Core Viewpoint - The management of Industrial Bank emphasizes the importance of market value management and internal strength enhancement to achieve valuation recovery, while also preparing for long-term capital market opportunities [1][2] Financial Performance - Industrial Bank plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10.60 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 22.021 billion yuan, with the dividend payout ratio exceeding 30% for the first time [1] - The bank's net interest margin for 2024 is reported at 1.82%, a decrease of 11 basis points year-on-year, while the industry average is 1.52%, down 17 basis points [7] Strategic Adjustments - The bank is transitioning from a high-capital business model to a low-capital driven approach, focusing on customer and liability management rather than high-risk assets [3][4] - The management has identified four key relationships to optimize: potential vs. expansion, liabilities vs. assets, off-balance sheet vs. on-balance sheet, and risk control vs. short-term profit [4][5] Risk Management - The bank's risk management strategy emphasizes maintaining asset quality while navigating a complex risk environment, with expectations of a decrease in new non-performing assets compared to the previous year [7][8] Retail Development - Industrial Bank is enhancing its retail banking capabilities through a systematic approach, establishing five sub-systems to improve customer service and operational efficiency [9] - The bank aims to strengthen its position in technology finance, positioning it as a key growth area alongside its existing business lines [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for CITIC Bank (601998.SH) with a current price of 7.25 CNY [1] Core Views - CITIC Bank's 2024 annual report shows a steady revenue growth of 3.8% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 686 billion CNY, reflecting a 2.3% increase [4][5] - The bank's net interest income grew by 2.2%, while non-interest income increased by 7.4%, indicating a mixed performance in revenue sources [5][10] - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.16%, down 1 basis point from the previous quarter, and a provision coverage ratio above 200% [11][25] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, CITIC Bank achieved operating income of 2136 billion CNY, with a weighted average return on equity of 9.79%, down 1.01 percentage points year-on-year [4][12] - The bank's total assets reached 9,532.72 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.3% [27] Loan and Deposit Growth - By the end of 2024, the bank's interest-earning assets grew by 4.6% year-on-year, with a significant increase in loans and deposits [6][8] - The bank's loan balance increased by 4% year-on-year, with corporate loans growing by 7.8% and retail loans by 3.4% [6][7] Interest Margin and Non-Interest Income - The net interest margin for 2024 was reported at 1.77%, showing resilience compared to peers [9] - Non-interest income accounted for 31.3% of total revenue, with a notable increase in investment income [10][12] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The bank's non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.16%, and the provision coverage ratio was 209.4% [11][25] - Capital adequacy ratios showed mixed results, with the core tier one capital ratio at 9.72% [11][25] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the EPS forecast for 2025-2026 to 1.25 CNY and 1.29 CNY, respectively, with a projected dividend payout ratio of over 30% for 2024 [12][27]

证券研究报告 邮储银行 (1658 HK/601658 CH) 负债成本优化，拟降代理费率 | 华泰研究 | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 | 28 日│中国内地/中国香港 | 国有大型银行 | 2024 年归母净利润、营业收入、PPOP 分别同比+0.24%、+1.83%、+3.71%， 增速较前三季度+0.03pct、+1.74pct、+5.59pct。24 年净利润增速低于我们 的预期 1.75%，主因加大拨备计提力度，信用成本同比上行。24 年拟每股 派息 0.26 元，A/H 股息率 4.91%/5.53%（2025/3/27），分红比例 30%（23 年：30%）。公司五大差异化增长极成效显著，维持 A/H 股增持/买入评级。 规模持续增长，负债成本优化 24 年末总资产、贷款、存款增速分别为+8.6%、+9.4%、+9.5%，较 9 月末 -0.7pct 、 -0.1pct 、 -1.7pct 。 24Q4 零 售 / 对 公 / 票据增量占比分别为 35%/45%/20%。2024 年净息差为 1.87%，较前三季度-2bp。2024 年生 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has returned to positive profit growth, with a focus on risk reduction and increased dividends, showcasing a stable high dividend yield [1][6] - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 212.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 77.2 billion yuan, up 0.1% year-on-year [4][6] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased by 1 basis point to 1.07% in Q4 2024, while the provision coverage ratio increased by 4.2 percentage points to 238% [4][6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 210.8 billion yuan in 2023 to 215.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.64% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 77.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 78.5 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 1.67% [5] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to decline slightly from 9.89% in 2024 to 9.37% in 2025 [5] Revenue and Profitability Analysis - Net interest income continues to grow steadily, contributing positively to revenue, with a 1.1% year-on-year increase in 2024 [6][8] - The company’s non-interest income decreased by 0.3% in 2024, primarily due to a 13% decline in fee income [6][8] - The cost-to-income ratio is expected to improve, with a projected decrease from 29.97% in 2023 to 29.50% in 2024 [13] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The company’s asset quality is showing steady improvement, with a projected NPL generation rate of 0.93% for 2024, down from 1.08% in 2023 [9][11] - The company has maintained a strong provision coverage ratio, indicating a robust buffer against potential loan losses [9][11] - The company’s focus on key sectors such as technology, green finance, and inclusive finance is expected to drive loan growth in 2025 [6][10] Dividend Policy - The dividend payout ratio has increased to over 30%, marking 15 consecutive years of dividend growth, with an expected dividend yield of 4.93% in 2025 [6][9]

