提升发展质量，要加快消除制约高质量发展的体制机制障碍。纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，深入整 治"内卷式"竞争，形成既"放得活"又"管得好"的经济秩序。坚持以开放促改革、促发展，稳步推进制度 型开放，推进贸易投资一体化、内外贸一体化发展，以高水平对外开放助力国内经济提质增效。 2025年，在外部压力加大、内部困难较多的复杂局面下，中国经济顶压前行、向新向优发展，经济社会 发展主要目标将顺利完成，展现出强大韧性与活力。"十五五"时期是基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基 础、全面发力的关键时期，中央经济工作会议在部署明年经济工作时明确指出，要"在质的有效提升上 取得更大突破"，为"十五五"开好局、起好步提供了重要指引。 当今世界动荡变革加剧，新一轮科技革命和产业变革加速突破，外部环境变化影响加深，同时，国内供 强需弱矛盾仍然突出。要在激烈国际竞争中赢得战略主动，要解决好发展中、转型中的问题，就必须在 转变发展方式、优化经济结构、转换增长动力方面下更大功夫，全力推动经济发展实现质的有效提升， 以高质量发展的确定性应对各种不确定性。我国经济基础稳、优势多、韧性强、潜能大，长期向好的支 撑条件和基本趋势没有变，中国特色社会主义制 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [6] Core Insights - Nike's FY26Q2 performance showed regional revenue changes: North America +9%, EMEA -1%, Greater China -16%, APLA -4%, with Greater China significantly dragging down overall performance due to weak foot traffic, poor new product sell-through rates, and aging inventory [3][16] - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized expanding domestic demand as a priority, focusing on enhancing the supply of quality goods and services, and promoting investment recovery [4][17] - The report suggests a cautious outlook for FY26Q3, with expected revenue declines in certain regions and a focus on the "Win Now" strategy in Greater China [3][16] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - Nike's performance in FY26Q2 highlighted a significant decline in Greater China, attributed to weak customer traffic and inventory issues [3][16] - The company is implementing pilot store projects in Greater China to improve sales performance [3][16] 2. Market Review - The SW textile and apparel sector increased by 2.42%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.32% [19] - Key stocks with the highest gains included Yimin Group and Huamao Co., while stocks like Hason and *ST Bosen faced significant declines [19][24] 3. Industry Data Tracking 3.1 Raw Material Data - The China cotton price index rose by 2.96% year-to-date, while wool prices increased by 29.52% since the beginning of the year [34][40] - The USDA forecasts a 0.34% increase in total cotton production for 2025, with a slight decline in demand [46] 3.2 Export Data - Textile and apparel exports from January to November 2025 decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a notable decline in apparel exports [54] - The export value of tarpaulins and canopies fell by 21.18% in October 2025 [59] 4. Industry News - Notable developments include the opening of Descente's flagship store in Beijing and the re-entry of Spanish fast fashion brands into the Chinese market [10][4]

Group 1: A-Share Market - The A-share market showed a mixed performance this week, with value sectors being relatively strong. Major indices like the Shanghai 50 and CSI 2000 saw slight increases, while the ChiNext index fell by 2.26%. Value performance was notable across large, mid, and small-cap stocks, with sectors such as retail, consumer services, and non-bank financials leading the gains. The average daily trading volume was 1.76 trillion, down 9.86% week-on-week [6][7]. - The market experienced a pattern of initial decline followed by recovery, indicating structural hotspots. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) chairman emphasized the need to deepen the capital market's 14th Five-Year Plan and expand high-level opening-up to boost market confidence. The Central Financial Office highlighted that expanding domestic demand is a primary task for the coming year, aiming to stimulate consumption through supply and demand-side efforts [6][7]. - Looking ahead, the A-share market is expected to remain structurally active due to ongoing policy support for capital markets and consumption. Despite a decline in trading volume, support from emerging industries like technology and new energy, along with the push for domestic demand, will provide market backing. Investors are advised to focus on sectors benefiting from policy support, such as consumption upgrades, technological innovation, and high-end manufacturing [7]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong market faced overall pressure this week, with major indices recording declines. The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 1.1%, 1.96%, and 2.82%, respectively, with the technology index experiencing the largest drop. Essential consumer and financial sectors rose against the trend, while most sectors, including information technology and non-essential consumer goods, showed weakness [8]. - Despite the overall pressure, the market was supported by expectations of improved liquidity due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In 2025, the Fed has already cut rates three times, with potential for further easing, which may optimize the debt side for Hong Kong stocks. Additionally, a rebound in U.S. tech stocks provided some uplift to the Hong Kong technology sector [8]. - In the future, while the Hong Kong market may experience volatility due to external factors, the expected improvement in liquidity from the Fed's easing cycle will have a positive impact. Strong performance from the mainland economy and ongoing policy support, particularly in high-level opening-up, will provide a solid foundation for the Hong Kong market. Investors are encouraged to focus on sectors benefiting from Fed easing and mainland economic recovery, as well as technology sectors with growth potential amid the AI wave [8].

