Core Insights - The Trump administration is drafting an executive order to authorize U.S. companies to mine polymetallic nodules in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone of the Pacific, which are rich in nickel, cobalt, manganese, and rare earth elements, to bolster U.S. strategic reserves against potential conflicts with China [1] - The focus on rare earth exports has intensified following the suspension of tariffs between the U.S. and China, with the U.S. aiming to secure its access to rare earths while China views its dominance in this sector as a strategic advantage [1][3] - The U.S. military's heavy reliance on rare earth materials has raised concerns, as the majority of rare earth processing capabilities are concentrated in China, with over 80% of U.S. rare earth imports sourced from there [3][7] Industry Dynamics - Following China's announcement of export controls on seven categories of heavy rare earths, prices for rare earth metals have surged, with dysprosium prices doubling to $850 per kilogram and terbium prices increasing over 210% to $3,000 per kilogram [3] - The Chinese government has initiated measures to combat smuggling of strategic minerals, reminiscent of policies from 2010-2011 that led to a spike in global rare earth prices [5] - The U.S. faces challenges not only in mining but also in refining rare earths, as it has historically relied on China for processing, which complicates the supply chain for critical military applications [7]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the misidentification of 600 kilograms of solder paste as rare earth materials, which was clarified by Nanning Customs stating that bismuth is not a rare earth element and the involved company could not provide an export license [1] - The solder paste in question contained 55.3% bismuth and was intended for electronic soldering, not classified as rare earth materials [1] - Rare earth elements are defined as a group of 17 metals, including lanthanum, cerium, and neodymium, and are considered non-renewable resources [1] Group 2 - Following China's export control measures on seven categories of medium and heavy rare earth items, there has been a significant increase in overseas rare earth prices, with dysprosium and terbium oxide prices in Europe rising nearly threefold [3] - A meeting was held by various government departments to address the smuggling of strategic minerals, emphasizing the importance of export controls for national security and development interests [3] - The meeting highlighted the need for collaboration among departments to combat smuggling and ensure compliance in the trade of strategic minerals [4] Group 3 - Analysts predict a rebound in domestic rare earth prices due to tightening supply and sustained demand from sectors like electric vehicles and energy-efficient air conditioners [5] - The supply chain for rare earths is expected to become more concentrated, with projections indicating a significant market for rare earth permanent magnets driven by future production of humanoid robots [5] - Recent price increases are attributed to higher overseas prices compared to domestic prices, along with expectations of increased demand for exports [5]

彭博社认为，美国不应该总靠封锁来解决问题，因为这样只会让中国科技发展更快，从中国在高科技领域取得的进步就 能看出。对此彭博社表示：美国需要借鉴中国工业化的成功经验。比如中国制造业崛起，彭博社认为和关税无关，从上 世纪90年代开始，中国降低进口壁垒，采取一系列政策刺激制造业。而这恰好和美方一直以来实施的加关税政策背道而 驰，从而给美国制造业带来反噬。 当地时间5月13日，美国商务部工业与安全局宣布正式启动程序，撤销拜登政府时期制定的《人工智能扩散规则》，并发 布三份重要文件，进一步加强对先进计算芯片和相关技术的出口管制。拜登执政末期发布的《人工智能扩散规则》原定 于5月15日生效，但特朗普政府认为其严重扼杀了美国企业创新，并带来繁重监管要求，多次公开宣称计划废除该政策。 美国商务部负责工业与安全事务的副部长杰弗里·凯斯勒表示，拜登时期的AI管制政策不仅未能达到预期效果，反而产生 负面作用"。 知情人士透露，美国商务部正在起草新的方案，可能转而与各国磋商单独协议。报道称，美国政府未来几个月与各国可 能磋商的双边芯片协议条款将是关键所在，但达成这类协议是一项艰巨的任务，而且可能导致企业须遵守数十项不同的 政策规定。 ...

据北京青年报报道，我国对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税调整措施开始实施。调整《国务院关税税则 委员会关于对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税的公告》规定的加征关税税率，由34%调整为10%，在90 天内暂停实施24%的对美加征关税税率。停止实施《国务院关税税则委员会关于调整对原产于美国的进 口商品加征关税措施的公告》和《国务院关税税则委员会关于调整对原产于美国的进口商品加征关税措 施的公告》规定的加征关税措施。 特朗普（资料图） 中国国际问题研究院研究员、美国问题专家刘飞涛在接受中青报·中青网记者采访时表示，此次会谈内 容主要聚焦近期新增的关税事项，不包括今年2月和3月美国以所谓芬太尼问题为由，对中国输美产品两 度加征的共计20%关税。这意味着，中国对自美国进口商品的关税从125%降至10%，美国对中国商品的 关税由145%降至30%，仍处于较高水平。美国单边强征关税的做法，还需要进一步纠正。 多数美国民众对特朗普关税政策不满，华尔街、硅谷接连向特朗普政府施压，国内政治压力逐步显现。 一方面，特朗普最新民调支持率大幅下降，或将影响共和党在2026年中期选举的表现。特朗普接受电视 专访时表示，将不谋求连任总统，更关注2 ...

