以下文章来源于泉果视点 ，作者泉果基金 图1. 泉果基金创始人任莉女士做悼词发言 尊敬的各位来宾朋友们，国斌总的亲友们： 感谢大家从各地赶来，一起追思缅怀我们的国斌总！ 我和国斌总是北大同窗，毕业后各奔东西。2006年，国斌总一声召唤，我毫不犹豫，跨洋回国，追随国斌总，一起打造东方红，进而共创泉 果。 泉果视点 . 泉果基金管理有限公司官方订阅号，第一时间分享泉果基金动态。以专业投研+专业服务，与您相伴在长期投资的道路上。 2025年11月9日上午，著名投资人、泉果基金创始人王国斌先生的追思会在上海龙华殡仪馆举行。他生前的家人、同窗、挚 友、伙伴……800余人于潇潇秋雨中静默站立，送了王国斌先生最后一程。 追思会上，王国斌先生的家属代表，母校北京大学的校友代表及好友代表等人，纷纷致辞，缅怀。泉果基金联合创始人任莉女 士，作为王国斌先生事业上的多年战友，亦真挚追忆。 她说： "我和国斌总是北大同窗，毕业后各奔东西。2006年，国斌总一声召唤，我毫不犹豫跨洋回国，追随国斌总，一起打造东方 红，进而共创泉果，30多年相知、相伴、相随，国斌总是我智慧的启迪者，事业的引路人，更是我最亲密的战友！" "国斌总的一生虽短暂 ...

本周 推荐阅读 这周有三份聪投的独家放送。 一个是坚持了4年的"老朋友"，聪明投资者与国泰基金携手的《深夜食堂》。 想起跟一家银行总行产品经理交流时，他说，最适合银行绝大多数客户的产品还是稳健的，要回撤小、 风险控制好，向上的弹性也不能太差。事实上，经过过去三四年的市场，大家对于回撤的感受都要比过 去来得深刻。 不管科技与能源浪潮如何翻涌，一份安心的投资总是压舱石的存在。 但"稳"常常是一种被低估的力量。 其他值得看 1、 刘煜辉最新发声：A股收官阶段的情绪面大概率不具备进攻性，明年布局最看好四个领域，黄金仍 是最好的定投资产…… 2、 当理性成为稀缺品！从霍华德·马克斯最新备忘录，理解杨东陈光明的"封盘"…… 3、 听一位喜欢研究生意经的价值投资者聊聊，如何做AI时代的好朋友 4、 红利的"老友"时刻：在十月的躁动里，它稳稳当当 点击阅读： 深夜食堂第十三季｜在极端市场环境中，如何寻求"稳"的力量 10月28日到30日，毕盛投资（APS）的三十周年庆典论坛上，我们听了全程，各种干货，比如这篇： 一场不容错过的对话！两个"看多中国的人"深谈稀土博弈、制度韧性与中美格局重估…… 以及跟圆桌对话的嘉宾之一张忆东， ...

Core Viewpoint - Wang Guobin, a legendary figure in China's capital market, passed away, leaving behind a significant impact on the investment community and a legacy of value investing principles [1][2]. Group 1: Wang Guobin's Career and Achievements - Wang Guobin joined Dongfang Securities in 1998 and later became the chairman of Dongzheng Asset Management, where he led the firm to manage over 100 billion yuan by 2015 [2]. - After leaving Dongzheng Asset Management in 2016, he co-founded Junhe Capital and later established Quanguo Fund in February 2022, marking his return to the public fund industry [2]. - Under his management, Junhe Capital achieved a remarkable 167.03% return on an investment in Wanhua Chemical from 2017 to 2019, significantly outperforming the 7.2% return of the CSI 300 index during the same period [2]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy and Approach - Wang Guobin emphasized that value investors can only control their positions, stock selection, and purchase prices, but not when value will be realized, highlighting the importance of patience in investing [3]. - He believed that enduring market volatility is essential for achieving high returns, echoing sentiments from renowned investors like Buffett and Munger [3]. - Wang's investment philosophy was rooted in a long-term perspective, advocating for a focus on fundamental value rather than short-term market fluctuations [10]. Group 3: Legacy and Influence - Wang Guobin's teachings and writings, particularly in his book "Investing in China," continue to inspire many investors, promoting a message of optimism and commitment to the Chinese market [7][10]. - His approach to investment was characterized by a blend of optimism, long-termism, and patriotism, influencing a generation of investors who regard him as a mentor [10]. - Despite his passing, the investment research team and platform he built continue to operate effectively, with Quanguo Fund's products showing positive net values and some reaching new highs [5][6].

