【美国上市新兴市场ETF资金流入情况更新】11月3日消息，截至10月31日当周，投资于发展中国家及 特定国家的美国上市新兴市场ETF，资金流入总计7.603亿美元。前一周流入9.291亿美元，今年以来， 资金流入合计达278亿美元。 本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 ...

Core Insights - Brazil's e-commerce market is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected market size exceeding $70 billion by 2025 and an annual growth rate of over 20%, significantly outpacing global averages [1][2] - Chinese e-commerce platforms are increasingly targeting Brazil as a new market, with rising consumer interest in Chinese products, as evidenced by a jump in positive perceptions from 13% to 42% among Brazilian online shoppers over five years [2][3] - The competitive landscape in Brazil is intensifying, with platforms like Temu and TikTok Shop rapidly gaining market share, indicating a shift in consumer shopping habits towards online channels post-pandemic [3][4] Market Dynamics - Brazil's e-commerce market is still in its early development stage, presenting both opportunities and challenges for Chinese e-commerce businesses [3][4] - Major players like Mercado Livre dominate the market with an estimated GMV of approximately $25.9 billion for 2024, followed by Shopee and Amazon with GMVs of $18.5 billion and $14.5 billion, respectively [5][6] - The logistics landscape in Brazil is uneven, with significant disparities between urban and rural areas affecting delivery times and costs, complicating the e-commerce fulfillment process [8][10][12] Competitive Strategies - E-commerce platforms are investing heavily in logistics to enhance delivery efficiency, with Mercado Livre planning to expand its distribution centers from 10 to 21 by year-end 2023 [14][19] - Shopee has also increased its logistics footprint, with a 54% growth in warehouse space, positioning itself as a strong competitor against Mercado Livre and Amazon [18][19] - Amazon is adapting its strategy by enhancing its logistics network and establishing partnerships with local businesses to improve delivery times and customer satisfaction [20][21] Consumer Behavior - Brazilian consumers are increasingly accustomed to online shopping, particularly in urban areas, where logistics and delivery services are more developed [9][10] - The average order volume in Brazil has increased by 10% to 15% compared to the previous year, reflecting growing consumer engagement in e-commerce [22] - High product margins of 30% to 40% in Brazil attract new entrants, but the distance and logistical challenges present significant risks for businesses [22][23] Regulatory Environment - Recent changes in tax regulations, including the end of the "low-value exemption" for cross-border packages, may impact the cost structure for e-commerce businesses operating in Brazil [26] - The Brazilian government is implementing compliance programs that offer tax incentives to participating companies, which could further influence market dynamics [18][26]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious subscription for the company’s IPO [1][4]. Core Insights - The company focuses on developing, manufacturing, and selling health products, particularly baby diapers, baby pull-ups, sanitary napkins, and wet wipes, in rapidly growing emerging markets such as Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia [2]. - According to Frost & Sullivan, the company ranks first in the African baby diaper market and sanitary napkin market with market shares of 20.3% and 15.6%, respectively, based on 2024 sales volume [2]. - The company has a strong presence in the African market and is a significant player in emerging markets, benefiting from over 15 years of multinational operational strategy [2]. Market Growth Potential - The market for baby diapers, baby pull-ups, and sanitary napkins in emerging markets is steadily growing. In Africa, the market size is projected to increase from USD 2.9 billion in 2020 to USD 3.8 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.8% [3]. - The Latin American market is expected to grow from USD 6.9 billion in 2020 to USD 7.7 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 2.7% [3]. - In Central Asia, the market size is anticipated to rise from USD 0.4 billion in 2020 to USD 0.5 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.5% [3]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of USD 411.4 million, USD 454.4 million, and USD 161.3 million for the years ending in 2023, 2024, and the four months ending April 30, 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 28.6%, 10.5%, and 15.5% [3]. - Net profits for the same periods were USD 64.7 million, USD 95.1 million, and USD 31.1 million, with year-on-year growth rates of 251.7%, 47.0%, and 12.5% [3]. Valuation - The IPO price range corresponds to a 2024 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of approximately 19.8 to 21.5 times, indicating a potentially high valuation [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Leshu Comfort, is set to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and is a leading player in the African hygiene products market, ranking first in both the baby diaper and sanitary napkin markets by production volume in 2024 [1][2]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Leshu Comfort focuses on emerging markets in Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia, with a strong emphasis on baby and female hygiene products [2][3]. - The company benefits from a young