编辑 ｜瑜见 路透社记者提问，近日多位欧洲领导人访问中国，表达了对中国向欧洲供应稀土的担忧。这些访问是否 旨在寻求中方就确保欧洲稀土供应作出承诺，或者承诺发放稀土通用许可证？第二个问题，日本媒体报 道称，由于北京和东京之间的外交争端，中国向日本出口稀土出现延误。中方对此有何评论？ 郭嘉昆表示，中方主管部门已经多次介绍了稀土相关物项出口管制的工作情况，中方正在依法依规处理 有关问题。 来源｜澎湃新闻 12月9日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。 ...

12月9日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。 郭嘉昆表示，中方主管部门已经多次介绍了稀土相关物项出口管制的工作情况，中方正在依法依规处理 有关问题。 责任编辑：何俊熹 责任编辑：何俊熹 12月9日，外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。 路透社记者提问，近日多位欧洲领导人访问中国，表达了对中国向欧洲供应稀土的担忧。这些访问是否 旨在寻求中方就确保欧洲稀土供应作出承诺，或者承诺发放稀土通用许可证？第二个问题，日本媒体报 道称，由于北京和东京之间的外交争端，中国向日本出口稀土出现延误。中方对此有何评论？ 路透社记者提问，近日多位欧洲领导人访问中国，表达了对中国向欧洲供应稀土的担忧。这些访问是否 旨在寻求中方就确保欧洲稀土供应作出承诺，或者承诺发放稀土通用许可证？第二个问题，日本媒体报 道称，由于北京和东京之间的外交争端，中国向日本出口稀土出现延误。中方对此有何评论？ 郭嘉昆表示，中方主管部门已经多次介绍了稀土相关物项出口管制的工作情况，中方正在依法依规处理 有关问题。 ...

对于日本制造业而言，稀土不仅仅是矿石，更是悬在头顶的达摩克利斯之剑。虽然日本方面曾试图对此 轻描淡写，甚至有一位官员硬着头皮对外宣称"断定这是中方施压还为时尚早"，但这种外交辞令掩盖不 了其实际的战略窘境。 早在今年10月，中国就已经进一步加强了稀土出口管制，而在上个月的中美互动中，尽管双方就供应链 达成某种共识，但这个豁免权并不自动适用于所有跟风起舞的第三方。现在的日本，显然就是那个撞在 枪口上的"第三方"。 全球稀土版图中，中国不仅握有七成的产量，更关键的是掌握着高达92%的冶炼分离产能。这意味着， 即便日本费尽心机满世界找矿，从澳大利亚跑到越南甚至拉拢印度搞"进口替代"，那些挖出来的矿土最 终都要送到中国来走一遍提炼流程。 12月7日，日本列岛被一份来自《读卖新闻》的报道搅动得人心惶惶。这篇援引多名政府内部人士消息 的文章透露了一个令日本政府行政中心深感寒意的信号，日本企业向中国提交的稀土出口审批申请，通 过审批的速度出现了非同寻常的"停滞"。 日本官员敏锐的嗅到了其中的不对劲，紧急复盘这是否是中国给出的警告。12月4日，中国商务部刚严 厉敲打了高市早苗涉台的疯话，警告日方再任性就采取"必要措施"。话音 ...

【文/观察者网 熊超然】11月7日，日本首相高市早苗发表涉台错误言论，至今拒不撤回，严重破坏中日关 系。事发一个月后，日方竟装起"可怜"，倒起"苦水"来了。 日本《读卖新闻》12月7日援引所谓"多位日本政府官员"透露的说法称，中国对日本企业的出口审批流程出 现延误，时间比以往更加长。报道认为，自11月7日以来，日中关系的恶化或许是造成这一延误的原因，日 本政府正在评估中方的反制措施。 报道强调，中国控制着全球约70%的稀土产量，这些稀土被用于电动汽车、风力发电和工业机器人电机等 各个领域。对于某些稀土，中国几乎控制了全部供应。 《读卖新闻》称，来自中国的出口中断，将对日本制造业造成重大影响。特别是在继事实上禁止进口日本 水产品之后，人们关注的焦点是中方是否会采取进一步反制措施。 报道提到，2010年爆发"钓鱼岛事件"后，中方曾对日本实施了稀土出口限制。今年4月，中方则出台一系列 稀土出口管制政策，以反制美国对华征收高额关税。 11月7日，日本首相高市早苗，甫一上任便疯言疯语，她狂言台海冲突可被视为日本"存亡危机事态"，暗示 武力介入的可能性，引发中方强烈不满。 11月10日，在日本国会众议院预算委员会二次会议 ...

