[Table_Title] 策略研究报告 证券研究报告 2025 年 06 月 20 日 以金融制度型改革开放推动高质量发展 ——2025 年陆家嘴论坛学习体会 事件 6 月 18 日上午，2025 陆家嘴论坛正式开幕，本届论坛的主题为"全球经 济变局中的金融开放合作与高质量发展"。 中国人民银行：深化改革，扩大开放，加强全球金融治理 中国人民银行行长潘功胜发表主题演讲时表示，将在上海实施八项创新 政策。这些政策覆盖广泛、内容细致，涵盖金融基础设施建设、跨境贸易金融、 征信监管等多个关键领域。与此同时，措施兼顾当前与长远，既紧扣当前复杂 的国际经贸环境，又着眼未来，服务于更高水平的金融创新与开放，有望推动 上海向更高能级国际金融中心迈进。此次潘功胜行长"关于全球金融治理的若 干思考"的主题演讲主要围绕国际货币体系、跨境支付体系、全球金融稳定体 系、国际金融组织治理四个方面。我们认为，在当前国际经贸变局背景下，潘 功胜行长呼吁调整 IMF 成员国的份额占比结构。这一呼吁具有现实紧迫性和 战略指向，因为 IMF 份额直接决定了成员国在 SDR 普遍分配中的权重。这既 是推进人民币国际化的重要步骤，也是改善当前国际 ...

转自：新华财经 新华财经上海6月20日电（记者杜康、桑彤）6月18日至20日举办的中国国际金融展上，记者了解到，CIPS（Cross-Border Interbank Payments System，即人民 币跨境支付系统）的"朋友圈"不断扩大，截至2025年5月底，CIPS系统参与者共有1683家，其中，直接参与者174家，覆盖全球120个国家和地区。CIPS也从 基础支付通道不断升级，已经深度嵌入参与者现金管理、贸易融资及汇率避险方案中。 "朋友圈"不断扩容 CIPS境外外资直接参与者数量快速增长 作为人民币跨境支付清算的"主渠道"，CIPS系统是经人民银行批准，专司人民币跨境支付清算业务的批发类支付系统，致力于提供安全、高效、便捷和低成 本的资金清算结算服务，是重要的金融市场基础设施。 国际金融展期间，CIPS与6家外资机构举行了直接参与者签约仪式，标准银行、非洲进出口银行、阿布扎比第一银行、吉尔吉斯斯坦Eldik Bank、大华银行 成为CIPS直接参与者，标志着CIPS境外外资直接参与者首次覆盖非洲、中东、中亚及新加坡离岸人民币中心，将进一步便利跨境人民币使用。与中华（澳 门）金融资产交易股份有限公 ...

活动期间，CIPS人民币国际信用证业务在五大国有银行相关海外分行、渣打银行、汇丰银行、开泰银 行、巴西Master Bank等外资银行以及中国五矿、通用技术集团等企业见证下正式开通。信用证是国际 贸易中最常用的结算方式之一，CIPS国际信用证服务是跨境清算公司为便利市场主体以人民币为结算 币种开展国际贸易结算推出的信息服务，该业务开通对优化中国与全球各地区双边人民币贸易结算具有 重要意义。 博通咨询首席分析师王蓬博告诉记者，CIPS正面临前所未有的机遇。随着共建"一带一路"倡议的推进和 中国金融市场的持续开放，越来越多的国家和地区愿意采用人民币进行跨境交易，这为CIPS带来了广 阔的发展空间。同时，CIPS不断优化系统功能和服务体系，提升用户体验，增强了对全球金融机构的 吸引力。 21世纪经济报道记者 唐婧 边万莉 上海报道 "越来越多的国家和地区使用本币结算，促进更多货币的国际化使用，单一主权货币主导跨境支付的局 面正逐步改变。"中国人民银行行长潘功胜在2025陆家嘴论坛开幕式上表示。他还称，中国已初步建成 多渠道、广覆盖的人民币跨境支付清算网络。 同日，为期三天的人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）跨境银企合作 ...

彭博社消息，伦敦正努力吸引更多中国公司在其证券交易所上市，因为伦敦正面临股票市场萎缩和欧洲各地交易枯竭的困境。 "我们需要在伦敦进行更多IPO，"伦敦金融城公司政策主席克里斯·海沃德在上海接受采访时表示。"我们不想失去大西洋彼岸的业务。" 2018年，伦敦与中国人民银行成立了一个工作组，负责监督伦敦的人民币市场。海沃德表示，中国人民银行一直在推动伦敦的全球资产 管理公司发行人民币新产品，以促进人民币的更广泛使用。 他淡化了英国近期对富裕的非定居居民征税以及打击移民措施可能对伦敦作为全球金融中心的吸引力产生的潜在影响，同时敦促努力解 决非定居问题。 中国于2019年与英国启动了股票市场互联互通机制，允许上市公司在对方交易所发行存托凭证。后来，该机制扩展至瑞士和德国。六年 后，只有包括华泰证券在内的少数几家中国公司在伦敦上市，融资总额达66亿美元，交易一直较为低迷。 北京和伦敦今年初承诺深化经济和金融联系，并承诺努力推动中英股市互联互通。 "你必须积极主动地去鼓励企业在你的交易所上市，"海沃德说道，他借鉴了香港今年上半年成功引发首次公开募股（IPO）热潮的经验。 海沃德本周在上海参加了中国年度陆家嘴金融论坛，本周 ...

