以实际行动推动高质量发展取得新成效——中央经济工作会议激励广大干部群众踔厉奋发开新局 新华社记者 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行。习近平总书记出席会议并发表重要讲话。 连日来，各地干部群众认真学习领会中央经济工作会议精神。大家表示，要更加紧密地团结在以习近平 同志为核心的党中央周围，踔厉奋发、团结实干，准确把握明年经济工作部署要求，不断巩固拓展经济 稳中向好势头，把各方面优势转化为高质量发展的实际效能，以实干实绩推动实现"十五五"良好开局。 提振信心 汇聚奋进力量 北部湾畔，平陆运河马道枢纽的施工现场建设火热。新中国成立以来第一条通江达海的运河工程已进入 通航"倒计时"阶段。 "过去一年，以习近平同志为核心的党中央团结带领全党全国各族人民迎难而上、奋力拼搏，经济社会 发展主要目标将顺利完成，为我们注入强大信心和动力。"第一时间学习了中央经济工作会议精神，平 陆运河集团董事长王劼耘深受鼓舞。他表示，将全力冲刺2026年底建成通航目标，着力构建以运河为纽 带的多式联运体系，努力把平陆运河建设成为服务新发展格局、促进高水平对外开放的标志性工程。 外贸企业西格迈股份有限公司总裁蒋木林对会议提出的"必须 ...

Core Points - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) plans to increase the output value proportion of green factories to 40% by 2030 [1] - A management approach for the gradient cultivation of green factories will be established, optimizing the evaluation index system [1] - The initiative aims to encourage green factories to explore energy-saving and carbon-reduction potential, fostering a number of zero-carbon factories [1] Green Supply Chain Development - The MIIT will promote the development of green supply chains through actions that enhance green supply chain capabilities [1] - Large enterprises are encouraged to play a leading role by implementing green procurement policies to support the increase of green factory enterprises among suppliers [1] - Services such as green diagnostics and supply chain finance will be provided to facilitate the green low-carbon transformation of upstream and downstream suppliers [1] Carbon Footprint Management - The exploration of supply chain carbon footprint management models is encouraged [1] - Companies are urged to share carbon emission data among upstream and downstream enterprises to enhance transparency and collaboration in carbon management [1]

12月10日，记者从中国绿发首届品牌开放日活动上获悉，中国绿发投资集团有限公司将加快新能源、新 材料、新型电力系统、新型储能、人工智能应用、节能降碳等领域集群发展，完善产业生态，推动新技 术新产品新场景的大规模应用，加快新兴产业规模化发展。同时，还将前瞻布局未来产业，探索典型应 用场景、可行商业模式，择优择机布局氢能和核聚变等领域的新技术新材料，以及健康领域的生物制 造、具身智能等。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The soda ash industry is facing challenges due to oversupply and weak demand, necessitating a shift from price competition to value competition through technological advancements and green manufacturing practices [1][4][5]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - By 2025, the soda ash market is expected to experience a supply surplus and weak demand, with high inventory levels indicating a cyclical adjustment phase [2]. - Domestic soda ash production capacity is projected to exceed 40 million tons by 2024, with a production increase of 493.1 million tons year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year [2]. - The core downstream demand for soda ash comes from float glass, which accounts for 35%-40% of total demand, but new construction in the real estate sector has declined, limiting growth [2]. Group 2: Inventory Trends - Starting from March 2024, soda ash inventory rose from 400,000 tons to a peak of 1.9 million tons, stabilizing above 1.4 million tons [3]. - As of November 27, the total inventory of soda ash manufacturers was 1.409 million tons, with delivery warehouse inventory at 583,800 tons [3]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The industry is facing intensified homogenization, with some companies resorting to price competition, which has compressed overall profit margins [4]. - The price of heavy soda ash peaked at 3,681 yuan per ton in October 2021, but has since fluctuated between 1,218.57 and 1,344.29 yuan in the third quarter of this year [4]. - Natural soda ash is gaining market share due to its cost advantages, increasing from 5% in 2022 to 17% in 2025, positioning it favorably against other production methods [4]. Group 4: Path to Value Competition - The industry must transition from price competition to value competition, emphasizing technological and service upgrades to enhance competitiveness [5]. - There is a pressing need to develop high-value products for high-end sectors like renewable energy, which currently lack sufficient production capacity [5]. - Innovations in clean production methods and resource utilization are being prioritized, with companies exploring technologies such as using industrial waste salt for soda ash production [5]. Group 5: Collaborative Ecosystem and Global Expansion - Companies are shifting from independent operations to collaborative ecosystems, with industry leaders like China Salt Group leading initiatives to foster innovation through partnerships [6]. - Chinese soda ash production technology is being exported globally, exemplified by the launch of Indonesia's first soda ash project utilizing Chinese methods, contributing to the diversification of the global soda ash supply chain [6]. - The future of China's soda ash industry lies in enhancing high-end product supply, promoting green processes, and integrating value chains to establish a competitive edge in the global market [6].

