Domestic Insights - In the first week of June, upstream production activity showed an overall decline, with significant weakening in the automotive supply chain and real estate sales and investment data[2] - The growth rate of consumption in categories like automotive and home appliances has slowed, likely due to the exhaustion of fiscal subsidy funds in some regions, which is expected to impact May's retail sales growth[2] - Despite resilient export data, May's export growth rate is expected to decline further, and overall economic data may also show a downward trend[2] - The economic growth rate from January to April significantly exceeded the 5% target, thus the current downward trend in economic data is unlikely to impact the annual growth target significantly, with low probability for new policies to be implemented in June and July[2] Overseas Insights - In May, the U.S. added 139,000 non-farm jobs, slightly above the market expectation of 130,000, but the previous months' data was revised down by 95,000 jobs, maintaining the unemployment rate at a low of 4.2%[17] - The U.S. government has requested countries to submit their best trade negotiation proposals by June 4, with only Vietnam complying, while Japan, India, Europe, and Canada remain firm in their positions[3] - The Trump administration's tax cut policy faces obstacles in the Senate, with significant discussions expected in July[3]

研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/06 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考，不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据，客户应当自主做出期货交易决策，独立承担期货交 易后果，凡据此入市者，我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导或造成资料传输 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我们均不承担任何责任。 国外货币市场 债 券 市 场 国内债券市场 国外债券市场 股 票 市 场 汇 率 市 场 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

| 大类资产早报 | | --- | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/06/05 | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/06/04 | 4.356 | 4.605 | 3.203 | 2.526 | 3.490 | 3.116 | 0.211 | 3.251 | -0.100 | -0.032 | 0.014 | 0.002 | -0.004 | 0. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints presented in the provided content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance - **10 - Year Treasury Yields**: On May 30, 2025, the 10 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, France, etc. showed different changes. For example, the US yield was 4.403, with a latest change of - 0.017, a one - week change of - 0.110, a one - month change of 0.229, and a one - year change of - 0.021. Other countries also had their respective yield values and changes [3]. - **2 - Year Treasury Yields**: The 2 - year Treasury yields in the US, UK, Germany, etc. on May 30, 2025, had various changes. For instance, the US yield was 3.960, with a latest change of 0.040, a one - week change of - 0.040, a one - month change of - 0.090, and a one - year change of - 0.860 [3]. - **Exchange Rates**: The US dollar exchange rates against major emerging economies' currencies on May 30, 2025, had different changes. For example, against the Brazilian real, it was 5.723, with a latest change of 1.35%, a one - week change of 1.82%, and a one - month change of 11.09% [3]. - **Stock Indices**: Major economies' stock indices on May 30, 2025, showed different performances. For example, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 5911.690, with a latest change of - 0.01%, a one - week change of 1.88%, a one - month change of 11.39%, and a one - year change not provided. Other indices also had their respective values and changes [3]. - **Credit Bond Indices**: Different credit bond indices had different changes. For example, the emerging economies' investment - grade credit bond index had a latest change of 0.18%, a one - week change of 1.11%, a one - month change of - 0.24%, and a one - year change of 5.43% [3]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: On May 30, 2025, the A - share index closed at 3347.49, with a decline of 0.47%. Other indices like the CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 also had their respective closing prices and percentage changes [4]. - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of the CSI 300 was 12.46, with a环比 change of - 0.03. Other indices had their own PE values and changes [4]. - **Risk Premium**: The risk premium of the S&P 500 was - 0.42, with a环比 change of 0.02. The German DAX had a risk premium of 2.37, with a环比 change of 0.00 [4]. - **Fund Flows**: The latest value of A - share fund flow was - 1066.19, and the 5 - day average was - 323.24. Other sectors also had their respective fund flow data [4]. - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 11391.79, with a环比 change of - 462.43. Other indices had their own trading volume data and changes [4]. - **Basis and Spread**: The basis of IF was - 17.83, with a spread of - 0.46%. Other contracts also had their respective basis and spread data [4]. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - **Closing Prices and Changes**: On May 30, 2025, the closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.490, 105.715, 108.725, and 106.020 respectively, with no changes in percentage [5]. - **Funding Rates**: The R001 was 1.5667%, with a daily change of - 17.00 BP. The R007 was 1.6972%, with a daily change of - 4.00 BP. The SHIBOR - 3M was 1.6520%, with no daily change [5].

