有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 有色周报：地缘溢价抬升，战略金属表现 可期 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 核心观点：地缘溢价抬升，战略金属表现可期。伊以冲突爆发后，继续升温的不可控风 险仍然较大，避险属性预期对贵金属价格将形成明显支撑。工业金属方面，春节期间铜 铝库存大幅累积，随着下游进入复工复产，旺季需求成色将迎来检验，重点关注节后复 工的去库速度，将决定节后工业品价格强度。 投资标的： 相关标的：山东黄金(600547，未评级)、山金国际(000975，未评级)、中金黄金 (600489，未评级)、赤峰黄金(600988，买入)、紫金矿业(601899，买入)、洛阳钼业 (603993，未评级)、中国铝业(601600，未评级)、西部矿业(601168，未评级)、金诚 信(603979，未评级)。 风险提示 下游需求弱于预期、供给端大量释放、美联储降息进程不及预期等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 03 月 01 日 看好维持 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec. ...

消息面上，美国拟为全球关键矿产贸易制定参考价格。环球富盛发布研报称，铌钽作为重要的战略资 源，在国防军工领域具有不可替代的地位。近年来，随着国内需求爆发，自主掌控铌钽资源的重要性愈 发凸显。随着国家对稀有金属产业的日益重视和持续投入，国内铌钽行业迎来了快速发展的黄金时期。 辉立证券发布研报称，稀美资源为中国钽铌冶金产品核心生产商。赣锋锂业目前持有稀美资源 15.79% 股权，为第二大股东。赣锋锂业作为全球锂行业龙头，长期聚焦新能源金属产业链。钽铌作为半导体、 航空航太等高端领域的关键材料，与锂资源同属战略金属范畴。赣锋锂业通过持股稀美资源，或旨在拓 展战略金属版图，完善在高端材料领域的产业链协同。 来源：智通财经网 稀美资源(09936)涨超14%再创新高，截至发稿，涨10.3%，报15.42港元，成交额1366.47万港元。 ...

稀美资源(09936)涨超14%再创新高，截至发稿，涨10.3%，报15.42港元，成交额1366.47万港元。 辉立证券发布研报称，稀美资源为中国钽铌冶金产品核心生产商。赣锋锂业（002460）目前持有稀美资 源15.79%股权，为第二大股东。赣锋锂业作为全球锂行业龙头，长期聚焦新能源金属产业链。钽铌作 为半导体、航空航太等高端领域的关键材料，与锂资源同属战略金属范畴。赣锋锂业通过持股稀美资 源，或旨在拓展战略金属版图，完善在高端材料领域的产业链协同。 消息面上，美国拟为全球关键矿产贸易制定参考价格。环球富盛发布研报称，铌钽作为重要的战略资 源，在国防军工领域具有不可替代的地位。近年来，随着国内需求爆发，自主掌控铌钽资源的重要性愈 发凸显。随着国家对稀有金属产业的日益重视和持续投入，国内铌钽行业迎来了快速发展的黄金时期。 ...

| | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 * | | | | F9 盘前盘后 盛加 九转 画线 工具 | | (2) (2) | 有色ETF华宝 | | 159876 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 159876(有色ETF华富) 09:48 价 1.230 浴膜 0.026(2.16%) 均价 1.217 成效量 5537 | | | 2.199 | DEG | | +0.026 +2.169 | | | | | | | | | | | SZSE CNY 9:48:42 文星中 | | 原ノ ■ + | | | MJ 277 | | | | | | | 1.4699 | 净值出处 | | 华宝中证有色会属ETF | | × | | | | | | | | | 今年 | 23,49% 120日 | 67.12% | | | | | | | | | | 0.73% | ਟੇਜ | 5.13% 250日 | 125,72% | | R | | | | | | | ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the non-ferrous metals industry, focusing on lithium, rare earths, copper, aluminum, and strategic metals [2][3][4][8][9]. Core Insights and Arguments Lithium Market - The lithium market shows strong fundamentals, with short-term supply weakness and strong demand. Inventory levels are low, with a significant price tolerance for lithium at 200,000 CNY/ton, yielding an IRR of over 8% [2][5]. - The impact of regulatory changes in Yichun and strict requirements for tailings storage may delay the resumption of production [2][5]. - Demand for lithium remains robust, with production in March expected to increase by 23% month-on-month and over 50% year-on-year [5]. Rare Earths - The rare earth sector demonstrates resilience, with prices continuing to rise, particularly in Wuxi where prices exceed 900,000 CNY. The market has not fully reflected the improvements in the fundamentals of rare earth prices [2][8]. - Supply tightness is expected to continue, with the overall price center projected to reach 800,000 CNY or higher in 2026 [8]. Copper Market - The outlook for the copper sector is optimistic, supported by macroeconomic trends and structural demand increases from AI data centers and strategic reserves [4][15]. - Supply remains rigid, with several companies lowering their production guidance for 2026 due to various constraints, leading to a projected supply gap of over 650,000 tons [16][17]. Aluminum Sector - The aluminum supply is expected to increase by approximately 70,000 tons this year, with global demand growth projected at 2.5% [21]. - The cost of alumina is anticipated to decrease, enhancing the profitability of Chinese electrolytic aluminum enterprises [24]. Strategic Metals - Investment in strategic metals is recommended due to their industrial applications and low cost ratios, with potential candidates including tungsten, oil, and antimony [10][11][12]. - The strategic metal sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions and military applications, making it a compelling investment opportunity [9][10]. Additional Important Insights - The gold market is viewed as undergoing a technical correction, with expectations of a narrative consolidation period ahead [9]. - The copper market is influenced by China's actions to enhance its copper resource reserve system, which may increase demand and valuation [19]. - Companies to watch include major players in the non-ferrous metals sector such as Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and others that are expected to benefit from the current market dynamics [20][30]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the non-ferrous metals industry.

点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"在看"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，遇见 志同道合 的你 （请添加小编微信，后续会组建 相关微信群 ） 正文 主要内容： | ※ | | --- | 1、2024/2025年钨精矿价格屡创新高 2024 年二季度我国钨精矿价格一度创下历史新高;并且该高点已于 2025 年二季度再次突破。2024年二季度我国钨精矿价格一度创下历史新高;并且该 高点已于 2025 年二季度再次突破。2024 年钨价的高点出现在 2024 年 5 月 24 日的 15.8 万元/吨,突破自 2012年以来的历史前高 (2013年 8 月 12 日的 14.4 万元/吨），当日年内累计涨幅达到 29.26%。2025年，随着我国开始对钨制品 实施出口管制、第一批钨精矿开采配额同比下降等价格利好因素的出现，钨精矿 价格再次进入趋势性上涨通道,12月17日,我国钨精矿价格达到历史新高 42.30 万元/吨,当日年内累计涨幅达到195.80%。 图 1: 2024/2025 年二季度我国钨精矿价格屡创新高 回顾上一轮钨价大涨，行情结束原因主要包括中美贸易摩擦导致的信心下降 以及供大于求的供需格 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations throughout the day, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4131.99 points, up 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14160.93 points, down 0.35%, and the ChiNext Index at 3284.74 points, down 1.08% [2] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector showed strong performance, with companies like Dongfang Tantalum Industry, Zhongtung High-tech, Xianglu Tungsten Industry, and Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry hitting the daily limit [1] - The steel sector also performed well, with Baodi Mining reaching the daily limit [1] - The oil and gas sector saw fluctuations, with CNOOC Engineering hitting the daily limit [1] - The coal sector became active in the afternoon, led by Shanxi Coking Coal [1] - Conversely, the film and television sector experienced a collective adjustment, with Hengdian Film and Jin Yi Film hitting the daily limit down [1] - The education sector saw widespread declines, with Huatu Shandian leading the drop [1] - The communication equipment sector fell, with Xinyi Sheng showing significant losses [1][3] Hot Sectors Non-Ferrous Metals - The strategic metal bull market is supported by rising resource nationalism, the "weaponization" of strategic resources, and significant changes in demand-driven industries [4] - Recent geopolitical events, such as U.S. military actions in Venezuela and discussions regarding Iran, have further emphasized the strategic importance of metal resources [4] - Investment opportunities are seen in strategic metals characterized by strong scarcity and rigid supply, as well as industries benefiting from significant changes in demand [4] Oil and Gas - The oil sector's performance is primarily supported by geopolitical tensions and oil price expectations [5] - The oil and gas sector faces uncertainties due to recent global environmental changes, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and U.S. tariff policies [5] - OPEC+ is expected to maintain a high fiscal balance oil price cost, with Brent crude oil projected to average between $55 and $65 per barrel by 2026, and WTI crude oil between $52 and $62 per barrel [5]