"1.4万亿斤到1.5万亿斤，多出的1000亿斤粮食必须依靠科技力量！"针对"十五五"规划建议中的粮 食产能提升目标，新洋丰农业科技股份有限公司执行总裁杨磊如是说。近日，中国经济网记者就"十五 五"规划建议中提出的"千亿斤粮食产能提升行动""发展壮大民营经济"等话题专访了新洋丰执行总裁杨 磊。 中国经济网："十五五"规划建议中明确提出"加力实施新一轮千亿斤粮食产能提升行动，增强粮食 等重要农产品供给保障能力"。也就是说我们的粮食产量要从1.4万亿斤增加到1.5万亿斤，作为重要农资 企业，新洋丰未来将为我们粮食增产要做出哪些努力？在科技和产品创新方面有哪些布局和举措？ 杨磊：粮食安全是"国之大者"，从1.4万亿斤迈向1.5万亿斤，这新增的千亿斤产能，必须依靠科技 的力量。作为磷复肥行业龙头，新洋丰在"十五五"期间将着力推进由传统的"肥料制造商"转型为"作物 营养解决方案提供者"，通过"产品+服务"双核驱动，为粮食增产保驾护航。 在产品与服务创新上，我们重点做好两件事： 第一，以科技创新为引擎，推动产品从"用肥多"向"用肥精"跨越。我们深知，未来的增产不能再依 赖化肥的过量投入，而要靠利用率的提升和土壤健康的恢复 ...

Group 1: Company Analysis - Juguang Technology - The company has turned a profit in Q3 2025, with a revenue of 613 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.88% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters is 2.25 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4] - The company has raised its profit forecast for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 0.02, 0.30, and 1.81 million yuan respectively, and an EPS of 0.02, 0.33, and 2.02 yuan [3][4] - The target price has been adjusted to 208 yuan, up from 91.2 yuan, maintaining a "Buy" rating [3] Group 2: Company Analysis - Aerospace Electronics - Aerospace Electronics is positioned as a leading supplier in the aerospace industry, benefiting from the rising demand for unmanned systems and aerospace projects [6][10] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 570 million, 798 million, and 846 million yuan, with EPS of 0.17, 0.24, and 0.26 yuan respectively [6] - The target price is set at 19.77 yuan, with a "Buy" rating [6] Group 3: Industry Analysis - Construction Engineering - The State Council is focusing on energy conservation and carbon reduction, suggesting opportunities in new power system construction [11] - The emphasis is on integrating urban renewal with safety and real estate stability, indicating a shift towards sustainable urbanization [12] Group 4: Industry Analysis - Textile and Apparel - U.S. retail sales during Black Friday increased by 4.1%, indicating resilience in consumer spending [17] - INDITEX reported a revenue of 9.81 billion euros for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4.9%, with a net profit of 1.83 billion euros, up 8.9% [18]

Group 1: Energy Efficiency and Carbon Reduction - The State Council held a meeting on December 5 to discuss enhancing energy efficiency and carbon reduction efforts, emphasizing the importance of these initiatives in achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals [3] - The construction sector is advised to focus on opportunities related to new power systems, including wind and solar energy projects, distributed solar, pumped storage, new energy storage, virtual power plants, and hydrogen industry chain development [3] Group 2: New Urbanization and Real Estate - On December 3, the State Council conducted a collective study on promoting people-centered new urbanization, aiming to create a new pattern of urban-rural integration [4] - The transition of urbanization in China is moving from rapid growth to stable development, necessitating the implementation of urban renewal actions that integrate safety, real estate stability, and high-quality housing development [4] Group 3: REITs and Infrastructure Investment - The National Development and Reform Commission released a list of industry sectors eligible for REITs projects, covering 15 specific areas including transportation, energy, municipal infrastructure, and urban renewal facilities [5] - The expansion of the REITs issuance scope is expected to enhance the role of infrastructure REITs in revitalizing existing assets and promoting a positive investment cycle [5] Group 4: Retail and Consumer Trends - The U.S. retail sales during Black Friday increased by 4.1% year-on-year, indicating resilience in consumer spending despite various challenges [10] - INDITEX reported a 4.9% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, with net profit rising by 8.9%, reflecting strong performance and effective cost management [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the steady development of new productive forces in China, with significant advancements in emerging industries and the upgrading of traditional industries [1][2] - From January to November, sales revenue in high-tech industries increased by 14.7% year-on-year, with high-tech service and manufacturing sectors growing by 17.2% and 11.1% respectively [1] - The sales revenue of core digital economy industries rose by 10% year-on-year, indicating ongoing progress in digital industrialization and the digitalization of industries [1] Group 2 - Traditional industries are accelerating the application of intelligent manufacturing equipment, with a 7.6% year-on-year increase in the procurement of digitalization equipment and a 9.3% increase in automation equipment [2] - There is a significant focus on energy-saving and environmental protection technologies, with a 33.2% year-on-year increase in the procurement of related services [2] - The manufacturing sector has seen a total of 16,650 billion yuan in tax reductions and refunds in the first ten months, supporting high-quality development in manufacturing [2]

