Core Viewpoint - Silver is at a critical juncture, struggling at $33/oz while gold reaches new highs, reflecting a deeper market confusion about silver's identity as either a safe-haven asset or an industrial commodity [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The gold-silver ratio has risen to an extreme of 100:1, indicating a potential undervaluation of silver amidst gold's dominance [1] - Historical mean reversion theories are being tested, as the price divergence between platinum and gold suggests the fragility of single-price logic [1] - Silver's price is influenced by both monetary inflation concerns and demand from emerging industries like solar panels and AI server cooling [1][2] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Silver is positioned at a long-term resistance line stemming from its historical high of $49.84/oz, with $35/oz acting as a critical psychological and technical barrier [1] - A breakthrough above this level could trigger significant market reactions, including trend-following by CTA funds and ETF holdings surpassing a three-year range [1] Group 3: Supply and Demand Revolution - Industrial demand for silver, which accounts for over 50% of its usage, is set to increase significantly, with a projected 80% rise in demand from the solar sector by 2030 [2] - The use of silver in AI data center cooling components is expected to increase by 40% compared to traditional equipment, highlighting its strategic value in the green economy [2] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Divergence - The debate between bullish and cautious perspectives reflects a clash between linear extrapolation and paradigm shifts in thinking [2] - Historical patterns suggest that when the Federal Reserve begins a rate-cutting cycle, the pricing of industrial metals like silver may shift from "actual demand" to "financial attributes and demand expectations" [2] Group 5: Investment Opportunities - Current market conditions may present a last opportunity for left-side positioning, as the convergence of industrial and financial attributes could lead to a steep upward trajectory for silver [3]

Core Viewpoint - Longkun Technology reported a stable performance in its 2024 annual report, with total revenue of 1.791 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 216 million yuan, up 20.51% year-on-year. However, the bioenergy segment faced challenges due to an EU anti-dumping investigation, resulting in a 19.41% decline in revenue from this segment. The company is focusing on technological innovation and market expansion to mitigate these challenges and is accelerating its layout in synthetic biology manufacturing to capture a larger market share in the green economy and health industry [1][4][7]. Group 1: Biomass Resource Recycling Business - Longkun Technology has secured multiple significant projects in the biomass resource recycling sector, including a 25.5023 million yuan project in Beijing and a 1.654 billion yuan project in Tongzhou District, which has a processing capacity of 2,100 tons per day and a concession period of 40 years [4]. - Despite the success in project bidding, the bioenergy business has been impacted by the EU's anti-dumping investigation, which imposed a temporary anti-dumping tax of 23.7%, leading to a 19.41% decline in bioenergy revenue [4][6]. - The management indicated that the profit from the biodiesel business primarily comes from self-produced low-cost raw oil, suggesting that market changes have a limited impact on overall operations [4]. Group 2: Synthetic Biology Manufacturing Business - Longkun Technology is actively developing the human milk oligosaccharides (HMOs) sector, collaborating with institutions like the Hefei Institute of Physical Science to advance products such as LNT and LNnT [5][6]. - The company has made significant progress in product certification and market access, with LNnT receiving approval as a new food additive from the National Health Commission and 2'-FL obtaining Self-GRAS certification from the FDA [6][7]. - The establishment of a 1,000-ton HMO production base is underway, with the first phase expected to begin trial production in the first half of 2025 [6]. Group 3: Profit Model - Longkun Technology's profit model is diversified, comprising biomass resource recycling and synthetic biology manufacturing. The company utilizes BOT and BOO models to charge waste treatment fees and sell biodiesel and green electricity [7]. - In 2024, engineering construction revenue surged by 137.82% to 418 million yuan, while operational service revenue increased by 8.57% to 581 million yuan, indicating stable growth despite the decline in bioenergy revenue [7]. - The synthetic biology manufacturing segment is expected to become a new profit growth point as products gain market access, contributing to a 32.07% year-on-year increase in non-net profit [7].