Core Insights - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) is currently rated as a Strong Buy (1) while Medpace (MEDP) is rated as a Buy (2), indicating a more favorable earnings outlook for BTSG [3] - Value investors utilize various traditional metrics to identify undervalued stocks, including P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share [4] Valuation Metrics - BTSG has a forward P/E ratio of 30.66, compared to MEDP's forward P/E of 40.04, suggesting that BTSG may be undervalued relative to MEDP [5] - The PEG ratio for BTSG is 0.58, indicating a more attractive growth valuation compared to MEDP's PEG ratio of 2.71 [5] - BTSG's P/B ratio stands at 3.23, significantly lower than MEDP's P/B ratio of 56.81, further supporting the argument for BTSG's better valuation [6] Conclusion - Given the stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics, BTSG is positioned as the superior investment option for value investors at this time [7]

Core Insights - Investors in the Leisure and Recreation Services sector may find value in Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) and Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Sponsored ADR (ATAT) [1] Valuation Metrics - LTH has a forward P/E ratio of 17.44, while ATAT has a forward P/E of 24.16 [5] - LTH's PEG ratio is 0.71, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to ATAT's PEG ratio of 1.25 [5] - LTH's P/B ratio stands at 1.85, significantly lower than ATAT's P/B ratio of 11.71 [6] Investment Grades - Both LTH and ATAT have a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions [3] - LTH holds a Value grade of A, while ATAT has a Value grade of C, suggesting LTH is the superior value option based on current metrics [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of the proactive selection strategy in fund management, emphasizing the importance of selecting skilled fund managers and the strategy's ability to achieve higher returns with lower risks compared to the market. Group 1: Fund Manager Selection - The proactive selection strategy focuses on selecting excellent fund managers, as investing in active funds essentially means investing in the fund manager [3][4]. - A strong fund company typically has a complete talent hierarchy of fund managers, including veterans, mid-generation, and new-generation managers [5]. - The first tier consists of veterans who have experienced multiple market cycles and are considered key targets for investment [5][7]. - The second tier includes mid-generation managers who may have less experience but show potential, often trained by veterans [5][7]. - The third tier consists of new-generation managers with less than three years of experience, who have not yet faced significant market downturns [5]. Group 2: Performance of Proactive Selection Strategy - The proactive selection strategy has consistently outperformed the overall market, with a cumulative return exceeding the CSI 300 Index by 7.08% as of October 2025 [17]. - The strategy's maximum drawdown is lower than that of the market, indicating a better risk-return profile [17]. - The strategy has a quarterly performance win rate of 66.67% from 2022 to 2025, demonstrating its effectiveness over time [19]. Group 3: Investment Behavior and Pricing - The article highlights the importance of buying at good prices, as even the best stocks can lead to losses if purchased at high valuations [33]. - The proactive selection strategy encourages investors to buy more during market downturns, effectively lowering their average cost [36]. - A high repurchase rate of 97.2% indicates that most investors continue to invest during bear markets, showing confidence in the strategy [42]. Group 4: Automatic Rebalancing and Profit-Taking - The proactive selection strategy includes an automatic rebalancing feature that helps investors take profits from overvalued assets and reinvest in undervalued ones [45]. - The strategy provides signals for profit-taking when the overall market is overvalued, allowing for a gradual transition to more stable investment options [49][50].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing significant differentiation, with growth sectors facing both long-term opportunities from industrial upgrades and short-term impacts from macroeconomic fluctuations [1][2] Group 1: Fund Launch and Management - Morgan Huixi Growth Mixed Securities Investment Fund will officially launch on November 17, featuring a new floating management fee model aimed at enhancing investor experience by linking fees directly to fund performance [1] - The fund will be managed by experienced fund manager Li Dehui, who holds a PhD in Biomedical Engineering from Shanghai Jiao Tong University and has 13 years of securities research experience along with nearly 9 years in fund management [1] - Since Li Dehui took over the Morgan Technology Frontier Mixed Securities Investment Fund A-class shares in November 2016, the total return has exceeded 230% as of November 6, 2025, with a one-year return of over 50% [1] Group 2: Research and Market Outlook - Morgan Asset Management has a strong global research platform and deep local investment research capabilities, having been active in the mainland China market for 21 years, with an average of over 12 years of experience among its domestic active equity research team [2] - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, factors such as expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, continued domestic liquidity, supportive policies, and resilient macroeconomic conditions are expected to benefit the overall A-share market [2] - The ongoing economic transformation in China has shown initial success, with investments in technology and domestic consumption expected to stabilize and drive future economic growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the perceived dichotomy between value investing and technology investing, particularly in the context of the AI era, and explores the reasons behind this stereotype [4][5]. Group 1: Value vs. Technology Investing - The stereotype that value investing and technology investing are oppositional stems from the low proportion of technology investments made by well-known value investors [5]. - Value investors often struggle to share their technology investment cases, reinforcing the stereotype [5]. - A key principle of value investing is that value must be assessable, which is challenging in the rapidly changing technology sector [5][6]. Group 2: Characteristics of Technology Companies - Not all technology companies are unprofitable at inception; some, like Nvidia, can be profitable from the start [6]. - The financial losses of some tech companies do not negate their long-term value, as profitability can be established once business models and payment capabilities are confirmed [6][9]. - Understanding the business