population and high birth rates in these regions, providing a growing customer base for baby hygiene products [2]. - The sanitary napkin market is experiencing significant growth due to rising female hygiene awareness and urbanization, indicating a substantial unmet demand [2]. Sales and Distribution Network - The company has established a broad sales network across over 30 countries, with 18 sales branches in 12 countries and a network of more than 2,800 wholesalers, distributors, and retailers [3]. - This extensive network is a core competitive advantage, reflected in the sales data showing rapid growth in product volumes [3]. Financial Performance - Leshu Comfort has shown stable revenue growth, with an increase from $320 million in 2022 to $454 million in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [4]. - The company's net profit surged from $18.39 million in 2022 to $95.11 million in 2024, indicating a growth rate of 4.2 times, significantly outpacing revenue growth [4]. - For the first four months of 2025, revenue increased by 15.5% year-on-year, from $140 million to $161 million [4]. Product Analysis - Baby diapers remain the core business, accounting for approximately 75% of revenue, with sales volume growing from 2.995 billion units in 2022 to 4.123 billion units in 2024, a 37.7% increase [6]. - The average selling price of baby diapers has decreased slightly, indicating potential pricing pressure due to increased competition [6]. - Sanitary napkins are emerging as a growth engine, with sales volume increasing from 958 million units in 2022 to 1.634 billion units in 2024, a 70.6% increase, and the average selling price rising from $4.50 to $4.74 [7]. Challenges and Risks - The company faces significant foreign exchange risks, having recorded a $13.75 million loss in 2023 due to currency fluctuations, which could impact future profitability [9]. - The declining average selling price of baby diapers suggests increased competition, which may pressure profit margins [9][10]. - Rising operational costs and increased spending on sales, administration, and research may erode net profit margins if revenue growth does not keep pace [10].

Group 1 - The company, 乐舒适 (02698.HK), is conducting an IPO with a total of 90,884,000 shares available for sale, with 9,088,400 shares allocated for the Hong Kong public offering and 81,795,600 shares for international offering [2][4] - The expected price range for the shares is between HKD 24.20 and HKD 26.20, with a maximum fundraising target of approximately HKD 23.81 billion [4][5] - The IPO is set to take place from October 31, 2025, to November 5, 2025, with the listing date on November 10, 2025 [3][4] Group 2 - The company plans to allocate approximately 71.4% of the net proceeds from the IPO for expanding overall production capacity and upgrading production lines [6] - About 11.6% of the funds will be used for marketing and promotional activities in Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia from 2026 to 2029 [6] - The company has secured 15 cornerstone investors who have collectively subscribed for USD 139 million (approximately HKD 1.08 billion) of the offering [5][6] Group 3 - The major shareholder structure post-IPO indicates that沈延昌 and 杨艳娟, through Century BVI, will hold 54.75% of the shares [7][8] - The company operates multiple brands, including Softcare, Veesper, Maya, Cuettie, and Clincleer, focusing on the development, manufacturing, and sales of hygiene products [8] - According to a report by Frost & Sullivan, 乐舒适 ranks first in the African market for baby diapers and sanitary napkins by volume, with market shares of 20.3% and 15.6%, respectively [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 136.58 CNY per share [5]. Core Insights - The company reported record high performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 21.783 billion CNY (YoY +15.20%) and net profit attributable to shareholders at 3.210 billion CNY (YoY +35.15%) for the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. - In Q3 2025 alone, revenue was 7.827 billion CNY (YoY +14.81%, QoQ +4.58%), and net profit was 1.182 billion CNY (YoY +17.26%, QoQ +1.76%) [2]. - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2025 were 30.34% and 15.06%, respectively [2]. Summary by Relevant Sections Mobile Sector - The company is facing short-term pressure in mobile CIS performance due to the lifecycle nearing its end for older models like OV50H. However, it has successfully launched the 50MP one-inch high dynamic range OV50X and a 200MP CIS, which are expected to drive growth [3]. Automotive Sector - The automotive CIS revenue reached 3.789 billion CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.04%. The company is introducing new models and accelerating customer integration, positioning itself for significant growth as the automotive electronics supply chain stabilizes [3]. Emerging Markets - The company is actively expanding into emerging markets such as panoramic cameras, smart glasses, and machine vision, leveraging its CIS products' performance advantages. The demand for high-performance CIS in these areas is expected to significantly boost the company's revenue [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 30.031 billion CNY and 35.996 billion CNY, respectively, with net profits projected at 4.451 billion CNY and 5.579 billion CNY. The corresponding P/E ratios are 37 and 30 times [4].

