近年来，在外部不确定性加剧、无风险收益率下行等诸多因素的影响下，越来越多人开始转向追求稳健 的投资回报，红利策略因此而大受追捧。简而言之，红利策略是指在股票市场中以股息和回购为选股核 心指标的投资策略，其要点在于投资那些持续稳定回馈股东 – 亦即通过股息或回购以返还资本 – 的上市 公司的股票，以获得股息收入和潜在的资本增值。 随着港股财报季来临，上市公司正陆续披露 2024 年度业绩。智通财经APP注意到，在港股市场波动的 背景下，保诚(02378)凭借扎实的业绩表现和前瞻性战略布局，向投资者交出了一份兼顾成长性与确定 性的答卷。2024年，保诚在22个寿险市场中的18个录得新业务利润增长，按照固定汇率及经济假设，新 业务利润同比增长11%至30.78亿美元，经调整税后经营溢利稳步提升7%至25.82亿美元，再度验证其穿 越周期的经营韧性。 更值得关注的是，公司通过超预期的分红与股份回购传递信心，叠加亚太市场战略纵深推进，逐步勾勒 出"回馈股东以提升长期价值、稳健经营增强确定性"的双重价值逻辑。 稳健经营：亚太市场释放长期潜力，客户体验提升构筑护城河 从战略纵深看，亚洲及非洲市场的人口结构红利与财富积累趋势 ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） ◆◆◆ 长按识别下方二维码，添加@课程小助手，回复「 美元债券 」即可领取～ · 想投资美元债券类资产，有哪些方式？ · 美元债基金，当前投资价值如何？ · 投资美元债基金，会有哪些风险？ 大家对美债的关注度日渐提高。 这里为大家准备了一门限时免费的课程，全面讲解美元债券基金投资。 比如： 如果以跑赢跑输看待红利策略，那就会患得 患失。 实际上,能长期坚持投资红利类品种的,通 常是从股息率的角度看待红利。 例如保险和养老金机构，是需要每年获得现 金流。 大家一般什么时候喜欢投红利呢? 往往是在熊市,这时往往其他品种下跌了, 红利类品种还是上涨的。 但等到下一轮牛市来临时，其他品种大涨， 红利却可能涨幅不大。 这时很多人就会骂红利，怀疑这个策略是不 是有问题,干脆卖掉手里的红利类品种,追 涨成长类品种。 等到下一轮牛熊市,还是这样反反复复,相 当于刚好做了一个反向操作,也就是我们常 说的追涨杀跌。 其实对红利这类品种，如果想要长期坚持下 来，最好不要以短期跑赢跑输市场来看待。 因为风格轮动的存在，红利肯定会在某几年 跑输市场。这在长达几十年的投资中,几乎 是一定会遇到的。 ...

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the dividends are stable and sustainable, driven by steady growth and cyclical trends [6] - The banking sector is expected to show stable performance in Q1 2025, continuing the revenue and net profit growth momentum from Q4 2024 [6] - The report highlights the importance of government bond issuance and its impact on social financing, predicting an increase in social financing in March 2025 [4] Summary by Sections Credit Forecast - In March, new RMB loans are expected to increase by approximately 3.1 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 7.2% [3] - Corporate loans are projected to contribute about 2.3 trillion yuan, supported by sufficient project reserves and government bond issuance [3] - Retail loans are expected to add around 900 billion yuan, primarily driven by mortgage demand [3] Social Financing Prediction - Social financing is anticipated to increase by about 5 trillion yuan in March, with a stock growth rate of 8.2% [4] - The acceleration of government bond issuance is expected to significantly support social financing [4] Monetary Supply Prediction - M2 is projected to grow by 7.1% year-on-year in March, with a slight increase in the month-on-month growth rate [5] - The report attributes the expected rise in monetary growth to increased fiscal spending and improved corporate liquidity [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining a focus on dividend strategies, particularly in state-owned banks, which are expected to benefit from stable dividends and valuation recovery [6] - Specific stock recommendations include CITIC Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and China Merchants Bank, with a cyclical logic favoring Suzhou Bank and its peers [6]