model of technology companies often requires specialized knowledge, creating a barrier for value investors [7][13]. Group 3: AI's Impact on Industries - The demand for computing power driven by AI has significantly enhanced the value of the semiconductor foundry industry, which has a stable business model and clear competitive advantages [16][18]. - AI has transformed the storage industry by increasing the demand for storage capacity and bandwidth, leading to supply shortages and rising prices [19][20]. - The shift from traditional computing to AI-driven models has created bottlenecks in storage, as the new computing methods require more frequent data storage [19]. Group 4: Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a slowdown in the pace of innovation, as evidenced by the observed deceleration of Moore's Law [25][28]. - Future advancements in semiconductor manufacturing may occur at a slower rate, with increased reliance on chip clusters to enhance computing power [29]. - The competitive landscape in semiconductor manufacturing is evolving, particularly in the context of national policies promoting self-sufficiency in technology [21][24].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant performance disparity between value and growth investments, highlighting the ongoing debate between "value investors" and "growth investors" in the context of the current market environment [2][3]. Group 1: Value Investment and Technology - The perception that value investing and technology investing are mutually exclusive is prevalent, with value investors often criticized for not engaging with tech stocks [3][7]. - Value investment encompasses any area where value can be assessed, including technology, although the barriers to evaluating value in different sectors vary [4][12]. - The development of AI is expected to drive demand growth in the semiconductor industry, indicating that value assessments can be made in this sector despite its complexities [15][16]. Group 2: Conditions for Assessing Company Value - Three conditions are essential for determining a company's value: the long-term demand baseline, the business model's viability, and the assessability of the company's competitive advantage [17][19]. - Current profitability is not a prerequisite for investment; what matters is the presence of a competitive moat and long-term demand [20][21]. Group 3: Semiconductor Industry Insights - The semiconductor industry, particularly wafer foundries, is characterized by a stable business model and a clear competitive moat, making it a sector where value can be assessed [25][31]. - The investment required for advanced process nodes in semiconductor manufacturing is substantial, leading to a niche market dominated by a few leading firms [30][31]. Group 4: Storage Industry Dynamics - The storage industry is experiencing rapid demand growth, particularly for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), driven by AI applications [36][37]. - The shift from traditional computing to AI has altered the storage requirements, leading to a supply-demand imbalance and significant price increases for DRAM [36][38]. Group 5: Domestic vs. International Competitiveness - The competitive landscape in semiconductor manufacturing is evolving, with domestic firms gaining opportunities due to the push for self-sufficiency in the semiconductor sector [41][42]. - The ability to overcome initial disadvantages in technology and customer acquisition is crucial for domestic firms to compete effectively [40][42]. Group 6: Future of Value Assessment - The concept of "self-sufficiency" is expected to influence how companies' values are assessed, potentially altering market share and profitability expectations for domestic firms [44][45]. - The fundamental understanding of business operations remains unchanged, but the parameters for evaluating companies will adapt to reflect new market realities [46][48]. Group 7: Long-term Investment Opportunities - The slowing pace of technological advancement in semiconductors suggests that the industry may not see rapid iterations in the future, leading to a focus on stable, value-generating companies [50][55]. - Identifying companies that can create value amidst these changes will be essential for value investors, emphasizing the importance of thorough research and understanding of market dynamics [59][61].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of traditional industries in China's economic landscape, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan, highlighting their role in stabilizing growth, employment, and income [5][10]. Market Review - The recent market performance indicates a shift from growth stocks to value stocks, with traditional sectors like electric equipment, steel, and coal showing significant gains, while tech sectors faced declines [2][4]. - The "old-style" stocks, characterized by stable earnings and generous dividends, are regaining attention as market dynamics shift [2][4]. Industry Rebalancing - Traditional industries are crucial for short-term demand expansion and are categorized under the 14th Five-Year Plan as essential for economic stability [4][5]. - The plan aims to optimize traditional industries while fostering new and future industries, with traditional sectors accounting for approximately 80% of manufacturing value [5]. Traditional Industries' Role - Traditional industries are seen as the backbone of the economy, essential for maintaining growth, employment, and income levels, especially during economic downturns [5]. - The service sector also plays a vital role in employment, necessitating a shift towards high-quality development [5]. Market Analysis of Traditional Industries - The analysis of operational and financial leverage across traditional industries reveals varying levels of risk and opportunity, with some sectors showing signs of stress due to high leverage [6]. - The first quadrant indicates high non-current asset ratios and debt levels, posing risks in a slowing economy, while the third quadrant shows low leverage, suggesting potential for growth in an upward economic trend [6]. Short-term Trends in Traditional Industries - The Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicates a recent uptick in prices for certain traditional sectors, supporting the profitability of traditional industry stocks [9]. - Specific sectors like coal mining and black metal mining have shown PPI increases, which may enhance their profitability [9]. Investment Strategy for Traditional Industries - The article warns against a rigid investment approach, termed the "Guevara dilemma," advocating for a flexible strategy that adapts to changing market conditions [10]. - Traditional industries must integrate with new technologies and models to achieve high-quality development, emphasizing the need for innovation and transformation [10].