Core Insights - DBS Bank is expanding its wealth management services in Hong Kong, planning to hire 100 wealth advisors and establish a flagship wealth center by June 2025, despite a backdrop of layoffs in international investment banks and concerns about talent and capital flight from Hong Kong [2][3] - The bank's strategy is based on the belief that the demand for cross-border asset allocation from China's new affluent class will drive the next growth phase in Asia's wealth management market [3][4] - DBS is also applying for a cryptocurrency service license in Hong Kong, aiming to provide digital asset allocation channels to local clients, highlighting the city's clear and forward-looking regulatory framework for virtual assets [2][5] Market Trends - Hong Kong's private wealth management sector saw a net inflow of HKD 341 billion in 2023, nearly doubling year-on-year, indicating a strong recovery in the asset platform's functionality [3][4] - The "New Capital Investor Entry Scheme" (CIES) has attracted over 1,200 applications in just one year, expected to bring in HKD 37 billion in direct investment, reflecting renewed interest in Hong Kong as an asset hub [3][4] - The proportion of cross-border clients in DBS's Hong Kong wealth management business has increased from 20% five years ago to nearly 40%, with expectations to exceed 50% in the next two to three years [3][4] Wealth Management Dynamics - Over one-third of new client assets in Hong Kong are sourced from mainland China, with a significant increase in cryptocurrency trading value, which grew by 85.6% in 2023, the highest in East Asia [4][8] - The demand for alternative assets is rising, with high-net-worth clients increasingly interested in integrating digital assets into their portfolios, moving away from traditional investment strategies [8][9] - The shift in client demographics is notable, with the fastest growth among "next-high-net-worth" individuals, defined as those with assets between USD 5 million and USD 10 million, indicating a broader market opportunity for wealth management firms [6][7] Strategic Positioning - DBS's internal strategy includes expanding its wealth management network in Hong Kong and enhancing its service offerings, such as real-time foreign exchange trading capabilities [4][6] - The bank's recent approval to become a member of the China Foreign Exchange Trading System allows it to participate directly in foreign currency borrowing and repurchase transactions, enhancing its role in the internationalization of the RMB [4][6] - The bank's cautious approach to cryptocurrency services aims to meet high-net-worth clients' needs for digital asset allocation while managing risk exposure [5][9] Future Outlook - The integration of stablecoins, asset tokenization, and ETFs in Hong Kong's financial infrastructure is seen as a critical development for wealth management, providing a compliant channel for digital asset allocation [9][10] - The evolving landscape suggests a shift in asset allocation strategies, with a move towards a more diversified approach that includes alternative assets alongside traditional investments [10][11] - Hong Kong's unique position as a bridge between the RMB and global markets is expected to attract more affluent clients seeking transparent and flexible asset management solutions [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong is a natural choice for both cities as they are complementary financial centers, enhancing their roles in the international financial landscape [1][5][10]. Group 1: Cooperation Framework - The "Shanghai-Hong Kong International Financial Center Collaborative Development Action Plan" was signed on June 18, outlining six areas of deep cooperation, including infrastructure connectivity and offshore financial strategies [1][6]. - The action plan aims to support cross-border financial services innovation and green finance development, enhancing the existing cooperation framework established since the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect in 2014 [6][7]. Group 2: Financial Market Dynamics - Shanghai serves as a key onshore financial hub, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange ranking third globally in market capitalization and leading in bond custody and gold trading volumes [2][4]. - Hong Kong, as the largest offshore RMB business center, has over 1.19 trillion RMB in deposits and has been a crucial channel for mainland enterprises to access international capital [4][5]. Group 3: Future Opportunities - The collaboration is expected to provide more financing opportunities for technology innovation enterprises and increase the demand for cross-border RMB payment settlements [8]. - The partnership will facilitate the establishment of financial centers in both cities, supporting mainland enterprises in their international expansion efforts [7][9]. Group 4: Strategic Importance - The synergy between Shanghai and Hong Kong is seen as a catalyst for the internationalization of the RMB and the integration of China's financial markets into the global system [9][10]. - The relationship is characterized by complementary strengths, with Shanghai focusing on domestic economic cycles and Hong Kong linking global capital networks [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing interest of international investors in RMB assets amid global capital market volatility and the need for portfolio rebalancing [1][2]. Group 1: Global Capital Market Dynamics - The global capital market has experienced significant volatility this year, particularly affecting the status of USD assets as a "safe haven" [1]. - International investors are actively seeking to rebalance their investment portfolios in response to these market changes [1]. Group 2: China's Economic Potential - Several foreign financial institutions highlighted the unique advantages of Chinese assets in global fund diversification during the 2025 Lujiazui Forum [1]. - Howard Marks noted that despite global market fluctuations, China's economy exhibits structural advantages, summarized as "1234" characteristics [3][4]. - The "1" represents a single goal of transitioning to high-quality growth, which requires two transformations: green and digital [3]. - The "3" refers to the coordinated efforts of monetary policy, fiscal policy, and structural reform policy to guide the economy [4]. - The "4" highlights four fundamental advantages of China: a highly educated workforce, a large middle-class market, excellent infrastructure, and a comprehensive supply chain [4]. Group 3: Financial Market Internationalization - Howard Marks proposed two key suggestions for enhancing the internationalization of China's financial market: deepening the opening of investment asset categories to foreign investors and optimizing the foreign product access mechanism [6][7]. - Gokul Laroia emphasized the importance of collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong to attract significant capital flows, noting that even a small outflow from the US could represent a substantial amount [4][5]. - David Perez de Albeniz mentioned that 70% of the 1,500 fund companies they collaborate with are interested in the Chinese market, indicating a strong demand for investment opportunities in China [4]. Group 4: Recommendations for Attracting Foreign Investment - High Laroia highlighted the necessity of creating a conducive environment for RMB internationalization, suggesting that both Shanghai and Hong Kong play crucial roles in this process [7]. - The establishment of a globally adaptable credit rating system and a liquid secondary market are essential for attracting patient capital and facilitating foreign investment in China [7].

