Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the efforts of China Orient Asset Management Co., Ltd. in revitalizing distressed real estate projects in China, addressing liquidity crises faced by some real estate companies, and restoring the credit chain in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Support and Project Revitalization - As of the end of Q1 2025, China Orient has supported over 200 billion yuan in stock projects to resume work and production [2]. - The company has facilitated the delivery of 64,300 residential units on time, resolved over 2.1 billion yuan in wage payments for migrant workers, and paid over 10 billion yuan in upstream and downstream material and project payments [3]. - The Shenzhen Yuemeng project serves as a typical case where China Orient coordinated multiple parties to establish a stable fund, effectively managing debt risks and preventing further financial contagion [3][4]. Group 2: Activation of Inefficient Assets - China Orient has successfully revitalized a number of "sleeping assets" through judicial debt settlement and cooperative activation, providing replicable industry experiences [4]. - The Beijing Liubai Ben project, previously a stalled commercial street, was transformed into a modern commercial complex through a comprehensive activation model involving local government support and quality industry partnerships [4]. Group 3: Social Welfare and Housing Security - The company actively explores innovative models to support "people's livelihood," focusing on affordable housing construction and urban village renovations [5]. - In a key affordable housing project in Nanshan District, Shenzhen, China Orient collaborated closely with local government and state-owned enterprises to clear debt obstacles and restore the supply chain, enabling over a thousand families to achieve housing stability [5]. - China Orient aims to continue focusing on risk resolution in key areas such as real estate, contributing to the stability of the financial system and the recovery of the real estate market [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Glass: The medium - term outlook is a sideways market. In the short - term, spot transactions are stable, and policy proposals and peak - season expectations drive a rebound. However, factors such as Hubei's warehouse receipt pricing and high inventory limit the upside. The long - term bullish view is supported by policy expectations, low prices, long - term losses of manufacturers, and peak - season expectations for the 09 contract. The bearish view is based on the lack of substantial improvement in the real - estate market and high inventory pressure [6][7]. - Soda Ash: The trend is sideways with a downward bias. High glass inventory and large losses limit the price increase of soda ash. Although short - term valuation is low and there are some positive expectations, the market will face greater delivery pressure. The core factors are high production and high inventory, and it is difficult to expect a long - term shortage [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Glass 3.1.1 Supply - Side Situation - Cold - repaired production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 10,530 tons/day [11]. - Ignited production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 11,510 tons/day [12]. - Potential new ignition production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 14,600 tons/day [14]. - Potential复产 production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 8,130 tons/day, mainly concentrated in South and Southwest China [15]. - Potential cold - repair production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 6,900 tons/day [17]. - The current in - production capacity is about 157,000 tons/day. The peak capacity in 2021 was 178,000 tons/day, and the recent low was 148,000 - 150,000 tons/day. The production reduction space in the first half of the year is limited [19][21]. 3.1.2 Price and Profit - This week, transactions were stable, with most prices unchanged and some in Shahe rising by 10 yuan/ton. Shahe's price is around 1,130 - 1,180 yuan/ton, Hubei's is around 1,000 - 1,100 yuan/ton, and East China's is around 1,220 - 1,360 yuan/ton [27][31]. - Futures rebounded, the basis was weak, and the monthly spread was stable. The monthly spread was weak due to near - month warehouse receipt factors [33][35]. - Profits: Petroleum coke profit is around - 101 yuan/ton, and natural gas and coal fuel profits are around - 199 - 82 yuan/ton. The profit of coal - fired devices is 86 yuan/ton, natural - gas - fired devices is - 188 yuan/ton, and petroleum - coke - fired devices is - 85 yuan/ton [38][41]. 3.1.3 Inventory and Downstream开工 - Recent transactions were relatively stable, and inventory in most regions decreased slightly [44]. - Regional arbitrage: The price in East China decreased, and the regional price difference shrank [45]. 3.1.4 Photovoltaic Glass - Price and profit: Prices declined, recent orders decreased, shipments were average, and inventory increased. The mainstream order price of 2.0mm coated panels is 10.5 - 11 yuan/square meter, down 2.27% month - on - month; the 3.2mm coated mainstream order price is 18 - 19 yuan/square meter, down 2.63% month - on - month [53][55]. - Capacity and inventory: As the market weakens, it may enter a production - reduction cycle again. As of early July, the actual capacity is about 94,000 tons/day, and the sample inventory days are about 34.62 days, up 6.80% month - on - month [57][58][62]. 3.2 Soda Ash 3.2.1 Supply and Maintenance - Soda ash开工 changed little, and the potential maintenance volume is currently small. The capacity utilization rate is 81.32% (last week was 82.2%). The current weekly output of heavy soda ash is 396,000 tons. With high production and high inventory, either manufacturers increase production - reduction efforts or the real - estate industry recovers to drive the demand for glass and soda ash. Currently, glass has great pressure and cannot increase the demand for soda ash [66][68]. - Inventory is about 1.81 million tons, with 805,000 tons of light soda ash and 1.005 million tons of heavy soda ash [69][70]. 3.2.2 Price and Profit - The prices in Shahe and Hubei are nominally around 1,200 - 1,300 yuan/ton, and prices changed little this week [76][80]. - Due to high production and high inventory, the near - month pressure is large. The basis is slightly strong, and the monthly spread is under pressure. The near - month pressure comes from delivery and trade pressure, and the fundamental factor is the weak glass market and high soda ash production [82][85]. - The joint - alkali profit in East China (excluding Shandong) is - 12.5 yuan/ton, and the ammonia - alkali profit in North China is - 62 yuan/ton [88]. - There are several planned and under - construction projects in the soda ash industry, such as the second - phase project of Yuanxing Energy with an expansion capacity of 2.8 million tons/year, planned to be put into production in the second half of 2025 [84].