Core Viewpoint - The recent capital market turmoil in India, marked by a withdrawal of over $17 billion in foreign investments, has led to a significant reassessment of India's status as the "next China" and has made it the worst-performing destination for foreign inflows in Asia [1][3]. Group 1: Capital Flight - The scale and speed of the capital withdrawal from India are unprecedented, with U.S. funds leading the way by pulling out $1 billion, followed by Luxembourg and Japan with $765 million and $365 million respectively [3]. - The allocation of global funds has shifted, with India's share in emerging market funds dropping to 16.7%, the lowest since November of the previous year, while China's share has risen to 28.8% [3]. Group 2: Factors Undermining Market Confidence - The U.S. government's trade policies, including a 50% tariff on Indian goods and increased H-1B visa fees, have severely impacted India's key industries, particularly exports and IT services [6]. - Corporate earnings in India are failing to keep pace with high valuations, with projected profit growth for listed companies at only 5% for 2025, down from 8% the previous year [7]. - The Indian rupee has depreciated over 3.7% against the dollar this year, raising import costs and inflation, which diminishes the attractiveness of Indian assets for foreign investors [8]. Group 3: Structural Issues - The long-term structural flaws in the Indian economy, including unpredictable policy environments and inadequate infrastructure, are causing investor apprehension [9]. - A recent survey indicated a decline in business confidence for the first time in the current fiscal year, reflecting concerns in the corporate sector following U.S. tariff increases [11]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The ongoing capital flight has triggered a negative feedback loop, with the Nifty 50 index underperforming the MSCI Asia Pacific index for five consecutive months, marking the worst performance since 2013 [12]. - Traditional sectors such as software services, pharmaceuticals, and textiles, which are crucial for employment, are experiencing varying degrees of impact from the market downturn [12]. Group 5: Government Response - In response to the crisis, the Indian government is implementing financial reforms aimed at easing foreign investment restrictions and expanding credit channels, though these measures are expected to have limited short-term effects [14]. - Market analysts suggest that investor confidence will only return with clear signals regarding the stability of U.S. trade policies, stabilization of the rupee, and a return to reasonable stock market valuations [14].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][8] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.108 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.00%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 13.95% to 228 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.337 billion yuan, up 13.15% year-on-year but down 10.73% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 62 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.82% but a significant quarter-on-quarter decline of 39.72% [2] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 18.60%, a slight decrease of 1.08 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2025, the gross margin improved to 19.96%, an increase of 0.76 percentage points year-on-year and 1.63 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] Financial Performance - The company maintains stable operating expenses, with a total expense ratio of 10.93% for the first three quarters of 2025, a slight increase of 0.04 percentage points year-on-year. The sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 1.82%, 5.08%, 4.93%, and -0.91%, respectively [3] - The company forecasts revenues of 5.734 billion, 6.523 billion, and 7.295 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.1%, 13.8%, and 11.8% [5][8] - The expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 351 million, 454 million, and 566 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.0%, 29.4%, and 24.6% [5][8] Research and Development - The company has made significant advancements in R&D, solving multiple key material challenges and achieving breakthroughs in nine critical materials, which outperform imported alternatives [4] - The company has successfully developed and certified six high-end automotive MLCC products and several other advanced components, filling product gaps in the automotive sector [4] - The automotive electronics segment saw a sales increase of 39% year-on-year in H1 2025, with other emerging markets like AI computing and energy storage also showing strong growth [4]