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Bank reported a positive performance for 2024, with revenue and net profit showing growth despite previous challenges [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, CITIC Bank achieved operating revenue of 213.646 billion yuan, an increase of 3.76% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 68.576 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.33% [1] Asset Quality Outlook - The asset quality management of CITIC Bank is strong, with stable non-performing loan and provision indicators [2] - The bank's retail asset quality is considered to be at a relatively good level compared to peers, despite an industry-wide trend of rising retail risks [2] - Measures taken since 2019 include tightening credit card approvals and focusing on mortgage and secured loans [2] Net Interest Margin Trends - As of the end of 2024, CITIC Bank's net interest margin stood at 1.77%, remaining stable year-on-year and outperforming the market for three consecutive years [3] - The bank anticipates significant downward pressure on net interest margins in 2025 due to a declining interest rate environment and adjustments in loan pricing [3] Dividend Policy - CITIC Bank aims to maintain a cash dividend payout ratio of over 30% from 2024 to 2026 [4][5] - The total cash dividend is projected to increase from 11.7 billion yuan in 2019 to 19.46 billion yuan in 2024, with the payout ratio rising from 25% to 30.5% of net profit [5]

第一是2024年整体资产质量总体不错，这是2025年的基础，其中有三个特点，一是关键指标均正向变 动，目前同业不良率和拨备覆盖率均正向变动的比较少；二是指标变动跑赢大市；三是整体指标趋势向 好，不良率连续6年下降，达到2014年以来最好水平，拨备覆盖率连续4年上升，新发生不良连续4年下 降。 第二是中信银行稳健的经营理念和风险文化。"近几年来在风险领域，中信银行一直秉承着安全和稳 定、稳健、审慎、可持续发展的经营理念。我们不以风险下沉来换取短期的收益，也不以损害风险抵御 能力来放弃利润。全行上下已经形成了敬畏风险、审慎经营的风险文化。我们认为经营理念和风险文化 是一个银行的灵魂和价值观，它决定着银行的经营风格和风险偏好，也决定着一个银行资产质量的长期 趋势。"胡罡说。 信心来源三是中信银行的资产结构还在持续的优化过程中。对公贷款占比为58.7%，零售贷款占比为 41.3%；二是对公贷款结构向长三角、珠三角、京津冀、成渝等区域集中；另外，零售贷款结构改善， 去年住房贷款按揭增量排整个市场第一位。个贷信用贷款，高收入也就是年收入15万元以上客群占比， 占比达到56%，比年初提升14个百分点，信用卡优质客群占比48 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on China Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [8] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in profit growth for China Bank in 2024, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.6% and a revenue growth of 1.2%. The improvement in asset quality and strong performance in overseas operations are also noted [1][2][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - In 2024, China Bank's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.6% year-on-year, while revenue grew by 1.2%. The non-performing loan ratio at the end of 2024 was 1.25%, a decrease of 1 basis point from the end of Q3 2024, and the provision coverage ratio rose to 201%, an increase of 2 percentage points [1][2][4] Profit Growth Recovery - The bank's revenue growth of 1.2% in 2024 showed a slight slowdown compared to previous quarters, primarily due to a decline in net interest margin. However, net profit growth of 2.6% was supported by cost control and increased tax contributions. The net interest margin for Q4 2024 was 1.35%, up 2 basis points from the previous quarter [2][3] Asset Quality Improvement - The non-performing loan ratio improved slightly, with a decrease of 1 basis point in Q4 2024. The provision coverage ratio increased by 2 percentage points, indicating better asset quality overall. However, retail non-performing loans showed upward pressure, particularly in mortgages and business loans [4] Strong Overseas Business - China Bank's overseas operations showed robust performance, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2% in the scale of overseas institutions, outpacing domestic growth. The non-performing loan generation rate for overseas institutions decreased by 22 basis points to 0.65%, and the pre-tax ROA for overseas operations was 0.99%, higher than domestic operations [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit growth for China Bank from 2025 to 2027 is -0.46%, 0.79%, and 4.74%, respectively. The target price is set at 6.03 CNY per share, corresponding to a PB ratio of 0.69 for 2025. The current price is 5.48 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 10% [6][12]