Core Viewpoint - Sun Hongbin's appearance at the Sunac China shareholders' meeting marks a significant moment as it is his first in-person attendance since the company's financial difficulties, indicating a positive shift in the company's situation and confidence in future developments [2][3][7]. Debt Restructuring Progress - Sunac China has successfully completed the restructuring of its domestic debt, involving approximately 15.4 billion yuan, making it the first real estate company in the industry to achieve this [3][4]. - The company is currently undergoing a second restructuring of its offshore debt, with 75% of creditors supporting the plan, which aims to convert approximately 9.55 billion USD of debt into equity [3][4]. - The court hearing for the offshore debt restructuring is scheduled for September 15, which is a crucial step towards finalizing the plan [3]. Project and Asset Management - Sunac China has been actively working on revitalizing its residential projects and managing debts at the project level since last year, with a focus on individual strategies for each project [4][5]. - The company has successfully introduced funding for several key projects, including those in Chongqing, Beijing, Tianjin, and Wuhan, to mitigate existing debt risks and enhance asset value [5]. Delivery and Sales Performance - In 2024, Sunac China plans to deliver approximately 170,000 housing units across 84 cities, with a cumulative delivery of about 668,000 units over the past three years [6]. - The company aims to complete the delivery of 60,000 units in 2025, marking a significant milestone in its commitment to fulfilling delivery obligations [6]. - The Shanghai Bund No. 1 project has achieved remarkable sales, totaling over 17 billion yuan in 2025 alone, showcasing the company's ability to revitalize high-quality projects [6][7]. Future Outlook - Sun Hongbin expresses optimism for the company's performance in 2024, expecting it to surpass last year's results, with a reported contract sales amount of approximately 23.55 billion yuan in the first half of the year [8]. - The company plans to focus its efforts on core first- and second-tier cities, consolidating its resources to enhance operational efficiency and reduce leverage risks [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent actions taken by the Fuzhou Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau against China Merchants Bank Fuzhou Branch and AVIC Trust for their inadequate performance in ensuring the completion of housing projects, particularly in the context of the "guarantee delivery" initiative [2][4][5][7]. Group 1: China Merchants Bank Fuzhou Branch - The Fuzhou Municipal Housing Bureau issued a notice regarding the failure of China Merchants Bank Fuzhou Branch to fulfill its responsibilities in supervising pre-sale funds for the "Shimao Yunpu Mansion" project, which has not completed necessary work related to guaranteeing delivery [2][4]. - The bank was reported to have allowed the court to deduct 130 million yuan from the pre-sale funds supervision account shortly after the funds were deposited, despite prior warnings to avoid such actions [2][3]. - As a consequence of its actions, the bank has been suspended from engaging in new pre-sale fund supervision business in Fuzhou until it cooperates in completing the necessary follow-up work for the housing project [5][6]. Group 2: AVIC Trust - The Fuzhou Municipal Housing Bureau also issued a notice against AVIC Trust for its lack of action regarding the "Rongxin Jianglai" project, which has been delayed due to the trust's passive attitude towards financing efforts [7]. - AVIC Trust, holding a 60% stake in the project, has been criticized for its failure to engage in the "white list" financing process, which has negatively impacted the progress of the housing project and led to social unrest among homeowners [7]. - The Bureau emphasized that AVIC Trust's inaction contradicts the national policy aimed at ensuring housing delivery and maintaining social stability [7].

