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股市面面观丨2025,“茅”股的失意之年?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 02:35
Group 1: Guizhou Moutai Performance - Guizhou Moutai's stock price has been declining, dropping below 1400 CNY per share on December 10, but managed to close at this key level [1] - The decline in Moutai's stock is attributed to the falling prices of Moutai liquor, with the wholesale reference price for 2025 53-degree 500ml Moutai dropping to 1500 CNY per bottle, a decrease of 15 CNY from the previous day, marking a historical low [1] - Year-to-date, Guizhou Moutai's stock has fallen by 6.26%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by nearly 23 percentage points [1] Group 2: Other "Mao" Stocks Performance - The top three "Mao" stocks with the largest declines this year are Zhifei Biological, Mindray Medical, and Aimeike, with respective stock price drops of 24.64%, 20.92%, and 19.3% [2] - A total of 18 "Mao" stocks have declined this year, with 9 of them experiencing drops exceeding 10% [1][4] Group 3: Zhifei Biological Analysis - Zhifei Biological's significant decline is closely related to a substantial drop in performance, reporting a loss of 1.206 billion CNY in the third quarter, resulting in a negative price-to-earnings ratio [4] - The company faces increased competition and pricing pressure in the HPV vaccine market, with a gross margin dropping to 23.77% and a net margin of -15.99% [4] - The company is attempting to diversify away from reliance on HPV vaccines, with 34 self-developed projects in various stages of clinical trials [5] Group 4: Mindray Medical and Aimeike Performance - Mindray Medical's net profit fell by 28.83% year-on-year in the first three quarters, marking the first negative growth in net profit since its listing [6] - Aimeike reported a 31.05% decline in net profit and a 21.49% drop in revenue, both representing the first instances of simultaneous negative growth since its listing [6][7] - Analysts suggest that both companies may see a turnaround in 2026, with Mindray's domestic business expected to achieve positive revenue growth [7][8] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite the overall poor performance of "Mao" stocks in 2025, some technology stocks have significantly outperformed the CSI 300 index, indicating potential new "Mao" stocks emerging from innovative sectors [9] - Notable investors express optimism about Guizhou Moutai, suggesting it remains a better investment than keeping cash in the bank [9]
段永平:6个月20倍,让我再来一次,我做不到!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 16:37
Core Insights - The importance of finding personal interests in activities, such as sports, is emphasized, with golf being a preferred choice [2] - Investment in quality companies is prioritized over traditional savings methods, suggesting that buying stocks like Moutai is more beneficial than keeping money in the bank [2] - The significance of user orientation in companies like Apple is highlighted, indicating a strong focus on customer needs [2] Investment Philosophy - The challenge of value investing is acknowledged, with a distinction made between speculation and investment, noting that both can lead to losses for retail investors in different market conditions [2] - The experience of a significant return on investment, such as a 20-fold increase in six months with NetEase, is shared, illustrating the unpredictability of high returns [2] - The necessity of patience in investing is stressed, advising against selling shares at the first sign of profit [2] Business Practices - The importance of hiring individuals who align with company culture is noted, differentiating between cultural fit and competency [2] - The principle of honesty in advertising and communication with clients is emphasized, advocating for transparency [2] - The idea that success requires consistent effort and a long-term perspective is reinforced, with a focus on continuous learning and adaptation [2][3] Personal Development - The role of self-awareness and confidence in achieving personal goals is discussed, suggesting that understanding one's purpose can enhance self-assurance [3] - The impact of upbringing on behavior and attitudes towards education is examined, advocating for positive reinforcement rather than punitive measures [3] - The potential of AI to improve efficiency is acknowledged, while also recognizing its limitations [3]
公募基金迎来价值重构新周期
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-12-10 16:22
《指引》的出台旨在从根本上校正这一不良生态。《指引》明确基金投资收益指标中三年以上中长期指标权重不得低于 80%,要求薪酬递延支付,建立跟投机制,这些举措直指行业痛点。这也意味着,基金经理不用再为季度、半年度或年度排名 而焦虑,从而能够更加从容地践行价值投资理念;基金公司不用急于进行短期规模扩张,从而能够更加注重长期品牌建设。对 于投资者而言,这将减少因基金经理频繁变动、投资风格漂移带来的困扰,提升持有体验和长期收益。 此外,《指引》特别强调主动管理能力的提升。在被动投资快速发展的当下,这一导向颇有深意,它提示公募基金:被动 投资可以解决成本问题,但主动管理才能创造超额收益,这是公募基金的核心竞争力所在。加强投研队伍建设,完善公司治 理,筑牢风控体系,这些看似费时费力的"笨功夫",正是行业可持续发展的基石。当所有公募基金公司都能够沉下心来苦 练"笨功夫",整个行业才能摆脱同质化竞争,形成差异化、多元化的良性生态。 方向已定,公募基金必须尽快进入精耕细作的新阶段。可以预见,随着《指引》的正式实施,公募基金行业将迎来新一轮 洗牌。那些注重长期业绩、投研扎实、风控严谨的基金公司将脱颖而出;那些真正以投资者利益为先、 ...