Core Viewpoint - The concept of "investment in people" is emphasized as a crucial strategy for driving economic growth and enhancing domestic demand, complementing traditional "investment in physical assets" [1][2]. Group 1: Investment in People - "Investment in people" refers to allocating more resources to education, employment, healthcare, and social security, focusing on enhancing human capabilities and driving high-quality economic development [2]. - This approach is a response to the declining returns on "investment in physical assets" and aims to shift the economic growth mechanism towards innovation and demand-driven models [2][3]. - The release of consumer potential and the enhancement of human capital are seen as essential for building long-term economic competitiveness in the face of global industrial competition [2]. Group 2: Domestic Demand and Economic Structure - Recent data indicates that household consumption accounts for approximately 39% of China's GDP, while capital formation accounts for about 41%, highlighting a need for improved consumer demand [3]. - Compared to global averages, where household consumption is around 57% of GDP, China's internal demand issues stem from insufficient consumer demand and the need for better interaction between consumption and investment [3]. - "Investment in people" is identified as a key lever to enhance this interaction, focusing on comprehensive human development to activate endogenous economic momentum [3]. Group 3: Integration of Investments - The emphasis on "investment in people" does not diminish the importance of "investment in physical assets," as there remains significant potential for capital investment in China [4]. - The strategy calls for a shift from scale expansion to quality improvement and precision efforts, focusing on key technology enhancements and optimizing existing assets [4]. - Continuous investment in public services and human resource development is essential, with a focus on education, healthcare, and social welfare to stimulate overall economic growth [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of advancing urban construction and public welfare in Shanghai, aligning with the spirit of the 20th National Congress and the Central Economic Work Conference [1] - The city aims to enhance public services and resource allocation, focusing on high-quality employment and adapting to the impacts of new technologies, particularly artificial intelligence [2] - There is a strong emphasis on expanding effective investment and accelerating major engineering projects to promote high-quality development in the real estate sector [1][2] Group 2 - The city plans to improve the quality of life by developing an age-friendly society and a child-friendly city, addressing the changing needs for elderly care and early childhood education [2] - Efforts will be made to enhance urban governance and environmental management, including air pollution control and water environment improvement [2] - The city will prioritize safety and stability by focusing on risk assessment and management in key areas to ensure urban operation safety [2]

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming year 2026 marks the beginning of the "15th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on maintaining economic stability and growth amidst challenges [1] Economic Performance - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's contribution to global economic growth remained stable at around 30%, despite significant external pressures [4] - China's total economic output has crossed 110 trillion, 120 trillion, and 130 trillion yuan, with an expected reach of approximately 140 trillion yuan this year [5] Challenges and Opportunities - The current economic landscape presents challenges such as deepening external environmental changes, prominent domestic supply-demand imbalances, and risks in key sectors [5] - To sustain and strengthen the momentum of stable economic growth, it is essential to confront challenges head-on and leverage existing advantages [5] Strategic Advantages - The "15th Five-Year Plan" period will highlight four key advantages: the superiority of the socialist system, the vast market scale, a complete industrial system, and abundant talent resources [5] - Emphasizing these advantages is crucial for maintaining strategic determination and transforming potential into actual strength [5] Leadership and Development - Strengthening the comprehensive leadership of the Party is fundamental to advancing modernization in China [6] - The strategy focuses on expanding domestic demand, enhancing the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, and promoting a unified national market [6] - Emphasis on technological innovation is vital for industrial upgrades, with a focus on building a modern industrial system centered around advanced manufacturing [6]

明优势，增信心。深刻把握优势、用足用好优势，是做好经济工作的基本前提和重要方法。优势何在？ 这就是"十五五"时期"中国特色社会主义制度优势、超大规模市场优势、完整产业体系优势、丰富人才 资源优势更加彰显。"我们要发挥好这"四大优势"，保持战略定力，更加积极有为，不断化优势为胜 势、变潜力为实力。 来源：央广网 坚持和加强党的全面领导是推进中国式现代化的根本保证。形势越是复杂，越要加强党对经济工作的全 面领导，把党中央加强构建新发展格局、着力推动高质量发展的要求落实落细到经济社会发展各方面全 过程，确保一张蓝图绘到底。我们要坚持扩大内需这个战略基点，一手增强消费品供需适配性，一手纵 深推进全国统一大市场建设，不断增强国内大循环内生动力和可靠性。要坚持以科技创新引领产业升 级，构建以先进制造业为骨干的现代化产业体系，巩固壮大实体经济根基；一体推进教育科技人才发 展，投资于物和投资于人紧密结合，不断将人才优势转化为创新优势、发展优势。 即将到来的2026年是"十五五"开局之年，中国经济航船又将开启新的征程。 中央经济工作会议强调，"要坚定信心、用好优势、应对挑战，不断巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头。"这简 短有力的话语中 ...