| < w | 稀土永磁指数(884086) | | O | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 7154.02 197.73 +2.84% | | | | 资料 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | 月度收益 | | 宁波韵升 | 14.04 | 10.03% | 0.00% | | 600366.SH | | | | | 金力永磁 | 36.44 | 8.07% | -0.08% | | 300748.SZ | | | | | 中科三环 | 13.49 | 7.23% | 0.07% | | 000970.SZ | | | | | 安泰科技 | 18.65 | 4.13% | 0.11% | | 000969.SZ | | | | | 英洛卡 | 10.28 | 3.73% | 0.00% | | 000795.SZ | | | | | 大地熊 | 31.29 | 3.61% | -0.06% | | 688077.SH | | | | | 银河磁体 | 31.85 | 3.51% | -0.06% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300127.SZ | | ...

稀土的开采现场（reuters） 经过10月的中美首脑会谈后，中国决定推迟原计划启动的出口管制的强化措施。但稀土类价 格的上涨依旧没有缓和的迹象。有分析称，中国估计会优先面向美国供货，对美国以外地区 的出口管制持续下去的可能性很大。最近，中日关系恶化带来的担忧也在浮现…… 稀土类价格的上涨依旧没有缓和的迹象。经过10月的中美首脑会谈后，中国决定推迟原计划 启动的出口管制的强化措施。不过，对于美国总统特朗普声称"所有问题都已解决"的说法， 市场相关人士持怀疑态度。对于当前中日对立的动向，慎重的态度也在逐渐加强。 稀土是指稀有金属中的17种特定元素。例如，镝和铽在提高用于纯电动汽车（EV）等的电机 磁铁的耐热性方面不可或缺。 作为用于半导体材料的稀有金属——镓的情况也与稀土相似。美国地质勘探局（USGS）的统 计显示，从镓来看，截至2024年的中国产量占99%。2023年先于稀土启动出口管制，2024 年12月宣布暂停对美出口。 在中美首脑会谈后，中国宣布暂停2024年启动的镓对美国出口禁令1年。不过，很多观点认 为，2023年启动的镓出口管制仍然有效，对美国以外地区的出口管制持续下去的可能性很 大。 稀土价格上 ...

Report Investment Ratings - Iron ore: Oscillation [2] - Coking coal and coke: Oscillation [2] - Rolled steel and rebar: Oscillation [2] - Glass: Weak oscillation [2] - Soda ash: Oscillation [2] - Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index: Oscillation [3] - CSI 300 Index: Oscillation [3] - CSI 500 Index: Rebound [3] - CSI 1000 Index: Rebound [3] - 2 - year Treasury bond: Oscillation [3] - 5 - year Treasury bond: Oscillation [3] - 10 - year Treasury bond: Downward [3] - Gold: Strong - biased oscillation [4] - Silver: Strong - biased oscillation [4] - Logs: Oscillation and bottom - building [4] - Pulp: Oscillation [7][8] - Offset paper: Oscillation [8] - Soybean oil: Range - bound operation [8] - Palm oil: Range - bound operation [8] - Rapeseed oil: Range - bound operation [8] - Soybean meal: Weak - biased oscillation [8][9] - Rapeseed meal: Weak - biased oscillation [8] - No. 2 soybeans: Weak - biased oscillation [9] - No. 1 soybeans: Weak - biased oscillation [9] - Live pigs: Strong - biased oscillation [9] - Rubber: Oscillation [10][11] - PX: Wide - range oscillation [11] - PTA: Oscillation [11] - MEG: Weak oscillation [11] - PR: Wait - and - see [11] - PF: Wait - and - see [11] Core Views - The iron ore market has an oversupply situation, with limited upward momentum for prices in the high - level range. The coal - coke market has a weak demand but short - term support at low levels. The steel market is in a bottom - oscillating state, and the glass market's future depends on cold - repair progress and macro factors. In the financial market, the short - term adjustment is expected, but the medium - term trend remains optimistic. The precious metals market is supported by long - term factors, with short - term disturbances from interest rate policies and risk - aversion sentiment. The light industry products like logs and pulp have their own supply - demand characteristics and price trends. The oilseeds and oils market is expected to continue range - bound operation, and the agricultural products market, such as live pigs, has specific supply - demand and price trends. The soft commodities and polyester products also have their own price trends based on supply, demand, and cost factors [2][3][4][7][8][9][10][11] Summary by Categories Black Industry - **Iron ore**: Global iron ore shipments increased by 44.7 million tons to 3.3232 billion tons, while the arrival volume at 47 ports decreased by 155.5 million tons to 2.784 billion tons. Daily hot - metal production dropped by 23,800 tons to 2.323 million tons. The demand core lies in real estate, with new construction at the 2005 level and weak domestic demand. Port iron ore inventory slightly increased to an 8 - month high. The oversupply pattern is hard to reverse, and although the probability of short - term negative feedback is low, the price oscillates in the high - level range with limited upward momentum [2] - **Coal and coke**: On December 1st, the first round of coke price cuts was implemented, and there are still expectations for further cuts. After continuous declines, the valuation of coking coal and coke has become reasonable and stopped falling this week. The National Development and Reform Commission's emphasis on energy supply during the heating season has reduced the expectation of new anti - involution measures in the coal industry. Some domestic coal mines are affected by safety inspections, with a slight decline in the weekly operating rate. The profit of some coking enterprises has