黄金 ETF 规模大增，资金涌入明显 截至1月7日收盘，全市场14只黄金ETF在2026年均取得2%以上的涨幅，工银黄金ETF、华夏黄金ETF、国泰黄金 ETF等涨幅均超过2.5%，国投瑞银白银期货（LOF）年内涨幅更是高达8.75%。资金对黄金ETF青睐有加，Wind数 据显示，最近一周华安黄金ETF、黄金ETF易方达份额增长超万份，国泰黄金ETF增逾9000份。跟踪SGE黄金9999 的ETF产品管理规模达2302.85亿元，跟踪上海金的黄金ETF市场规模达236.82亿元，较2025年底进一步增长。 资金流入黄金ETF领域与开年贵金属价格上涨紧密相关。2026年前三个交易日，国际金价连续上涨近200美元。1 月7日，现货黄金价格时隔近两周盘中再次突破4500美元大关，达4500.640美元/盎司，尽管随后有所回落，但截 至记者发稿仍位于4400美元/盎司左右；白银现货价格当日涨至19636.67元/千克，涨幅2.00%，周涨幅6.26%，月涨 幅达44.74%。 市场波动加剧，监管与机构提示风险 【环球网财经综合报道】2026年开年以来，贵金属市场风云变幻，黄金白银价格震荡上扬，引发市场广泛关注。 黄金 ...

2025年10月，美国财政部公布的国际资本流动报告显示，中国当月减持了118亿美元美债，持仓规模降至6887亿美元，创下2008年全球金融危机以来的最低 纪录。这个数字在金融圈里炸开了锅，人们纷纷议论中国这个美国第二大海外债主是不是要"跑路"了。然而，如果你只把目光盯在美债减持的数字上，那可 能就错过了这场金融大戏的真正主角黄金。 就在同一个月，从莫斯科起飞的货机，机舱里满载着成吨的黄金，目的地是中国。这不是电影情节，而是真实发生的外交与金融动作。根据海关数据，2025 年前11个月，俄罗斯对中国的贵金属（主要是黄金）出口总值达到19亿美元，同比增长近九倍，其中10月和11月的单月出口额均超过9亿美元，不断刷新纪 录。同时，中国人民银行的数据显示，截至2025年11月末，中国的官方黄金储备已达7412万盎司，实现了连续13个月的增持。 中国增持黄金，绝不仅仅是为了"抗通胀"或者"炒金价"。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青指出，截至2025年10月末，中国官方国际储备资产中黄金的占比约为 8.0%，这个数字明显低于全球央行平均15%左右的水平。这意味着从优化储备结构的角度看，增持黄金还有很大空间。更重要的是，黄金是全 ...

12月25日，"招财杯"ETF实盘大赛系列直播邀请到了广发基金指数投资部基金经理姚曦、广发基金投资 管理部账户经理张笑天一起探讨《全民买金"背后：重估黄金投资叙事》。 为持续向投资者普及ETF基础知识，招商证券携手十大基金公司，联合全景网共同举办2025年招商证 券"招财杯"ETF实盘大赛系列直播，旨在帮助投资者提升资产配置与风险管理能力，促进ETF市场的健 康发展。 2025年，黄金市场交出了一份令人瞩目的答卷。金价在波动中屡次挑战历史高位，其背后不仅是传统避 险情绪的推动，更交织着全球央行持续的购金潮、个人投资者通过黄金ETF的大规模涌入，以及对美元 信用体系进行长期重估的复杂叙事。 "2022年开始，各国央行都在大幅度地购买黄金，这一轮黄金价格的上涨，最主要的驱动力来自于各国 央行增加黄金资产配置所驱动的价格上行。" 姚曦表示，传统的黄金分析框架主要关注"美元指数、美债利率"两个指标。彼时，美债的价格波动和美 债利率呈负相关关系，同时美元指数和金价的关系也呈反向关系，这是传统的美元指数和美债利率与黄 金的"跷跷板"关系。但这个关系从2022年开始逐步被打破。 此外，铜、白银和黄金价格上行，共因来自于全球 ...

12月22日，上海黄金交易所公布2026年相关品种交易手续费率安排： 一、从2026年1月1日起至2026年12月31日止，Au（T+D）和mAu（T+D）合约交易手续费率为万分之 一点五，Ag（T+D）合约交易手续费率为万分之一点二，Au（T+N1）、Au（T+N2）、NYAuTN06和 NYAuTN12合约交易手续费率为万分之一。Au（T+D）、mAu（T+D）合约短线开仓手续费率为万分之 一点二五，Ag（T+D）合约短线开仓交易手续费率为万分之零点七五。免收Au（T+D）、mAu （T+D）、Ag（T+D）、Au（T+N1）、Au（T+N2）、NYAuTN06和NYAuTN12合约短线平仓手续 费。 二、从2026年1月1日起至2026年12月31日止，主板黄金现货实盘合约Au99.99、Au99.95、Au100g、 Au99.5交易手续费率为万分之三，免收白银Ag99.99合约交易手续费。 三、从2026年1月1日起至2026年12月31日止，免收上海金、上海银集中定价合约、熊猫金币合约和履约 担保型询价合约交易手续费。 四、从2026年1月1日起至2026年12月31日止，主板询价交易所平台、银行 ...