Group 1 - The retail non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 23 listed banks continues to rise, with a slight decrease in overall NPL ratio to 1.25% as of Q4 2024, down 2bps from Q4 2023. However, retail loan NPL ratios have generally increased, with state-owned banks seeing an average rise of 29bps compared to Q4 2023 [1][2][3] - The average retail credit cost for listed banks in 2024 is 1.24%, a decrease of 3bps year-on-year. State-owned banks have a lower average retail credit cost of 0.99%, attributed to a higher proportion of lower-risk personal housing loans [2][3] - Looking ahead, banks are expected to manage retail loan risks by tightening customer eligibility and employing various asset disposal strategies, with the impact on asset quality being relatively controllable [4] Group 2 - The report highlights that the retail loan structure of banks has shifted, with personal housing loans making up an average of 60.9% of the total retail loans for state-owned banks, which is 17.6 percentage points higher than the sample average [2][16] - Specific banks such as Ping An Bank and Everbright Bank have seen a decrease in retail credit costs, with Ping An Bank's credit cost dropping by 34bps year-on-year, largely due to a reduction in credit card NPLs [3][4] - The report suggests that banks like Postal Savings Bank have improved their asset quality, with a notable decrease in consumer loan NPLs by 12.2 billion yuan, resulting in a NPL ratio decline of 47bps to 1.34% [4][8]

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 一、【直播回放】 有朋友问，优选300指数，历史表现如何？ 当前估值如何，适合投资吗？有哪些对应的指数基金可以选择呢？ 在今晚的直播课里，螺丝钉详细介绍了这些问题。 长按识别下面二维码，添加 @课程小助手 微信，回复「 0401 」即可观看直播回放。 （提示：回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦～） 二、【部分直播课内容如下】 1 . A股常见的四类指数 A股常见的指数，主要分为四类。 第一类是宽基指数。 通常是按照上市公司的市值规模来选股的，会包含各个行业的股票，覆盖范围很"宽"。 第二类是策略指数。 通常是在宽基指数的基础上，用了某一种投资策略，覆盖的行业也会比较广泛。 策略指数丰富了我们投资的选项，满足了很多投资者个性化的需求。 第三类是行业指数。 也就是仅覆盖了某个行业的股票，例如消费、医药、金融等。最常见的行业指数，是11个一级行业。 每个一级行业，其实都是社会不可或缺的一部分，长期也是跟着社会发展的。 第四类是主题指数。 所包含的股票，跟某个主题密切相关，例如科技、新能源、人工智能等。 主题指数，通常会横跨多个行业，但达不到宽基指数的行业覆盖程度。 2 . 常见策略指数 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the performance and significance of the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201), which has seen a notable increase in trading volume and market interest, indicating a shift towards long-term investment strategies focused on free cash flow [1][2] - As of March 31, 2025, the Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) has reached a new high in circulation scale at 2.789 billion yuan, with a trading volume of 2.775 billion shares, reflecting strong investor demand and a significant net inflow of 1.311 billion yuan over the last 11 trading days [1] - Huatai Securities emphasizes that dividend strategies remain a key focus, predicting that listed insurance companies will continue to increase their allocation to FVOCI stocks with dividend characteristics in 2024, driven by a decline in cash yield [1] Group 2 - The Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) closely tracks the National Certificate Free Cash Flow Index, with free cash flow being essential for corporate survival and the ability to maintain stable cash dividends [2] - The management fee for the Free Cash Flow ETF is set at an annual rate of 0.15%, and the custody fee at 0.05%, both of which are the lowest in the market, making it an attractive option for investors [2]

Group 1 - The China Securities High Dividend Investment Index has increased by 0.27% as of March 31, 2025, with significant gains from major constituents such as China Construction Bank (up 3.58%) and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (up 2.60%) [1] - The index consists of 30 highly liquid, consistently dividend-paying stocks from Hong Kong-listed companies that meet the Stock Connect criteria, weighted by dividend yield to reflect the overall performance of high dividend yield stocks [1] - As of February 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 46.32% of the total index weight, including companies like COSCO Shipping Holdings and China Shenhua Energy [1] Group 2 - CICC suggests that dividend strategies perform well in volatile markets and can serve as a stabilizing component in investment portfolios, making them suitable for long-term holding [1] - The current market is in a critical phase of performance verification and policy negotiation, with a defensive mindset prevailing, particularly favoring high dividend stocks for absolute and relative returns [2] - The trend of "A-share characteristics" in Hong Kong is ongoing, with high dividend and internet stocks being preferred choices within their respective styles [2]

