Market Performance - On December 29, the three major indices showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising, marking a nine-day consecutive increase, while the ChiNext Index fell over 1% at one point [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 20.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - By the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.49%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 0.66% [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included aerospace, robotics, carbon fiber, digital currency, and cloud computing data centers, with notable increases in their respective indices [2] - The aerospace sector showed a significant rise, with the index increasing from 29 to 30 over the week [2] - Robotics also demonstrated strong performance, with its index rising from 22 to 24 during the same period [2]

Group 1 - Nanchip Technology plans to sign a technical development authorization agreement with a related party to develop adaptive IP and obtain permanent licensing [4][5] - Guoxin Technology has laid out plans for smart driving MCU chips and is developing a high-performance AI chip with a pre-computing power of over 10,000 DMIPS, which is three times that of its previous model [5][6] - Jingye Intelligent plans to establish a holding subsidiary focused on advanced nuclear energy systems, with a registered capital of 50 million yuan, aiming to leverage its existing technology and management advantages in the nuclear industry [6] Group 2 - Shanghai's municipal government is promoting the use of digital technology in service consumption, including support for AR, VR, and AI applications, to create immersive and sustainable service consumption scenarios [2] - The People's Bank of China has introduced an action plan for digital RMB, which will officially launch on January 1, 2026, with significant transaction volumes already processed [1] - Lingxin Qiaoshou has completed an A++ round of financing, planning to deliver 50,000 to 100,000 dexterous hands by 2026 [7]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed results on December 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving a nine-day consecutive rise, marking the longest streak since 2025, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively [1] - Market sentiment remained high with a trading volume of 2.16 trillion yuan, surpassing 2 trillion yuan for two consecutive days [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector continued to perform strongly, with stocks like China Satellite, Aerospace Electronics, and Aerospace Development consistently ranking among the top ten in trading volume [1] - The General Aviation ETF (159231) rose by 1.72%, reaching a historical high, while the Military Industry ETF (512810) increased by 1.69%, setting a new three-year high [1] - The digital currency concept saw fluctuations, with financial technology and banking sectors rebounding quickly. The Financial Technology ETF (159851) surged by 1.08%, marking its fourth consecutive rise, while the Bank ETF (512800) gained 0.98% [1] ETF Highlights - The Military Industry ETF (512810) recorded a net inflow of over 8.1 billion yuan, leading the industry [7] - The Financial Technology ETF (159851) showed a strong upward trend, with significant gains in stocks like Lakala, which surged over 12% [12] - The Science and Technology Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) rose by 0.69%, driven by strong demand for AI-related chips, with a notable increase in trading volume [16] Key Stocks - China Satellite saw a four-day consecutive rise, with its market capitalization surpassing 100 billion yuan [9] - Lakala led the financial technology sector with a significant increase, while other stocks in the sector also performed well [12] - Chip manufacturer Chipone Technology reported a record high in new orders, contributing to the strength of the AI chip sector [16][18] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Hong Kong stock market may benefit from the recovery expectations in mainland China and potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, indicating a positive outlook for 2026 [4] - The digital yuan is set to launch a new framework and management system on January 1, 2026, which is expected to create new opportunities for the financial technology sector [14]

