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宏观金融数据日报-20250711
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-11 03:07
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the short - term, with few domestic and foreign positive factors, the market sentiment and liquidity are fair, and the stock index may show a relatively strong oscillatory pattern. - In the long - term, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone for the second half of the year. Given the possible further deterioration of real estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to further strengthen to support domestic demand. - The uncertainty of US tariff policies, the approaching Fed rate - cut time, and changes in overseas liquidity and geopolitical patterns will bring periodic trading opportunities for the stock index [4]. 3. Summary by Related Content Money Market - DR001 closed at 1.32 with a 0.58bp increase, DR007 at 1.49 with a 1.78bp increase, GC001 at 1.16 with a 27.50bp decrease, and GC007 at 1.49 with a 2.00bp decrease. SHBOR 3M closed at 1.56 with a 0.30bp decrease, and LPR 5 - year remained at 3.50. - 1 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds closed at 1.37, 1.51, and 1.66 respectively, with increases of 1.25bp, 2.25bp, and 1.35bp. The 10 - year US Treasury bond closed at 4.34 with an 8.00bp decrease. - The central bank conducted 90 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations yesterday, with 57.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 32.8 billion yuan. This week, there are 652.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing in the central bank's open - market operations, with 34 billion yuan maturing on Friday. The inter - bank market liquidity has further eased, and major repurchase rates have declined [4]. Stock Index Market - The closing prices of major stock indices on the previous day: CSI 300 at 4010 (up 0.47%), SSE 50 at 2757 (up 0.62%), CSI 500 at 2983 (up 0.50%), and CSI 1000 at 6407 (up 0.25%). The trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM increased by 18.2%, 32.7%, 3.7%, and 3.6% respectively, and the positions increased by 4.8%, 11.2%, 2.4%, and 3.5% respectively. - The previous day's trading volume in the two stock markets was 1.4942 trillion yuan, a slight reduction of 11 billion yuan. Most industry sectors rose, with real estate development, engineering consulting services, etc. leading the gains, and jewelry, shipbuilding leading the losses. - The expectation of real - estate policies resurfaced yesterday, and the "small essays" on real - estate significantly boosted the real - estate and building - materials sectors. It is rumored that a central urban work conference will be held next week, which may make policy arrangements for restarting the shantytown renovation [4]. Futures Contract Premium and Discount Situation - The premium and discount rates of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts in different periods are provided, with some contracts showing premium and others showing discount [4].
今日看点|首届西部低空经济博览会将举行
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-07-11 01:16
Group 1 - The first Western Low Altitude Economy Expo will be held in Chongqing from July 11 to 13, focusing on low-altitude industry trends and establishing a comprehensive communication platform for the entire industry chain with over 200 participating entities including government units, leading companies, industry associations, and universities [1] Group 2 - On July 11, a total of 13 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked, with a total of 405 million shares and a market value of 7.674 billion yuan based on the latest closing price [2] - Among the companies, seven will have over 10 million shares unlocked, with Andar Technology, Hanbang High-tech, and Zhuoran Co. leading in unlock volume at 140 million shares, 89.2214 million shares, and 61.088 million shares respectively [2] - In terms of market value, seven companies will have over 100 million yuan unlocked, with Weike Technology, Zhili Fang, and Andar Technology leading at 3.652 billion yuan, 996 million yuan, and 866 million yuan respectively [2] Group 3 - On July 11, 20 companies announced 22 stock repurchase progress updates, with three companies disclosing repurchase plans for the first time and two plans approved by shareholders [3] - The highest repurchase plan amounts from newly disclosed plans are from Shantui Co., China National Materials, and Demingli, with proposed repurchase amounts of up to 300 million yuan, 83.2557 million yuan, and 67,100 yuan respectively [3] - Among the approved repurchase plans, Shengjian Technology and Shennong Group have the highest proposed repurchase amounts at 11.8195 million yuan, 2.379 million yuan, and 1.3885 million yuan respectively [3] Group 4 - A total of 34 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos will mature today, following a central bank operation on July 4 with an operation rate of 1.4% [4]
宏观金融数据日报-20250709
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-09 03:51
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 宏观金融数据日报 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | | 2025/7/9 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | | | | | | | | (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.31 | 0.01 | DR007 | 1.46 | -0.25 | | हूं | GC001 | 1.50 | 1.00 | GC007 | 1.52 | 1.50 | | E | SHBOR 3M | 1.57 | -0.90 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 市 | 1年期国债 | 1.36 | 1.00 | 5年期国债 | 1.48 | 0.85 | | 场 | 10年期国债 | 1.64 | 0.35 | 10年期美债 | 0.00 | -435.00 | 回顾:央行昨日开展了690亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率 ...
