2025年06月19日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-绿色金融与新能源 观点与策略 | 镍：矿端担忧有所降温，冶炼供应弹性饱满 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 不锈钢：负反馈传导减产增加，供需双弱低位震荡 | 2 | | 碳酸锂：仓单去化加速，关注潜在采买 | 4 | | 工业硅：仓单持续去化，关注上方空间 | 6 | | 多晶硅：上游复产，盘面下跌 | 6 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 6 月 19 日 镍：矿端担忧有所降温，冶炼供应弹性饱满 不锈钢：负反馈传导减产增加，供需双弱低位震荡 张再宇 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021479 zhangzaiyu@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 镍基本面数据 | | | 指标名称 | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沪镍主力（收盘价） | 118,480 | -90 | -3,310 | -4,110 | -5,370 | -11,010 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced eight significant financial opening measures, including the expansion of the carbon reduction support tool, which aims to enhance green finance and support the country's dual carbon goals [1][3]. Group 1: Carbon Reduction Support Tool - The carbon reduction support tool was established in 2021 and targets 21 national financial institutions, focusing on clean energy, energy conservation, and carbon reduction technologies [1]. - The implementation period of the carbon reduction support tool has been extended to the end of 2027, as per the guidelines issued by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council [1]. Group 2: Challenges Faced - There are multiple challenges in the implementation of the carbon reduction support tool, including a lack of unified standards for green project recognition, which complicates verification and measurement of carbon reduction [2]. - The tool's coverage is limited, failing to support key areas needed for achieving carbon peak goals, and financial institutions are cautious in their operations, leading to limited scale [2]. - There is a need for improved risk compensation and incentive mechanisms, as some financial institutions show low enthusiasm for participation [2]. - Regional disparities exist, with the supply capacity of green projects in central and western regions being lower than that in eastern regions [2]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The expansion of the carbon reduction support tool signifies a deepening reform phase for green structural tools, potentially leading to innovations in supported areas, financial products, and accompanying policy mechanisms [3]. - Shanghai's role as a testing ground for these policies reflects a combination of policy testability and institutional leadership, with plans to explore diverse green financial tool designs [3]. - The global landscape of green finance is entering a phase of both competition and cooperation, and through structural monetary policy, China can enhance its climate financial governance capabilities [3].

Group 1 - The "Action Plan" aims to enhance the competitiveness and influence of Shanghai as an international financial center by promoting the aggregation of banking and insurance institutions in the city [1][2] - Financial institutions are encouraged to establish specialized entities or expand their authorization in Shanghai to seize opportunities in financial openness and gain policy innovation benefits [2][3] - The plan supports Shanghai's participation in international carbon financial pricing competition and aims to develop it into an international green finance hub [2][3] Group 2 - The "Action Plan" emphasizes the importance of improving financial services for the real economy and enhancing the quality of technology finance [2][3] - It proposes the establishment of a regulatory mechanism for financial innovation, focusing on risk management and prudent supervision [3] - The plan encourages the development of innovative financial products and services related to carbon finance, which is a crucial aspect of green finance [2][3]

