跨品种套利
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有色套利早报-20251029
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-29 01:48
Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, nickel, and tin on October 29, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 29, 2025, the domestic spot price was 87,900, the LME spot price was 10,882, and the spot price ratio was 8.12; the domestic three - month price was 86,950, the LME three - month price was 10,902, and the three - month price ratio was 8.06. There was no data on spot import and export profitability [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,260, the LME spot price was 3,207, and the spot price ratio was 6.94; the domestic three - month price was 22,335, the LME three - month price was 3,036, and the three - month price ratio was 5.73. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.47, with a loss of 4,911.54 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 21,160, the LME spot price was 2,863, and the spot price ratio was 7.39; the domestic three - month price was 21,180, the LME three - month price was 2,861, and the three - month price ratio was 7.42. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.31, with no profitability data [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 123,450, the LME spot price was 14,978, and the spot price ratio was 8.24. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.15, with a loss of 1,509.48 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 17,225, the LME spot price was 1,978, and the spot price ratio was 8.71; the domestic three - month price was 17,365, the LME three - month price was 2,014, and the three - month price ratio was 11.11. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.71, with no profitability data [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 29, 2025, the spreads between the next - month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot - month contract were - 1410, - 1440, - 1430, and - 1500 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 544, 986, 1437, and 1888 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 0, 25, 40, and 75 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 335, 456, and 576 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 165, - 125, - 110, and - 110 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 218, 336, 455, and 573 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were - 170, - 160, - 160, and - 80 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 213, 321, 430, and 539 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 1500, - 1320, - 1100, and - 800 respectively [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 940, and the theoretical spread was 5858 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were 515 and - 895 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 415 and 695 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 50 and 50 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 146 and 276 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 300 and 130 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 181 and 295 respectively [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 29, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (triple - continuous) were 3.89, 4.11, 5.01, 0.95, 1.22, and 0.78 respectively, and for London (triple - continuous) were 3.61, 3.81, 5.45, 0.95, 1.43, and 0.66 respectively [5]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月28日)-20251028
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-28 02:09
1. Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents the latest trading day's (October 27, 2025) and historical (October 21 - 24, 2025) data on various futures varieties, including basis, inter - month spreads, and inter - commodity spreads, for different sectors such as thermal coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. The data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice [56]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis data for thermal coal from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows that the basis on October 21 was - 39.4 yuan/ton, which gradually increased to - 31.4 yuan/ton on October 27. The spreads between different contract months (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) were all 0.0 yuan/ton during this period [2]. 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - For energy commodities, data on basis, ratio, and other indicators are provided for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from October 21 - 27, 2025. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on October 27 was 55.04 yuan/ton, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt was 0.1414 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows fluctuations. For instance, the basis of rubber decreased from - 850 yuan/ton on October 21 to - 630 yuan/ton on October 27 [9]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was 60 yuan/ton [11]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from October 21 - 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on October 27 was 2273 yuan/ton [11]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, 9(10) - 5) of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was 61.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from October 21 - 27, 2025, are presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio on October 27 was 3.96 [20]. - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows changes. For example, the basis of rebar on October 27 was 130.0 yuan/ton [21]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows significant fluctuations. For example, the basis of copper changed from 250 yuan/ton on October 21 to - 70 yuan/ton on October 27 [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - Data on LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the LME spread of copper was (25.97) [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans (No. 1 and No. 2), soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows changes. For example, the basis of soybeans (No. 1) on October 27 was - 97 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) of various agricultural products are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans (No. 1) was 40 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads such as soybean (No. 1)/corn, soybean (No. 2)/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from October 21 - 27, 2025, are provided. For example, the soybean (No. 1)/corn ratio on October 27 was 1.93 [39]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 21 - 27, 2025, shows fluctuations. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on October 27 was 31.62 [50]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The inter - month spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the next month - current month spread of CSI 300 was - 14.8 [50].
