丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 联合研究丨公司点评丨龙净环保（600388.SH） [Table_Title] 拟向紫金定增募资 20 亿元，紫金持股比例或将 提升至 33.76% 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年 10 月 24 日，龙净环保发布《2025 年度向特定对象发行 A 股股票预案》，拟向紫金矿 业募集不超过 20 亿元（含），募集净额拟全部用于补充流动资金，发行后紫金矿业持股比例或 将增至 33.76%，向紫金增发利于龙净发展长逻辑。Q2 起公司进入绿电业绩加速兑现期，当前 储能销售良好，烟气订单规模稳定，并积极布局新方向钠离子电池。看好公司长期发展。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 徐科 王筱茜 叶之楠 盛意 SAC：S0490517090001 SAC：S0490519080004 SAC：S0490520090003 SAC：S0490525070006 SFC：BUV415 SFC：BWM115 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 龙净环保（600388.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Tabl ...

——锂矿库存偏紧，上方空间略有想象 夏莹莹 投资咨询证书：Z0016569 研究助理：余维函 期货从业证号：F03144703 联系邮箱：yuwh@nawaa.com 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 2025年10月25日 第一章 核心矛盾及策略建议 1.1 核心矛盾 本周碳酸锂市场运行态势震荡走强，符合之前预期。展望未来一个月，碳酸锂期货价格的核心驱动逻辑将聚 焦于这些方面："国内锂矿紧张程度"、"十一月份枧下窝复产情况"和"下游11月份排产节奏"，上述因 素将主导后续市场情绪。 南华期货碳酸锂产业周报 锂矿端，若国内可流通的锂精矿库存持续维持低位，那么市场原料端的紧张格局将有进一步加深的可能性， 并通过产业链传导逐步推升碳酸锂价格；供给方面，盐湖产能释放将持续为锂盐市场补充供给，而"枧下窝 复产速度"是关键变量，若其复产进度超市场预期，将直接扩大锂盐供给规模，对价格形成潜在压制。需求 端当前表现强劲，磷酸铁锂、三元材料、六氟磷酸锂等核心电池材料价格持续上行，直观反映出市场对碳酸 锂的需求韧性；若下游11月排产延续高景气度，锂盐需求将维持强势格局，进而反向加剧锂矿的供需错配情 况。此外，从 ...

Core Viewpoint - The energy storage sector has seen a significant rebound in Q3, with many companies emerging from a competitive downturn, leading to new growth opportunities and increased market valuations [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - In Q3, the company reported a revenue of 53.3 billion yuan, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 25.7%, and a net profit of 9.0 billion yuan, up 48.7% [1]. - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 138.3 billion yuan, a 32.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 21.9 billion yuan, growing by 46.9% [1]. - The surge in revenue and profit is primarily driven by the gradual release of overseas orders, with overseas revenue reaching 28.6 billion yuan in the first half of the year, an increase of 88.9% [1][3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The global investment in power grids is currently in a favorable cycle, with significant opportunities for infrastructure upgrades in developed regions and new construction in underdeveloped areas [6]. - Domestic grid investment has accelerated, with a year-on-year increase of 14.6% in the first half of the year, and the company has seen a rapid growth in its bidding amounts for state grid projects [6][12]. Group 3: Business Expansion - The company has made significant strides in the energy storage sector, launching a full range of energy storage products and planning a total investment of 1 billion yuan for new energy storage and power electronics projects [9][20]. - The company has established a competitive edge through integrated production systems and experience in grid-side energy storage projects, with a cumulative bid of approximately 2.4 GWh in energy storage systems [10][11]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing global energy storage and grid investment cycles, with a notable increase in market capitalization and foreign investment participation [21][23]. - The company’s focus on high-voltage and energy storage solutions is expected to enhance its competitive advantage in the market, particularly against strong competitors [20][21].