improved, but the demand is weakening, and the game between steel mills and coking enterprises has intensified. There is still a need for inventory replenishment in the short term, providing support at low levels [2] - **Rolled steel and rebar**: The downstream demand is sluggish, and winter - storage replenishment has not started yet. The core lies in steel demand, with real - estate new construction at the 2005 level and weak domestic demand. Steel prices may stop falling if the output is reduced by more than 5% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and anti - involution policies are effectively implemented. Currently, the price is expected to remain at the bottom, with no significant change in supply and demand expectations, and attention should be paid to the impact of December's macro - policy expectations on winter storage [2] - **Glass**: There are supply - side disturbances. It is expected that three production lines in Hubei will undergo cold - repair in December, but there are rumors of a delay. The price in the Shahe area has weakened again, and the futures price is running weakly. The total inventory of float - glass sample enterprises has decreased, reaching the lowest level since October. The real - estate completion decline has dragged down demand, and whether the price can stop falling depends on the cold - repair progress and macro factors [2][3] Financial - **Stock index futures/options**: The previous trading day saw the CSI 300 Index up 0.34%, the SSE 50 Index up 0.38%, the CSI 500 Index up 0.24%, and the CSI 1000 Index up 0.01%. There was capital inflow in the engineering machinery and semiconductor sectors and capital outflow in the catering, tourism, and retail sectors. There are various exchanges and communications between Chinese and American enterprises and organizations, and relevant policies and statements are also involved. The market is in short - term adjustment, but the medium - term trend is optimistic, with the high - tech industry continuing to grow [3] - **Treasury bonds**: The yield of the 10 - year Chinese Treasury bond increased by 2bps, FR007 rose by 1bp, and SHIBOR3M remained unchanged. The central bank conducted 180.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse - repurchase operations on December 4th, with a net withdrawal of 175.6 billion yuan. The spot - bond interest rate is consolidating, and the market trend shows a slight rebound [3] Precious Metals - **Gold**: In the context of high interest rates and globalization reconstruction, the pricing mechanism of gold is shifting from being centered on real interest rates to central - bank gold purchases. The US debt problem has damaged the dollar's credit, highlighting gold's de - fiat - currency attribute. In a high - interest - rate environment, gold's substitution effect for bonds is weakened, and its sensitivity to US Treasury real interest rates has decreased. Geopolitical risks and China's physical - gold demand support the price. The logic behind the current gold - price increase remains unchanged, with short - term disturbances from the Fed's interest - rate policy and risk - aversion sentiment. The Fed has cut interest rates twice this year, and factors such as non - farm data and inflation data also affect the market [4] - **Silver**: Similar to gold, it shows a strong - biased oscillation trend, affected by the Fed's interest - rate policy, risk - aversion sentiment, and economic data [4] Light Industry - **Logs**: The daily average shipment volume at ports last week was 613,000 cubic meters, a decrease of 31,000 cubic meters from the previous week. The national daily average outbound volume was stable above 600,000 cubic meters but decreased last week. The volume of New Zealand's logs shipped to China in October increased by 2% compared to the previous month, while China's coniferous - log imports decreased by 4.67% from the previous month and 7.14% year - on - year. The expected arrival volume last week decreased by 48%. The port inventory decreased by 600,000 cubic meters. The spot - market price is running weakly, and the price of 4/6 - meter medium - grade A logs has decreased. The supply pressure has improved, with downstream demand mainly for rigid needs and weak cost support. The price is expected to oscillate and build a bottom [4][7][8] - **Pulp**: The spot - market price continued to show a strong trend in the previous trading day, with the price of some softwood - pulp spot markets rising by 20 - 150 yuan/ton and that of hardwood - pulp by 20 - 50 yuan/ton. The latest FOB price of softwood pulp remained at $680/ton, and that of