有色套利早报-20251028
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-28 01:34
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for various non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on October 28, 2025, including domestic and LME prices, ratios, equilibrium ratios, profits, spreads, and theoretical spreads [1][4][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 28, 2025, the domestic spot price was 88210, LME spot price was 11036, with a ratio of 7.94; the domestic March price was 88360, LME March price was 11060, with a ratio of 7.98. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.07, and the profit was - 797.43 [1]. - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22210, LME spot price was 3251, with a ratio of 6.83; the domestic March price was 22390, LME March price was 3039, with a ratio of 5.74. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.48, and the profit was - 5375.30 [1]. - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 21160, LME spot price was 2890, with a ratio of 7.32; the domestic March price was 21380, LME March price was 2887, with a ratio of 7.36. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.32, and the profit was - 2886.43 [1]. - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 124400, LME spot price was 15155, with a ratio of 8.21. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.17, and the profit was - 1527.44 [1]. - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 17275, LME spot price was 1984, with a ratio of 8.70; the domestic March price was 17525, LME March price was 2018, with a ratio of 11.06. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.72, and the profit was - 49.75 [3]. Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 670, 660, 680, and 610 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 541, 979, 1427, and 1874 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were 50, 75, 110, and 120, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 335, 456, and 576 [4]. - **Aluminum**: The spreads were 155, 175, 175, and 175, and the theoretical spreads were 217, 335, 453, and 571 [4]. - **Lead**: The spreads were - 115, - 110, - 120, and - 190, and the theoretical spreads were 213, 322, 432, and 541 [4]. - **Nickel**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 540, 700, 870, and 1080 [4]. - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was 200, and the theoretical spread was 5928 [4]. Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot were - 485 and 185, and the theoretical spreads were 287 and 872 [4]. - **Zinc**: The spreads were 105 and 155, and the theoretical spreads were 153 and 302 [5]. - **Lead**: The spreads were 360 and 245, and the theoretical spreads were 194 and 309 [5]. Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 28, 2025, for copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc, the Shanghai (three - continuous) ratios were 3.95, 4.13, 5.04, 0.95, 1.22, and 0.78 respectively, and the London (three - continuous) ratios were 3.60, 3.82, 5.44, 0.94, 1.42, and 0.66 [5].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月27日):一、动力煤-20251027
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-27 02:27
Report Overview The report is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for October 27, 2025, covering multiple sectors including thermal coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View The report mainly presents the basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads data of various futures products from October 20 to October 24, 2025, without a clear core view statement. 3. Summary by Category Thermal Coal - **Basis Data**: The basis data for thermal coal from October 20 to October 24, 2025, shows values ranging from - 45.4 to - 31.4 yuan/ton, and the inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) are all 0 [1][2]. Energy and Chemicals - **Energy Commodities Basis**: For energy commodities such as fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt, the basis data from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is presented, along with their respective ratios [7]. - **Chemical Commodities Basis**: The basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 20 to October 24, 2025, shows different values. For example, the basis of rubber ranges from - 850 to - 585 yuan/ton [9]. - **Chemical Commodities Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., are provided. For instance, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber is 70 yuan/ton [10]. - **Chemical Commodities Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are given. For example, on October 24, 2025, the LLDPE - PVC spread is 2266 yuan/ton [10]. Black Metals - **Black Metals Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rebar is 61 yuan/ton [19]. - **Black Metals Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are provided. For example, on October 24, 2025, the rebar/iron ore ratio is 3.96 [19]. Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market Basis**: The domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is shown. For example, the basis of copper ranges from 250 to - 1300 yuan/ton [28]. - **London Market Data**: The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, etc.) on October 24, 2025, are provided [31]. Agricultural Products - **Agricultural Products Basis**: The basis data for soybeans (first - grade and second - grade), soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is presented. For example, the basis of first - grade soybeans ranges from - 133 to - 124 yuan/ton [37]. - **Agricultural Products Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) for soybeans, soybean meal, etc., are provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of first - grade soybeans is 30 yuan/ton [37]. - **Agricultural Products Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads such as soybeans (first - grade)/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from October 20 to October 24, 2025, are given. For example, on October 24, 2025, the soybean oil/soybean meal ratio is 2.78 [36]. Stock Index Futures - **Stock Index Futures Basis**: The basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 20 to October 24, 2025, is shown. For example, the basis of CSI 300 ranges from 25.54 to 31.42 [48]. - **Stock Index Futures Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., are provided. For example, the next month - current month spread of CSI 300 is - 41.6 [50].
