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卢特尼克警告:短期内和日韩达不成贸易协议
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-09 01:59
美国商务部长警告日韩贸易谈判将比英国更棘手。 据新华社消息,美国总统特朗普8日在白宫宣布,美国与英国达成一项新的贸易协议,部分撤回特定领 域的关税,进一步扩大双方产品的市场准入,协议最终细节将在接下来几周内敲定。 "你谈论印度时,可能涉及7000条关税线的变更或修改。这需要时间,需要工作——所以给 我们一个机会,不要操之过急。" 10%的关税仍是底线 卢特尼克表示,特朗普10%的基础关税仍然是"底线",但许多国家将面临更高的税率,除非他们积极开 放经济。 他还指出,美国与英国的协议展示了各国如何使特朗普撤销他所施加的部门性关税,例如针对汽车和金 属等被总统视为国家安全优先事项的产品。 卢特尼克表示,他希望初步协议可以作为各自区域的模板,帮助说明特朗普寻求什么样的让步来换取关 税减免。 在特朗普宣布与英国达成框架协议数小时后,美国商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克(Howard Lutnick)在接受 媒体采访时表示,与日本和韩国的贸易协议谈判将比刚刚宣布的美英框架协议需要更长时间完成。 "你必须花费大量时间与日本、韩国谈判。这些不会是快速达成的协议。" 印度可能成为下个达成协议的国家 卢特尼克补充道,印度一直"非常积极 ...
美商务部长直言:日韩贸易谈判难度远超英国,印度“非常努力”
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-09 01:17
卢特尼克是在特朗普公布美英贸易框架协议几小时后发表上述讲话的。该框架协议为美国提供了更多的 市场准入和更快的出口海关程序,以换取对汽车、钢铁和铝征收的有限关税减免。 卢特尼克补充说,印度一直"非常努力",该国"肯定"有可能成为下一个达成协议的国家之一。但他提醒 说,"这是一项艰巨的工作"。 卢特尼克说:"当你谈到印度时,可能有7000项关税"需要根据假定的协议进行修改或修订。这只是需要 时间,只是需要努力,所以给我们一个机会,不要催促和操之过急。 与此同时,卢特尼克表示,他希望最初的协议能成为各自地区的模板,帮助说明特朗普希望以什么样的 让步来换取关税减免。 "我们正试图向人们展示如何开展业务的框架,这样我们就能更快地开展业务,对吗?"卢特尼克说。 这位在贸易谈判中发挥主导作用的商务部长说,特朗普10%的基准关税仍然是"底线",但许多国家将面 临更高的税率,除非它们积极采取行动开放本国经济。 他还说,英国的协议表明,各国可以看到特朗普收回他对汽车和金属等产品征收的行业关税,尽管特朗 普认为这些产品是国家安全的优先事项。 美国商务部长卢特尼克特别指出,印度在贸易谈判中"非常努力",有望成为下一个达成协议的国家。 ...
蓝思科技&领益智造
2025-04-14 01:31
Summary of Conference Call on Lens Technology & Lianyi Intelligent Manufacturing Industry and Company Involved - The conference call primarily discusses the impact of U.S. tariff policies on the Apple supply chain, particularly focusing on companies like Lens Technology and Lianyi Intelligent Manufacturing within the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector [3][4][12]. Core Points and Arguments - **Impact of Tariff Policies**: The implementation of Trump's tariff policies has significantly affected Apple's supply chain, leading to substantial stock price declines for related companies like Luxshare Precision and Dongshan Precision, with the U.S. stock market dropping over 9% [3][4]. - **Cost Structure of iPhone 16 Pro Max**: Approximately one-third of the iPhone 16 Pro Max's value comes from the U.S., another third from China, and the remaining from other regions. The tariffs mainly target countries in trade conflict with the U.S., making the overall cost impact manageable for Apple [4][6]. - **Tariff Exemptions**: Certain components can qualify for tariff exemptions if they undergo substantial transformation in the U.S. This includes Apple’s A18 processor, which is designed in the U.S. and thus can avoid additional tariffs [5][7]. - **Apple's Response to Cost Increases**: Apple can absorb tariff costs through price adjustments or by taking on the costs directly. The overall impact on sales prices is estimated to be less than 5%, given that the U.S. market accounts for 32% of Apple's global sales [9][10]. - **Long-term Industry Outlook**: While short-term impacts may be mitigated by a 90-day exemption period, long-term effects could lead to valuation declines in domestic industries. Companies need to adjust expectations and seek new growth opportunities [13]. - **Globalization Strategies for Domestic Companies**: Domestic companies are encouraged to pursue globalization strategies, including deliveries through bonded zones to mitigate tariff impacts. Key suppliers in Apple's supply chain can benefit from these strategies [15]. - **iPhone 17 Expectations**: The upcoming iPhone 17 is expected to drive sales growth, particularly with enhancements like increased memory to support AI applications. This could lead to a significant increase in sales volume [16]. - **Investment Opportunities**: The bottom of the supply chain has been established, and investors are advised to focus on upstream suppliers that are less exposed to tariff risks. The performance of these companies is crucial for future investment decisions [17]. - **Performance of Consumer Electronics and Precision Manufacturing**: The first quarter showed strong performance in the domestic consumer electronics and precision manufacturing sectors, with companies like Lens Technology leading in areas such as robotics and AI glasses [18]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Market Sentiment**: The market's emotional response to tariff announcements has led to excessive stock price declines for supply chain companies, indicating a need for a more rational assessment of the actual impacts [8][12]. - **Potential for Future Tariff Exemptions**: Apple's previous negotiations for tariff exemptions may continue to provide relief for its supply chain, especially if a more favorable bilateral agreement with China is reached [14].