"数"读中央经济工作会议 "数"读中央经济工作会议 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。我们梳理出以下重点内容，一起学习领会。 凯华社 ASS "数"读中央经济工作会议 五个"新的认识和体会" · 必须充分挖掘经济潜能 · 必须坚持政策支持和改革创新并举 · 必须做到既"放得活"又"管得好" · 必须坚持投资于物和投资于人紧密结合 · 必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战 新华社 888 "数"读中央经济工作会议 些个"政策取向" 要坚持稳中求进、提质增效,发挥存 . 量政策和增量政策集成效应,加大逆 日 同期付厉月期间下刀反，症开么况全 济治理效能 凯华社 ASS "数"读中央经济工作会议 · 坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场 · 坚持创新驱动,加紧培育壮大新动能 · 坚持改革攻坚,增强高质量发展动力活力 · 坚持对外开放,推动多领域合作共赢 · 坚持协调发展,促进城乡融合和区域联动 · 坚持"双碳"引领,推动全面绿色转型 • 坚持民生为大，努力为人民群众多办实事 · 坚持守牢底线,积极稳妥化解重点领域风险 策划：令伟家 统筹：于卫亚、曹建礼 文案：卜寄傲 制作：刘雅萱、卓越 责编：刘暑冰 编辑：关乔 来 ...

Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11, 2025, outlined key economic tasks for 2026, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and market stability [1][2][10]. Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The conference established a policy tone of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency," highlighting a higher demand for economic quality and effectiveness [3][4]. - It was noted that macroeconomic policies will focus on both short-term and long-term adjustments, enhancing the effectiveness of governance [4]. Group 2: Fiscal Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy will be implemented, with a projected deficit rate of no less than 4% and an increase in new debt scale [5][6]. - The fiscal spending structure will shift towards supporting consumption and improving residents' welfare, including increased childcare subsidies and pension benefits [5][6]. Group 3: Monetary Policy - The conference reiterated the commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy, emphasizing the flexible use of various policy tools such as interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio adjustments [7][9]. - The aim is to enhance liquidity and promote economic stability through effective monetary policy coordination [7][9]. Group 4: Domestic Demand and Consumption - The primary task for 2026 is to "maintain domestic demand as the main driver and build a strong domestic market," with a focus on boosting consumption and investment [10][11]. - Specific measures to stimulate consumption include increasing fiscal support and expanding the range of supported consumer goods [11]. Group 5: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The conference highlighted the importance of "innovation-driven development" as a key task, aiming to create a comprehensive innovation ecosystem [12][13]. - Initiatives include establishing international technology innovation centers and enhancing intellectual property protection in emerging fields [12][13]. Group 6: Capital Market Reforms - Continuous deepening of capital market reforms was emphasized, focusing on improving the investment and financing functions of the capital market [16][17]. - Future measures may include optimizing capital market infrastructure and enhancing investor protection [17]. Group 7: Real Estate Market Stability - The conference stressed the need to stabilize the real estate market through targeted policies, including inventory reduction and promoting affordable housing [25]. - Measures may involve using special bond funds to acquire existing housing for public welfare and implementing tax incentives for home purchases [25]. Group 8: Energy Strategy - The conference called for the formulation of a national energy strategy, focusing on building a new energy system and expanding green electricity applications [22][23]. - This marks a significant shift in energy development strategy, aiming to replace traditional fossil fuels with clean energy sources [22][23]. Group 9: Local Government Debt Management - The conference addressed the need to manage local government debt risks proactively, encouraging compliance and restructuring of existing debts [27][28]. - Strategies include replacing high-cost debts with lower-interest bonds and utilizing asset management techniques to mitigate risks [27][28].

Fiscal Policy - The central economic work conference emphasized a more proactive fiscal policy for 2026, characterized by "one flat and three increases," meaning the fiscal deficit rate will remain the same as this year, while the scale of new special bonds, ultra-long-term special government bonds, and quasi-fiscal policy tools will increase [1][11] - The conference highlighted the need to maintain necessary fiscal deficits, total debt scale, and total expenditure, while optimizing the structure of fiscal expenditure and standardizing tax incentives and fiscal subsidy policies [1][11] Monetary Policy - The monetary policy for 2026 is expected to be moderately loose, with potential policy interest rate cuts of 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points and a reserve requirement ratio cut of 1 percentage point, likely implemented once in each half of the year [2][12] - Structural monetary policy tools are anticipated to increase in volume and decrease in price, aimed at supporting key sectors such as technological innovation, manufacturing transformation, green development, and small and micro enterprises [3][13] Debt Risk Management - The conference explicitly stated the need for multiple measures to resolve the operational debt risks of local government financing platforms, focusing on debt restructuring through extension and interest rate reductions [3][13] Employment and Social Stability - Employment remains the top priority in social policy, with a focus on stabilizing employment for key groups such as college graduates and migrant workers, which is crucial for maintaining social stability [8][18] - The conference also discussed optimizing centralized drug procurement to create a more favorable policy environment for industry development [8][18] Capital Market Outlook - The policies outlined are expected to provide strong support for economic growth in 2026 and lay the foundation for a sustained bull market in A-shares, driven by structural shifts in household savings towards capital markets and supportive policies [9][20] - The economic environment is projected to stabilize, allowing investors to achieve steady returns through quality stock or fund allocations, emphasizing the importance of rational and patient investment strategies [10][20]

