Group 1 - The main contracts for the CSI 300 index futures (IF) increased by 0.61% [1] - The main contracts for the SSE 50 index futures (IH) rose by 0.45% [1] - The main contracts for the CSI 500 index futures (IC) saw an increase of 0.56% [1] - The main contracts for the CSI 1000 index futures (IM) grew by 0.88% [1]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 5 月 20 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2506 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏强 | 区间震荡 | 政策端利好构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：区间震荡 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均探底回升，全天震荡整理。股市全市场成交额 11189 亿元，较上日缩量 52 亿元。昨日统计局公布了 4 月消费与固定资产投资数据，符合市场 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The economic recovery slope has slowed, with weak internal momentum, low market confidence, and high deflation pressure. Further policy support is needed, and the role of domestic demand has become more important. The expectation of macro - policy regulation has increased, and attention should be paid to the implementation and impact of policies at the end of the second quarter [2]. - Given the macro - policy expectations and improved risk appetite in the equity market, the long - term treasury bonds have adjusted, showing the stock - bond seesaw effect. Although the economic data in April indicates that policies are still needed to boost the internal momentum of economic recovery, the index is supported. However, due to insufficient trading volume, weak sentiment, and the possibility of tariff negotiation setbacks, the index is likely to oscillate and fall into a range - bound pattern. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and go long at low levels after a stable correction [2]. 3. Summary by Directory Market Performance - **Market Review**: Last week, the Sino - US trade agreement was reached, and the overseas equity market risk appetite improved. With the support of domestic macro - policy expectations and mixed economic data, the index rose first and then fell, with most sectors rising. From May 9th to May 16th, the CSI 300 rose 1.12%, SSE 50 rose 1.22%, CSI 500 fell 0.10%, and CSI 1000 fell 0.23%. IF rose 0.98%, IH rose 1.09%, IC fell 0.05%, and IM fell 0.19%. The overnight Shibor rate increased by 16 basis points, and DR007 increased by 9.65 basis points [1][4]. - **Institutional Positions**: As of May 16th, the net short positions of the top 20 institutional members in IF and IC increased from 30,135 and 13,473 to 32,221 and 14,142 respectively, while those in IH and IM decreased from 11,943 and 35,213 to 11,025 and 34,951 respectively [4]. - **Liquidity and Capital**: As of May 16th, the net capital outflow from the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 201.371 billion yuan, with 128.359 billion yuan from the main board and 56.138 billion yuan from the ChiNext. The margin trading balance increased by about 2.239 billion yuan, and the data on foreign capital was not released [5]. Macroeconomic Fundamentals - In April, the economy declined seasonally. Although imports and exports exceeded expectations, the internal economic momentum was still weak, with weak financing demand in the real economy. Investment mainly relied on policies, consumption was resilient but showed a marginal decline, and market confidence was insufficient. The economic recovery slope slowed, and further policy support was needed. The role of domestic demand became more important, and the expectation of macro - policy regulation increased [2]. Viewpoints and Strategies - In China, due to the implementation of macro - policy expectations and improved risk appetite in the equity market, long - term treasury bonds have adjusted. The economic data in April shows that policies are still needed to boost the internal momentum of economic recovery, which supports the index. However, due to insufficient trading volume, weak sentiment, and the possibility of tariff negotiation setbacks, the index is likely to oscillate and fall into a range - bound pattern. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and go long at low levels after a stable correction [2].

股指期货午盘收盘 金十期货5月19日讯，沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约跌0.08%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约跌 0.17%，中证500股指期货（IC）主力合约涨0.23%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约涨0.44%。 ...

股指期货市场周报 华金期货 研究院 2025/5/19 一、股指期货宏观及市场展望 • 周度宏观及消息面： • 上周沪深300指数冲高回落，成交上升。资金方面，近5个交易日主力资金净流出910亿元，融资 资金增长25亿元；宏观层面，国内经济弱势企稳，财政政策、货币政策保持宽松；风险方面，关 注关税政策、海外经济通胀、地缘政治冲突及美联储相关政策。 • 技术上，沪深300指数位于40均线上方，短期成交略升，中长期估值位于中低位。观点方面，短 期指数震荡，投资者逢低做多。 二、股指期货行情及基差 3 股指期货 上周收盘 本周收盘 周涨幅 周成交量 周持仓量 成交量/持仓量 IF2506 3808.6 3846 0.98% 305286 154933 1.97 IH2506 2666.2 2695.2 1.09% 173620 54791 3.17 IC2506 5604.8 5601.8 -0.05% 280929 116190 2.42 IM2506 5945.2 5933.8 -0.19% 742837 188635 3.94 • 周度总结及后市展望： 3 • 国内消息：4月份，社会消费品零售总额37174亿 ...

| 大类资产早报 | | --- | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/05/19 | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/05/16 | 4.480 | 4.648 | 3.262 | 2.589 | 3.595 | 3.211 | 0.295 | 3.341 | | 最新变化 | 0.047 | -0.011 | -0.031 | -0.031 | -0.031 | -0.024 | -0.019 | -0.042 | | 一周变化 | 0.100 | 0.082 | -0.002 | 0.028 | -0.013 | 0.006 | 0.023 | -0.016 | | 一月变化 | 0.144 | 0.001 | -0.031 | 0.057 | -0.120 | -0.028 | -0.15 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 5 月 19 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2506 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏强 | 区间震荡 | 政策端利好构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：震荡 获 取 每 日 期 货 观 点 推 送 扫码关注宝城期货官方微信·期货咨询尽在掌握 服 务 国 家 走向世界 知行合一 专业敬业 诚 信 至 上 合 规 经 营 严谨管理 开拓进取 ...

沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约跌0.60%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约跌1.15%，中证500股指期 货（IC）主力合约涨0.09%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约涨0.38%。 股指期货早盘收盘 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 5 月 16 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2506 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏强 | 区间震荡 | 政策端利好构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：震荡 参考观点：区间震荡 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均震荡回调。股市全市场成交额 11904 亿元，较上日缩量 1595 亿元。4 月社 融信贷数据好坏参半，政府债发力明显，但是企业与居民部门融 ...

股指期货早盘开盘 沪深300股指期货（IF）主力合约跌0.08%，上证50股指期货（IH）主力合约跌0.18%，中证500股指期 货（IC）主力合约涨0.15%，中证1000股指期货（IM）主力合约涨0.16%。 ...