increases can also be considered high-quality [7]. Group 3: Industry Competition and Supply Dynamics - The focus of research should be on supply dynamics rather than demand, as supply is more critical for reliable analysis [8]. - Understanding the causes of competitive advantages (moats) is essential, including cost leadership and economies of scale [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Philosophy and Market Conditions - The company emphasizes the importance of maintaining a diversified portfolio and focusing on high-quality assets to withstand market downturns [11][12]. - The approach to investment should be proactive, focusing on the inherent value of assets rather than market trends [14]. Group 5: Future Opportunities and Risks - The company identifies consumer and pharmaceutical sectors as key areas of focus for potential investment opportunities over the next 3-5 years, driven by rising disposable incomes and recent innovations [18][19]. - Structural risks are associated with chasing hot trends without solid backing, highlighting the need for a focus on genuine value creation [19].

2025年全球贸易与金融格局剧烈变动使得A股加剧震荡，板块轮动也越来越快。在这个不确定性变高的时 代，普通人用什么方法去识别能够穿越牛熊的优质资产？近期， 【华尔街见闻】对话中泰证券资管首席 投资官徐志敏，探讨穿越牛熊追寻Alpha的投资方法。 徐志敏管理超过百亿资金，信奉价值投资，严控资产质量，已连续十年跑赢沪深300。小编从这次对话中 精选出了12个问答，和各位投资路上的好朋友分享，后续还要更多精彩。 如何识别好公司？ 华尔街见闻 成功投资案例有什么共性吗？用什么分析框架，去准确识别值得投的好公司？ 徐志敏 在我看来，投资本质上是一系列取舍的组合，我们需要在可理解与可承受的交集里做选择。在投 资过程中，我们考虑最多的还是生意模式、护城河和安全边际。 首先是护城河。在我们的投资实践中，有一条非常重要的原则： 供给约束 。供给约束与护城河本身有重 叠之处，但供给约束的范围更宽泛。 经过这些年的积累，我们做投资更多地回归本源，把精力更多地放在好的生意模式和有强护城河的公司 上。 何为 好的生意模式 ？其实就是为客户创造巨大价值，同时企业从中获取一部分价值。好的生意模式需要 具备一定的议价能力，它与护城河共同构成 ...

来源丨 陆玖商业评论 （ liujiucaijing69 ） 作者丨 闫玥 图源丨Midjourney 李佳琦要"讨好所有女生"，除了个人魅力，更应体现在性价比上。 今年618预售第四天，李佳琦在直播间带货了石头科技的一款扫地机器人，初始价格在2900元左右的 商品，在他的直播间叠加优惠券后到手最高不超过1500元。如此的"诚意"，自然引得了大批用户下 单。 以下文章来源于陆玖商业评论 ，作者闫玥 陆玖商业评论 . 真相无法揭露，只能接近。 不过，很快用户发现，自己的订单迟迟没有发货，有的干脆直接被关闭了订单。对此，石头科技淘宝 店铺客服表示，这单是价格bug无法发货，让用户谅解，又给了500元的"价格标错红包"。 "李佳琦在直播间让买了这单的都填了个表格，说后续会处理，但现在十几天了依旧没有处理。"一位 以1199元拍下这单扫地机器人的用户描述道。 然而，这个618，李佳琦让粉丝失望的事还不只这一件。一些已经在李佳琦直播间成为"钻粉"的用户 表示，自己在直播间买东西+蹲守了许久才升到"钻粉"，但618直播间的红包雨几乎抢不到，抢到的 也大多是空包。"我用了另一个新粉账号就抢到了好几块钱，很难不觉得是'杀熟' ...