Core Points - ASEAN and China have been each other's largest trading partners for several years, and they are pushing for the rapid signing and implementation of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area 3.0 upgrade protocol, which will further enhance mutual cooperation and achieve win-win outcomes [2][3] - The negotiations for the ASEAN-China Free Trade Area 3.0 have made substantial progress, marking a milestone that demonstrates both parties' commitment to maintaining a free trade system and injecting new momentum into regional economic integration [2][3] - In 2024, trade between China and ASEAN reached 6.99 trillion yuan, an increase of 9.0%, accounting for 15.9% of China's total foreign trade [3] Trade and Economic Cooperation - The ASEAN-China Free Trade Area has been continuously upgraded since its establishment in 2010, with the 2.0 version implemented in 2019 after an upgrade agreement in 2015 [3] - ASEAN has remained China's largest trading partner for five consecutive years, while China has maintained its position as ASEAN's top trading partner for 16 years [3] - The 3.0 version of the free trade area emphasizes digital economy, green economy, and supply chain connectivity as key highlights [4] Digital and Green Economy Initiatives - In the digital economy, both parties agreed to enhance connectivity of digital infrastructure and systems such as electronic invoicing and payments, while incorporating high-level personal information protection and digital trade standards [4] - In the green economy, cooperation will focus on green trade, investment, and standards across eight priority areas, promoting sustainable energy and green industry collaboration [4] Sectoral Collaborations - China and ASEAN countries, including Thailand, have engaged in extensive cooperation in e-commerce, photovoltaic power generation, green agriculture, and new energy vehicles [5] - The ASEAN-China Free Trade Area 3.0 will facilitate further collaboration in digital infrastructure and green industry development, positioning both parties at the forefront of global economic innovation [5] Market Potential - With a combined population of over 2 billion, ASEAN and China can create strong development momentum by integrating all aspects from production to sales, enhancing complementary advantages [6]

21世纪经济报道记者胡慧茵广州报道 新加坡新一届大选结果出炉，执政党人民行动党一如外界所料获胜。 5月4日凌晨，新加坡国会选举结果揭晓。据新华社报道，新加坡选举局公布的计票结果显示，执政党人 民行动党获得国会97个席位中的87席，赢得国会选举。反对党工人党获得10个议席。 据了解，新加坡国会实行一院制，议员由选民投票选举产生，任期5年，占国会多数议席的政党可组建 政府，新加坡执政党人民行动党自1959年执政至今。虽然人民行动党蝉联执政党角色的结果并无悬念， 但此次选举引发热议的地方在于，这是新加坡现任总理、现年52岁的黄循财自接任人民行动党秘书长并 出任新加坡总理以来，第一次带领该党经历大选。而且，此次国会大选比原定时间提前，这也被外界认 为是新加坡国家执政党试图在不稳定的大环境下巩固权力地位以便推行政策。 国会选举后，黄循财的发言也从侧面证实了这一说法。黄循财在5月4日凌晨举行的记者会上表示，在全 球面对严峻风暴的当下，本届新加坡大选的意义重大。他感谢新加坡国民给予其和治理团队的"明确且 有力的委托"，并称这将使新加坡在动荡的世界中，处于更有利的位置。 美国政府滥施关税正冲击东南亚经济。对此，黄循财曾表示， ...