Group 1: Corporate Social Responsibility - The company released its 2024 Social Responsibility Report, showcasing its commitment to financial responsibility and innovative practices in integrating party building with business operations [1] - This marks the sixth consecutive year the company has disclosed its corporate social responsibility information, emphasizing its mission to enhance the quality of life for all [1] Group 2: Elderly Care Strategy - The company has established a core strategy focused on elderly care, creating a multi-tiered service system that aligns with international standards while catering to domestic needs [2] - The "City Heart 2.0" model has been launched to enhance urban-centered elderly care services, aiming to provide high-quality living conditions for the elderly [2] Group 3: Philanthropy in Elderly Care - The company has conducted 140 elderly care charity events, engaging over 1,200 youth volunteers and benefiting more than 30,000 elderly individuals and their families [4] - In 2024, the company organized a total of 3,633 volunteer activities, donating materials and funds amounting to 753,000 yuan and providing insurance coverage worth 4.037 billion yuan [4] Group 4: Green Development Initiatives - The company is committed to green development, integrating ESG assessments into its investment strategies and accelerating investments in clean energy projects [5] - In 2024, the total amount of new green finance projects reached 4.71 billion yuan, representing a 90% increase, with green insurance coverage amounting to 733.77 billion yuan [5] Group 5: Support for Agriculture and Small Enterprises - The company has provided over 37.8 billion yuan in risk coverage to support rural revitalization and has established asset support plans totaling 21 billion yuan for small enterprises [7] - It focuses on creating specialized insurance products for specific groups, such as migrant workers and delivery riders, to enhance social welfare [7] Group 6: Digital Transformation and Financial Technology - The company is advancing its digital transformation by enhancing customer service efficiency through online and intelligent solutions [11] - It is leveraging cutting-edge technologies like AI to improve customer insights and risk management, thereby upgrading its digital financial system [14] Group 7: Long-term Investment in Technology - The company is utilizing its long-term capital to support technological innovation, successfully launching the industry's first data center investment project [17] - It aims to address financing challenges in the tech sector while contributing to national strategies and promoting a stable financial ecosystem [17]

在生态文明建设上升为国家战略的时代背景下，"绿水青山就是金山银山"理念的实践转化是区域可持续 发展的重要命题。如何打破生态保护与经济增长的二元对立，构建人与自然和谐共生的现代化模式，是 中西部生态资源富集地区的共同课题。贵州作为首批国家生态文明试验区，保护好生态环境，努力把生 态优势转化为发展优势，以生态价值转化、数字技术赋能、清洁能源开发、乡村生态富民为四大抓手， 探索出一条具有山地特色的绿色发展新路。 创新生态价值转化机制，筑牢"两山"转化制度根基。贵州通过系统化构建核算、交易、产业和补偿四大 环节，有效拓宽了"两山"转化路径。通过出台全省GEP核算方案，推进生态产品价值"一把尺"核算，为 生态资源提供可量化的数据基础；设立省级生态产品交易中心，推出林业碳汇交易和"单株碳汇"等市场 化工具，推动生态资源进入流通领域；打造"山地特色农业+生态工业+文旅融合"的特色产业体系，将 生态优势直接嵌入价值创造过程；完善跨省流域横向补偿机制，探索"修复—开发"权益挂钩模式，通过 绿色金融和林权赎买等政策工具反哺生态保护。 深化生态惠民利益联结，拓展乡村全面振兴绿色路径。创新"生态+体育+文旅"融合业态，通过"村 BA ...

在稳步扩大金融制度型开放层面，金融监管总局将大力复制推广自贸区、自贸港扩大制度型开放的经验 做法，支持外资机构参与更多金融业务试点。对标国际高标准经贸协议中金融领域相关规则，探索在更 宽领域、更大幅度上加大开放力度。 上海作为中国金融高水平开放的窗口，一直走在金融业改革开放最前沿。金融监管总局还与上海市政府 联合发布了《关于支持上海国际金融中心建设行动方案》，提出了鼓励上海在科技金融、跨境金融等领 域开展创新试点，支持符合条件的全国性银行在沪设立金融资产投资公司，支持探索不动产、未上市股 权等非货币信托财产登记上海模式，提升上海国际再保险、航运保险承保能力和全球服务水平等27条具 体举措，支持上海国际金融中心建设再上新台阶。 金融监管总局有关部门负责人表示，未来还将通过建立健全金融创新监管工作机制、对标国际高标准经 贸规则、深化推进上海国际金融中心和国际科技创新中心联动建设、支持上海打造国际绿色金融枢纽等 方面的具体工作，更好发挥上海金融改革试验田作用。 "中国拥有充满活力和潜力的超大规模市场，过去是、现在是、将来也必然是全球金融机构展业兴业的 沃土。"6月18日，国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽在2025陆家 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 【债券日报】 陆家嘴论坛后，宽松交易或延续 2025 年 6 月 18 日上午，第十五届陆家嘴论坛开幕。2024 年陆家嘴论坛央行行 长发表关于当前的货币政策立场和未来货币政策框架的相关表态，其后货币政 策框架改革加速推进，故市场对于本次论坛内容较为关注。本文主要回顾 2019 年以来历次会议央行领导的主题发言内容以及债券市场表现。 陆家嘴论坛央行行长讲话回顾 回顾 2019 年以来央行行长的演讲的内容，2019-2020 年：会议主要聚焦上海 "五个中心"定位。2021-2023 年：议题转向绿色金融与普惠金融等，会议主 题呼应"双碳"目标与小微实体支持。2024 年：议题聚焦货币政策框架改革， 推动货币政策实现了数量型和价格型调控并行向以价格型调控为主导、以利率 为核心的货币政策框架转变。 2025 年：本次会议演讲围绕全球金融治理展开。值得关注的是，央行领导在 全球金融稳定体系所面临的挑战中重点提及非银行中介机构的监管仍然薄弱 的问题，关注非银机构的杠杆水平变化以及后续监管落实。 历史陆家嘴论坛后的收益率表现 从债市表现看，由于历次论坛央行领导表态多与绿色发展、国际合作、金融开 ...