Core Viewpoint - The energy storage sector has seen a significant rebound in Q3, with many companies emerging from a competitive downturn, particularly highlighted by the performance of Siyuan Electric [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Siyuan Electric reported a revenue of 13.83 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 32.9%, and a net profit of 2.19 billion yuan, up 46.9% [6]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 5.33 billion yuan, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 25.7%, and a net profit of 900 million yuan, up 48.7% [7]. - The growth in revenue and profit was primarily driven by the gradual release of overseas orders, with overseas revenue reaching 2.86 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 88.9% [8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The global investment in power grids is currently in a favorable cycle, with significant opportunities for infrastructure upgrades in developed regions like Europe and North America, as well as new construction in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa [12]. - In China, Siyuan Electric benefits from accelerated grid investment, with national grid investment up 14.6% year-on-year in the first half of the year [13]. Group 3: Product and Business Development - Siyuan Electric has diversified its product offerings, with traditional products like switches and transformers still dominating revenue, while emerging businesses in energy storage and medium voltage are beginning to contribute [14]. - The company has made significant strides in the energy storage sector, launching a full range of energy storage products in August 2023 and planning a 1 billion yuan investment in new energy storage and power electronics projects [17][18]. - Siyuan Electric's competitive advantage lies in its integrated production capabilities and experience in grid-side energy storage projects, allowing it to offer differentiated solutions [18][32]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The global energy storage market is experiencing rapid growth, with a 92% year-on-year increase in newly installed capacity, indicating strong demand [19]. - Siyuan Electric's market positioning in both energy storage and grid equipment provides a robust foundation for future growth, with expectations for continued order and performance potential [34].

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 8.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 42.39%, and a net profit of 0.56 billion yuan, up 16.06% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 20.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 51.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.8 billion yuan, which is a remarkable growth of 158.11% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 6.8%, showing a decline of 2.21 percentage points year-on-year and 1.98 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, attributed to pricing pressures in the liquid cooling segment [2]. Business Analysis - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the booming demand in the energy storage sector, with the company serving major clients such as CATL, Sungrow, and CRRC, which enhances its product reliability and safety [2]. - The company is expanding its liquid cooling solutions for AI hardware, anticipating a market potential in the hundreds of billions, and has established partnerships with quality clients like Kehua Data and Dongguan Taishuo [3]. - Strategic international expansion is underway, with plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore and a production base in Thailand to improve responsiveness to overseas clients and mitigate tariff uncertainties [3]. Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 25.73 billion yuan, 36.25 billion yuan, and 48.44 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.1%, 40.9%, and 33.6% respectively [4]. - Expected earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are 1.58 yuan, 2.21 yuan, and 2.93 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 46, 33, and 25 [4].

Core Viewpoints - The current bull market in A-shares is likely to continue, with market valuations remaining reasonable despite significant gains this year [3][7][10] Group 1: Fund Performance and Holdings - The performance of several funds, including融通产业趋势, 平安核心优势, and 万家趋势领先, has been notable, with year-to-date net value increases of 93.69%, 88.95%, and nearly 80% respectively [5][10][12] - Key holdings in融通产业趋势 include海博思创, 工业富联, and 中际旭创, with significant year-to-date price increases of 313.46%, 218.92%, and 301.99% respectively [5][6] - 平安核心优势 has focused on innovative pharmaceuticals, with major holdings like 康方生物 and 信达生物 showing year-to-date gains of 89% and 133.74% [8][10] Group 2: Investment Trends and Strategies - Investment managers are optimistic about sectors such as artificial intelligence, energy storage, and the internet, indicating a shift from pessimistic to reasonable valuations in the tech growth sector [4][7] - 万家趋势领先's strategy for the fourth quarter includes focusing on industrial non-ferrous metals and precious metals, anticipating price increases due to global economic shifts and supply chain restructuring [12][13] - The report highlights a trend towards innovative drugs entering the performance release cycle, with a significant portion of these companies expected to achieve profitability this year [10]

【导读】三季报密集披露，绩优基金调仓曝光 伴随公募三季报密集披露，绩优基金经理持仓动向备受市场关注。 10月25日，融通产业趋势、平安核心优势、万家趋势领先等基金披露三季报，这些基金大多重仓了人工智能、创新药、有色金属等今年以来热门赛道。在 前十大重仓股中，还涌现出多只"翻倍股"。 在三季报中，基金经理表示，A股市场今年涨幅较大，但从历史规律判断此轮上行趋势大概率没有结束，市场整体估值依然处于合理水平。 李进：此轮上行趋势大概率没有结束 看好人工智能、储能和互联网等 10月25日，融通产业趋势披露2025年三季报。最新持仓显示，前三大重仓股为海博思创、工业富联、中际旭创，持仓市值在2200万元～2500万元区间。值 得注意的是，截至10月24日，海博思创、工业富联、中际旭创年内股价涨幅分别高达313.46%、218.92%、301.99%。 海博思创、工业富联、剑桥科技、中创新航、沪电股份、长飞光纤光缆"新晋"其十大重仓股。 融通基金权益投资部副总经理、融通产业趋势基金经理李进在三季报中表示，A股市场今年涨幅较大，但从历史规律判断，此轮上行趋势大概率没有结 束，这种级别的市场上行大概率都会从悲观到合理估值到疯 ...