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the importance of advancing urban construction and public welfare in Shanghai, aligning with national policies and focusing on enhancing citizens' satisfaction and quality of life [1] Group 1: Urban Construction and Development - The city aims to accelerate the construction of a modern urban environment, with a focus on high-quality urban development and effective governance [1] - There is a strategic emphasis on expanding domestic demand and enhancing service consumption to support high-quality development [1] - The city plans to increase effective investment and expedite major engineering projects, while promoting high-quality development in the real estate sector [1] Group 2: Public Welfare and Services - The government is committed to enhancing public services and expanding quality resources to improve service efficiency [2] - There is a focus on promoting high-quality employment and addressing the impacts of new technologies, particularly artificial intelligence, on job markets [2] - Initiatives will be taken to optimize services for the elderly and children, including the development of age-friendly communities and integrated childcare policies [2] Group 3: Environmental and Urban Management - The city will advance the construction of a beautiful Shanghai, focusing on air pollution prevention, comprehensive water environment management, and park city development [2] - There will be an emphasis on fine management of urban areas to address local issues and improve urban operation [2] - The city aims to ensure safety in urban operations by focusing on risk identification and mitigation in key areas [2]

（原标题：春节倒计时 大消费起舞年味渐浓） 本周，A股探底回升，上证指数、上证50周线微幅飘红，深证成指、科创50、北证50等周线微幅飘绿， 周成交减少至8.8万亿元。 机构：跨年攻势已开始 杠杆资金本周小幅净卖出逾11亿元，其中基础化工行业被融资净卖出逾19亿元，有色金属行业、食品饮 料行业也被净卖出逾10亿元，传媒、银行、交通运输等行业亦被净卖出超亿元；电子行业获得逾28亿元 融资净买入，国防军工行业获得逾18亿元净买入，非银金融行业获得逾12亿元净买入，商贸零售、机械 设备、建筑材料、公用事业等行业也获得超亿元净买入。 免税概念、网红经济、新零售、供销社等相关板块也均强势上攻，顺灏股份16日8涨停，南京商旅10日5 涨停，九牧王6日4涨停，美凯龙、皮阿诺等亦多次涨停。 消息面上，近日，商务部办公厅、财政部办公厅印发《关于做好消费新业态新模式新场景试点有关工作 的通知》，在北京等50个城市开展消费新业态、新模式、新场景试点。 农业农村部也部署开展2026年元旦、春节"品特产 寻年味"消费促进活动，要求各地进一步落实《促进 农产品消费实施方案》，抓住"两节"消费旺季，谋划出台促消费务实举措，推动供需精准适配 ...

Group 1 - The central economic work conference emphasizes expanding domestic demand as the primary task for the upcoming year, highlighting the urgency of boosting consumer spending, particularly among residents [1] - Policies such as the trade-in program for consumer goods, increased fiscal investment in people's livelihoods, and financial incentives for loans are expected to support the enhancement of resident consumption [1] - To fundamentally boost consumption, it is essential to continue promoting income growth among residents, thereby solidifying their consumption capacity and confidence [1] Group 2 - Employment stability is crucial for income stability, with wage income being the largest component of residents' income. The focus on employment is vital for the broader "income increase" plan [2] - Policies should favor the service sector, remove unnecessary barriers, and enhance human capital investment to improve residents' skills and enable them to seek higher-paying jobs [2] - Encouraging listed companies to increase cash dividends can significantly enhance residents' property income, which has a greater impact on consumption than other income types [2] Group 3 - Improving income distribution can be achieved through tax adjustments and transfer payments, with the latter being more effective in reducing income disparities [3] - Enhanced public services, such as education and healthcare, can significantly support consumer confidence and willingness to spend [3] - Recent policies include cash subsidies for families with young children and waiving fees for public kindergarten, indicating a push towards direct benefits for residents [3] Group 4 - The social security system, particularly the pension system, has notable shortcomings that need reform to bridge the gaps in funding and benefits between different demographics [4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests optimizing drug procurement and improving insurance policies to enhance social security's role in income distribution [4] - Consumer spending is not merely an economic tool but a fundamental aspect of residents' lives, reflecting their needs and aspirations for a better quality of life [4]