3月31日，三大股指早盘窄幅下跌，而国企红利板块小幅上涨。截至上午10:00，国企红利ETF(159515)涨0.37%。相关成分股中，唐山港涨2.39%、 中远海控涨1.18%、中国石化涨0.52%，山煤国际、中国神华、冀中能源等小幅跟涨。 近日，A股2024年年报披露逐渐进入高峰期，上市公司分红呈现出诸多积极变化。一是分红规模创下新高。据中国证监会统计，2024年沪深上市 公司分红达到2.4万亿元，分红金额创历史新高。同时分红公司数量占年末上市公司数量比例达73.3%，较上年提升7.4个百分点。二是分红诚意持 续提升。2024年，A股上市公司平均股利支付率、股息率双双提升，达近15年来最高水平。三是分红行为更加稳定。2024年，连续5年分红的上市 公司超过1800家，占上市满5年的上市公司数量的40%；近800家上市公司连续10年分红，占上市满10年的上市公司数量的28%。 展望后市，华泰证券表示，今年以来由于科技板块受到全球投资者的持续关注，导致高股息板块的表现相对较弱。然而，随着月末海外市场的不 确定性增加，高股息板块开始展现出其防御性的特点，有望吸引寻求避险资金的关注。 国企红利指数(代码00082 ...

临近四月季报期，市场风格悄然生变，逐渐回归谨慎叙事。以AI产业链为代表的科技股，虽长期发展逻辑清晰，前景广 阔，但短期却陷入缺乏催化剂的困境。部分科技个股处于高估值区间，且业绩支撑不足，回调压力如高悬之剑，令投资 者心生忧虑。 在这一背景下，市场资金开始寻觅新的投资方向，红利再次进入大众视野。 就拿上周来看，当市场震荡，科技板块大幅回调的背景下，不少红利资产都录得收涨，比如中证红利ETF（515080）。 在能源板块，像中国石油、中国神华等巨头，长期稳定的分红表现有目共睹；金融领域，工商银行、建设银行等国有大 行，凭借庞大的业务规模和稳定的盈利能力，分红持续且丰厚。这些优质企业的汇聚，使得中证红利 ETF（515080）在 市场波动中展现出强大的抗风险能力和收益稳定性。 值得一提的是，3月30日晚间，中证红利 ETF（515080）成份股中国石油披露2024年年报，成绩斐然。按照国际财务报告 会计准则，报告期内公司实现营业收入2.9万亿元，归属于母公司股东净利润1646.8 亿元，同比增长2.0%，再创历史新 高。 从分红数据来看，截至目前，中证红利ETF（515080）已累计分红12次，近期也进行了今年第一 ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 我们常见的指数策略主要有六种：龙头、红利、价值、低波动、成长、质量。 有朋友问，这些策略都是啥意思，有什么特点？ 这六大策略在A股有效吗？我们该如何配置不同的策略指数呢？ 针对大家的这些疑问，螺丝钉也通过直播课，进行了讲解。 长按识别下面二维码，添加 @课程小助手 微信，回复「 1119 」即可观看直播回放。 （提示：回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦～） 市值选股指数的缺点：追涨杀跌 沪深300等指数，是按照上市公司的市值规模大小，来挑选股票。 这就会导致指数追涨杀跌： · 涨得多的股票 → 市值变大 → 调仓时被纳入； · 跌得多的股票 → 市值变小 → 调仓时被剔除。 其实这个情况倒不是在沪深300上先出现。 在上世纪90年代美股牛市的时候，在标普500、纳斯达克100等指数上就遇到了类似问题。 当时是互联网泡沫，很多股票跟互联网沾边就大涨，市值很高。 在上涨后，被纳入到纳斯达克100等指数中。 导致之后互联网泡沫破裂，纳斯达克100下跌反而更多。 所以早在沪深300诞生之前，海外的市值选股指数就遇到过类似的情况了。 不过这种情况熊市影响不大，主要是牛市中后期影响大一些。 ...