hardwood pulp increased by $10 to $550/ton, strengthening the cost support for pulp prices. The profitability of the paper - making industry is low, and paper mills have high inventory pressure, with low acceptance of high - priced pulp. The demand is weak, and although traders have raised their quotes, downstream procurement is rational. The price is expected to return to oscillation [7][8] - **Double - offset paper**: The spot - market price stabilized in the previous trading day. The production of double - offset paper is expected to be stable, with little change in the supply side. The publication tenders are basically over, and orders are expected to increase, which is beneficial for paper - enterprise sales. Large - scale paper enterprises have a strong willingness to support prices, and the price may be raised at the beginning of the month. The price is expected to maintain oscillation in the short term [8] Oilseeds and Oils - **Oils**: US soybean crushing reached a record high, but the US biodiesel policy is uncertain. In October, the production and inventory of Malaysian palm oil were higher than expected, and the export in November decreased by 19.7% month - on - month. However, palm oil is supported by the expected production reduction due to floods in Southeast Asia and the postponement of EU policies. A large amount of soybeans are arriving in China, the oil - mill operating rate is high, and although the oil inventory has decreased, the supply is abundant. The demand may gradually pick up, and with cost support, the oil market is expected to continue range - bound operation, with attention paid to the weather in the Brazilian soybean - producing area and the production - sales changes of Malaysian palm oil [8] - **Meals**: The US soybean production, exports, and ending inventory have all been adjusted downward, with a structurally tight supply, but the global soybean supply is still relatively abundant. The Sino - US trade agreement may promote US soybean exports to China, but US soybeans are more expensive than Brazilian ones, and the US biodiesel policy is uncertain, resulting in uncertain demand prospects. The weather in the Brazilian soybean - producing area is generally favorable, while that in the Argentinean area is uneven. The domestic oil - mill operating rate is high, and a large amount of imported soybeans are arriving. The supply of soybean meal is abundant, and although the demand from the breeding industry supports feed consumption, the breeding efficiency is poor, and feed enterprises are cautious in procurement. The price is expected to oscillate weakly, with attention paid to the weather in South American soybean - producing areas and the progress of Sino - US trade [8][9] Agricultural Products - **Live pigs**: The average trading weight of live pigs nationwide is 124.62 kg, and it is showing a downward trend in most provinces this week. Due to the lag in the monthly slaughter progress, breeding enterprises are accelerating sales, increasing the supply of live pigs. Retail farmers are mainly slaughtering large - weight pigs, which do not fully match market demand. Slaughtering enterprises are more inclined to purchase from large - scale farms, leading to a slight decrease in the trading weight, which may continue to decline slightly in the next week. The average settlement price of live pigs at key slaughtering enterprises nationwide is 12.09 yuan/kg, a decrease of 0.84% from the previous period. The settlement price is continuously falling. The average operating rate of slaughtering enterprises nationwide is 38.92%, a 0.7 - percentage - point increase from last week. The supply of live pigs is generally abundant, and with the temperature drop, the terminal consumption has slightly recovered, increasing the orders of slaughtering enterprises and supporting the slight increase in the operating rate. However, the operating rate is expected to weaken next week. The profitability of self - breeding and piglet - fattening has decreased, and the decline in breeding costs is less than that in sales revenue. The average weekly price of live pigs is expected to continue to decline in the next week [9] Soft Commodities - **Rubber**: In the Yunnan rubber - producing area, the weather is average, and the raw - material price is stable, with the factory price increase driving up the raw - material price. In Hainan, the weather is good this week, but the output has decreased due to temperature. Affected by continuous rain and typhoon weather, the overall glue output is lower than the same period in previous years. The production and purchase costs