Core Viewpoint - China Bank's overdue loan growth has shown signs of moderation since the second half of 2024, with overall non-performing loan (NPL) generation remaining stable, although certain sectors are under pressure [2][3]. Group 1: Non-Performing Loans and Asset Quality - As of the end of 2024, China Bank's NPL ratio stands at 1.25%, a decrease of 0.02 percentage points from the previous year, while the provision coverage ratio has increased by 8.94 percentage points to 200.60% [2]. - The real estate sector continues to be the largest contributor to new domestic NPLs, but the risk is gradually being cleared, showing a year-on-year decline [2]. - Personal business loans and mortgage loans have seen a year-on-year increase in new NPLs, indicating ongoing asset quality pressure [2][3]. Group 2: Risk Management and Future Outlook - Looking ahead to 2025, the primary risk management pressures for China Bank are expected to stem from the ongoing adjustment in the real estate market and structural employment issues [2][3]. - The bank plans to enhance credit risk management across all dimensions and cycles, focusing on proactive risk management and intelligent transformation [4]. - China Bank aims to adhere to the "four early" principles to strengthen risk foresight and management, while also addressing the challenges posed by the diversification and small-scale nature of non-performing assets [4].

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed analysis of China Merchants Bank's 2024 annual report, highlighting the bank's performance in revenue, expenses, asset quality, and capital adequacy, while also noting challenges in net interest margin and fee income [3][21][23]. Revenue Analysis - The total operating income for 2024 was 337.49 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.48% [8]. - Net interest income was 211.28 billion, down 1.58% year-on-year, while fee income fell by 14.28% [8]. - Other non-interest income increased by 34.13% to 54.12 billion, indicating a strong performance in this segment [8]. Expense Analysis - Total expenses and other expenditures decreased by 2.76%, which was better than the analyst's expectation of a decline between 3.16% and 4.81% [4]. - Credit impairment losses for the year were 39.98 billion, slightly below the expected range of 40.3 billion to 42.3 billion [4]. Shareholder Analysis - The top ten shareholders saw a reduction in holdings by the Shanghai Stock Connect, which decreased by 54 million shares, maintaining a 5.04% stake [6]. - The number of shareholders dropped significantly from 522,100 to 459,200, indicating a 12% decline in retail investors [6]. Asset Analysis - Total assets reached 12,152.036 billion, growing by 10.19% year-on-year, with total loans amounting to 6,632.548 billion, a growth rate of 6.07% [14]. - The bank's retail loans maintained a 6% year-on-year growth despite a general slowdown in retail credit demand [14]. Non-Performing Loan Analysis - Non-performing loans increased to 65.61 billion, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.95%, reflecting a slight increase from the previous quarter [17]. - The migration rate of normal loans rose to 1.39%, indicating ongoing pressure on asset quality [17]. Capital Adequacy Analysis - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio improved to 14.86%, up from 14.73% in the previous quarter, primarily due to regulatory changes [19]. Summary of Key Issues - The bank faces challenges with the asset quality of retail loans, which has shown signs of deterioration [21]. - The net interest margin continues to be under pressure due to declining asset yields and weak credit demand [23].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 55 CNY for the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 showed a slight decline of 0.48% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.22%, indicating a stable fundamental performance [1]. - In Q4 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 7.64%, driven by asset expansion, growth in non-interest income, and cost reduction, despite some pressure from narrowing net interest margins and increased credit impairment provisions [1][12]. - The bank's strong deposit competitiveness is highlighted by a significant increase in deposits, with a year-on-year growth of 245.5 billion CNY in Q4 2024 [3][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The bank's total revenue for 2024 was 337.49 billion CNY, with a slight decrease from the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 148.39 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 1.22% [20]. - The bank's cost-to-income ratio improved to 38.77%, down by 3.68 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost management [13][39]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.93% as of Q4 2024, with slight fluctuations in various loan categories, showing resilience in asset quality [41]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was reported at 411.98%, maintaining a strong buffer against potential credit losses [14]. Loan and Deposit Growth - The average daily balance of interest-earning assets increased by 8.76% year-on-year in Q4 2024, with significant contributions from bond investments and a recovery in credit issuance [2][23]. - Retail loans, particularly mortgage loans, saw a notable increase, with a growth of 32.5 billion CNY in Q4 2024, marking the best quarterly performance since Q3 2023 [2][17]. Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income showed signs of recovery, with a 53.6% year-on-year increase in other non-interest income in Q4 2024, driven by rising bond investment values [13]. - The bank's fee and commission income decreased by 4% year-on-year, but the decline was less severe compared to previous quarters, indicating a potential stabilization [12][36]. Market Position and Outlook - The bank's strong deposit base and competitive funding costs position it well for future asset growth, despite ongoing pressure on net interest margins [11][18]. - The outlook for 2025 anticipates a revenue growth of 0.61% and a net profit growth of 1.24%, supported by a recovering capital market and improved economic conditions [18][20].