Group 1 - The funds of 130 million yuan for the "guarantee delivery" project were transferred within an hour of being deposited into the regulatory account, indicating a lack of effective oversight by the bank involved [1][2] - The Fuzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau issued a notice regarding the failure of the Bank of China Fuzhou Branch to fulfill its responsibilities in supervising the pre-sale funds for the "guarantee delivery" project, which has led to unpaid construction costs and tax issues for homeowners [2][3] - The Bureau has suspended the Bank of China Fuzhou Branch from engaging in new pre-sale fund supervision business until it cooperates in completing the necessary follow-up work for the "guarantee delivery" project [3] Group 2 - The Fuzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau also issued a notice regarding China Aviation Trust's lack of action on the "guarantee delivery" project, which has negatively impacted the progress of the project and caused social instability [4] - The Bureau emphasized the importance of the "guarantee delivery," "white list," and "de-stocking" initiatives as key terms in the real estate market over the past two years [5] - The Supreme People's Court, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, and the People's Bank of China have issued guidelines to ensure that pre-sale funds are used for project construction, preventing disruptions that could harm homeowners' rights [5]

Group 1 - Fuzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau issued a notice regarding China Aviation Trust's inaction on the "guarantee delivery" project, impacting project progress and social stability [1] - The project "Rongxin Jianglai" in Fuzhou is developed by Fuzhou Junde Hui Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., with China Aviation Trust holding a 60% stake, which has been uncooperative in financing efforts [1] - Fuzhou Junde Hui Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. was established in 2021 with a registered capital of 410 million RMB and has multiple risk indicators, including operational anomalies and restrictions on high consumption [1][4] Group 2 - China Aviation Trust was established as a non-bank financial institution approved by the former China Banking Regulatory Commission, with a registered capital of 6.466 billion RMB [7] - In April, China Aviation Trust announced a management service agreement with Jianxin Trust and Guotou Taikang Trust to enhance operational efficiency, starting from April 18, 2025 [7] - China Aviation Trust's parent company, AVIC Capital, announced the termination of its stock listing due to significant operational uncertainties [7] Group 3 - Fuzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau also issued a notice to China Merchants Bank's Fuzhou branch for inadequate supervision of pre-sale fund accounts related to the "guarantee delivery" project, leading to social stability issues [8] - The project "Shimao Yunpu Mansion" faced difficulties in fund disbursement due to the bank's actions, prompting the bureau to suspend the bank's new pre-sale fund supervision business in the city [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the negligence of China Aviation Trust in fulfilling its responsibilities related to the "guarantee delivery of buildings" initiative, as reported by the Fuzhou Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau [1][2]. Group 1: China Aviation Trust's Involvement - China Aviation Trust holds a 60% stake in the Fuzhou Jun De Hui Real Estate Development Co., which is responsible for the "Rongxin Jianglai" project [2]. - The Fuzhou Housing Bureau reported that China Aviation Trust has been uncooperative and has delayed the financing process necessary for project resumption, impacting the progress of the "guarantee delivery" work [1][2]. - As a result of its inaction, China Aviation Trust has been placed under the management of two other trust companies, namely Jianxin Trust and Guotou Taikang Trust [1][2]. Group 2: Company Background and Financial Status - China Aviation Trust was established with a registered capital of 6.466 billion yuan and is primarily owned by China Aviation Investment Holding Co. [2]. - The company has faced significant operational uncertainties, leading to its decision to voluntarily terminate its stock listing in March 2023 [3]. Group 3: Regulatory Actions - The Fuzhou Housing Bureau also issued a corrective notice to the Fuzhou branch of China Merchants Bank for its failure to properly supervise a pre-sale fund account related to another "guarantee delivery" project, which resulted in funds being misappropriated [4]. - The bank's actions have severely affected the project's financial management and the ability to complete the "guarantee delivery" work, prompting the bureau to suspend the bank's new pre-sale fund supervision business in the city until compliance is achieved [4].