Group 1 - A global capital market turmoil is emerging, with the Middle East situation affecting global markets, leading to a 2% drop in the Hang Seng Index [1] - The A-share market is influenced by the Hong Kong market, which in turn is affected by the US market, creating a cycle that impacts trading volumes and market direction [3][4] - The US stock market, valued at $70 trillion, benefits from volatility, as wealthier investors are less affected by emotional trading, allowing them to profit during market fluctuations [4] Group 2 - The A-share market experienced a decline of 1.74%, with over 4,600 companies falling, although there was a brief rebound in sectors like chips and robotics before a shift towards oil and gas [5] - The Chinese market is reportedly well-protected against external shocks, with a strategic design that mitigates risks from geopolitical tensions, such as the situation in Iran [6] - The market's ability to recover and attract global capital is contingent on the performance of key indices like the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300, which need to show strength to draw foreign investment [3][6]

Group 1 - Recent escalation of conflicts in the Middle East has significantly impacted global oil prices, leading to a substantial increase in international oil prices due to the region's status as a major oil exporter and the risk of a broader war between Israel and Iran [1] - Rising oil prices will increase production costs for industrial companies that rely on oil as a raw material and fuel, potentially affecting their profits [1] - Oil companies with existing oil inventories may benefit from the appreciation of their stock, leading to increased revenue [1] Group 2 - The ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations have shown progress, with a joint statement released in Geneva and a temporary suspension of tariff increases for 90 days, which may be extended [2] - China's relaxation of rare earth export policies signals a positive development in trade relations, which could lead to a normalization of trade and support a recovery in global trade [2] - The U.S. stock market has seen a recent rebound, but valuations remain high, while the Hong Kong stock market is positioned for potential recovery due to lower valuations [2] Group 3 - China's economic data indicates significant growth in consumption driven by policies like the trade-in program, although fixed asset investment and industrial output growth remain low, suggesting insufficient growth momentum [3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has shown negative growth for three consecutive months, indicating a need for continued policy measures to boost domestic demand [3] - The internationalization of the Chinese yuan is accelerating, with more countries adopting it for trade settlements, reflecting a clear trend towards de-dollarization [3] Group 4 - The technology sector, particularly in areas like humanoid robots and AI, is expected to lead market growth during a potential recovery, with significant growth opportunities in household applications [3] - The consumer market is experiencing a divergence, with new consumption models thriving among younger demographics, while traditional consumer goods may face short-term pressure but could recover in an upward economic cycle [3]

大伙儿都知道，金融战场的硝烟不亚于真刀真枪的战场，这两天，香港和深圳接连放出大招，政策密集落地，人民币国际化步子迈得又稳又快。 这些数字背后，是咱们的支付系统（CIPS）覆盖了178个国家和地区，香港离岸人民币存款超过8500亿元，连印度尼西亚都和咱们签了本币结算协议。但光 有这些还不够，美国动不动就拿美元当制裁工具，逼得不少国家想找条退路，人民币这时候站出来，既是机遇也是责任。 从跨境上市互通到金融合作机制升级，再到人民币全球布局的深化，中国正用一套组合拳，在金融领域向美元霸权发起强力冲击。今天咱们就掰开了揉碎了 聊聊，这些布局到底藏着什么玄机。 先说香港和深圳这对"金融双城"，最近中央出台的政策里，最扎眼的一条是允许符合条件的香港上市企业到深圳第二上市，这可不是简单的"多开个场子卖 货"，背后藏着深意。香港是国际金融中心，深圳是科技创新的"中国硅谷"，两城一联手，既能帮企业用人民币融资、降低对美元的依赖，又能把国际资本 和内地市场拧成一股绳。 举个例子，一家大湾区企业同时在港交所和深交所上市，不仅能吸引外资，还能拿到人民币资金支持，两边市场优势互补，融资成本降了，抗风险能力也强 了。这招棋，既巩固了香港的 ...