Core Viewpoint - The digital renminbi concept stocks surged on December 29, with the fintech sector rising 1% despite market conditions, driven by the announcement of a new digital renminbi framework set to launch in 2026 [1][3][7]. Market Performance - The fintech sector saw significant gains, with Lakala leading the charge with over a 12% increase, followed by Cuvi Co. hitting the daily limit, and several other stocks rising over 3% [1][4]. - The fintech ETF (159851) experienced a 1.08% increase, with trading volume nearing 500 million yuan, indicating strong market interest [1][4]. Digital Renminbi Developments - A new digital renminbi measurement framework and management system will officially start on January 1, 2026, as part of efforts to expand the cross-border use of the renminbi [3][7]. - The West Land-Sea New Channel is expected to enhance the international logistics network and facilitate the broader use of the renminbi, presenting new opportunities for the digital currency [3][7]. Future Outlook - The fintech sector is poised for growth due to multiple positive factors, including record trading volumes in A-shares and the increasing integration of AI in financial services, which is expected to enhance product value and industry barriers [3][7]. - The current valuation of the CSI Fintech Theme Index is at a near six-month low, suggesting potential for upward movement as market activity remains high and new trends like AI finance and digital renminbi gain traction [3][7]. Investment Recommendations - Investors are encouraged to focus on the fintech ETF (159851) and its associated funds, which cover a wide range of sectors including internet brokerage, financial IT, cross-border payments, and AI applications [4][8]. - The fintech ETF has demonstrated strong liquidity, averaging 800 million yuan in daily trading over the past six months, making it a leading choice among similar ETFs [4][8].

宏观要闻 央行已出台数字人民币行动方案 据央视新闻从中国人民银行了解到，中国人民银行已经出台《关于进一步加强数字人民币管理服务体系和相关金融基础设施建设的行动方案》，新一代数字 人民币计量框架、管理体系、运行机制和生态体系将于2026年1月1日正式启动实施。 2026年关税调整方案出炉 据智通财经今日从飞常准获悉，其接航司通知，2026年1月5日零时起，下调国内航线旅客运输燃油附加费征收标准。其中800公里(含)以下航段向每位成人 旅客收取燃油费10元，800公里以上航段向每位成人旅客收取燃油费20元；分别下调10元和20元。 机构观点 余永定：明年中国经济增长的关键在于财政政策的扩张力度 在2025三亚·财经国际论坛暨第五届三亚财富管理大会上，中国社会科学院学部委员余永定在演讲中表示，中国明年经济增速是否可以维持在5%，关键在于 财政政策的扩张力度。历史经验告诉我们，提高基础设施投资增速是解决有效需求不足的有效政策工具，在长期促进经济稳定增长，在短期弥补有效需求不 足。他指出，关于中国投资效率低下的说法是片面的，衡量生产效率的指标包括劳动生产率、资本生产率或者资本产出率或者全要素生产率，中国的劳动生 产率是 ...

Macro Dynamics - In the first eleven months, state-owned enterprises reported total operating revenue of 7,562.576 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.0% [2] - Total profit for state-owned enterprises during the same period was 371.945 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% [2] - Taxes and fees payable by state-owned enterprises amounted to 528.03 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [2] Regulatory Changes - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced that tobacco companies cannot deduct advertising and business promotion expenses from taxable income [3] - For cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and beverage manufacturers, advertising and business promotion expenses can be deducted up to 30% of annual sales revenue, with excess amounts allowed to be carried forward to future tax years [3] Financial Institutions - Zhejiang Mintai Commercial Bank increased its registered capital from approximately 5.3 billion yuan to about 5.7 billion yuan, marking an increase of approximately 8% [7] - The former Party Secretary and President of the Yunnan branch of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Xu Hai, was expelled from the Party due to serious violations of discipline and law [8] Market Data - On December 29, the A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04% and the ChiNext Index falling by 0.66% [10] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 2,139.338 billion yuan, a decrease of about 20.854 billion yuan from the previous trading day [10] Company Dynamics - *ST Panda was investigated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected violations of information disclosure [12] - China Satellite's stock price has increased by 106.19% since December 3, 2025, significantly outpacing the industry and market indices, indicating potential overvaluation risks [13] - 吉祥航空 announced plans to purchase 25 Airbus A320 series aircraft for a total of 4.1 billion USD, with deliveries scheduled between 2028 and 2032 [14]