Core Viewpoint - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration against China, aimed at reducing the trade deficit and revitalizing the U.S. economy, is causing significant economic strain and may backfire, as highlighted by former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's warnings about the U.S. economy's vulnerabilities [1][3][5]. Economic Impact - The U.S. trade deficit with China reached $400 billion in 2024, prompting the Trump administration to impose high tariffs on Chinese goods to protect domestic industries and increase government revenue [3][5]. - The U.S. GDP contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, marking the worst performance since the pandemic recovery began, contradicting the administration's optimistic outlook [5][14]. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities - The U.S. heavily relies on China for critical materials, particularly rare earth elements, which account for over 70% of global supply, essential for high-tech manufacturing [5][9]. - Efforts to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earths have been largely unsuccessful, leading to increased production costs and factory shutdowns in the U.S. [7][9]. Inflation and Production Costs - Tariffs have led to rising costs for American manufacturers, as many imported goods are essential raw materials and components, resulting in higher prices for consumers and reduced production capacity [11][12]. - The increase in import costs is expected to lead to higher consumer prices across various sectors, including groceries, fuel, and electronics, putting additional financial pressure on households [16]. Long-term Economic Concerns - Yellen emphasized that the ongoing trade war could severely hinder the U.S. green energy sector, which relies on affordable imports of lithium, nickel, and cobalt from China [11][12]. - The potential for a long-term decline in U.S. competitiveness in global markets is a significant concern, as companies may struggle to compete with foreign rivals if supply chains are disrupted [16].

Core Insights - The first China-Arab Investment Summit was successfully held in Abu Dhabi, UAE, focusing on facilitating Chinese General Partners (GPs) in going global and attracting foreign investment [1][2] - Over 80 influential figures from the fund industry in China and the Middle East gathered to discuss global investment and cooperation [1][2] Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Trends - FDI has experienced significant fluctuations over the past decade, particularly in the services sector, while manufacturing faces challenges [3][5] - The global investment environment remains uncertain, influenced by trade protectionism, necessitating future investment strategies to focus on regionalization and flexibility [4][5] Recent FDI Data - In 2023, global FDI decreased by 3%, with a further decline of 8% expected this year, indicating a continuous downward trend [10][12] - Two major structural forces driving this decline are technological changes reducing the weight of labor costs in production and a policy shift towards rising trade protectionism [10][11] Investment Scenarios - The current FDI environment can be categorized into three scenarios: 1. "Fair Wind" areas: Green investments and service-oriented FDI are growing against the trend, with the service industry accounting for 85% of global FDI, significantly surpassing manufacturing's 15% [13][14] 2. "Breeze" opportunities: Regional investment has not yet met expectations, requiring proactive collaboration among countries to unlock potential [14] 3. "Storm" risks: Geopolitical conflicts and challenges faced by efficiency-seeking manufacturing investments exacerbate uncertainty [15][16] Strategic Recommendations - Countries need to implement precise policies in a complex environment, seizing opportunities in green economy and digital services while promoting regional cooperation [16][17] - The decade-long adjustment of FDI reveals that reliance on cost advantages is increasingly unsustainable, emphasizing the need for quality investments aligned with technological trends and sustainable goals [18][19]

中新社深圳4月29日电 题：中国民营企业如何更好出海？ ——专访前海国际事务研究院院长郑永年 中新社记者 索有为 郑永年：深圳是改革开放的产物，完全是外向型经济，深圳过去多年的制造业发展，主要是靠外资和西方技术的应用，然后实 现转化，当然这个转化非常重要。深圳改革开放走过近45年的历程，在中国乃至世界经济版图里的显著标志就是制造业和创 2020年7月22日，摄影师在深圳前海嘉里中心顶层的"空中花园"拍摄城市风光。 中新社记者 苏丹 摄 新。目前，深圳拥有一批在高质量发展领域起到引领作用的民营企业，如腾讯、华为、大疆等，示范了很好的中国模式。 当下，中国经济发展迈上新征程，民营企业面临内外部环境的深刻变化。著名学者、前海国际事务研究院院长郑永年近日接受 中新社"东西问"专访，围绕民营企业目前发展的机遇和挑战予以深度剖析，并以深圳民营企业为例，就民营企业对中国经济的 重要性、民营企业如何更好出海等发表见解。 现将访谈实录摘要如下： 中新社记者：请您分析下深圳民营企业在特区成长史中的作用。 郑永年：人们经常用"56789"这组数字来形容中国的民营经济，即民营经济贡献了50%以上的税收，60%以上的国内生产总值， 7 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the development of the honey melon industry in Minqin County, Gansu Province, leveraging technology to enhance local income and create a "sweet economy" [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Minqin County is known as the "honey melon hometown of China," with a stable planting area of 150,000 acres and an annual production of 450,000 tons of honey melons [1]. - The unique climate and soil conditions in Minqin, characterized by a temperature difference of 15°C and clean sandy soil, contribute to the optimal growth of honey melons [1]. Group 2: Innovative Practices - To address the issue of price drops during peak harvest seasons, Minqin County is implementing a "staggered planting" model to optimize planting structures and align with market demand [2]. - The county has adopted efficient cultivation methods such as "two years five crops" and "two greenhouses rotation," which have increased greenhouse utilization by 150% [2]. Group 3: Market Strategy - The honey melon industry in Minqin is thriving through a dual-channel approach, utilizing both online and offline sales strategies to expand market reach [3]. - The annual output value of the complete honey melon industry chain exceeds 2 billion yuan, contributing significantly to rural revitalization [3]. - Minqin County aims to enhance brand influence and accelerate agricultural branding through standardized cultivation practices and the promotion of a regional public brand [3].