of local processing plants have slightly increased, providing support for the price. In Thailand, there is a lot of rain, and the average weekly price has reached 57 Thai baht/kg, with both the glue and cup - lump prices rising. In Vietnam, the raw - material supply in the southern area is gradually recovering, while other areas are still affected by rainfall. The total inventory is at a low level. The capacity utilization rate of Chinese semi - steel tire sample enterprises is 66%, and that of full - steel tire sample enterprises is 62%. The capacity utilization rate decreased this week due to short - term maintenance plans in some enterprises, but it will gradually recover. According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, in October, China's automobile production and sales reached 3.35 million and 3.32 million vehicles respectively, with a slight month - on - month increase and a record - high year - on - year increase. The natural - rubber inventory is increasing significantly, with the total social inventory reaching 1.08 million tons, a 1.7% increase from the previous period. Both bonded and general - trade warehouses are accumulating inventory, and it is in the seasonal inventory - accumulation period. The weakening of raw - material procurement prices and the inventory - accumulation trend suppress price increases, and with weak demand - side support, the natural - rubber price is expected to show a wide - range oscillation [10][11] Polyester - **PX**: Geopolitical instability has led to supply risks, and with the Fed likely to cut interest rates in December, oil prices have rebounded. The current PX supply is high, but the downstream polyester load has rebounded, which is beneficial for PX demand. The PXN price difference is temporarily stable, and the PX price is oscillating widely [11] - **PTA**: The wide - range oscillation of oil prices has affected the PX end, causing the cost of PTA to loosen. Although the short - term supply - demand situation of PTA has improved, the industry's seasonal weakness is inevitable, and the supply - demand situation will deteriorate in the future. The processing margin is still low, and the spot price is expected to mainly follow the cost - side fluctuations in the short term, with the spot basis fluctuating within a range [11] - **MEG**: In the long - term, the inventory - accumulation pressure of MEG still exists, but the situation has improved in the near - term due to a reduction in some supplies. Attention should be paid to the continuous changes in the supply side. As the port inventory increases, the liquidity of goods in the market has increased, and the MEG spot basis has weakened. In the short term, the MEG price is expected to oscillate weakly, with continuous upward pressure [11] - **PR**: The terminal performance remains weak, and the order - taking pressure of factories and traders has increased. With weak raw - material support, the polyester - bottle - chip market may oscillate weakly [11] - **PF**: The upward trend of oil prices continues, and the current supply - demand structure of polyester staple fiber is acceptable. However, the market is in a wait - and - see state [11]

Core Viewpoint - Jinli Permanent Magnet (06680) saw a significant increase in stock price, rising over 10% and reaching HKD 20.72 with a trading volume of HKD 411 million, following the news that it and two other rare earth permanent magnet companies have obtained general export licenses [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Jinli Permanent Magnet and two other rare earth permanent magnet companies have received general export licenses, which is expected to streamline their export processes [1] - The issuance of general licenses will accelerate delivery times for rare earth permanent magnet companies, benefiting the recovery of downstream demand in the industry [1] Group 2: Industry Context - The Chinese government is conducting export control measures for rare earth-related items in accordance with laws and regulations, ensuring timely approval for compliant export applications intended for civilian use [1] - The government is actively implementing general licensing and other facilitation measures to promote compliant trade of dual-use items, thereby maintaining the stability and security of global supply chains [1]

消息面上，据上证报，记者从知情人士处获悉，金力永磁等三家稀土永磁企业已获得通用出口许可证。 据报道，商务部新闻发言人何亚东4日表示，中国政府依法依规开展稀土相关物项出口管制工作。只要 是用于民用用途的、合规的出口申请，中国政府都及时予以了批准。同时，中国政府积极适用通用许可 等便利化措施，促进两用物项合规贸易，切实维护全球产供链安全稳定。有业内人士表示，通用许可证 的应用将简化稀土永磁企业出口流程，加快交付速度，利于稀土永磁行业下游需求恢复。 金力永磁（300748）(06680)午后涨超10%，截至发稿，涨9.69%，报20.72港元，成交额4.11亿港元。 ...