Core Insights - The application scenarios for digital RMB are continuously expanding, moving from personal consumption to broader fields such as industrial finance, cross-border trade, and public services [1] Group 1: Digital RMB Development - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests a steady development of digital RMB [1] - A total of 64 A-share companies are involved in digital RMB-related businesses, with the computer industry having the highest representation at 43 companies [1] - The communication industry has 6 companies, while the non-bank financial and electronics industries each have 3 companies [1] Group 2: Institutional Investment - Some digital RMB concept stocks are favored by institutional investors, with 8 stocks being heavily held by social security funds or pension funds as of the end of Q3 [1] - The total market value of these holdings amounts to 2.939 billion yuan [1] - Notable new heavy holdings include companies like Unisplendour, Newland, StarNet, and Zhongke Jin Cai, while Newland and Guotou Intelligent have seen an increase in shareholding compared to the previous period [1]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China has introduced an action plan to enhance the management and service system for digital RMB, with a new framework set to be implemented on January 1, 2026 [1] Group 1: Digital RMB Development - As of the end of November 2025, digital RMB has processed a total of 3.48 billion transactions, amounting to 16.7 trillion yuan [1] - The digital RMB app has facilitated the opening of 230 million personal wallets, with 18.84 million unit wallets established [1] Group 2: Cross-Border Transactions - The mBridge initiative has processed 4,047 cross-border payment transactions, with a total transaction value equivalent to 387.2 billion yuan, where digital RMB accounts for approximately 95.3% of the transaction volume across various currencies [1]

Metal Market - Domestic base metals collectively retreated, with tin and nickel down by 0.99% and 0.86% respectively. Copper rose by 0.76%, aluminum by 0.83%, lead by 0.78%, and zinc by 0.54% [1] - Lithium carbonate futures fell sharply, hitting a limit down with a decline of 7.89% to 118,820 yuan/ton. Industrial silicon and polysilicon also saw declines of 0.68% and 4.84% respectively [1] - In the black metal sector, stainless steel dropped by 0.35%, while iron ore led gains with a rise of 2.58%. Rebar and hot-rolled coil had gains of less than 1% [1] - On the external market, copper rose by 3.17% and zinc by 0.81%, while tin and nickel saw minor declines [1] - Precious metals experienced declines, with COMEX gold down by 1.16% and silver by 2.28%. Domestic gold fell by 0.91%, while silver's gain narrowed to 0.51% [1] Platinum and Palladium - Both platinum and palladium futures hit the limit down, with platinum down by 10% to 634.35 yuan/gram and palladium down by 10% to 494.1 yuan/gram [2] Macro Environment - The Ministry of Commerce announced that certain anti-dumping measures will expire in the second half of 2026, allowing domestic industries to apply for reviews if they believe termination could lead to dumping or damage [5] - The People's Bank of China has introduced an action plan for digital currency, set to officially launch on January 1, 2026, with significant transaction volumes already processed [6] - The central bank conducted a net injection of 4.15 billion yuan through reverse repos, maintaining the operation rate at 1.40% [6] Oil Market - Both domestic and international oil prices rose, with U.S. oil up by 1.02% and Brent oil by 0.98%, amid concerns over Middle East tensions affecting supply [9]

29日午后，金融科技板块再次冲高，数字人民币概念活跃，拉卡拉领涨超12%，翠微股份直线涨停，四方精创涨超7%，新国都、楚天龙、长 亮科技、天阳科技、飞天诚信等多股涨超4%。热门ETF方面，同类流动性最佳的金融科技ETF（159851）场内拉升逾1%，冲击日线四连阳， 实时成交额超3亿元。 数据来源：沪深交易所等。 风险提示：金融科技ETF被动跟踪中证金融科技主题指数，该指数基日为2014.6.30，发布日期为2017.6.22，该指数2020-2024年年度涨跌幅分别 为：10.46%、7.16%、-21.40%、10.03%、31.54%，指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文 中指数成份股仅作展示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的该基 金风险等级为R3-中风险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以上投资者。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、 任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式 的投资建议，亦 ...