9月15日，国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在国新办新闻发布会上表示，今年以来，扣除房地产开发投 资，我国民间项目投资基本稳定。从未来发展看，我国经济发展空间广阔，民间投资增长有支撑。（新 华财经） ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in private investment in China is primarily influenced by changes in the international environment and adjustments in the real estate market, although private project investment remains stable when excluding real estate development [1][2]. Group 1: Private Investment Trends - Private fixed asset investment has decreased by 2.3% year-on-year from January to August, with a continuous decline over the past three months [1]. - Real estate development investment, which constitutes a significant portion of private investment, has dropped by 16.7%, pulling down the overall private investment growth rate by 4.5 percentage points [1]. Group 2: Sector Performance - Excluding real estate, private investment in manufacturing and innovation sectors has shown positive growth, with manufacturing investment increasing by 4.2% year-on-year, accounting for 40.6% of total private investment [2]. - The automotive manufacturing sector has experienced a notable investment growth rate of 22.6% [2]. - In the innovation sector, private investment in information services has surged by 26.7%, while professional technical services have seen a growth of 17.6% [2]. Group 3: Infrastructure Investment - Private investment in infrastructure has increased by 7.5% year-on-year, outpacing the overall infrastructure investment growth rate of 5.5% [2]. - The energy, gas, and water production and supply sectors have witnessed a significant increase in private investment, growing by 23.5% [2]. Group 4: Future Investment Opportunities - There remains potential for growth in private investment in green industries such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, and lithium batteries, as well as in future industries like artificial intelligence and embodied robotics [2]. - The implementation of policies aimed at supporting the development of the private economy and promoting private investment is expected to further expand investment opportunities [2].

Economic Overview - In August, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year and 0.37% month-on-month [1] - The service production index rose by 5.6% year-on-year in August [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 3.4% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month in August [1] - From January to August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 0.5% year-on-year, while excluding real estate development, it grew by 4.2% [1][2] - The total import and export volume in August increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with exports rising by 4.8% and imports by 1.7% [1][6] Real Estate Market - Real estate development investment decreased by 12.9% year-on-year from January to August, with the decline expanding by 0.9 percentage points compared to the previous period [2][3] - Despite fluctuations, the sales of commercial housing and residential prices have shown a narrowing decline, indicating progress in destocking [2] - The government is implementing policies to stabilize the real estate market and promote housing demand [3] Consumer Market - The retail sales of consumer goods showed a growth of 4.6% year-on-year from January to August, with service retail sales increasing by 5.1% [5] - In August, key consumer goods such as furniture and home appliances saw significant sales growth, with increases of 18.6% and 14.3% respectively [6] - The film industry also experienced a surge, with box office revenue and attendance increasing by 48.6% and 66.9% year-on-year in August [6] Export Dynamics - Exports to the U.S. fell by 32.9% in August, which was a significant drag on overall export performance [7] - However, exports to non-U.S. and non-ASEAN regions grew by 6.4% year-on-year, indicating successful market diversification efforts [7] Price Trends - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.9% year-on-year in August, but the decline was less severe than in previous months [8] - Factors contributing to the narrowing PPI decline include improved market competition, increased demand in emerging industries, and effective consumption-boosting policies [8]

Economic Overview - The national economy is expected to maintain a steady and progressive development trend in the third quarter, supported by continuous macro policies and stable growth in industrial and service sectors [3] - In August, the national urban survey unemployment rate was 5.3%, remaining stable compared to the same period last year, indicating stable employment conditions [1][3] - Consumer prices in August showed a year-on-year decline of 0.4%, primarily due to falling food prices, while core CPI excluding food and energy rose by 0.9%, marking an expansion in the growth rate for four consecutive months [1][4] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is moving towards stabilization, with a narrowing decline in sales and housing prices, although sales are still decreasing, indicating a need for continued efforts to promote recovery [2] Consumer Market - Consumer demand is expected to expand with seasonal factors and upcoming holidays, which may positively influence CPI [4] - Despite stable commodity consumption, there is a need to enhance consumer confidence and internal momentum, prompting the implementation of special actions to boost consumption [8] Industrial Prices - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a significant narrowing of the year-on-year decline in August, attributed to improved market competition and increased demand in emerging industries [5] - The current PPI remains in a declining range, necessitating further efforts to expand domestic demand and regulate market competition to promote reasonable recovery of industrial prices [5] Private Investment - Private investment has slowed due to changes in the international environment and adjustments in the real estate market, but investment in non-real estate projects remains stable, supported by policies aimed at enhancing the environment for private economic development [6][7] Employment and Skills Training - Employment policies are being strengthened to maintain overall stability in the job market, with a focus on addressing structural challenges in employment and enhancing vocational skills training to improve labor market matching [11]

