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上海银行(601229):业绩稳健;风险改善;息差韧性强
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
上海银行1Q25 营收同比+3.9%(vs 2024 全年同比+4.8%),1Q25 净利润同比+2.3%(vs 2024 全年同比 +4.5%)。2024 年全年业绩实现稳步向好,进入1Q25,业绩继续实现稳定增长,负债端成本下降支撑 息差环比改善,手续费降幅收窄,1Q25 债市波动下其他非息仍实现6%正增长。 1Q25 单季净利息收入环比+11%,单季年化净息差环比提升11bp 至1.15%,同比仅下降2bp,息差较为 坚挺:单季年化资产收益率环比下降5bp 至2.91%,计息负债付息率环比下降16bp 至1.76%。年初负债 端支撑力度加强。 资产端:2024 年批零行业、信息传输计算机行业投放占比相较2023 年显著提升。(1)1Q25 生息资产 同比+3.3%(2024 同比+3.9%),贷款同比+0.5%(2024 同比+2.1%)。 (2)从2024 年度信贷结构来看:新增占比方面,对公新增占91.7%,票据新增占52.8%,零售 占-44.5%。行业情况来看,泛政信类(61%)、批发零售类(36.2%)、制造业类(32.2%)、信息传输 计算机软件(13.4%)分占前四。政信类、批零、信息计算 ...
上海银行(601229):净息差稳住 拨贷比、分红比率再提升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
事件: 对公及个人存款在付息率大幅下降的同时保持较高增速,或与公司精进交易银行、巩固养老金融优势等 有关。2025Q1 人民币公司存款同比增长5.0%,付息率为1.51%,同比下降31bps;人民币个人存款同比 增长5.5%,付息率1.90%,同比下降32 bps。公司助力国资国企司库管理体系建设,服务司库客户6507 户,较2024 年末增长5.24%。2025Q1 公司养老金代发获客量同比增长10.30%,截至2025 年一季度末总 规模保持上海地区养老金客户份额第一。 关注类贷款占比下降,拨备覆盖率、拨贷比双增。2025Q1 不良率较上年末持平,仍为1.18%;关注类 贷款占比较上年末下降1bp 至2.05%。拨备覆盖率较上年末提升1.43pct 至271.24%,拨贷比较上年末环 比提升2bps 至3.20%。 盈利预测和投资评级:上海银行负债端成本大幅下行,净息差同比平稳,反映公司交易银行与养老金融 的综合实力。首次覆盖,给予"买入"评级。我们预测2025-2027 年营收为541、555、570 亿元,同比增 速为2.02%、2.74%、2.63%;归母净利润为244、249、256亿元,同比增速 ...
常熟银行(601128):经营韧性凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank reported a slight decline in performance growth for Q1 2025, with revenue growth at 10.04%, pre-provision profit growth at 12.58%, and net profit growth at 13.81, while still maintaining a high level of performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank's total assets increased by 6.67% year-on-year, with a total asset addition of 22.4 billion yuan, where financial investments contributed 11.7 billion yuan, accounting for 52.00% of the increase [2] - The bank's net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 2.61%, showing a year-on-year decline of 22 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2 basis points [4] - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62.01% year-on-year, driven by a 495.23% rise in net fee income and a 48.84% increase in other non-interest income [4] Group 2: Asset and Liability Management - Retail loan demand remains weak, with retail loan balance growing only 0.1% year-on-year, and a quarterly addition of 0.3 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 2.7 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Corporate loans increased by 13.04% year-on-year, with a quarterly addition of 8.5 billion yuan, supporting overall loan growth [3] - The bank's deposit balance grew by 9.00% year-on-year, outpacing loan growth, with a notable increase in the proportion of demand deposits [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.76% at the end of Q1 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 489.56%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [5] - The bank is focusing on enhancing retail risk management, expecting to see a turning point in NPL generation rates as retail risks are gradually addressed [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The bank is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 9.71% and a profit growth of 13.39% for 2025, with a target price of 9.63 yuan, equivalent to a 0.90X price-to-book ratio [6]
常熟银行(601128):不忘初心 夯实家底 业绩持续领跑
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
事件:常熟银行披露2025 年一季报,1Q25 实现营收30 亿元,同比增长10.0%,实现归母净利润11 亿 元,同比增长13.8%。1Q25 不良率季度环比下降1bp 至0.76%,拨备覆盖率季度环比下降11pct 至 490%。 集中兑现债市投资收益叠加利息净收入平稳正增支撑营收延续双位数增长,业绩增速略有放缓但预计仍 保持行业第一梯队。1Q25 营收同比增长10.0%(2024:10.5%),归母净利润同比增长 13.8%(2024:16.2%)。细拆驱动因子,① 一季度非息收入高增,一方面源自4Q24 滞后反映债市浮 盈,另一方面也体现1Q25 国债利率明显回升前及时兑现的精准择时。1Q25 非息收入同比增长62%,贡 献营收增速9.3pct,投资相关其他非息增长49%(4Q24 同比下降17%),贡献营收增速7.1pct。② 以量 补价下利息净收入延续正增长。 1Q25 利息净收入同比增长0.9%,规模扩张(正贡献7.4pct)对冲息差收窄扰动(拖累6.7pct)。③ 主动 处置、增提拨备夯实资产质量,拨备小幅拖累利润增速0.3pct。 一季报关注点:① 信贷投放主动降速,全年主线回归小微本源、优 ...