川财证券陈雳:做好金融“五篇大文章” 赋能新质生产力发展
中经记者 郭婧婷 北京报道 12月9日,由《中国经营报》主办的"2025中国企业竞争力年会"在京举行,在主题为"金融赋能实体经济 与新质生产力"圆桌论坛环节中,川财证券首席经济学家、研究所所长陈雳基于川财证券的央企控股背 景与实践,系统阐述了在新时代背景下,金融机构如何优化资源配置、聚焦国家战略,以及资本市场在 培育新质生产力中的独特作用。 川财证券首席经济学家、研究所所长陈雳 陈雳认为,在百年未有之大变局下,面对高度不确定的外部环境,我们更需练好内功,加快实现国产自 立与科技突破。资本市场也将大力做好"金融五篇大文章",齐心聚力支持新质生产力,树立价值投资理 念、做好耐心资本,为"十五五"高质量发展和中国企业竞争力提升再添一把火。 立足国企禀赋 做好绿色金融特色发展 "川财证券股东有四大发电集团之一的中国华电,核心围绕着'双碳'目标,进一步保障能源供给安全的 同时,推动绿色低碳转型。"陈雳指出,在这一定位下,川财证券将绿色金融视为落实金融"五篇大文 章"的重要抓手。 "绿色金融与华电的产业方向高度契合,也是近年来资本市场最具活力的增长领域之一。"陈雳介绍,川 财证券依托股东产融协同平台,整合了租赁、信托、保 ...
长城国瑞证券:监管强化券商“看门人”责任与差异化监管 绘就行业高质量发展路径图
吴清在讲话中特别强调,证券公司要带头践行价值投资理念,强化跨周期逆周期布局能力。这一要求对 投资者具有重要现实意义。长期以来,投资者易受短期情绪影响而做出非理性决策。券商作为专业机 构,若能在自营、资管、研究等业务中坚持价值投资,不仅能提升自身资产配置效率,还能通过市场传 导机制,引导整体投资风格向长期化、理性化转变。例如,在市场低迷时逆势布局优质资产,在估值偏 高阶段保持审慎,此类操作有助于平抑市场波动,为投资者创造更平滑的收益曲线。同时,券商价值判 断力的提升也将推动研究服务进一步回归本源,为投资者提供更具前瞻性的决策参考。 在长城国瑞证券看来,吴清的讲话为资本市场高质量发展绘制了清晰蓝图,核心在于通过强化中介机构 责任、优化财富管理服务、推动行业分层发展以及倡导价值投资理念,构建投资者友好型的市场环境。 对投资者而言,这既是机遇也是挑战:一方面,政策红利将提升市场整体质量,降低非系统性风险;另 一方面,价值投资理念的深化也要求投资者进一步提升专业研判能力。未来,具备合规意识、创新能力 和跨周期布局能力的券商有望脱颖而出,成为投资者实现财富稳健增值的重要依托。建议投资者密切关 注政策落地节奏,优选业务合规 ...