Summary of the Conference Call for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the uranium mining industry, focusing on the pricing mechanisms and market dynamics affecting CGN's operations and profitability. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Adjustment of Uranium Pricing Mechanism** CGN has adjusted its natural uranium pricing mechanism by reducing the fixed price proportion by 10% and increasing the SMP (Spot Market Price) proportion. This adjustment aims to respond to commodity market volatility and safeguard the company's profit margins [2][3][4]. 2. **Base Price and Market Conditions** The company has set a high base price (BTM) of $94.22 per pound, significantly above the current market price of approximately $80. This strategy is intended to mitigate risks and prevent potential losses at the operational level due to market fluctuations [2][4]. 3. **Market Volatility and Price Predictions** The uranium market has experienced significant volatility, with prices previously peaking over $100, dropping to around $65, and currently recovering to about $70. CGN anticipates that the spot prices will align more closely with long-term contract prices in the latter half of the year [3][8][9]. 4. **Inflation Considerations in Contract Pricing** To address potential inflationary pressures, CGN has introduced an inflation coefficient of 1.41 in its contract pricing, referencing GDP and ICP data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. This mechanism is designed to ensure flexibility in responding to economic changes while maintaining stable interests for both parties involved [2][6]. 5. **Comparison of Price Forecasts from UXC and Trent** CGN prefers the UXC forecasts for future uranium prices due to their detailed analysis and methodology, despite notable differences in predictions between UXC and Trent. UXC's approach is deemed more reliable for long-term planning [5][6]. 6. **Production Guidance and Market Dynamics** The company provided guidance on future production volumes, indicating stable output from Alta Reek and slight declines from Zheshang Securities. The production plans are based on geological assessments of the respective mines [3][7]. 7. **Cost Stability in Kazakhstan** The overall cost structure in Kazakhstan remains stable, with improvements in sulfuric acid issues compared to the previous year. However, labor costs may rise due to inflation, and the MVT tax has increased from 6% to 9% of sales revenue [3][12]. 8. **International Trade Market Observations** The international trade market for uranium is currently in a tight balance, with supply and demand closely matched, contrasting with previous years when supply exceeded demand [10]. 9. **No Significant Changes in International Sales** CGN's international sales operations have remained stable without significant fluctuations in business scale compared to previous years [11]. 10. **Ongoing Legal and Tax Issues** The company is still addressing previous fines and tax disputes, with no significant progress reported. The complexity of these issues is compounded by changes in leadership and tax policies [13]. Additional Important Information - The adjustments in pricing mechanisms and the introduction of inflation coefficients reflect CGN's proactive approach to managing risks associated with market volatility and economic changes. - The company's reliance on detailed market analysis and forecasts from reputable sources underscores its commitment to informed decision-making in a fluctuating industry.

新华财经上海6月4日电（葛佳明）近期，大类资产市场走势出现了一系列与传统定价机制相悖的状况。 黄金与美债传统收益率的负相关关系失效，美债收益率持续走强，美元则走弱，而美股却在美债收益率 不断上升的状况下持续上行。 美国"股债汇"定价模式转变背后，可以窥见美国的短期通胀问题与长期债务风险，投资者对于美国信用 的担忧，进而令美元承压，而对美股来说，投资者可能更关注市场中的流动性状况，定价的"锚点"正脱 离传统利率水平。 美元、美债走势大幅背离 从历史上看，美债收益率与美元走势通常呈现出同向波动的情况。当美国经济运行良好时，企业盈利攀 升，推动股市等风险资产吸引力上升，使得美债需求下降，美债收益率攀升。在上述情况下，美元也会 同步受益于美国经济的强劲状况，国际资本进一步涌入，增加美元的需求。 但自今年4月以来，因美国关税政策反复，美国10年期国债收益率已从4.16%升至4.42%，而美元指数则 下跌超5%。美元汇率与美债收益率之间的关联性降至近三年最低水平。 一方面，2025财年（2024年10月到2025年4月）以来，美国财政赤字规模整体超预期，而关税以及美国 总统特朗普的减税法案则会对未来的赤字路径产生影响，预 ...

本文首发于公众号"蒙玺投资"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 近年来，随着我国资本市场的不断成熟，市场有效性持续提升，传统的中证500指增赛道逐渐拥挤，超额回落。管理人逐渐将视野投向小市值指 增策略，希望拓展新的超额蓝海。 特别是经历了2024年9月行情后，A股市场结构性机会持续突出，量化策略表现大幅改善，投资者对小市值指增的关注高涨：有人关注小市值指 增的巨大潜力，选择梭哈进场；有人忧心2024年初的风险再现，驻足观望…… 为了让大家更客观、深入地了解小市值指增，本文将详细介绍小市值指增的前世今生。（ 点此查看收益 ） [应监管要求，私募产品不能公开展示业绩，文中涉及收益数据用***替代，合格投资者可扫码查看收益数据。] | 菲 名 | 公司简称 | 公司规模 | 核心策略 | 9·23以来 收益均值 | 令年以来 收益均值 | 实控人 办公城市 | 员工人数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 北京正定私募 100亿以上 | | 股票 | | | 蒋林浩 北京 | ୧୧ | | 2 | 蒙玺投资 | 50-100亿 | 股票 ...