渝农商行(601077):盈利增速边际回升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (渝农商行) reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 1.3% in Q1 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 6.3%, indicating a recovery in profitability and operational stability [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Growth - In Q1 2025, revenue increased by 1.3% year-on-year, with a 0.3 percentage point improvement compared to 2024 annual growth [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 6.3% year-on-year, with a 0.7 percentage point increase from 2024 annual growth [2] - Total assets as of Q1 2025 rose by 8.0% year-on-year, reflecting a recovery in scale expansion, particularly in corporate loans which surged by 17% year-on-year [2] - The average daily interest margin stood at 1.61%, remaining stable compared to 2024, with a narrowing year-on-year decline from 12 basis points to 3 basis points [2] Interest Margin Stability - The average daily interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, primarily due to improved liability costs offsetting the decline in asset yields [3] - The asset yield for Q1 2025 decreased by 13 basis points to 3.11% compared to Q4 2024, attributed to the impact of LPR repricing and a general decline in loan rates [3] - The cost rate on liabilities fell by 11 basis points to 1.62% compared to Q4 2024, indicating effective cost management [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.17% as of Q1 2025, with a year-on-year decline in the NPL generation rate by 9 basis points [4] - The provision coverage ratio was 363% at the end of Q1 2025, remaining stable, indicating sufficient provisioning levels [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The bank's net profit is projected to grow by 6.6%, 7.6%, and 7.7% for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 11.84, 12.65, and 13.54 yuan [5] - The target price is set at 7.81 yuan per share, corresponding to a 2025 price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.66x, indicating a potential upside of 15% [5]
渝农商行(601077):利润总额双位数增长 资产扩张能力得到验证
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Insights - The company reported a solid growth in net interest income and a double-digit increase in total profit for Q1 2025, with revenue, PPOP, and net profit growth rates of 1.4%, 3.8%, and 6.25% year-on-year respectively [1] - The company’s asset expansion capability was validated in Q1 2025, with total assets and loan amounts growing by 8% and 6.8% year-on-year respectively [2] - The company forecasts a steady growth in net profit for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 7.9%, and 8.5% respectively [3] Financial Performance - As of Q1 2025, net interest income grew by 5.6% year-on-year, supported by a robust net interest margin and strong asset expansion [1] - Fee income continued to decline at -3.2% year-on-year, although it improved by 6.8 percentage points compared to the end of 2024 [1] - Other non-interest income saw a significant decline of -16.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a notable pullback in the bond market [1] Asset Quality and Structure - The company maintained a stable asset quality with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 1.17%, a decrease of 1 basis point from the end of 2024 [2] - The provision coverage ratio remained stable at 363%, providing ample profit space [2] - The company’s financial investment structure has shifted significantly over the past three years, with OCI's share increasing from 18.4% at the end of 2022 to 40.9% in Q1 2025 [1] Future Projections - The company projects earnings per share (EPS) of 1.05, 1.13, and 1.23 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding book value per share (BVPS) of 11.85, 12.70, and 13.62 [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.57X, 0.53X, and 0.50X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] - Given the strong regional financing demand, the company maintains a 10% valuation premium compared to peers, projecting a reasonable value of 7.6 yuan per share for 2025 [3]
瑞丰银行(601528):息差降幅明显收窄,拨备进一步夯实
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-29 02:04
25Q1 不良率(0.97%)、关注率(1.54%)分别较上年末持平、提升 9bps, 拨备覆盖率、拨贷比分别为 326.08%、3.17%,分别较上年末提升 5.2pc、 提升 7bps。25Q1 信用成本为 1.26%,同比提升 3bps。 证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 瑞丰银行(601528.SH) 息差降幅明显收窄,拨备进一步夯实 事件:瑞丰银行披露 2025 年一季报,2025 年一季度实现营收 11.1 亿元, 同比增长 5.12%,归母净利润 4.2 亿元,同比增长 6.69%。2025Q1 末不 良率、拨备覆盖率分别为 0.97%、326.08%,较上年末分别持平、提升 5.2pc。 1、业绩表现:息差降幅同比收窄 25Q1 年营业收入、归母净利润增速分别为 5.12%、6.69%,分别较 24A 下降 10.2pc、下降 4.6pc,其中息差同比降幅收窄、业务成本节约等对业 绩形成正向贡献,具体来看: 1)利息净收入:同比增长 2.68%,较 24A 增速提升 4.3pc,25Q1 净息差 为 1.46%,较 24A 下降 4bps( ...
