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有效满足实体经济融资需求
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-14 00:45
广义货币(M_2)和社会融资规模增速保持较高水平、贷款规模合理增长、信贷结构持续优化、贷 款利率保持低位……中国人民银行11月13日公布的10月份金融统计数据报告显示,适度宽松的货币政策 持续显效,货币金融条件相对宽松,我国经济高质量发展有着坚实支撑。 融资渠道日益多元 初步统计,今年10月末社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿元,同比增长8.5%;前10个月社会融资规模 增量累计为30.9万亿元,比上年同期多3.83万亿元。 据市场人士测算,今年前10个月,政府债券累计发行规模约22万亿元,比去年同期多近4万亿元, 企业发债融资也高于去年同期。"国债和特殊再融资债券等政府债券发行进度较快、企业债券发行热度 较高,对社会融资规模增长形成重要支撑。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示,今年超长期特别国债 发行规模从去年的1万亿元扩大至1.3万亿元,首发时间比去年提前约一个月,发行完毕时间也相应提 前,体现出财政政策对经济增长及需求拉动的支持,也带动了社会融资规模增长。 中国民生银行首席经济学家温彬认为,加大政府债券发行规模,能够支持重大项目建设和国家重大 战略实施,助力扩大需求、支撑经济。同时,不少政府债券用于置换融 ...
央行:社会融资已发生结构性变迁 贷款增速略低一些也合理
Core Insights - The financing structure for enterprises in China is shifting from reliance on bank loans to a more diversified approach that includes bonds and stocks, reflecting changes in the economic and financial landscape [1][2] Financing Trends - In the first ten months of 2025, the total social financing scale increased by 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year. The net financing from corporate bonds was 1.82 trillion yuan, and government bonds accounted for 11.95 trillion yuan [1] - Other financing methods, excluding loans, now account for over half of the total social financing growth, with government bond net financing nearing 40% [1] Monetary Policy and Economic Indicators - The M2 money supply reached 335.13 trillion yuan at the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, indicating a supportive monetary policy stance [3][5] - The M1 money supply also showed a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, reflecting improved business activity and consumer demand [4][5] Loan Dynamics - In the first ten months, RMB loans increased by 14.97 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 1.55 trillion yuan compared to the previous year. Corporate loans are performing better than residential loans, which remain weak [7][8] - The demand for medium to long-term loans from enterprises is expected to improve due to recent policy measures aimed at supporting key industries and projects [7] Consumer Credit and Housing Market - Residential loans decreased by 3.604 trillion yuan, with both short-term and medium to long-term loans showing significant reductions. The overall credit demand from households remains fragile [8] - Recent adjustments in housing purchase policies in major cities have led to a slight increase in new home sales, but the market remains uneven, particularly in the second-hand housing sector [8] Future Outlook - The focus of future policies will be on boosting domestic demand and consumption, with an emphasis on improving living standards, stabilizing employment, and enhancing the consumer environment [9]
24小时环球政经要闻全览 | 11月14日
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 00:16
Market Performance - Major US indices experienced declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down by 797.6 points (-1.65%) to 47,457.22, and the Nasdaq down by 536.1 points (-2.29%) to 22,870.36 [2] - European indices also saw losses, with the DAX down by 339.84 points (-1.39%) to 24,041.62, while the UK FTSE 100 fell by 103.74 points (-1.05%) to 9,807.68 [2] - In contrast, several Asian indices showed positive movement, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 29.36 points (0.73%) to 4,029.5 and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 235.9 points (1.78%) to 13,476.52 [2] Regulatory Developments - The Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, Wu Qing, visited France and Brazil to discuss securities market regulation and deepen bilateral cooperation [3] - The European Union plans to impose fees on small packages from China starting next year, aimed at curbing the influx of inexpensive goods [6] Corporate Earnings - Tencent reported Q3 revenue of 192.87 billion yuan, a 15% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising 19% to 63.13 billion yuan [8] - JD.com posted Q3 revenue of 299.1 billion yuan, a 14.9% increase, but net profit fell to 5.3 billion yuan from 11.7 billion yuan year-on-year [8] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC reported Q3 revenue of 17.162 billion yuan, up 9.9%, with net profit increasing 43.1% to 1.51 billion yuan [8] - Bilibili's Q3 net revenue was 7.69 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% year-on-year growth [8] Investment Trends - BlackRock's Q3 13F report indicated significant increases in holdings of Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia, while reducing its stake in Apple by 2.5 million shares [7] - Michael Burry, known for his bearish stance, dissolved his asset management firm and warned of risks associated with major tech companies using AI-driven accounting methods [10] New Initiatives - Apple launched a Mini App Partner Program, reducing its revenue cut from 30% to 15% for developers selling qualifying in-app purchases [11][12]
前10个月人民币贷款增近15万亿元 有效满足实体经济融资需求
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 23:53
广义货币(M2 )和社会融资规模增速保持较高水平、贷款规模合理增长、信贷结构持续优化、贷款利率保 持低位……中国人民银行11月13日公布的10月份金融统计数据报告显示,适度宽松的货币政策持续显 效,货币金融条件相对宽松,我国经济高质量发展有着坚实支撑。 融资渠道日益多元 综合融资成本下降是货币条件比较宽松的重要体现。招联首席研究员董希淼分析,近年来企业和居民融 资成本低位下行,说明货币条件比较宽松、资金供给比较充裕,实体经济有效融资需求得到了充分满 足。在适度宽松的货币政策带动下,社会综合融资成本持续下降,为经营主体纾困解难、注入信心,不 仅让企业有更多资金投入生产研发、稳步发展壮大,也有助于激发消费潜力、畅通经济循环。 随着明示企业贷款综合融资成本工作进一步推广,企业融资成本更加阳光透明,小微企业融资获得感持 续提升。山东烟台某物流公司因扩大业务规模,需要申请500万元贷款,企业通过填写《企业贷款综合 融资成本清单》后,评估费、抵押登记费、保险费等费用共计1420元均由银行承担,企业无需支付任何 附加费用,贷款综合融资成本较之前询价结果低0.4个百分点。 初步统计,今年10月末社会融资规模存量为437.72 ...