Core Viewpoints - The recent quarterly reports from various funds reveal a strong focus on sectors such as artificial intelligence, innovative pharmaceuticals, and non-ferrous metals, which have been popular this year [2][4][7][11]. Fund Holdings and Performance - The Rongtong Industrial Trend Fund reported significant gains, with top holdings including Haibo Sichuang, Industrial Fulian, and Zhongji Xuchuang, which saw year-to-date price increases of 313.46%, 218.92%, and 301.99% respectively [4][5]. - The fund's net asset value increased by 93.69% in the first three quarters, ranking it 9th among ordinary stock funds, with a stock allocation of 89.55% [5][6]. - The Ping An Core Advantage Fund highlighted its focus on innovative pharmaceuticals, with top holdings such as Kangfang Bio, which increased by 89%, and Xinda Bio, which rose by 133.74% [7][9]. - The fund achieved an 88.95% increase in net asset value, placing it in the top 2% of over 4,500 mixed equity funds [9]. Sector Insights - The Rongtong Industrial Trend Fund manager expressed optimism about the ongoing upward trend in the A-share market, indicating that the overall market valuation remains reasonable [6]. - The Ping An Core Advantage Fund manager noted that a significant number of innovative drug companies are expected to become profitable, with a surge in out-licensing activities anticipated to drive growth [9]. - The Wanji Trend Leading Fund reported substantial increases in holdings of gold and non-ferrous metals, with Shandong Gold's stock increasing by 650.77% [11][12]. Future Outlook - The Wanji Trend Leading Fund manager anticipates several trends for the fourth quarter, including rising prices for physical assets due to increased instability in the dollar system and a restructuring of global manufacturing supply chains [12].

Group 1: Company Performance - Songsheng Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 694 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.48% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 6.9038 million yuan, marking a turnaround from loss to profit [1] - For the third quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 245 million yuan, a 12% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 7.657 million yuan, up 643.57% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - The LED lighting industry faced a slowdown in new installation demand in the first half of 2025 due to U.S. tariff policies, leading to a contraction in the overall market size [1] - In the second half of 2025, the easing of tariff policies has resulted in a warming market demand [1] - TrendForce observed that despite a weak macroeconomic environment, there is potential for incremental demand in under-penetrated segments of the LED market, particularly in outdoor, industrial, and emergency lighting [1] Group 3: Plant Lighting Sector - The U.S. "reciprocal tariffs" have suppressed new and replacement demand for agricultural lighting, particularly affecting specialty crops [2] - North America relies over 80% on Chinese lighting products, and tariff pressures have led to delayed procurement plans [2] - In contrast, the European market has shown strong growth in the first half of 2025, driven by energy-saving regulations and the introduction of high-efficiency products [2] Group 4: Product Development - The introduction of dynamic and controllable smart LED plant growth lights is becoming mainstream in greenhouses and vertical farms, with an increasing proportion of products featuring adjustable spectrums [2] - TrendForce estimates that the LED plant lighting market will reach a scale of 1.366 billion USD in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.9% [2] - Songsheng's energy storage subsidiary reported a revenue of 60.0933 million yuan for the first nine months of 2025, nearly doubling from 31.3402 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in sales for Q3, with a 156% growth in sales volume compared to the same quarter last year [8] - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 2.01 billion yuan, a 42.5% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 50.5 million yuan, up 28% year-on-year [8] - The report anticipates that the company's sales volume for the entire year could exceed 4 GWh, representing a growth of approximately 170% [8] - The company is expected to recover gradually from impairment and exchange rate impacts, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 adjusted to 1.0 billion, 5.0 billion, and 7.2 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 150%, 384%, and 45% [8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company's revenue was 860 million yuan, with a gross margin of 21.1% and a net profit margin of 3.9% [8] - The average selling price per watt-hour in Q3 was 0.9 yuan, with a unit profit of approximately 0.03 yuan per watt-hour, indicating a sequential improvement [8] - The company's operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2025 was 360 million yuan, a decrease of 46.9% year-on-year [8] - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 3.23 billion yuan, with a projected P/E ratio of 152.22 [1][9]