【国家统计局称我国发展空间广，民间投资增长有支撑】国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖在9月15日召开 的国新办发布会上透露，今年以来，扣除房地产开发投资，我国民间项目投资基本稳定。从未来发展来 看，我国发展空间广阔，民间投资增长有支撑。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

Group 1 - Private investment growth has faced pressure, with a continuous decline for three months and a year-on-year decrease of 2.3% from January to August [1][3] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increased by 0.5% year-on-year during the same period, indicating a broader economic context [1][3] - The decline in private investment is significantly influenced by the real estate sector, which saw a 16.7% drop in private investment, pulling down overall private investment growth by 4.5 percentage points [3] Group 2 - Excluding real estate development, private project investment showed a year-on-year increase of 3%, outpacing overall investment growth [3] - Manufacturing sector private investment grew by 4.2%, accounting for 40.6% of total private investment, with 16 out of 31 manufacturing industries experiencing double-digit growth [3][4] - Notable growth in private investment was observed in the automotive manufacturing and transportation equipment sectors, with increases of 22.6% and 16.2% respectively [3] Group 3 - Private enterprises are key players in innovation and have increased investment in emerging industries, contributing to a positive shift in the industry [4] - High-tech industries, particularly information services and professional technical services, saw private investment growth of 26.7% and 17.6% respectively from January to August [4] - Infrastructure private investment rose by 7.5%, surpassing the overall infrastructure investment growth rate by 5.5 percentage points, with significant contributions from the electricity, gas, and water supply sectors [4] Group 4 - The ongoing high-quality development in China is expected to create more space for private investment, particularly in green industries like new energy vehicles and solar power [5] - Private enterprises demonstrate resilience and adaptability, responding effectively to market demands and external challenges [5] - Strong policy support, including the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, is enhancing the environment for private investment and encouraging stable growth [5]

Core Viewpoint - Despite the current complex domestic and international environment, there is potential for growth in private investment in China, supported by high-quality development, the resilience of private enterprises, and strong policy support [1] Group 1: High-Quality Development - The advancement of high-quality development in China provides significant space for the growth of private investment, with private enterprises playing a crucial role in driving innovation and development in green industries such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaics, and lithium batteries [1] - Private enterprises are also actively engaging in future industries like artificial intelligence and embodied robotics, further expanding the investment landscape [1] Group 2: Resilience and Vitality of Private Enterprises - Private enterprises in China demonstrate strong resilience and vitality, showing agility in responding to market demands and technological frontiers [1] - In the face of external challenges this year, private enterprises have adapted by exploring new markets and stabilizing production, showcasing their robust development resilience and innovative capabilities [1] Group 3: Policy Support - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" signals strong support for the development of the private economy [1] - Various regions and departments are actively improving mechanisms to leverage government investment to stimulate social investment, optimizing the environment for private investment [1] - Continuous strengthening of funding and resource guarantees is beneficial for encouraging private investment and promoting its stable development [1]