全媒体记者/王占全 （上海，2025年6月18日） 在全球经济格局深度调整、金融治理面临多重挑战的背景下，以"全球经济变局中的金融开放合作与高质量发展"为主 题的2025陆家嘴论坛于今日在上海开幕。中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证监会、国家外汇管理局等中 央金融管理部门负责人齐聚黄浦江畔，密集发布多项重磅政策，全面展现中国以高水平开放推动金融高质量发展的决 心，为上海国际金融中心建设注入新动能。 一、金融开放：制度型突破与工具创新双轮驱动 1. 央行八项举措构建开放新框架 中国人民银行行长潘功胜在开幕式上宣布八项金融开放举措，涵盖金融基础设施、数字金融、跨境贸易等关键领域。 其中，银行间市场交易报告库的设立尤为瞩目，通过高频汇集债券、货币、衍生品等多市场数据，将有效打破信息壁 垒，提升跨市场风险监测能力，为宏观审慎管理提供支撑。此举回应了当前商业银行多元化资产配置带来的风险传导 隐忧，标志着中国金融监管从分业监管向穿透式监管的重要跨越。 在数字金融领域，数字人民币国际运营中心的落地将加速人民币国际化进程。该中心将推动数字人民币在跨境支付、 贸易融资等场景的应用，尤其联动香港、东盟等区域，探索"数字人 ...

本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、对外投资概况 （一）基本情况 根据山东日科化学股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）战略发展需要，公司全 资子公司哈金贝斯（上海）智能科技有限公司（以下简称"哈金贝斯"）之控股子 公司克拉玛依碳和网络科技有限公司（以下简称"碳和科技"）拟与克拉玛依融汇 投资集团有限公司（以下简称"融汇公司"）合资成立克拉玛依融和智算科技有限 公司（暂定名，以克拉玛依区工商监督管理局核准名称为准，以下简称"融和智 算"）。 证券代码：300214 证券简称：日科化学 公告编号：2025-059 山东日科化学股份有限公司 合资公司的注册资本为人民币 4,000 万元，其中碳和科技以货币资金出资人 民币 1,960 万元，占注册资本的 49%；融汇公司以货币资金出资人民币 2,040 万 元，占注册资本的 51%。 上述交易统称为"本次投资"。 （二）董事会审议情况 本次投资已于 2025 年 6 月 18 日经公司第六届董事会第五次会议审议通 过，根据《深圳证券交易所创业板股票上市规则》及《公司章程》等规定，本 次投资无需提交股东会审 ...

合资公司将充分利用绿色金融低成本融资优势募集资金，全部用于采购国产算力设备，并托管至碳和科 技数据中心，由碳和科技收取IDC服务费。算力服务租赁层面，由国产算力设备提供商指定客户向碳和 科技采购算力服务，同时碳和科技再通过向合资公司采购算力服务以满足客户的使用需求。 ...