Economic Outlook - Vietnam's economy showed strong performance in Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, marking the highest growth rate since 2011, excluding the post-pandemic recovery phase [2][12] - The government maintains a GDP growth target of 8.0% for the entire year, with inflation expected to be controlled around 4.0% [9][12] - Key economic drivers include robust public investment, which grew by 27.9% year-on-year, and foreign direct investment reaching $18.8 billion, a five-year high [12] Development Goals - Vietnam aims for an average GDP growth rate exceeding 10% from 2026 to 2030, with a target of reaching a per capita GDP of $8,500 by 2030 [3][10] - The government announced a cash distribution plan to citizens and a special pardon for prisoners, aimed at stimulating the economy and enhancing social stability [6][10] Trade Dynamics - Vietnam's exports reached $348.6 billion in the first nine months of 2025, growing by 15.9% year-on-year, with significant resilience in exports to the U.S. [13][25] - The trade risk exposure has narrowed, with a successful reduction of U.S. tariffs on Vietnamese goods from 46% to 20% [24][25] Infrastructure Development - Vietnam has set ambitious infrastructure goals for 2030, including 5,000 km of highways and 1,541 km of high-speed rail, which are expected to drive economic growth and reduce logistics costs [4][38] - Major projects include the North-South High-Speed Railway and Long Thanh International Airport, aimed at enhancing domestic and international connectivity [32][35] Financial Center Initiatives - Vietnam is developing international financial centers in Ho Chi Minh City and Da Nang, expected to be operational by the end of 2025, to attract global capital [5][39] - The government is implementing tax incentives and regulatory reforms to create a competitive environment for financial services [41][42] Capital Market Upgrades - The Vietnamese stock market is set to transition from frontier to secondary emerging market status by September 2026, which is anticipated to attract $10-15 billion in foreign capital over the next 1-3 years [6][46] - The market upgrade is expected to enhance liquidity, with daily trading volumes projected to increase from approximately $1.4 billion to $2 billion [47][50] Sectoral Opportunities - Key sectors expected to benefit from economic growth include manufacturing, services, real estate, and financial services, driven by infrastructure investments and capital market reforms [10][46] - The focus on digital transformation and green energy is seen as a new growth engine for Vietnam's economy [10][12]

Core Insights - LeShuShi Limited is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with CICC, CITIC Securities, and GF Securities (Hong Kong) as joint sponsors [1][3] - The company is the largest manufacturer of hygiene products in Africa, leading in both the baby diaper and sanitary napkin markets by production volume in 2024 [1][3] Company Overview - LeShuShi focuses on emerging markets in Africa, Latin America, and Central Asia, specializing in the development, manufacturing, and sales of baby diapers, pull-ups, sanitary napkins, and wet wipes [3] - The company holds the largest market share in Africa for baby diapers at 20.3% and sanitary napkins at 15.6% based on 2024 sales volume [3] - LeShuShi has established a broad sales network across over 30 countries, which is considered a competitive advantage [3] Financial Performance - The company's revenue grew from $320 million in 2022 to $454 million in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [6] - For the four months ending April 30, 2025, revenue increased by 15.5% to $161.31 million compared to the same period in the previous year [6] - The sales volume for baby diapers and sanitary napkins reached 4.122 billion and 1.634 billion units respectively in 2024, with respective CAGR of 17.3% and 30.6% since 2022 [3] Brand Strategy - LeShuShi offers various brands, including its core brand Softcare, which targets mid-to-high-end consumers seeking quality products [4] - Softcare has become a well-known brand in many African countries, establishing a leading market position [4] Sales and Distribution - As of April 30, 2025, LeShuShi has set up 18 sales branches in 12 countries, supported by over 2,800 wholesalers, distributors, supermarkets, and other retailers [3]