国家统计局新闻发言人付凌晖今日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，今年以来，受到国际环境变化、房地产 市场调整等因素影响，我国民间投资有所放缓，但扣除房地产开发投资，民间项目投资增长基本稳定。 从未来发展看，我国经济发展空间广阔，民间投资增长有支撑。 （文章来源：第一财经） ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoint - The market entered a high-level consolidation phase after a long period of continuous rise, with some funds increasing their hedging demand at high levels, leading to a certain divergence between long and short forces and significant fluctuations in stock index futures. In the long run, the strategic allocation period of the Chinese capital market has just begun. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices, which are mostly composed of technology growth stocks, are more offensive and volatile but may bring higher returns, while the SSE 50 and CSI 300 indices, which are mostly composed of dividend blue chips, are more defensive, less volatile, but may have relatively weak price elasticity [2] Summary by Directory 1. Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The closing prices of IF contracts for different delivery months decreased, with the decline ranging from -0.29% to -0.43%. The trading volume of the current month contract was 83,488, and the open interest decreased by 11,408 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The closing prices of IH contracts for different delivery months also decreased, with the decline ranging from -0.35% to -0.43%. The trading volume of the current month contract was 36,849, and the open interest decreased by 6,262 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The closing prices of IC contracts for different delivery months increased, with the increase ranging from 0.59% to 0.78%. The trading volume of the current month contract was 86,462, and the open interest decreased by 7,730 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The closing prices of IM contracts for different delivery months increased, with the increase ranging from 0.11% to 0.39%. The trading volume of the current month contract was 134,399, and the open interest decreased by 12,508 [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The spreads between different delivery months of each contract showed certain changes [1] 2. Stock Index Spot Market - **CSI 300 Index**: The index decreased by -0.57%, with a trading volume of 26.644 billion lots and a total trading value of 689.576 billion yuan [1] - **SSE 50 Index**: The index decreased by -0.49%, with a trading volume of 6.171 billion lots and a total trading value of 177.453 billion yuan [1] - **CSI 500 Index**: The index increased by 0.35%, with a trading volume of 26.657 billion lots and a total trading value of 499.36 billion yuan [1] - **CSI 1000 Index**: The index increased by 0.31%, with a trading volume of 31.584 billion lots and a total trading value of 508.828 billion yuan [1] - **CSI 300 Industry Index**: Different industries in the CSI 300 index showed different trends, with the telecommunications business industry having the largest decline of -2.97% and the information technology industry having the largest increase of 1.03% [1] 3. Futures - Spot Basis - The basis between futures and spot prices of each index showed certain changes compared with the previous values [1] 4. Other Domestic and Overseas Indices - **Domestic Indices**: The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by -0.12%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by -0.43%, the Small and Medium - Sized Board Index decreased by -0.54%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by -1.09% [1] - **Overseas Indices**: The Hang Seng Index increased by 1.16%, the Nikkei 225 increased by 0.89%, the S&P 500 decreased by -0.05%, and the DAX Index decreased by -0.02% [1] 5. Macro Information - The Ministry of Commerce initiated an anti - dumping investigation into imported analog chips from the United States. The dumping margin of the products from the US was over 300%, and they accounted for an average of 41% of the Chinese market share [2] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 600 - billion - yuan 6 - month term repurchase operation on September 15, with a net investment of 300 billion yuan this month, a continuous increase for four months [2] - Policies to promote private investment are being formulated, including setting minimum private investment participation ratios for major projects in industries such as railways, nuclear power, and oil and gas pipelines [2] - A series of industry stability and growth work plans have been or will be released, including those for the automotive, electronic information manufacturing, and power equipment industries [2] 6. Industry Information - The Shenzhen Science and Technology Sports Industry Fund was established, aiming to invest in frontier fields such as artificial intelligence, high - end sports equipment, and the metaverse [2] - The summer grain purchase in 2025 was coming to an end, with over 100 million tons of wheat purchased [2] - The State Administration for Market Regulation drafted the "Interim Measures for the Management of Food Safety Inspectors (Draft for Comment)" and solicited public opinions [2] - From January to August 2025, the national railway completed fixed - asset investment of 504.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 5.6% [2]

Core Insights - Fixed asset investment in China maintained growth in the first eight months of the year, with manufacturing investment growing rapidly [2] Investment Overview - From January to August, total fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 32,611.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [2] - Excluding real estate development investment, fixed asset investment grew by 4.2% [2] Sector Performance - Infrastructure investment increased by 2.0% year-on-year [2] - Manufacturing investment saw a growth of 5.1% [2] - Real estate development investment declined by 12.9% [2] Real Estate Market - The sales area of newly built commercial housing was 57,304 million square meters, down 4.7% year-on-year [2] - The sales amount of newly built commercial housing was 55,015 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.3% [2] Industry Breakdown - Investment in the primary industry grew by 5.5% year-on-year [2] - Investment in the secondary industry increased by 7.6% [2] - Investment in the tertiary industry declined by 3.4% [2] Private Investment - Private investment decreased by 2.3% year-on-year [2] - Excluding real estate development investment, private investment grew by 3.0% [2] High-Tech Industry - Investment in high-tech industries showed significant growth, with information services, aerospace and equipment manufacturing, and computer and office equipment manufacturing increasing by 34.1%, 28.0%, and 12.6% respectively [2] Monthly Trends - In August, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) experienced a month-on-month decline of 0.20% [2]