1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Multiple foreign institutions have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China. Goldman Sachs has adjusted its 2025 forecast from 4.9% to 5.0%, and its 2026 and 2027 forecasts to 4.8% and 4.7% respectively. The OECD has raised its 2025 forecast for China to 5.0%, and Deutsche Bank has raised its Q4 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.6% and the full - year forecast to 5.0% [2][17]. - The Chinese economy shows signs of recovery. The real estate market in first - tier cities has improved, with the number of second - hand housing transactions in November reaching a 7 - month high. The new housing market is expected to have a pulse - like recovery in December [18]. - The global commodity market is volatile. Copper prices have reached record highs, and the price of gold is expected to rise by 15% - 30% in 2026 [5][6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Macro Data Quick View - In Q3 2025, China's GDP grew by 4.8% year - on - year, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter but up from 4.6% in the same period last year. - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, slightly up from 49.0% in the previous month but down from 50.3% in the same period last year; the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down from 50.1% in the previous month and 50.0% in the same period last year [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - Experts expect that the CPI in November will rise by 0.9% year - on - year, up 0.7 percentage points from October [2]. - The reduction of some US tariffs is an admission that tariffs push up domestic prices. The business community hopes that China and the US will focus on more cooperation [3]. - Many major projects in China are accelerating, and policy support for "two major" projects is expected to increase [3]. 3.2.2 Metals - The price of lithium iron phosphate is expected to rise, with some leading companies planning to increase the processing fee by 3000 yuan/ton in 2026 [5]. - Copper prices have reached record highs, driven by the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations and regional shortages of global copper inventories [5]. - Gold prices are expected to rise by 15% - 30% in 2026, affected by geopolitical and economic uncertainties [6]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel and Minerals - The waterway transportation of key materials such as coal in northern Jiangsu is ensured, with 669,000 tons of coal and key materials handled by November [8]. - JFE Steel plans to acquire a 50% stake in the steel business of Bhushan Power & Steel for 157.5 billion rupees [8]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - The annual output of the Daqing Gulong continental shale oil demonstration area has exceeded 1 million tons for the first time, and the proven reserves are 158 million tons, with a planned output of 3 million tons by the end of the 15th Five - Year Plan [9]. - Chevron's capital expenditure in 2026 will be between $18 - 19 billion, mainly for US production and investments related to its Guyanese oil shares [9]. - The EU will ban the import of Russian natural gas starting from the fall of 2027 [10]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - Australia's beef exports have reached a record high this year, with exports in the first 11 months reaching 14 million tons, a 15% increase year - on - year [13]. - Brazil's exports of corn, soybeans and other agricultural products in December are expected to increase compared with the same period last year [13][14]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On December 4, the central bank conducted 180.8 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 175.6 billion yuan on the same day [15]. - On December 5, the central bank will conduct 1 trillion yuan of 3 - month (91 - day) outright reverse repurchase operations to achieve equal - amount hedging [15]. 3.3.2 Key News - China and the US have carried out in - depth exchanges on trade and cooperation in various fields [16]. - The EU has terminated the WTO lawsuit against China's trade restrictions [17]. - The real estate market in first - tier cities has improved, and new housing sales in December are expected to have a pulse - like recovery [18]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Review - The Chinese bond market is weak, with the yields of interest - rate bonds generally rising, and the yields of 30 - year treasury bonds rising by more than 4bp [22]. - The prices of Vanke bonds have continued to adjust, with some bonds falling by more than 15% [22]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market Express - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.069 on December 4, down 29 basis points from the previous trading day [27]. - The US dollar index rose 0.20% in late New York trading, and most non - US currencies fell [28]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates in December, Japanese government bond yields may rise, which may affect exchange rates and equity asset pricing [29]. - In December, investors are advised to actively allocate convertible bonds in the price range of 128 - 136 yuan, and pay attention to low - price large - cap bonds and low - premium equity - like bonds [29]. 3.4 Stock Market Key News - The A - share market shows a divergence between large and small indexes. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.06%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose 0.4% and 1.01% respectively [32]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.68%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 1.45% [32]. - The Shenzhen - Hong Kong Stock Connect has reached its 9th anniversary, with a cumulative transaction volume of 131 trillion yuan [32].