Group 1 - The central political bureau meeting emphasized the importance of maintaining a "sustained, stable, and active capital market," indicating a strong commitment from the government towards capital market development [2][3][4] - Securities firms are actively supporting the stock market through share buyback and shareholder increase plans, reflecting confidence in the long-term investment value of A-shares [6][7] - The meeting's focus on "sustained stability and active capital markets" suggests that new policies aimed at enhancing market activity are expected to be implemented soon, which will further promote high-quality development in the capital market [8][9] Group 2 - Insurance companies are planning to increase their equity asset allocation, focusing on core A-share assets and sectors such as banking, transportation, public utilities, telecommunications, and pharmaceuticals [12][14] - The first quarter saw insurance funds increasing their holdings in sectors like pharmaceuticals, steel, and home appliances, indicating a strategic shift towards sectors with growth potential [13] - Insurance funds are expected to inject significant capital into the market, with projections of annual inflows of approximately 600 billion to 800 billion yuan over the next three years, driven by a demand for high-dividend stocks [15] Group 3 - Public funds are optimistic about the capital market, planning to increase their A-share allocations and focus on structural opportunities in technology and consumption sectors [16][18] - The meeting's emphasis on stability and activity in the capital market is seen as a positive signal for future policy measures, which are expected to support economic growth and enhance market liquidity [17][19] - Fund managers are identifying six key investment opportunities, including technology innovation, consumption upgrades, infrastructure, real estate transformation, green economy, and capital market reforms [19]

据晨星的最新数据，今年一季度，全球投资者持续抛售ESG可持续基金，净流出额高达86亿美 元（约合人民币627亿元），远超历史上任何时期。其中，欧洲投资者更是首次成为净卖家， 为2018年有数据记录以来的首次。 有分析认为，特朗普政府推动的反对ESG和多元化、公平、包容政策的浪潮正在影响全球资产 管理公司，使他们在全球范围内更加谨慎。 今年以来，美国新能源与ESG政策都在发生重大转变。美国总统特朗普此前明确表示，要取消 与清洁能源相关的补贴和激励政策。他反对强制性碳排放披露的规定，他认为这类规定会增加 企业的合规成本，尤其是对能源、制造业等传统行业的负担，可能会削弱美国企业的国际竞争 力。 根据晨星的最新数据，美国投资者连续第十个季度减少对可持续共同基金和交易所交易基金的 敞口，而欧洲投资者则首次成为净卖家，为2018年有数据记录以来的首次，撤资金额达12亿美 元（约合人民币87亿元）。加上亚洲投资者也在减少敞口，全球ESG可持续基金一季度净流出 额达86亿美元（约合人民币627亿元），远超历史上任何时期。 晨星Sustainalytics可持续投资研究主管Hortense Bioy表示："本季度标志着一个转变 ...