Agent 能力边界正在快速演进，未来随着更强的规划和推理能力的不断提升，Agent 们将参与到社会 经济运作中。在这一趋势下，将可能诞生类似 Visa 或 Stripe 级别的商业基础设施的机会。 现在是下一代 Agent 商业模式还未成型的前夜。Sequoia 投资的 Paid AI，正是这一方向的代表企业， 它以 Agent 的实际产出为基础计价，重构 Agent 的收益模型与交易结算网络，为 Agent 经济体打下底 层商业引擎。Paid CEO Manny Media 是一位连续创业者，他曾创办销售自动化平台 Outreach ，该公 司是 B2B 销售科技领域的独角兽企业之一，估值达 44 亿美元。 本文编译了 Sequoia 对 Manny 的访谈。Manny 在分享中解释了为什么传统的 SaaS 定价模型不适用于 AI 企业，并剖析了正在兴起的几种新型定价方式，比如基于结果的定价和基于 Agent 的定价。同 时，他认为 "专注于解决特定问题的 AI Agent 正在创造巨大价值" ，并分享了在 AI Agent 时代，如 何打造一个成功的商业模式。 编译：Irene 编辑：Cage 海外独角 ...

Group 1 - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange is seeking public opinion on the futures and options contracts for propylene, indicating the addition of a new member to the chemical futures family [1] - Propylene is the largest olefin product in China and serves as a crucial basic chemical, linking various upstream raw materials and widely used in downstream industries such as home appliances, automotive, textiles, medical devices, and cosmetics [3] - The propylene industry faces structural overcapacity and is undergoing a transformation towards high-end and green development, leading to a strong demand for risk management tools [3] Group 2 - The introduction of propylene futures and options is expected to provide pricing and risk management tools for upstream and downstream enterprises, facilitating better hedging in the industry chain [3] - The active trade, convenient storage, and broad demand for propylene will enhance market liquidity and meet the needs of different market participants [3] - Futures companies can offer customized services such as hedging strategies and risk management training to support the propylene industry’s high-quality development [4] Group 3 - Propylene futures can help companies mitigate risks associated with adverse price fluctuations and allow them to lock in processing profits during favorable market conditions [4] - The listing of propylene futures will help shift the reliance on foreign pricing information, increasing the basis for RMB pricing and enhancing companies' bargaining power in international trade [4]

本期导读： 剖析中国S基金市场定价折扣难以对比的问题。 1.全球S基金市场是一个马太效应极强的市场。 这里分为两个方面：中介牵头的交易占据整个市场 60-70%的交易；其次，买方也非常集中。这个也很好计算，例如整年有1400亿美元的交易，最大 的S基金规模为300亿，倘若3年每年投资100亿，也是一笔不小的市占率。前20大买方，基本上贡 献了市场90%的交易金额。信息集中度高，都有利于市场价格的统计。 2.大部分交易的是并购基金资产，GP有更充分的信息资源为S交易做"市值管理"。 除了并购资产 财务算账估值更加直接，GP也有更多的信息浓度，基于企业未来发展状况产出现下估值。除此之 外，S交易市场程度接受度高，GP也更有动力人为调整估值水平，为GP引导的接续交易做准备， 让折扣率在一个买卖双方更容易审批的范围。 作者丨 廖一帆 CFA 赋航资本创始合伙人。7年的S卖方顾问经验，曾就职于加拿大养老基金（CPPIB）和瑞士银行 （UBS）。 本期推荐阅读6分钟 作为深根私募股权二级市场（"S市场"）7年之久的财务顾问中介，我们收到意向交易方最多的问 题，就是中国的S基金对外投资平均打几折。先看海外，可以参考的研报最 ...

市场定位的影响 雷军对于yu7定价问题的回应表明，产品的价格制定不仅与成本和利润紧密相关，更与市场定位和消费 者的期望息息相关。他的回答不仅揭示了公司的定价方针，同时也显示了他在制定价格时考虑了消费者 和市场的多重因素。 定价背后成本考量 产品定价的依据在于成本。小米在yu7的研发和生产阶段投入了大量资源，涵盖了尖端技术的研发、高 品质原材料的选购以及生产流程的精细化管理等方面。这些投入的成本在定价时必然需要得到体现。唯 有设定合理的价格，产品方有可能实现盈利，从而确保公司能够持续资金投入于后续研发工作，进而为 消费者提供更加优质的新产品。 雷军在回应时，可能会阐述定价的依据，并表达他的立场。他可能会着重指出小米制造高性价比产品的 初衷，并且解释由于市场环境变化等多重因素，定价不得不在多个维度寻求平衡。雷军一向以真诚的态 度对待消费者，他的回答将使消费者理解，定价并非随意决定，而是经过多方面因素深思熟虑后的慎重 选择。 消费者的反应预期 消费者对小米的定价态度各异。有的消费者明白成本和市场定位对价格的影响，认同雷军的解释，并愿 意为产品的价值支付；然而，还有一部分消费者可能觉得价格过高，对定价持有疑虑。这种现 ...