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月24日):一、动力煤-20251024
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-24 01:55
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on October 24, 2025, including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, covering aspects such as basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - The basis data of power coal from October 17 to October 23, 2025, shows that the basis on October 23 was - 31.4 yuan/ton, gradually increasing from - 53.4 yuan/ton on October 17 [1][2] 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided, along with the basis data of energy products [7] - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [9] - Inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [10] - Inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [10] 3.3 Black Metals - Basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are shown [20] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided, including 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads [19] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: Inter - commodity spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [19] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [29] - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on October 23, 2025, are given [33] 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are shown [41] - **Inter - period Spreads**: Inter - period spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are provided, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [40] - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: Inter - commodity spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are presented [40] 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 17 to October 23, 2025, are provided [53] - Inter - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads, are given [55]
有色套利早报-20251023
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-23 01:15
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View - The report mainly presents the cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data of non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on October 23, 2025 [1][4][5] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 23, 2025, the domestic spot price was 84980, LME spot price was 10663, and the spot ratio was 8.01. The domestic March price was 85370, LME March price was 10669, and the March ratio was 7.96. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.09 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 21910, LME spot price was 3350, and the spot ratio was 6.54. The domestic March price was 22040, LME March price was 3011, and the March ratio was 5.70. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.49, with a profit of - 6539.20 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20980, LME spot price was 2800, and the spot ratio was 7.49. The domestic March price was 21050, LME March price was 2797, and the March ratio was 7.50. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.37, with a profit of - 2452.65 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 123500, LME spot price was 14998, and the spot ratio was 8.23. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.19, with a profit of - 1463.49 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16975, LME spot price was 1953, and the spot ratio was 8.70. The domestic March price was 17185, LME March price was 1993, and the March ratio was 11.03. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.82, with a profit of - 232.67 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 40, - 10, - 40, - 80 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 529, 956, 1392, 1828 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 15, 55, 70, 100 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 213, 332, 451, 570 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were 30, 35, 35, 35 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 216, 333, 450, 567 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 15, 25, 35, 40 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 211, 318, 424, 531 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads of次月 - spot month, March - spot month, April - spot month, and May - spot month were 260, 440, 590, 790 respectively [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 620, and the theoretical spread was 5833 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot were 445 and 485 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 487 and 963 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 75 and 90 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 176 and 304 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 185 and 200 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 186 and 299 respectively [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 23, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.87, 4.06, 4.97, 0.96, 1.22, 0.78 respectively, and for London (three - continuous) were 3.53, 3.80, 5.34, 0.93, 1.41, 0.66 respectively [5]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月22日):一、动力煤-20251022
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 02:37