【文/观察者网 熊超然】在美国总统特朗普于4月初挑起全面关税战后，稀土出口管制成为了中方众多 的"反制王牌"之一。外媒当时解读称，中方正在建立出口许可制度，要想购买中国稀土，就得先申请出 口许可证。 当地时间5月18日，英国《金融时报》援引业内出口商、行业组织和供应链专家称，在数周延迟后，中 方已批准部分对欧出口许可证，但审批速度"太慢"，远不能满足需求。报道中出现的"抱怨声"还炒作渲 染，这种缓慢的审批进度恐将扰乱全球供应链。 德国工业联合会（BDI）执行董事会成员沃尔夫冈·尼德马克（Wolfgang Niedermark）表示："避免欧洲 生产受到重大损害的窗口正在迅速关闭。"而包括特斯拉、福特和洛克希德·马丁在内的美国制造商，则 在最近的投资者吹风会上表达了对中国新出口管制的担忧。一名不愿透露姓名的欧洲驻华行业高管声 称，目前的延误对外国制造商来说是"无法承受的"。 江苏连云港等待出口的稀土 路透社 今年4月初，面对美国总统特朗普执意挑起关税战，中国也发起了一系列反制措施，其中就包括对钐、 钆、铽、镝、镥、钪、钇等7类中重稀土相关物项实施出口管制措施。英国《金融时报》当时曾援引业 内人士透露，中方正在建 ...

关注地缘政治竞争中的科技政策与数字治理，仅代表个人观点，与作者所在的组织无关。 申请入围"中国IC独角兽" 半导体高质量发展创新成果征集 5月15日，外界发现BIS悄悄修改了此前撤销AI扩散规则、加强AI芯片出口管制新闻稿中的一句话，涉及引起 广泛关注的"美国全球禁用 华为昇腾芯片"。 以下文章来源于东不压桥研究院 ，作者南极土著 东不压桥研究院 . 最初版本的表述是："发布指南指出，在全球任何地区使用华为昇腾芯片都违反美国出口管制规定。"（Issuing Guidance that using Huawei Ascend chips anywhere in the world violates U.S. export controls.） 我不这么认为。 这里需要厘清几个事实： 1、5月13日，BIS共发布了四份文件，包括一篇新闻稿（press release）和三个指南（guidance）。改动只发生 在面向公众的新闻稿中，三个指南本身的内容没有任何变化。 2、新闻稿是给公众看的，不是一份法律文件，其措辞的改动没有法律上的意义。 3、 三个指南是法律文件，产生法律上的后果。合规只看指南，不看新闻稿。 修改 ...

Summary of Tungsten Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - China holds the largest tungsten resources and production scale globally, accounting for over 80% of global production and 49% of consumption, significantly influencing the global tungsten market [2][4] - The tungsten industry has a complete supply chain from extraction to final products, with major applications in hard alloys (cutting tools, drill bits) and military materials [2][6] Key Points and Arguments - The current tungsten market faces a contradiction between tight upstream supply and insufficient downstream orders. Rapid price increases in raw materials have raised cost pressures for midstream alloy manufacturers, while downstream manufacturing orders have not seen significant growth, leading to potential losses in the midstream sector [2][7] - The easing of the US-China trade war has raised expectations for a recovery in downstream order demand, but upstream supply remains under national control, meaning that increased demand will not immediately reflect in upstream mining. The transmission effect will take at least a month, with longer processing cycles for tools and final products [2][9][10] - Major domestic tungsten producers include China Tungsten High-Tech and Xiamen Tungsten, while overseas companies like Sandvik and Kennametal focus more on product value addition and branding [2][11] Market Dynamics - Tungsten prices have risen approximately 20% since 2025, driven by export controls due to the US-China trade war, particularly on dual-use items, and a unified adjustment of tungsten mining quotas by domestic rare earth groups, leading to tight upstream supply [3][5][12] - The optimism in market expectations and insufficient inventory among domestic enterprises have contributed to the price increase, alongside speculative investments in the non-ferrous metals market [5][12] Challenges in the Tungsten Market - The market is currently challenged by tight upstream supply and a lack of downstream orders. Rising raw material prices are increasing cost pressures for midstream alloy manufacturers, while the reduction in orders has also led to a decline in secondary raw material production, affecting the prices of scrap and waste alloys [7][8] Emerging Applications - Although there is some demand for tungsten in the photovoltaic sector, its overall impact on supply and demand is limited. Research into using tungsten for battery materials is still in the experimental stage and has not yet significantly affected current supply and demand dynamics [8] Future Price Trends - The future price trajectory remains uncertain, with midstream sectors facing loss pressures. Current pricing is based on existing raw material prices plus processing fees. If future order volumes are substantial, there may be improvements, but no significant changes have been felt in the midstream sector yet [14] - Some industry experts believe that black tungsten concentrate prices may reach historical highs, with estimates suggesting prices could exceed 200,000 yuan per ton, although this view is not universally accepted [14]