央行今日开展755亿元7天逆回购操作
news flash· 2025-07-09 01:24
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 755 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation today, with a bidding amount of 755 billion yuan and a winning amount of 755 billion yuan [1] - The operation interest rate remains at 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels [1] - A total of 985 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos is set to mature today, indicating significant liquidity management by the central bank [1]
今日看点|中国6月CPI、PPI数据将公布
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-07-09 01:03
今日看点 经济观察网讯 7月9日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事: 1、中国6月CPI、PPI数据将公布 7月9日,国家统计局将公布2025年6月份CPI(居民消费价格指数)和PPI(工业生产者出厂价格指数)数据。 2、国新办将举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题新闻发布会(国家发展改革委) 7月9日上午10时,国新办将举行"高质量完成'十四五'规划"系列主题首场新闻发布会,国家发展改革委主任郑栅洁介绍"十四五"时期经济社会发展成就,并 答记者问。 3、第十三届中国(西部)电子信息博览会将举行 7月9日至11日,第十三届中国(西部)电子信息博览会将在四川成都举行。本届西部电博会推出电子元器件、集成电路、特种电子、数字产业、机器人等主题 展区,预计将吸引超2万名专业观众参与。 7月9日,16家公司共发布18个股票回购相关进展。其中,3家公司首次披露股票回购预案,4家公司披露股票回购实施进展,9家公司回购方案已实施完毕。 从首次披露回购预案来看,湖南海利、硕贝德、顾家家居分别拟回购不超1.58亿元、3000.0万元、334.72万元。从回购实施进展来看,德展健康、嘉化能 源、天奈科技回购金额最高,分别回购1. ...
宏观金融数据日报-20250708
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-07-08 07:42
Group 1: Market Interest Rates and Central Bank Operations - DROO1 closed at 1.31 with a 0.05bp increase, DR007 at 1.47 with a 4.37bp increase, GC001 at 1.49 with a 5.50bp increase, and GC007 at 1.51 with a 2.00bp increase [3] - SHBOR 3M closed at 1.58 with a 1.80bp decrease, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with no change, 1 - year treasury at 1.34 with a 0.40bp increase, 5 - year treasury at 1.47 with a 0.15bp increase, 10 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.10bp decrease, and 10 - year US treasury at 4.35 with a 5.00bp increase [3] - The central bank conducted 1065 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 3315 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2250 billion yuan [3] - This week, 6522 billion yuan of reverse repurchases will mature in the central bank's open market, with 1310 billion, 985 billion, 572 billion, and 340 billion maturing from Tuesday to Friday respectively [4] Group 2: Stock Index Performance - The CSI 300 closed at 3965, down 0.43%; the SSE 50 at 2732, down 0.33%; the CSI 500 at 5900, down 0.19%; and the CSI 1000 at 6327, up 0.24% [5] - The trading volume of the CSI 300 futures (IF) was 67470, down 46.5, and the open interest was 243305, down 8.5; for the SSE 50 futures (IH), the trading volume was 32788, down 50.5, and the open interest was 85845, down 12.2; for the CSI 500 futures (IC), the trading volume was 55201, down 44.4, and the open interest was 220939, down 6.6; for the CSI 1000 futures (IM), the trading volume was 136314, down 45.5, and the open interest was 320782, down 8.7 [5] - The trading volume of the two stock markets was 12087 billion yuan, a decrease of 2199 billion yuan from last Friday. Most industry sectors rose, with the power, grid equipment, household light industry, power supply equipment, diversified finance, real estate development, packaging materials, and public utility sectors leading the gains, while the biological products and medical service sectors leading the losses [5] Group 3: Stock Index Outlook - In the short term, with few domestic and foreign positive factors, there is resistance for the stock index to break through further and it may show a volatile pattern [6] - In the long term, the Politburo meeting at the end of July will set the policy tone for the second half of the year. Given the possible further deterioration of real - estate sales and investment and the overall weakness of consumption, policies are expected to further support domestic demand. Meanwhile, the US tariff policy is yet to be finalized, and with the approaching Fed rate - cut time, overseas liquidity easing expectations and changes in the geopolitical situation will bring phased trading opportunities for the stock index [6] Group 4: Futures Premium and Discount - The IF premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 16.88%, 8.92%, 5.87%, and 4.58% respectively [7] - The IH premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 21.78%, 7.93%, 4.25%, and 1.92% respectively [7] - The IC premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 23.17%, 15.23%, 12.77%, and 10.37% respectively [7] - The IM premium/discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts are 31.43%, 20.58%, 16.80%, and 14.00% respectively [7]
欢迎进入链接网页右侧下载本周财经数据与事件精美周历壁纸:今日有1310亿元7天期逆回购到期、 澳洲联储利率决议、美国6月纽约联储1年通胀预期。
news flash· 2025-07-08 00:38
欢迎进入链接网页右侧下载本周财经数据与事件精美周历壁纸:今日有1310亿元7天期逆回购到期、 澳 洲联储利率决议、美国6月纽约联储1年通胀预期。 相关链接 ...