Core Insights - Silver prices have surged significantly, surpassing $60 per ounce, marking a historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 110%, compared to gold's 60% rise [1][2] Group 1: Price Movements - On October 9, silver prices reached $60.83 per ounce during trading, closing at $60.65, reflecting a daily increase of 4.4% [1] - Year-to-date, silver has outperformed gold, with silver's price increase being more than double that of gold [1][2] Group 2: Market Drivers - The recent surge in silver prices is attributed to three main factors: 1. Expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve policy changes, with a potential interest rate cut anticipated in early 2026, leading to a decline in real interest rates [2][3] 2. Increased industrial demand, particularly from the photovoltaic sector and AI-related industries, which has driven up orders for silver [2][3] 3. Supply constraints from key mining regions, raising concerns about future silver supply [3][4] Group 3: Investment Behavior - The rising silver prices have led to increased interest in silver investments, although many investors are cautious due to high prices [5] - The current high recovery price for silver, which is significantly higher than gold, has led to a higher loss rate for silver when reselling [5] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The divergence in performance between gold and silver is attributed to their differing market drivers, with silver benefiting from industrial demand and supply disruptions, while gold's price has stabilized due to already priced-in geopolitical risks [4][6] - The current market structure for silver, including high ETF holdings and speculative positions, may amplify price volatility [7]

金融市场高水平对外开放是现代经济体系结构性升级的核心战略支点。伴随后疫情时代全球治理体 系深度重构与数字技术范式跃迁，国际金融体系正经历制度规则重塑、科技赋能深化与跨境监管协同三 重结构性变革，国际金融中心的竞争逻辑也从传统的"资本规模竞赛"演进为"制度供给能力比拼"。 2025年9月，由英国Z/Yen集团与中国（深圳）综合开发研究院联合发布的《全球金融中心指数 （GFCI 38）》显示，纽约、伦敦、香港与新加坡持续稳居全球前四，反映出其在制度供给质量、市场 运行效率与风险治理能力方面的综合优势。然而，既有研究对这些领先金融中心的对外开放模式仍缺乏 系统性的理论解构与机制分析，从而限制了对高水平开放路径的深层认知。 作为中国金融市场高水平对外开放的"排头兵"，上海正加速向"具有全球重要影响力的国际金融中 心"战略目标迈进，开放进程已取得阶段性突破。截至2025年9月末，上海持牌金融机构达1796家，外资 机构占比近1/3；国际货币基金组织上海区域中心等高端功能性平台相继落地；"沪港通""债券通""中欧 国际交易所"等跨境互联互通机制持续深化；人民币资产的全球配置功能显著提升。但对标纽约、伦敦 等顶尖金融中心的 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. government is engaging in productive dialogue with both Ukraine and Russia regarding a potential peace plan, which may influence market sentiment and economic data releases in December [1] - The Shanghai Gold ETF (518600) has seen a net inflow of 326 million yuan over the past 10 trading days, with 8 days of inflows, indicating strong investor interest in gold [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector has experienced a decline of 5.26%, with companies like Hanrui Cobalt and Tibet Summit leading the losses [3][7] - The power equipment sector has also seen a drop of 5.17%, with Tianhua New Energy and Haike New Source among the biggest decliners [3][7] Group 3: Investment Insights - Zhongtai Securities is optimistic about a bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by increasing demand from new energy and AI, predicting continued price increases for copper and aluminum [4] - Guosen Securities highlights investment opportunities in new technologies such as solid-state batteries and virtual power plants, as well as the potential for performance improvement in leading companies through overseas expansion [5] Group 4: Industry Trends - The chemical industry is undergoing a supply-side reform, with leading companies expected to gain market share due to better management and energy control [8] - The China Chemical and Physical Power Industry Association is set to release average cost ranges for the lithium iron phosphate industry to prevent price dumping, indicating a move towards more regulated pricing [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has experienced significant declines, dropping below key thresholds of $4000 and $3900 per ounce, with the lowest point reaching $3886 per ounce on October 28, 2023 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - The recent drop in gold prices has led to increased buying activity in gold ETFs, with a net inflow exceeding 2 billion yuan in the past week alone [3][5]. - Despite the decline in gold prices, domestic gold ETFs have maintained a net inflow, with a total increase of approximately 8.65 million shares from October 20 to 28, 2023 [5][6]. - The total net inflow for gold ETFs over the past month has reached around 39.8 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest despite price volatility [5][6]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Analysts suggest that many investors view the current price adjustment as an opportunity to "buy the dip," indicating a long-term bullish sentiment towards gold [7]. - The ongoing trends of "de-dollarization," central bank gold purchases, and inflation expectations due to U.S. debt expansion are expected to provide medium to long-term support for gold prices [7]. - The psychological impact of key price levels (e.g., $3000, $3500, $4000 per ounce) is significant, as these levels serve as technical and psychological anchors for investors [7]. Group 3: Market Analysis - The World Gold Council reported record inflows into physical gold ETFs, with a total of $26 billion in the third quarter of 2023, pushing total assets under management to a historic high of $472 billion [8]. - Current high implied volatility in gold options suggests a crowded market, prompting caution among investors regarding short-term risks [8]. - Research from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that gold's high volatility has negatively impacted its risk-reward ratio, recommending that investors wait for prices to stabilize around $3800 to $3900 per ounce before making new investments [9].