Fiscal Policy - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy, maintaining necessary spending intensity and scale for the upcoming year [2][3] - The fiscal deficit rate is expected to remain at or above 4% in 2026, with an increase in new debt scale to around 15 trillion yuan [5][6] - The focus will be on optimizing fiscal expenditure structure and addressing local government financial difficulties, ensuring the "three guarantees" (guaranteeing salaries, operations, and livelihoods) [2][9] Monetary Policy - The conference proposed to continue an appropriately loose monetary policy, with a potential interest rate cut of 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points and a reserve requirement ratio cut of 1 percentage point [6][7] - The monetary policy will aim to stabilize economic growth and promote reasonable price recovery, addressing the downward pressure on PPI and CPI [6][7] Local Government Finance - There is a strong emphasis on addressing local fiscal difficulties, with a focus on ensuring the operational capacity of local governments amid revenue shortfalls and debt pressures [9][10] - The central government plans to enhance the efficiency of transfer payments to local governments, which have exceeded 10 trillion yuan, to support necessary public services [9][10] - The conference highlighted the need for a multi-faceted approach to resolve local government debt risks, shifting focus from hidden debts to operational debts of financing platforms [11]

Group 1 - China's economy has entered an era dominated by stock economy, facing higher demands for optimizing stock and seeking incremental growth due to its large economic scale and accumulated debt [2] - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasizes the need to practice internal strength to respond to external challenges, indicating increased confidence in handling external pressures such as tariffs and technology blockades [3][4] - The conference highlights the importance of balancing domestic economic work with international trade struggles, aiming for high-quality development amidst external uncertainties [3][4] Group 2 - Expanding domestic demand is a key strategic measure to counter external shocks, with a focus on boosting consumption through specific actions and increasing residents' income [4][5] - The conference calls for stabilizing investment and increasing central budget investment to support major projects, particularly in urban renewal to mitigate real estate investment decline [4][6] - The manufacturing sector, which accounts for about 30% of global value added, faces challenges from external market demands and trade protectionism, necessitating a focus on the global layout of production capacity [5] Group 3 - The economic work for the coming year will prioritize quality and efficiency, with a continuation of proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [6][7] - Fiscal policies will maintain necessary deficits and optimize project implementations, with an expected increase in the fiscal deficit rate from around 4% to 4.2-4.5% [7] - Monetary policy will remain flexible, with potential adjustments in reserve requirements and interest rates, while also focusing on reasonable price recovery as a key consideration [8] Group 4 - The conference outlines the need for innovation-driven growth, emphasizing the establishment of international technology innovation centers and the development of new industries [10][11] - Local governments are encouraged to tailor their approaches based on regional resources and conditions, promoting new production capacities while enhancing traditional industries [11] - The real estate market will be stabilized through targeted measures, including inventory reduction and promoting the construction of quality housing [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held from December 10 to 11 in Beijing outlined key tasks for economic work in 2026, emphasizing the need for policy support and reform innovation to address current economic challenges [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The conference highlighted five essential approaches for economic work under the new circumstances, including fully tapping economic potential and ensuring a balance between policy support and reform innovation [3]. - Emphasis was placed on maintaining a stable yet progressive approach to economic governance, integrating existing and new policies for effective outcomes [4]. Group 2: Fiscal and Monetary Policy - The conference called for increased counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness, alongside a more proactive fiscal policy [5]. - It was noted that maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and total debt levels while optimizing fiscal expenditure structures is crucial for addressing local fiscal difficulties [5]. - A moderately loose monetary policy will continue, focusing on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [5][6]. Group 3: Key Economic Tasks for 2026 - Eight key tasks for economic work in 2026 were identified, including: 1. Fostering a strong domestic market driven by internal demand [8]. 2. Accelerating innovation to cultivate new growth drivers [8]. 3. Enhancing quality development through reform efforts [8]. 4. Promoting multi-field cooperation and openness [8]. 5. Encouraging coordinated development for urban-rural integration and regional synergy [8]. 6. Leading with "dual carbon" initiatives for comprehensive green transformation [8]. 7. Prioritizing people's livelihoods by addressing practical issues for the public [8]. 8. Safeguarding against risks in key areas through proactive and prudent measures [8].

Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized a policy direction of stability and progress, focusing on improving quality and efficiency while enhancing macroeconomic governance effectiveness [1] - The conference proposed to continue implementing a more proactive fiscal policy, maintaining necessary fiscal deficits and total debt scale, while optimizing fiscal expenditure structure [1][2] - Monetary policy will remain moderately accommodative, with a focus on stabilizing economic growth and ensuring reasonable price recovery [1][5] Group 2: Fiscal Policy Insights - Experts predict that the fiscal deficit rate will not be lower than 4% in 2026, with an emphasis on addressing local government issues and managing local debt risks [2][3] - The fiscal deficit is expected to remain at 4.0%, with the total deficit scale increasing from 5.66 trillion yuan to approximately 5.9 trillion yuan [4] - The need for increased new debt issuance is highlighted, with suggestions for the total new debt scale to reach around 15 trillion yuan [3] Group 3: Monetary Policy Insights - The monetary policy is expected to focus on price stability, with potential policy rate cuts of 0.2 to 0.3 percentage points and reserve requirement ratio cuts of about 1 percentage point [4][5] - Structural monetary policies will aim to support key sectors such as technology innovation, manufacturing transformation, and small and micro enterprises [5] Group 4: Local Government Financial Challenges - The conference stressed the importance of addressing local fiscal difficulties, particularly ensuring the "three guarantees" (wages, operations, and livelihood) are met [6][7] - There is a call for improving the efficiency of transfer payments from the central government to local governments, which exceed 10 trillion yuan [6] - The need for a comprehensive approach to resolve local government debt issues, including debt restructuring and enhancing local tax systems, was emphasized [7][8]

此次中央经济工作会议释放了哪些新信号，21世纪经济报道记者进行了梳理和解读。 作者丨王峰 编辑丨周上祺 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。会议对2025年做出了"我国经济顶压前行、向 新向优发展"的重要判断。 这一局面来之不易，特别是2024年9月26日中央政治局会议果断部署一揽子增量政策，使社会 信心有效提振，经济明显回升，2025年宏观政策贯彻落实了多项超常规逆周期调节举措。 对于2026年经济工作，中央经济工作会议提出"加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度"，其中对多项宏 观政策的部署，措辞则从2025年的"加大""加强""增加""扩大"等，转为更加注重"保持""优 化"。同时，会议提出了多项新举措、新任务。 信号一：继续实施更加积极的财政政策 会议指出，保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，加强财政科学管理，优化财政支出 结构，规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。重视解决地方财政困难，兜牢基层"三保"底线。严肃财 经纪律，坚持党政机关过紧日子。 会议还指出，适当增加中央预算内投资规模，优化实施"两重"项目，优化地方政府专项债券用 途管理。 回顾2025年，赤字率从2024年的3%提升至2025年的4% ...

据新华社12月11日消息，中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。 继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币政策 对于财政政策和货币政策，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施更加积极的财政政策、适度宽松的货币 政策。 在财政政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，明年经济工作在政策取向上，要坚持稳中求进、提质增效， 发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，提升宏观经济治理效能。要继续实 施更加积极的财政政策。保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，加强财政科学管理，优化财政 支出结构，规范税收优惠、财政补贴政策。 在货币政策方面，中央经济工作会议指出，要继续实施适度宽松的货币政策。把促进经济稳定增长、物 价合理回升作为货币政策的重要考量，灵活高效运用降准降息等多种政策工具，保持流动性充裕，畅通 货币政策传导机制，引导金融机构加力支持扩大内需、科技创新、中小微企业等重点领域。保持人民币 汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定。 会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性，持续 扩大内需、优化供给，做优增量、盘活存量，因地制宜发展新质生产力，纵深推进全国统一大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The central economic work conference held on December 10-11, 2023, emphasized the importance of utilizing fiscal and monetary policies effectively to achieve the goals set for 2026, marking the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2][4]. Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The conference reiterated the implementation of a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [2][4]. - The "Eight Persistences" were highlighted as key strategies for economic work in 2026, focusing on domestic demand, innovation, reform, openness, coordinated development, carbon neutrality, people's livelihood, and risk management [3][4]. Group 2: Implementation Strategies - Fiscal and monetary policies are expected to work in tandem to support the "Eight Persistences," with fiscal funds directed towards infrastructure and innovation, while monetary policy aims to provide low-cost funding to high-tech enterprises [4][5]. - Specific measures include fiscal support for necessary reforms, maintaining a stable financial environment, and promoting regional balance and rural revitalization through targeted fiscal transfers [5][6]. Group 3: Long-term Goals - The success of China's economic development in 2026 will not solely be measured by GDP growth but also by the integration of macro policy resources with the strategic layout of the "Eight Persistences" [6]. - The proactive policies are seen as essential for navigating complex challenges and ensuring a strong start to the "15th Five-Year Plan" [6].