前10个月人民币贷款增加近15万亿元 金融总量合理增长
中国人民银行11月13日发布的10月金融数据显示,广义货币(M2)和社会融资规模同比增速均保 持在较高水平,持续为经济回升向好创造适宜的货币金融环境;贷款规模保持合理增长,信贷结构持续 优化。 专家表示,未来央行将继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策,把握好力度和节奏,保持对实体经济较强 支持力度。 政府债券带动社融增长 社融方面,10月末社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿元,同比增长8.5%;前10个月社会融资规模增量 累计为30.9万亿元,比上年同期多3.83万亿元。 "国债和特殊再融资债券等政府债券发行进度较快、企业债券发行热度较高,均对社会融资规模增 长形成重要支撑。"专家分析称。 据市场人士测算,今年1-10月,政府债券累计发行规模约22万亿元,比去年同期多近4万亿元,企 业发债融资也高于去年同期。"2025年超长期特别国债发行规模从去年的1万亿元扩大至1.3万亿元,首 发时间比去年提前约一个月,发行完毕时间也相应提前,体现出财政对经济增长及需求拉动的支持,也 带动了社会融资规模增长。"上述人士说。 数据显示,10月末,M2余额335.13万亿元,同比增长8.2%;狭义货币(M1)余额112万亿元,同 比增 ...
前10个月人民币贷款增加近15万亿元:金融总量合理增长 货币政策保持力度
中国人民银行11月13日发布的10月金融数据显示,广义货币(M2)和社会融资规模同比增速均保持在较 高水平,持续为经济回升向好创造适宜的货币金融环境;贷款规模保持合理增长,信贷结构持续优化。 专家表示,未来央行将继续实施好适度宽松的货币政策,把握好力度和节奏,保持对实体经济较强支持 力度。 政府债券带动社融增长 贷款结构持续优化 10月金融总量保持合理增长,为实体经济提供有力有效的金融支撑。从物价角度看,支持性货币政策促 进物价回升的效果将持续显现。 社融方面,10月末社会融资规模存量为437.72万亿元,同比增长8.5%;前10个月社会融资规模增量累计 为30.9万亿元,比上年同期多3.83万亿元。 "国债和特殊再融资债券等政府债券发行进度较快、企业债券发行热度较高,均对社会融资规模增长形 成重要支撑。"专家分析称。 据市场人士测算,今年1-10月,政府债券累计发行规模约22万亿元,比去年同期多近4万亿元,企业发 债融资也高于去年同期。"2025年超长期特别国债发行规模从去年的1万亿元扩大至1.3万亿元,首发时 间比去年提前约一个月,发行完毕时间也相应提前,体现出财政对经济增长及需求拉动的支持,也带动 了社 ...