Morning session notice 早盘提示 研究员： 纪晓云 从业资格： F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 | | | | | | | 钢材: | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 | | | | | 周五夜盘螺纹热卷收跌。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、全国 90 家独立电弧炉钢厂平均产能利用率 53.82%，环比上升 1.1 个百分点，同 | | | | | 比上升 0.43 个百分点。其中华东、华南区域小幅上升，华北、华中、西南区域微 | | | | | 幅下降，其余区域持平。 | | | | | 2、从东北建材资源南下整体情况来看，12 月东北螺纹南下计划量为 44 万吨，同比 | | | | | 减少 2.1 万吨、环比增加 2.9 万吨，盘线南下计划量 31 万吨，同比减少 0.9 万吨、 | | | | | 环比增加 7.7 万吨。 | | | | | 3、国务院总理李强主持召开国务院常务会议，研究进一步做好节能降碳工作。会 | | | | | 议指出，要切 ...

Report Summary 1. Overnight Market Trends - International precious metal futures closed mixed. COMEX gold futures fell 0.36% to $4,227.7 per ounce, down 0.64% for the week; COMEX silver futures rose 2.28% to $58.8 per ounce, up 2.86% for the week [5]. - U.S. crude oil and Brent crude oil futures both rose. U.S. crude oil rose 0.79% to $60.14 per barrel, up 2.72% for the week; Brent crude rose 1.01% to $63.9 per barrel, up 2.44% for the week [6]. - London base metals were mixed. LME copper rose 1.88% to $11,665 per ton, up 4.25% for the week; LME nickel rose 0.49% to $14,970 per ton, up 0.95% for the week [6]. - U.S. stocks rose slightly. The Dow rose 0.22% to 47,954.99 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.19% to 6,870.4 points, and the Nasdaq rose 0.31% to 23,578.13 points [6]. - Domestic futures contracts were mixed. Low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) rose over 1%, while coking coal fell over 5% [8]. 2. Important News Macroeconomic News - The State Council executive meeting emphasized energy conservation and carbon reduction. China's futures market volume and turnover increased in November. Shipping freight indices declined. Morgan Stanley and the market expect Fed rate cuts [10][11][12]. - China and the U.S. held a video call on economic and trade issues. Russia hopes to accelerate the peace process in the Ukraine crisis. The U.S. core PCE price index unexpectedly dropped [14][15]. Energy and Chemical Futures - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and the Shanghai International Energy Exchange adjusted trading margins and price limits for certain futures contracts. Glass companies may cut production due to high inventory [17]. Metal Futures - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange added new registered brands for polysilicon futures. Copper, zinc, and lead inventories decreased, while aluminum, nickel, and tin inventories increased [20]. Black Futures - Shenzhen adjusted housing provident fund withdrawal rules. Steel production decreased in late November, while steel product production increased. Iron ore and steel inventories and production data were reported [22][25]. Agricultural Futures - Malaysian palm oil production and exports decreased. Sugar cane crushing in Guangxi was slower than last year. Domestic and global agricultural product data were reported [27][28][30]. 3. Financial Markets Financial Sector - More Shanghai-listed companies announced shareholding increase plans in the first 11 months. The FOF market boomed in 2025. The first batch of North Exchange 50 index funds had positive returns [35]. - A-shares rebounded last week. Analysts expect short-term volatility and recommend dividend and large-cap stocks. The Sichuan government issued a three-year plan for enterprise listing and M&A [36][37]. Industry - Rare disease drugs were included in the medical insurance and commercial insurance catalogs. The global semiconductor market grew in October. The Henan cultivated diamond industry aims to develop brands [38][39]. Overseas - The U.S. government investigated the food supply chain. Trump planned to promote inflation reduction. The EU fined social media platform X. Nigeria hopes to join the BRICS [41][42][43]. Commodities - The central bank increased its gold reserves for the 13th consecutive month. The CME experienced a trading outage. Copper prices hit new highs [44][46]. Bonds - Local governments issued special bonds for government investment funds. Analysts expect a shift in asset trends after December meetings [47]. Foreign Exchange - Analysts expect the RMB to appreciate against the U.S. dollar in 2026 and recommend currency easing to avoid damage to exports [49]. 4. Upcoming Data and Events - Upcoming economic data include Japan's trade balance, Germany's industrial output, and China's import and export data [51]. - Upcoming events include the UK central bank's financial stability report and the European Central Bank's speech. A new round of domestic refined oil price adjustments is pending [53].