江苏银行(600919):净利息收入高增
CMS· 2025-04-28 14:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) [4] Core Views - Jiangsu Bank's net interest income saw a significant increase of 22% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 16.6 billion yuan, driven by rapid asset growth and optimized liability costs [2][3] - The bank's asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.86% and a provision coverage ratio of 343.51% as of Q1 2025 [2][3] - The bank's non-interest income experienced a decline of 32.72% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in fair value changes, although investment income increased by 30.1% [3] Summary by Sections Performance - In Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank reported a revenue growth of 6.21%, PPOP growth of 7.88%, and a net profit growth of 8.16% compared to the previous year [1][11] - The bank's total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, with total deposits of 2.46 trillion yuan [11] Non-Interest Income - The bank's net fee and commission income grew by 21.77% year-on-year in Q1 2025, benefiting from a recovery in the capital market and macroeconomic conditions [2][3][29] Interest Margin and Asset Quality - The bank's interest-earning assets grew by 27.82% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 18.83% [2] - The net interest margin showed a slight decline but was supported by effective cost management on liabilities [2][3] Capital and Shareholder Information - Jiangsu Bank's return on equity (ROE) was reported at 16.50% for Q1 2025, with a target price of 10.13 yuan per share [4][27] - The bank's major shareholder is Jiangsu International Trust Co., holding a 6.98% stake [4]
盛京银行的阵痛与曙光:2024年净利润6.2亿、同比降幅收窄,净息差仅0.8%创新低
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-28 10:55
Core Viewpoint - Shengjing Bank is struggling to transform itself two years after shedding its "Evergrande system" identity, facing significant historical burdens and declining financial performance, with a strategic goal of "stabilizing growth, improving quality, increasing efficiency, and enhancing effectiveness" for 2024 [2] Financial Performance - In 2024, Shengjing Bank reported revenue of 8.577 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 621 million yuan, down 15.21%, marking the fourth consecutive year of revenue and profit decline [2] - The bank's net interest margin was only 0.8%, down 16 basis points year-on-year, significantly lower than the average for commercial banks and city commercial banks, which were 1.52% and 1.38% respectively [4][3] - Total interest-earning assets decreased by nearly 70 billion yuan to 8555.16 billion yuan, a decline of 7.5% year-on-year, with a significant gap between interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities [5] Asset Quality and Loan Performance - As of the end of 2024, Shengjing Bank's total assets grew by 4% to 1.12 trillion yuan, with loans issued amounting to 500.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [9] - The bank's corporate loans, which account for over two-thirds of its credit portfolio, reached 337.88 billion yuan, growing by 9.67% year-on-year, while personal loans showed mixed performance with a notable increase in personal consumption loans [10] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for personal loans was 2.9%, with mortgage loans having a particularly high NPL ratio of 3.66% [12][11] Non-Interest Income - Shengjing Bank achieved non-interest income of 1.69 billion yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 44% year-on-year, attributed to improved investment trading capabilities [7] Market Performance and Shareholder Sentiment - The bank's stock price in the Hong Kong market has been underperforming, trading around 1.06 HKD per share, significantly lower than its initial listing price of 7.65 HKD in 2014, with liquidity issues evident as trading volumes dropped to zero during certain periods [15] - The number of H-share shareholders has dwindled to just 124, reflecting market skepticism regarding the bank's future profitability and growth prospects [15] Strategic Direction - Shengjing Bank is actively pursuing a "de-Evergrande" strategy, having removed references to Evergrande from its annual reports since 2023, and has undergone significant management restructuring to align with its vision of becoming a "good bank for enterprises and the public" [16][17]
江苏银行年报,不能细看
Hu Xiu· 2025-04-28 10:06
图片来源 | AI制图 近日,江苏银行发布年报,2024年,营收808.15亿元,同比增长8.78%;归母净利润318.43亿元,同比增长 10.76%。增速与城商行前三甲中的其他两家北京银行和宁波银行相比,都是最高的。 从近十年数据看,江苏银行也是上市城商行乃至上市银行中,业绩成长性最强的一家之一。江苏银行的高 成长性,应该说跟两任董事长夏平和葛仁余高度相关。 这二位在三家银行里搭档了十余年。2013年3月,原南京银行行长夏平就任江苏银行董事长,同年8月,南 京银行信息技术部总经理葛仁余也加盟江苏银行,任首席信息官、信息技术部总经理。这是二人的第三次 搭档。早年夏平和葛仁余均任职于建行江苏分行,此后又都到南京银行任高管。夏平执掌江苏银行十年, 将江苏银行一路带成了国内营收与利润首屈一指的城商行。在2023年,60岁的夏平退休,葛仁余从行长位 置上升任董事长。到2025年,1965年10月出生的葛仁余也临近退休,江苏银行业绩依旧出色。 除了营收与利润增长不错,资产扩张和负债均保持了较快的增长,不良率与2023年持平,拨备覆盖率维持 在较高水平。 不过美中不足的是,江苏银行净息差下滑较多,是已披露年报的头部城商 ...