A股三大指数早盘走势分化，有色金属概念股走强，稀土板块表现亮眼。北矿科技、格林美涨停，厦门 钨业涨超7%，北方稀土涨超5%。 有分析认为，国内稀土价格未来上涨预期持续攀升，当前氧化镨钕价格突破70万元/吨关口，2026一季 度稀土产业有望保持业绩高增。长期看，稀土行业供需关系持续改善，供给方面，开采与冶炼分离实行 总量调控，国内指标增速放缓，供给增长滞后于需求扩张；需求方面，机器人、低空经济、军工等产业 快速发展拉动需求释放。此外，海外冶炼成本高企等因素也对价格形成支撑，稀土战略价值有望迎来重 估。 资料显示，稀土ETF（159713）跟踪中证稀土产业指数，该指数选取涉及稀土开采、稀土加工、稀土贸 易和稀土应用等业务相关上市公司证券作为样本，以反映稀土产业上市公司证券的整体表现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 受盘面影响，稀土ETF（159713）涨超3%。 消息面上，美国计划启动关键矿产储备项目"金库计划"，强化了稀土作为"战略金属"的长期溢价逻辑。 ...

Group 1 - The rare metals sector experienced a strong rally, with the Zhongzheng Rare Metals Theme Index rising by 1.88% as of 10:27 AM on February 9, 2026, driven by significant gains in stocks such as Shenghe Resources (+9.93%), Yunlu Co. (+5.81%), and China Rare Earth (+5.76%) [1] - Recent price increases in antimony ingots (+2.49%) and antimony concentrates (+1.40%) are attributed to supply disruptions caused by a fire at Hunan Zhenqiang Antimony Industry, which is expected to reduce production by over 2,000 tons [1] - The demand for antimony is anticipated to rise post-Spring Festival due to the traditional peak season for flame retardant materials, alongside expectations of improved capacity utilization in photovoltaic glass and a recovery in exports [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities maintains a positive outlook on strategic metal investment opportunities characterized by resource scarcity and supply rigidity, emphasizing the importance of these metals in the context of global technological revolutions and strategic resource nationalism [2] - The demand for strategic metals is expected to increase significantly due to changes in the demand structure driven by new technologies, with sectors such as new energy, new materials, and artificial intelligence leading this demand surge [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Rare Metals Theme Index accounted for 59.71% of the index, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [2] Group 3 - The Rare Metals ETF (562800) tracks the Zhongzheng Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the rare metals sector [3] - Investors can also consider the Rare Metals ETF linked fund (014111) to explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector [4]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the copper industry and strategic metals, highlighting recent trends in pricing and demand dynamics [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Copper Price Decline and Recovery in Orders**: - A significant drop in copper prices has led to a surge in downstream purchasing activity. According to a survey by Mysteel, 31 domestic copper rod manufacturers and 6 traders reported an order volume of 43,000 tons, an increase of 28,600 tons from the previous day, representing a 197.73% week-on-week growth [1]. - Specifically, the order volume for refined copper rods reached 41,700 tons, marking a historical high since the survey began, with a week-on-week increase of 29,000 tons, or 228.75% [1]. - This indicates that as copper prices fall, downstream demand is beginning to materialize, with companies moving to fulfill delayed orders from December [1]. - **Strategic Metals and Resource Stocks**: - The value of strategic resources will determine the positioning of resource stocks in the market. The external manifestation of this value is reflected in the pricing of strategic metals [2]. - There is confidence in the long-term prospects for strategic metals, particularly tin and nickel, with a strong outlook for these commodities through 2026 [3][4]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Opportunities in Resource Companies**: - Recommendations for bottom-fishing in quality companies include: - **Copper**: Zijin Mining (900 billion as a bottom), Western Mining (70 billion bottom), and Luoyang Molybdenum (around 450 billion bottom). Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining are noted for their low valuations [4]. - **Aluminum**: China Aluminum (200 billion bottom, 22 billion profit) based on a price assumption of 23,000 [4]. - **Tin**: Huaxi Nonferrous (300 billion, with profits expected around 2 billion) and Tin Industry Co. (already low valuation) based on a price assumption of 350,000 [4]. - **Nickel**: Huayou Cobalt with profits of 8 billion at a nickel price of 15,000, considered very cheap [4].