Report Overview - The report is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for October 22, 2025, covering multiple commodities including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1] 1. Thermal Coal - **Base Price Data**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base price for thermal coal gradually increased from -70.40 yuan/ton to -39.40 yuan/ton [2] 2. Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - **Base Price and Ratio**: For fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt, base prices and ratios varied from October 15 - 21, 2025. For example, the base price of INE crude oil was 8.63 yuan/ton on October 15 and 5.43 yuan/ton on October 21 [7] Chemical Commodities - **Base Price**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP changed. For instance, the base price of rubber decreased from -445 yuan/ton on October 17 to -850 yuan/ton on October 21 [9] - **Inter - period Spread**: The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rubber was -5 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - commodity Spread**: From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, etc., changed. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2228 yuan/ton on October 15 and 2170 yuan/ton on October 21 [10] 3. Black Metals Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal changed. For example, the base price of rebar decreased from 173.0 yuan/ton on October 17 to 163.0 yuan/ton on October 21 [20] Inter - period Spread - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month spreads for rebar, iron ore, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for rebar was 56 yuan/ton [19] Inter - commodity Spread - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, etc., changed. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.90 on October 15 and 3.97 on October 21 [19] 4. Non - ferrous Metals Domestic Market - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of copper, aluminum, zinc, etc., in the domestic market changed. For example, the base price of copper decreased from 400 yuan/ton on October 20 to 250 yuan/ton on October 21 [28] London Market - The data for the London market had an invalid link and was not available [34] 5. Agricultural Products Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of soybeans, soybean meal, soybean oil, etc., changed. For example, the base price of soybeans decreased from -39 yuan/ton on October 15 to -81 yuan/ton on October 21 [38] Inter - period Spread - The 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month spreads for soybeans, soybean meal, etc., were provided. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread for soybeans was 31 yuan/ton [37] Inter - commodity Spread - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the spreads such as soybean/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., changed. For example, the soybean/corn ratio was 1.90 on October 15 and 1.90 on October 21 [37] 6. Stock Index Futures Base Price - From October 15 - 21, 2025, the base prices of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 changed. For example, the base price of CSI 300 decreased from 31.42 on October 20 to 30.27 on October 21 [49] Inter - period Spread - The spreads of the next - month minus the current - month and the next - quarter minus the current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, etc., were provided. For example, the next - month minus the current - month spread for CSI 300 was -36.6 [51]
有色套利早报-20251022
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 01:27
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content Report's Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on October 22, 2025 [1][3][4] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 22, 2025, the domestic spot price was 85720, the LME spot price was 10639, and the spot import equilibrium ratio was 8.09. The domestic three - month price was 85350, and the LME three - month price was 10670 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 21950, the LME spot price was 3278, and the spot import equilibrium ratio was 8.50 with a loss of 5922.81. The domestic three - month price was 22000, and the LME three - month price was 2979 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 20970, the LME spot price was 2771, and the spot import equilibrium ratio was 8.37 with a loss of 2234.72. The domestic three - month price was 20975, and the LME three - month price was 2770 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 123950, the LME spot price was 15009, and the spot import equilibrium ratio was 8.19 with a loss of 1173.88 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16975, the LME spot price was 1947, and the spot import equilibrium ratio was 8.83 with a loss of 181.73. The domestic three - month price was 17155, and the LME three - month price was 1987 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On October 22, 2025, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were 20, - 30, - 60, - 60 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 529, 956, 1392, 1828 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were 115, 145, 180, 220, and the theoretical spreads were 212, 331, 449, 567 [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were 75, 85, 95, 95, and the theoretical spreads were 215, 332, 448, 565 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 95, 95, 100, 160, and the theoretical spreads were 210, 317, 423, 529 [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were 670, 820, 950, 1230 [4] - **Tin**: The spread between the 5 - month and 1 - month contracts was - 150, and the theoretical spread was 5818 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 325 and - 305 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 398 and 874 [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 95 and 20, and the theoretical spreads were 153 and 299 [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 85 and 180, and the theoretical spreads were 175 and 289 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On October 22, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc in Shanghai (three - continuous) were 3.88, 4.07, 4.98, 0.95, 1.22, 0.78 respectively, and in London (three - continuous) were 3.54, 3.81, 5.32, 0.93, 1.40, 0.67 [5]
有色套利早报-20251021
Yong An Qi Huo· 2025-10-21 01:14