Core Insights - Shanghai's GDP for the first three quarters of 2023 reached 40,721.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.5% at constant prices [1] - The financial sector in Shanghai has shown rapid growth, with key financial metrics indicating a robust expansion and solidifying its status as an international financial center [1][3] Financial Market Performance - The total transaction volume in Shanghai's major financial markets increased by 12.7% year-on-year [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange saw a significant increase in transaction volume, with a growth of 38.4% [1] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Shanghai Gold Exchange also reported transaction volume increases of 11.5% and 40.2%, respectively [1] Financial Sector Contribution - The financial sector's value added reached 6,965.27 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 9.8% [4] - The financial sector accounted for 17.1% of Shanghai's GDP, indicating its critical role in economic growth [4] - The growth rate of the financial sector outpaced the overall GDP growth by 4.3 percentage points, highlighting its importance as a driver of economic expansion [4] Banking Sector Dynamics - By the end of Q3, the total deposits of financial institutions in Shanghai reached 23.84 trillion yuan, with an 8.4% year-on-year increase [5] - The loan balance stood at 12.89 trillion yuan, reflecting a 7.1% year-on-year growth, which is 0.6 percentage points higher than the national average [5] - The demand for credit in Shanghai's real economy remains strong, particularly in long-term loans for enterprises and households [5] Real Estate Market Trends - Recent policy adjustments have positively impacted the real estate market, with new home sales maintaining momentum and second-hand home transactions exceeding 15,000 units for 11 consecutive months [6] - The introduction of the "Shanghai Six" policies has notably increased activity in the outer ring new housing market [6] Securities and Insurance Sector Growth - The securities sector's value added is primarily driven by the growth in transaction volumes, with a remarkable 95.2% increase in trading volume in Q3 [6] - The insurance sector reported a 10.1% growth in original premium income, which is an improvement of 3.9 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [7] - Innovations in financial products and increased openness in the financial market are contributing to the sector's growth [7]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market experienced a significant downturn after a period of record highs, with gold and silver prices plummeting to their largest daily declines in years, raising concerns among investors about future price movements [1][4][7]. Price Movements - Gold reached a historical intraday high before falling approximately 6.3% to around $4,082, marking its largest daily drop since April 2013, with a closing price of $4,130.41 per ounce [1]. - Silver also saw a dramatic decline, dropping nearly 8.7% to below $47.90, the largest intraday drop since February 2021, with a closing price of $48.7050 per ounce [4]. Market Influences - Multiple factors contributed to the pressure on precious metal prices, including expectations of easing trade tensions, a strengthening dollar, and overbought technical indicators, which diminished the safe-haven demand for these metals [7][10]. - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has led to a lack of critical positioning data, increasing uncertainty in the market and potentially allowing speculative long positions to accumulate excessively [10][12]. Technical Analysis - The relative strength index for gold indicated that prices had entered an overbought territory, prompting concerns about potential corrections and profit-taking among traders [8][11]. - Analysts noted that the absence of significant media catalysts on the day of the price drop suggested that the market was due for a correction due to extreme overbought conditions [11][12]. Investor Sentiment - Despite the sharp declines, some analysts believe that the fundamental factors supporting precious metals have not changed, and potential buying interest may limit the extent of any corrections [7][13]. - The recent lack of significant physical demand from India and the absence of key buyers in the Shanghai Gold Exchange were highlighted as notable factors contributing to the market's weakness [12][16]. Future Outlook - Analysts from various firms expressed differing views on the future of gold and silver prices, with some maintaining a bullish outlook while acknowledging the potential for a consolidation phase [10][13]. - The global largest gold ETF, GLD, saw unprecedented trading volumes, indicating heightened interest and activity in the market despite the recent downturn [14].