侃股:基金公司自购有多重利好效应
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 11:46
数据显示,基金公司年内自购超过8400次。基金公司自购向投资者传达了看好未来市场和基金业绩的信 心,对基金规模的稳定增长大有好处,同时也能向市场传递价值投资理念,是一举多得的好事,对于整 个基金行业的发展也有促进作用。 北京商报评论员周科竞 基金公司自购还在向市场传递价值投资理念。在资本市场中,短期投机行为时有发生,扰乱市场秩序, 影响市场健康发展。基金公司作为专业投资机构,通过自购行为彰显对价值投资的坚守。 以自有资金投入,更加注重基金长期业绩表现,而非短期市场波动。这种行为引导投资者树立正确投资 观念,关注企业基本面和长期发展潜力,减少投机炒作。当越来越多投资者遵循价值投资理念,市场资 金将更合理配置,优质企业获得更多支持,资本市场资源配置功能得到有效发挥,推动市场向更加成 熟、稳定的方向发展。 对于整个基金行业而言,基金公司自购具有显著促进作用。一方面,它提升行业整体形象和公信力。在 投资者眼中,自购行为体现基金公司责任感和担当,增强对基金行业信任。另一方面,基金公司自购还 能促进基金公司之间良性竞争。各公司为吸引投资者,不仅在产品创新、服务质量上下功夫,还通过自 购展示自身实力和信心,推动行业整体水平 ...
段永平、王石、田朴珺,同屏
Core Insights - The core perspective of the discussion revolves around the importance of understanding business models in investment and the significance of hard work in achieving success [1][4][6]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Investment is fundamentally about understanding the business and its model, with a strong emphasis on effort and diligence [1][4]. - Segmenting investments based on personal understanding of the business is crucial; for instance, the investment in Moutai is justified by personal connections and understanding of its market [2][5]. - The experience with investing in NetEase, which yielded a 20-fold return, highlights the importance of recognizing and understanding business operations rather than relying on luck [5][6]. Group 2: Views on Specific Companies - There is a strong belief in the potential of Moutai, with the assertion that it is a better investment than keeping money in the bank, although there may be other opportunities with higher returns [2]. - The investment in Apple is still viewed positively, emphasizing the difficulty of finding good companies and the importance of not selling too quickly after a profit [5][7]. Group 3: Personal Insights and Life Philosophy - The discussion includes reflections on personal effort and the misconception of talent, emphasizing that success comes from hard work rather than innate ability [8]. - The concept of "being grounded" is highlighted, which involves rational decision-making and a long-term perspective in business [8].
段永平最新万字访谈:做事本分,理性长远,坚持几十年会看见价值
创业邦· 2025-12-10 10:08
Core Insights - The article presents a deep conversation with the renowned entrepreneur and investor Duan Yongping, focusing on his philosophy of "being true to oneself" and its application in business, investment, and personal development [6][7]. Investment Logic: Understanding Business is Key - Duan emphasizes that the core of investment is understanding the business, sharing insights from his experience buying stocks like NetEase and Moutai, highlighting the importance of business models and corporate culture in investment decisions [18][21][23]. Corporate Culture and Succession: Integrity, Rationality, and Long-term Vision - The success of companies like OPPO and vivo is attributed to their hiring principle of prioritizing cultural fit over mere capability, and the importance of a user-oriented culture that focuses on doing the right things over profit maximization [24][28][27]. Marketing Philosophy: Honesty and Efficient Communication - Duan advocates for a straightforward marketing approach that avoids any form of deception, emphasizing the need to communicate effectively with users [45][50]. Education Perspective: Security and Boundaries - He discusses the importance of providing unconditional love to children while establishing boundaries, arguing against physical punishment as a means of discipline [60][65][68]. Reflection on Luck, Effort, and Understanding - Duan reflects on the role of luck in success, asserting that while opportunities exist, they must be met with effort and understanding of one's field [69][71][72]. Insights on AI and the Future: Tool or Threat? - The conversation touches on the rapid development of AI, recognizing its potential to enhance efficiency while also questioning its long-term implications for society [80]. Long-term Mindset: The Essence of a Calm Heart - Duan defines a calm heart as rationality and long-term thinking, suggesting that maintaining a long-term perspective can help navigate external distractions and challenges [82].