Report Overview - The report is a colored arbitrage morning report by the colored team of the research center on October 21, 2025, covering cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking for multiple metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, lead, nickel, and tin [1][2][4] Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The domestic spot price is 85,650, the LME spot price is 10,656; the domestic March price is 85,360, the LME March price is 10,680, with a ratio of 8.04. The spot import profit is - 888.92 [1] Zinc - The domestic spot price is 21,870, the LME spot price is 3,178, with a ratio of 6.88; the domestic March price is 21,880, the LME March price is 2,948, with a ratio of 5.80. The spot import profit is - 5,169.01 [1] Aluminum - The domestic spot price is 20,930, the LME spot price is 2,782, with a ratio of 7.52; the domestic March price is 20,920, the LME March price is 2,777, with a ratio of 7.54 [1] Lead - The domestic spot price is 16,900, the LME spot price is 1,935, with a ratio of 8.75; the domestic March price is 17,100, the LME March price is 1,977, with a ratio of 11.08 [3] Nickel - The domestic spot price is 123,550, the LME spot price is 14,935, with a ratio of 8.27. The spot import profit is - 1,445.62 [1] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of次月 - 现货月, 三月 - 现货月, 四月 - 现货月, 五月 - 现货月 are 990, 970, 900, 890 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 524, 946, 1377, 1808 [4] Zinc - The spreads of次月 - 现货月, 三月 - 现货月, 四月 - 现货月, 五月 - 现货月 are 35, 65, 90, 130 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 212, 330, 448, 566 [4] Aluminum - The spreads of次月 - 现货月, 三月 - 现货月, 四月 - 现货月, 五月 - 现货月 are 25, 35, 40, 45 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 215, 332, 448, 565 [4] Lead - The spreads of次月 - 现货月, 三月 - 现货月, 四月 - 现货月, 五月 - 现货月 are 15, 25, 60, 100 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 210, 317, 423, 530 [4] Nickel - The spreads of次月 - 现货月, 三月 - 现货月, 四月 - 现货月, 五月 - 现货月 are - 300, - 60, 180, 380 respectively [4] Tin - The 5 - 1 spread is - 460, and the theoretical spread is 5791 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking Copper - The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot are - 1215 and - 225 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 279 and 897 [4] Zinc - The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot are - 55 and - 20 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 169 and 296 [4] Lead - The spreads of the current - month contract - spot and the next - month contract - spot are 175 and 190 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 192 and 305 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - For copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, lead/zinc, the Shanghai (three - continuous) ratios are 3.90, 4.08, 4.99, 0.96, 1.22, 0.78 respectively, and the London (three - continuous) ratios are 3.60, 3.87, 5.37, 0.93, 1.39, 0.67 respectively [5]
宝城期货品种套利数据日报(2025年10月20日):一、动力煤-20251020
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-10-20 01:26
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties on October 20, 2025, including the basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - variety spreads of different commodities in multiple sectors such as power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures, aiming to provide reference for investors in futures trading. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Power Coal - Basis data from October 13 to October 17, 2025, shows that the basis was - 87.4, - 81.4, - 70.4, - 60.4, and - 53.4 yuan/ton respectively, with a continuous increase trend. The spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month were all 0 during this period [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - For fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt, data such as basis, ratio, and other indicators from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of INE crude oil was 7.78, 6.92, 8.63, 15.20, and 82.20 yuan/ton respectively [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: From October 13 to October 17, 2025, the basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP are presented. For instance, the basis of rubber was - 690, - 595, - 645, - 600, and - 445 yuan/ton respectively [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rubber was - 30 yuan/ton [11]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on October 17 was 2187 yuan/ton [11]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month (10) minus 1 - month, and 9 - month (10) minus 5 - month for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of rebar was 57.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio on October 17 was 3.95 [20]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of copper on October 17 was 350 yuan/ton [28]. 3.4.2 London Market - Data such as LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss for LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin) on October 17, 2025, are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (16.83) [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc., from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on October 17 was - 48 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of 5 - month minus 1 - month, 9 - month minus 1 - month, and 9 - month minus 5 - month for various agricultural products are given. For example, the 5 - month minus 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 32 yuan/ton [39]. - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the soybean oil/soybean meal ratio on October 17 was 2.88 [39]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from October 13 to October 17, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on October 17 was 29.03 [50]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of next - month minus current - month and next - quarter minus current - quarter for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the next - month minus current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 42.5 [50].