美国官员：如果美国对某个国家存在贸易顺差，关税税率将为10%。 ...

Core Points - The unexpected trade agreement between the US and Japan reduces tariffs to 15%, but does not achieve the goal of eliminating the US trade deficit with Japan [1][2] - The agreement is estimated to reduce Japan's trade surplus with the US by approximately 70%, but significant differences in trade agreement details remain [1][4] - The agreement is projected to lead to a 0.55% decline in Japan's actual GDP, with a 50% probability of recession by the end of 2026 [8] Summary by Sections Tariff Agreement - The US-Japan trade agreement sets tariffs at 15%, which is seen as a major concession by Japan, given its initial demands for a complete removal of tariffs [2][3] - The agreement is expected to reduce Japan's exports to the US by approximately 2.2 trillion yen [7] Trade Surplus Impact - The agreement will reduce Japan's trade surplus with the US by 6.2 trillion yen, which is about 70% of the projected 8.6 trillion yen surplus in 2024 [5][4] - If certain factors are considered, the reduction in trade surplus could be as low as 4.8 trillion yen, or 56% of the projected surplus [5] Future Trade Relations - The Trump administration may impose additional measures on Japan, including higher tariffs on specific industries such as pharmaceuticals and semiconductors [8][6] - Japan's commitment to invest 5500 billion yen in the US is seen as a target rather than a guaranteed amount, with actual investments to be determined by Japanese companies [3][9] Discrepancies in Agreement Interpretation - There are discrepancies between the US and Japan regarding the agreement's content, particularly concerning Japan's commitment to additional defense equipment purchases [9][10] - The White House's statements about the agreement may not accurately reflect the terms agreed upon by both countries [10]

Group 1 - The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Gina Raimondo, stated that a trade surplus indicates that the U.S. is being "sold out" [1] - The European Union agreed to the deal primarily due to the pharmaceutical and automotive industries [1] - The EU does not want the U.S. to drive pharmaceutical companies out of Europe [1] Group 2 - Former President Trump is expected to announce a new pharmaceutical policy within the next two weeks [1] - A significant tariff will be imposed if drugs are not produced in the U.S. [1]

美国商务部长卢特尼克：贸易顺差意味着美国被"出卖"。 ...

《多哥第一报》7月28日消息--根据西非经货联盟统计，2023年多哥向西非经货联盟邻国出口超过7.69亿 美元。其中，对布基纳法索出口（1.78亿美元）、对贝宁出口（1.75亿美元）和对马里出口（1.68亿美 元），以上占多哥在西非次区域出口的 66% 。与此同时，洛美从西非经货联盟邻国进口额为3.68亿美 元，约占其进口额的一半。多哥在西非经货联盟内部贸易中顺差超过 4.01亿美元。这主要得益于多哥作 为次区域物流枢纽的区位优势，以及其作为内陆邻国（布基纳法索、尼日尔和马里，）进口商品的主要 通道。 ...

Core Viewpoint - South Korea's exports are expected to continue growing in July, driven by strong semiconductor and shipbuilding sectors, despite the adverse effects of increased tariffs from the United States [1] Export Data - A survey of 11 economists conducted by The Wall Street Journal predicts that July exports may increase by 4.7% year-on-year, following a 4.3% growth in June [1] - The anticipated trade surplus for July is projected to be $5.55 billion, down from a surplus of $9.08 billion in June [1] Import Data - July imports are expected to rise by 1.9% year-on-year [1] Economic Insights - Chun Kyu-yeon, an economist at Hanwha Securities, indicates that the momentum of exports may gradually weaken due to the influence of the United States [1]

据报道，"我们与中国相处得很好。" 美国总统特朗普在华盛顿一场人工智能峰会上，突然抛出这句看 似轻描淡写的话。 前不久，他刚对菲律宾总统马科斯说过几乎一样的台词。要知道，就在几个月前，这位以"关税大棒"闻 名的总统还在威胁对中国商品加征关税。是什么让他的态度发生了180度大转弯？ 答案藏在最新公布的贸易数据里——2025年6月，中国从美国进口的原油、液化天然气（LNG）和煤 炭，几乎全部归零。 特朗普（资料图） 一、归零的数据：美国能源出口遭遇"断头台" 中国海关总署的数据显示，6月份，中国自美国进口的原油彻底归零——这是近三年来的第一次。要知 道，去年同期的进口额还有8亿美元。液化天然气（LNG）更惨，已经连续四个月没有一丁点对华出 口。煤炭？去年6月中国还买了9000万美元的美国煤，今年6月只剩下几百美元的订单，几乎可以忽略不 计。 为什么会出现这种断崖式下跌？关税，还是关税。 4月份中美关税战升级，双方互加"对等关税"，部分能源产品的税率一度飙。这么高的税率，进口商根 本无利可图，贸易自然就停了。 美国能源商这下傻眼了。中国是全球最大的能源买家之一，突然不买了，他们的库存和现金流立刻吃 紧。更糟的是，这 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the U.S. is increasingly dependent on China despite initiating a tariff war, as China's industrial output has surpassed that of the U.S. [1] - The U.S. has conducted two rounds of trade talks with China and has ceased its tariff war, seeking cooperation on rare earth regulations [3] - The U.S. initiated the tariff war primarily to increase fiscal revenue, but this has led to rising prices that are being passed onto American consumers [5] Group 2 - The trade scale between China and the U.S. is significant, with China enjoying a large trade surplus from the U.S. market [6] - The U.S. Republican government’s actions are seen as detrimental to the interests of ordinary American citizens, as recent budget bills have favored the wealthy while burdening the general populace [6] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary's call for citizens to contribute to repaying national debt highlights the government's strategy of shifting financial burdens onto the public [8]

Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stated that Japan has achieved the best results among countries that maintain a trade surplus with the United States [1] Group 1 - Japan's trade surplus with the United States is highlighted as a significant achievement [1]

Group 1 - Thailand is nearing a crucial trade agreement with the U.S. to avoid punitive tariffs of up to 36% on its exports, which is vital for its export-driven economy [1][4] - The negotiations have progressed over 90%, with Thailand expected to submit final details to U.S. trade officials shortly, aiming for a new tariff rate around 20% [1][2] - The U.S. is Thailand's largest export market, accounting for 18% of its total shipments in 2024, and the recent negotiations have led to a 15% increase in exports in the first five months of this year [1][4] Group 2 - Thailand has expanded its list of U.S. goods to be subject to zero tariffs from over 60% to 90%, including significant purchases of U.S. agricultural products and investments in projects like the Alaska gas project [2][4] - The trade surplus with the U.S. reached $46 billion last year, which is a central issue in the ongoing trade friction [4] - The Thai government is making concessions to minimize the economic impact of punitive tariffs, especially amid rising domestic debt and weak consumer spending [4][5] Group 3 - The final stages of negotiations are focused on addressing remaining requests from the U.S., with expectations for a tariff rate comparable to those negotiated with Vietnam and Indonesia [3][4] - The Thai government is assessing its capacity to meet the U.S.'s expectations regarding policy formulation and issue handling [5]