关于茅台,段永平最新观点来了
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-10 08:43
Group 1 - The price of 2025 53-degree 500ml Feitian Moutai has dropped to 1500 yuan per bottle, a decline of over 30% from its initial prices of 2220 yuan and 2255 yuan [1] - Guizhou Moutai's stock price has decreased by 6.15% this year, contrasting with the 16.69% increase in the CSI 300 index and 20.01% increase in the Moutai index [1] - The stock price of Guizhou Moutai has fallen from a historical high of 2627.88 yuan on February 18, 2021, to 1393.7 yuan currently, indicating a complete downward cycle [1] Group 2 - Investor Duan Yongping expressed confidence in Moutai, stating he sees no reason not to be optimistic about it [2] - Duan Yongping compared Moutai to Hi-Chew candy, suggesting that while it may be harder to predict Moutai's future compared to Coca-Cola, it still holds significant value [2] - He emphasized the importance of understanding the business behind Moutai, as many of his friends appreciate the brand [2] Group 3 - Duan Yongping shared his investment strategy during the plasticizer incident, starting to buy Moutai at around 180 yuan and continuing to purchase until it reached 120 yuan [3] - He mentioned that he sold all his shares in Shenhua to invest in Moutai during the same period [3] Group 4 - Duan Yongping believes that as long as the production process of 53-degree Feitian Moutai remains unchanged, the company can withstand management changes without significant harm [4] - He suggested that Moutai should enhance online sales and management to combat counterfeit products [4] - Analyst Ban Lin commented on Duan's long-term investment approach, noting that not all investors can afford to ignore short-term fluctuations like Duan does [4] Group 5 - Duan Yongping highlighted the challenges faced by retail investors, stating that 90% of speculative investors lose money regardless of market conditions [5] - He emphasized the importance of understanding the business rather than being influenced by market fluctuations [5] Group 6 - Duan Yongping expressed continued confidence in Apple as his primary investment, stating that finding a good company is challenging and that he prefers to hold rather than trade frequently [6] - He identified several companies he believes will outperform in the next decade, including Apple, Moutai, Berkshire Hathaway, Microsoft, and Google [6] Group 7 - Duan Yongping acknowledged the potential of AI, stating it significantly improves efficiency and could lead to changes greater than those brought by the internet or the industrial revolution [12] - He warned that many companies associated with AI may not survive, but those that do could become the next Google or Amazon [12] - He noted that the demand for NVIDIA's products is likely to continue for some time, although competition may arise [13] Group 8 - Duan Yongping discussed the importance of a company's business model, as emphasized by Warren Buffett, stating that understanding the business model is crucial before considering the price [8][9] - He believes that a company's culture can significantly impact its success, which is why he favors companies like Apple [9]
【有本好书送给你】焦虑源于对未知的恐惧:好投资不需要焦虑
重阳投资· 2025-12-10 07:32
每一期专栏,我们依旧聊书,可能是书评、书单或者书摘。 每一期会有一个交流主题,希望你通过留言与我们互动。 我们精选优质好书,根据留言质量不定量送出。 重阳说 查理·芒格先生有一句广为流传的话:"我这一生当中,未曾见过不读书就智慧满满的人。没有。一个都没 有。沃伦(巴菲特)的阅读量之大可能会让你感到吃惊。我和他一样。我的孩子们打趣我说,我就是一 本长着两条腿的书。" 熟悉重阳的朋友们一定知道,阅读,一直是我们非常推崇的成长路径。 现在,我们希望和你一起,把阅读这件事坚持下去。 世界莽莽,时间荒荒,阅读生出思考的力量,愿你感受到自己的思想有厚度且有方向,四通八达,尽情 徜徉。 2025年11月 互动话题: 结合本书,谈谈对"投资如何做到不焦虑"的理解。 留言时间:2024年12月10 日 - 2025年 12月17日 (鼓励原创,只要你的内容足够优秀,期期选中也有可能哦) 筛选及书籍(单本)寄送:2025年12月18日后 (选中会收到提交寄送地址的私聊,逾期未提交/信息不全视为放弃,参与期间尽量不要修改头像 及昵称,以防错失良机) 提示:本公众号所发布的内容仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议和销售要约。如您对重阳产品感 ...