Core Insights - The importance of strategic metals has been further highlighted, with the Chinese government implementing export controls on key strategic minerals to safeguard national security and development interests [2][5][9] - Recent export control measures have led to significant price increases for certain strategic metals, indicating a tightening supply chain and heightened market volatility [4][6][7] Group 1: Export Control Measures - The Chinese government has organized multiple meetings to strengthen the export control of strategic minerals, including gallium, germanium, antimony, tungsten, and rare earth elements [2][5] - The export control measures are seen as a response to external pressures, particularly from the U.S., and aim to prevent the outflow of strategic resources while promoting compliance in trade [5][9] Group 2: Price Dynamics - Following the implementation of export controls, prices for certain strategic metals have surged, with European prices for dysprosium and terbium increasing by approximately three times since April [6][7] - The price disparity between domestic and international markets has reached historical peaks, with antimony price differences reaching 180,000 yuan per ton [6][7] Group 3: Market Implications - Analysts predict that the current high prices for strategic metals may not be sustainable in the long term, but a significant price increase of 20% to 50% could occur in the short term due to supply chain pressures [8] - The strategic metal sector is expected to undergo a value reassessment, with long-term price trends indicating a potential annual increase of 20% from 2025 to 2030 [8][9]

根据出口管制相关法律法规规定，中国商务部于4月4日和9日分别发布了第21号和22号公告，共将28家美国实体列入出口管制管控名单，禁止向其出口两 用物项。为落实中美经贸高层会谈的共识，决定自5月14日起，在90天内暂停上述相关措施。中国努力推动改善双边关系，但在90天窗口期内，美国相关 实体应借此表明其无意触碰中国底线的诚意。 各国应该清楚，只要不从事损害中国国家主权、安全、发展利益的活动，出口管制不会影响企业的正常经营贸易等活动，更不会影响国际产业链供应链 稳定和安全。 中国同其他国家一样，绝不容忍任何一方恩将仇报。 本文编译自《中国日报》5月16日社论 中国是全球最大的稀土生产和出口国，国家出口管制工作协调机制办公室5月12日在湖南省长沙市召开专门会议，部署开展了加强战略矿产出口全链条管 控工作，强调合法经营，合规贸易，加强源头管控，重点打击战略矿产走私出口。 14日，中国商务部新闻发言人对媒体表示，战略矿产管控需从源头入手，加强开采、冶炼、加工、运输、制造、销售、出口全链条管控。相关地方主管 部门将加快开展本地区战略矿产相关企业注册登记和台账记录工作，确保管控措施落实到位。 中国对镓、锗、锑、钨、中重稀土 ...

观赏用的铋的独特色彩和形状很有魅力 铋被广泛用于喷淋器的喷头、医药品原料、焊料等多种用途。铋在欧洲的价格目前约为每磅45美元。1 月下旬时为6美元多，已涨至约7倍。中国在铋生产中所占的比例为81%，3月份的出口量为零…… 用于焊料等的稀有金属铋的价格正在快速上涨。近3个月的价格涨幅达到7倍。作为对美国特朗普政府加 征关税的报复措施的一环，作为最大生产国的中国启动了出口管制。中国的未加工产品出口量为零，铋 的供需变得紧张。 "短期内价格如此急涨让人惊讶"，生产铋的日本东邦亚铅的金属营业部部长桥田幸弘这样表示。目前， 铋在欧洲的价格约为每磅45美元。1月下旬时为6美元多，现在已涨至约7倍。 铋被广泛用于喷淋器的喷头、医药品原料等多种用途。其中有代表性的是用于接合电子零部件等的焊 料。铋的熔点低，如果用来代替铅，将成为几乎没有毒性的焊料。 由于彩虹般的光芒，用于观赏也很受欢迎 在观赏用途方面，铋在矿物收集者中很受欢迎。这是因为当铋加热融化后再次结晶时，会呈现出独特的 形状和彩虹色的光芒。 销售矿物标本的东京科学（TOKYO SCIENCE，东京都涉谷区）每隔几个月就会向德国制造商采购铋。 东京科学针对铋介绍称，"闪 ...