10月金融数据点评:社融、货币增速回落的背后
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-13 23:30
Group 1: Social Financing and Credit Trends - In October, new social financing (社融) amounted to 0.8 trillion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 0.6 trillion RMB, primarily due to government bonds and credit constraints[3] - The year-on-year growth rate of social financing fell to 8.5%, while the credit growth rate under the social financing measure dropped to 6.3%[3] - New RMB loans in October were -20 billion RMB, reflecting a seasonal decline and a year-on-year decrease of 0.3 trillion RMB[12] Group 2: Government Bonds and Policy Tools - Government bond issuance in October was 0.5 trillion RMB, down 0.6 trillion RMB year-on-year, with net financing remaining negative since August[12] - The introduction of 500 billion RMB in new policy financial tools is expected to stimulate credit and non-standard financing, potentially driving total project investment over 7 trillion RMB[9] - The net financing of government bonds is projected to decline by 1.2 trillion RMB year-on-year in November and December, which may further impact social financing by 0.2 percentage points[3] Group 3: Monetary Supply and Economic Outlook - M1 growth rate fell to 6.2%, while M2 growth rate decreased to 8.2% in October[7] - The decline in social financing and M2 growth rates is viewed as a necessary phase in the transition to high-quality economic development[9] - Current low interest rates suggest that monetary policy tools should be used judiciously, with potential adjustments in Q4 and Q1 to stabilize growth[9]
前10个月人民币贷款增近15万亿元——有效满足实体经济融资需求
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-11-13 22:12
广义货币(M_2)和社会融资规模增速保持较高水平、贷款规模合理增长、信贷结构持续优化、贷款利 率保持低位……中国人民银行11月13日公布的10月份金融统计数据报告显示,适度宽松的货币政策持续 显效,货币金融条件相对宽松,我国经济高质量发展有着坚实支撑。 融资渠道日益多元 综合融资成本下降是货币条件比较宽松的重要体现。招联首席研究员董希淼分析,近年来企业和居民融 资成本低位下行,说明货币条件比较宽松、资金供给比较充裕,实体经济有效融资需求得到了充分满 足。在适度宽松的货币政策带动下,社会综合融资成本持续下降,为经营主体纾困解难、注入信心,不 仅让企业有更多资金投入生产研发、稳步发展壮大,也有助于激发消费潜力、畅通经济循环。 随着明示企业贷款综合融资成本工作进一步推广,企业融资成本更加阳光透明,小微企业融资获得感持 续提升。山东烟台某物流公司因扩大业务规模,需要申请500万元贷款,企业通过填写《企业贷款综合 融资成本清单》后,评估费、抵押登记费、保险费等费用共计1420元均由银行承担,企业无需支付任何 附加费用,贷款综合融资成本较之前询价结果低0.4个百分点。 此外,随着消费贷贴息等政策落地见效,个人利息负担进一 ...
前10个月人民币贷款增加近15万亿元 金融总量合理增长 货币政策保持力度
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China reported that in October, both the broad money supply (M2) and the social financing scale maintained a high year-on-year growth rate, creating a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery [1] Group 1: Social Financing - As of the end of October, the total social financing scale was 437.72 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The cumulative increase in the first ten months was 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The issuance of government bonds, including special refinancing bonds, has accelerated, significantly supporting the growth of social financing. In the first ten months of this year, the cumulative issuance of government bonds was approximately 22 trillion yuan, nearly 4 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [2] - The M2 balance at the end of October was 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%, while the narrow money supply (M1) was 112 trillion yuan, growing by 6.2% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Loan Structure - The balance of RMB loans at the end of October was 270.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5%. In the first ten months, RMB loans increased by 14.97 trillion yuan [3] - The structure of loans is continuously optimizing, with inclusive small and micro loans at 35.77 trillion yuan, growing by 11.6% year-on-year, and medium to long-term loans for the manufacturing sector at 14.97 trillion yuan, growing by 7.9% [3] - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was 3.1%, approximately 40 basis points lower than the same period last year, while the average interest rate for new personal housing loans was also 3.1%, about 8 basis points lower year-on-year [3] Group 3: Price Recovery - The financial total in October maintained reasonable growth, providing strong financial support for the real economy. Supportive monetary policy is expected to continue promoting price recovery [4] - The growth rates of social financing scale and M2 have consistently remained above 8%, exceeding the nominal GDP growth rate by about 4 percentage points [4] - The effects of previous monetary policy adjustments are expected to continue to manifest, with the need for ongoing implementation of moderately loose monetary policy to maintain strong support for the real economy [5]
金融总量合理增长 货币政策保持力度
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China reported that the growth rates of broad money (M2) and social financing remained high in October, creating a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery. The central bank is expected to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy to support the real economy [1][3]. Monetary Supply and Financing - As of the end of October, the M2 balance was 335.13 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.2%. The M1 balance was 112 trillion yuan, growing by 6.2% year-on-year. The M1-M2 spread narrowed significantly, indicating increased business activity and consumer demand [2]. - The total social financing stock reached 437.72 trillion yuan at the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The cumulative increase in social financing for the first ten months was 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [1][2]. Loan Structure and Interest Rates - The balance of RMB loans was 270.61 trillion yuan at the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5%. The cumulative increase in loans for the first ten months was 14.97 trillion yuan. The structure of loans is improving, with inclusive small and micro loans growing by 11.6% and medium to long-term loans for manufacturing increasing by 7.9% [2]. - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was 3.1%, down approximately 40 basis points from the previous year. Similarly, the average interest rate for new personal housing loans was also 3.1%, down about 8 basis points year-on-year [2]. Economic Support and Price Recovery - The financial data for October indicates reasonable growth, providing strong financial support for the real economy. The supportive monetary policy is expected to continue promoting price recovery [2][3]. - Experts emphasize that the current monetary policy stance is supportive, aiming to create a conducive environment for reasonable price recovery. The social financing scale and M2 growth rates have consistently remained above 8%, outpacing nominal GDP growth by about 4 percentage points [3].