Group 1 - The company held its eighth board meeting on June 25, 2025, with all nine directors present, complying with legal and regulatory requirements [2][3] - The board approved a proposal to provide guarantees for financing to Luoyang City Yancheng Construction Investment Co., Ltd., which requires shareholder approval to take effect [3][10] - The board also approved a proposal to convene the company's fourth extraordinary general meeting for 2025 [4][19] Group 2 - The company is providing a guarantee for a loan of up to 163 million yuan for the construction project "Jinxiu Jiangnan" managed by its subsidiary, Luoyang Shengxu Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. [9][10] - The total amount of guarantees provided by the company and its subsidiaries exceeds 429.11 billion yuan, which is 288.87% of the latest audited net assets [14] - The company has overdue guarantees amounting to 66.46 billion yuan [14] Group 3 - The fourth extraordinary general meeting will take place on July 11, 2025, with both on-site and online voting options available for shareholders [20][21] - Shareholders must register for the meeting by July 9, 2025, and can delegate their voting rights if unable to attend [26][28] - The company will publish a reminder announcement on July 8, 2025, to encourage shareholder participation [24]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - Glass: The medium - term outlook is a sideways market. Short - term spot prices are weak, with prices falling across regions. In the medium term, factors such as the June real - estate debt repayment peak and Hubei's warehouse receipt pricing will suppress the market. The 09 contract, a peak - season contract, is priced at a large loss, indicating high future volatility. Bulls focus on policy support, low spot prices, long - term factory losses, and peak - season expectations. Bears believe the real - estate market won't improve substantially, and inventory pressure is high [6][7]. -纯碱: The short - term outlook is weak. The glass market's pressure restricts the price increase of soda ash. High production and inventory are the core issues, and there is no long - term shortage expectation. Potential supporting factors like low light - heavy soda ash price difference, good exports, and high inventory concentration need the improvement of the glass market to take effect [8][9]. Summary by Directory Glass: Supply - side Situation - Cold - repaired production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 8010 tons/day [12]. - Ignited production lines in 2025 have a total daily melting capacity of 9210 tons/day [13]. - Potential new ignition production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 13000 tons/day [15]. - Potential old - line复产 production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 7830 tons, mainly concentrated in South and Southwest China [16]. - Potential cold - repaired production lines have a total daily melting capacity of 7850 tons/day [18]. - The glass industry's production reduction space in the first half of the year is limited, with the current in - production capacity at around 155,000 tons/day [19][20]. Glass: Price and Profit - Recent transactions are slightly down but stable compared to last week. Some manufacturers' prices have dropped by 20 - 40 yuan/ton. Prices in different regions are: 1120 - 1180 yuan/ton in Shahe, 1000 - 1100 yuan/ton in Hubei, and 1220 - 1360 yuan/ton in East China [26][30]. - Futures prices have rebounded, the basis is weak, and the calendar spread is stable. The calendar spread's rebound space is limited due to near - month warehouse receipt factors [32][35]. - Profits vary by fuel: - 108 yuan/ton for petroleum coke, - 195 - 83 yuan/ton for natural gas and coal [36][40]. Glass: Inventory and Downstream开工 - Due to the rainy season, market transactions are weak, and inventory has slightly increased in most regions. Regional price differences have shrunk as prices in East China have declined [43][49]. Photovoltaic Glass: Price, Profit, Capacity, and Inventory - Prices are falling, recent orders are slightly down, shipments are average, and inventory is increasing. The prices of 2.0mm and 3.2mm coated panels have decreased by 4.08% and 2.47% respectively [56][58]. - As the market weakens, it may enter a production - reduction cycle again. The actual capacity as of mid - June is about 99,000 tons/day, and the sample inventory days are about 29.87 days, a 0.50% increase [59][64]. Soda Ash: Supply and Maintenance - Soda ash maintenance has reached its peak, and there may be less maintenance in June. The current capacity utilization rate is 86.5%, and the weekly output of heavy soda ash is 415,000 tons. The inventory is about 1.7267 million tons, with 812,600 tons of light soda ash and 914,000 tons of heavy soda ash [69][72][73]. Soda Ash: Price and Profit - This week's prices have changed little, with some northwest manufacturers reducing prices. The nominal prices in Shahe and Hubei are around 1200 - 1300 yuan/ton. High production and inventory put pressure on near - month contracts. The basis is slightly strong, and the calendar spread is under pressure. The profit in East China (excluding Shandong) for the joint - alkali method is 99.5 yuan/ton, and in North China for the ammonia - alkali method is 25 yuan/ton [84][86][91].

开发商躺平、接盘者难寻、政策落地不易， 业主自救更是步履维艰。 这盘困局，解铃还须系铃人？ 保定楼市呈现着奇异图景：一边是高端楼盘热销的火爆场面，另一边却是众多期房项目陷入延期交付的 窘境，更有积年累月未能解决的烂尾楼，无声矗立。这些悬而未决的"家"，究竟还能否迎来曙光？ 保定楼市那些事：烂尾楼的困局，谁来接住跌落的"家"梦？ 这是冬冬冬的第929篇原创文章 保定楼市光鲜背后， 无数家庭正深陷交房无期的泥潭。 时间，成了最无情的利刃。一句"早晚能交房"的宽慰，在漫长等待中消磨殆尽。多少人购置婚房，直至 子女毕业，新居仍是图纸上的幻影？多少人为子女教育购入学区房，孩子谈婚论嫁时，承诺的家园仍未 落成？更有老人盼着安享晚年，最终却带着深深的遗憾离去。这其中的煎熬，唯有亲历的业主刻骨铭 心。 一万年太久，只争朝夕！对于这些悬而未决的家园，施救行动越快越好，越早越好！时间拖得越久，沉 没成本越高，解决的希望便越渺茫。 前些年保定大规模城改曾被视为烂尾楼的"救命稻草"，如今看来，这根稻草自身亦在风浪中飘摇。当下 最令人忧心的是，除了深陷其中的业主，楼市链条上的其他参与者——开发商、金融机构、甚至部分监 管者——似乎都只 ...