信用分析周报:高票息信用债行情兑现-20250707
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-07 07:02
证券研究报告 固收定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 07 日 高票息信用债行情兑现 ——信用分析周报(2025/6/30-2025/7/4) 投资要点: 本周(6/30-7/4)市场概览: 证券分析师 廖志明 SAC:S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 3)负面舆情。主体负面:本周潍坊公信国有资产经营有限公司、联储证券股份有限 公司、登封市建设投资集团有限公司、聊城市安泰城乡投资开发有限责任公司列入 主体观察名单;黑龙江创达集团有限公司主体评级调低。债项负面:中燃投资有限 公司所发行的 10 只银行间债项隐含评级调低;康佳集团股份有限公司所发行的 6 只 公司债隐含评级调低;其他债项负面包括"融茂优 B"隐含评级调低,"H20 方圆 1" 展期,"23 创 01EB"债项评级调低,"23 联储一"列入债项观察名单。转债负面: 双良节能系统股份有限公司主体评级调低,其所发行的"双良转债"债项评级调低。 本周市场分析:本周公开市场共有 20275 亿元逆回购到期,本周央行累计开展 6522 亿元逆回购操作,实现全周净回笼 13753 亿 ...
央行公开市场实现净回笼4919亿元
news flash· 2025-07-04 01:30
Core Points - The central bank conducted a 340 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on July 4, indicating active liquidity management in the market [1] - A total of 5,259 billion yuan in 7-day reverse repos matured on the same day, leading to a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan [1] Summary by Category - **Monetary Policy Actions** - The central bank's reverse repurchase operation of 340 billion yuan reflects its strategy to manage short-term liquidity in the financial system [1] - **Market Liquidity** - The maturity of 5,259 billion yuan in reverse repos highlights significant liquidity dynamics, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan, which may impact market interest rates and liquidity conditions [1]
货币市场日报:7月3日
Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-03 12:36
Monetary Policy and Market Rates - The People's Bank of China conducted a 572 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with an interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from previous levels, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,521 billion yuan due to 5,093 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for short-term instruments continued to decline, with the overnight Shibor falling by 5.00 basis points to 1.3150%, and the 7-day Shibor decreasing by 4.10 basis points to 1.4560% [1] Interbank Repo Market - In the interbank pledged repo market, various rates continued to trend downward, with the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 decreasing by 4.5 basis points and 4.8 basis points, respectively, to 1.315% and 1.3714%, while transaction volumes increased significantly [4] - The weighted average rates for DR007 and R007 fell by 3.8 basis points and 5.2 basis points, respectively, with transaction volumes showing a decrease [4] Funding Conditions - Overall funding conditions were reported to be relaxed, with overnight rates trading in a range of 1.30% to 1.50% and 7-day rates around 1.50% [9] - As of 5:30 PM on July 3, 58 interbank certificates of deposit were issued, with a total issuance amount of 240.1 billion yuan [9] Certificate of Deposit Market - In the primary market for certificates of deposit, yields showed slight declines across various maturities, with trading activity concentrated mainly in the 9-month and 1-year maturities [10] - The 1-year national bank stock ended at approximately 1.595, down about 0.5 basis points from the previous close, indicating a narrowing of yield spreads among different maturities [10] Banking Sector Developments - The Bank of Communications has closed nearly 30 credit card centers this year, with a focus on accelerating the transformation of credit card operations [12] - New policies supporting the conversion of commercial housing loans to housing provident fund loans have been introduced in multiple cities, aimed at reducing financial burdens for homebuyers [12] - China Merchants Bank received approval to establish a financial asset investment company with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan, aimed at enhancing its comprehensive operational capabilities and supporting high-quality development [12][13]