研究中心宏观团队 2025/05/30 | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/05/29 | 4.420 | 4.647 | 3.176 | 2.506 | 3.488 | 3.109 | - | 3.230 | | 最新变化 | -0.060 | -0.079 | -0.047 | -0.047 | -0.046 | -0.045 | - | -0.047 | | 一周变化 | -0.110 | -0.102 | -0.144 | -0.136 | -0.163 | -0.148 | - | -0.148 | | 一月变化 | 0.210 | 0.139 | -0.060 | -0.013 | -0.139 | -0.071 | - | -0.117 | | 一年变化 | 0.007 | 0 ...

| 指数表现 | A股 | 沪深300 | 上证50 | 创业板 | 中证500 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 3340.69 | 3839.40 | 2685.28 | 1991.64 | 5652.15 | | 涨跌（%） | -0.18 | -0.54 | -0.52 | -0.68 | -0.31 | | 估值 | 沪深300 | 上证50 | 中证500 | 标普500 | 德国DAX | | PE(TTM) | 12.45 | 10.86 | 28.55 | 25.33 | 20.74 | | 环比变化 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.06 | 0.51 | 0.17 | | 风险溢价 | 沪深300 | 上证50 | 中证500 | 标普500 | 德国DAX | | 1/PE-10利率 | - | - | - | -0.50 | 2.29 | | 环比变化 | - | - | - | - | -0.01 | | 资金流向 | A股 | 主板 | 中小企业板 | 创业板 | 沪深300 | | 最新值 | -472.89 ...

Tabl e_Title 2025 年 5 月 26 日 丁沛舟 高级分析师 期货从业资格号：F3002969 投资咨询从业证书号：Z0012005 dingpz@essence.com.cn 010-58747724 相关报告 大类资产运行周报（20250224 -20250228）-美国关税引发市场忧虑 风 险资产价格回落 大类资产运行周报（20250303 -20250307）-关税政策不确定性仍存 风 险资产走势分化 大类资产运行周报（20250310 -20250314）-美国通胀预期降温 债市偏 弱运行 大类资产运行周报（20250317 -20250321）-美联储按兵不动 美股周度 企稳 大类资产运行周报（20250324 -20250328）-市场避险情绪升温 权益资 产回落 大类资产运行周报（20250331 -20250404）-市场避险情绪升温 权益资 产回落 大类资产运行周报（20250407 -20250411）-关税政策短期趋向缓和 美 股大幅反弹 大类资产运行周报（20250414 -20250418）-美联储按兵不动 美元指数 持续回落 大类资产运行周报（20250421 - ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - The report presents the performance data of global asset markets on May 21, 2025, including 10 - year and 2 - year government bond yields of major economies, exchange rates of the US dollar against major emerging - economy currencies, major economies' stock indices, credit bond indices, as well as trading data of stock index futures and government bond futures [3][4][5] 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Global Asset Market Performance Government Bond Yields - **10 - year Government Bond Yields**: On May 21, 2025, the 10 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, France, etc. were 4.601, 4.756, 3.310 respectively. There were different changes in the latest, weekly, monthly, and yearly data. For example, the latest change in the US was 0.112, and the one - year change was 0.114 [3] - **2 - year Government Bond Yields**: The 2 - year government bond yields of the US, UK, Germany, etc. on May 21, 2025, were 3.970, 4.078, 1.868 respectively. Similar to the 10 - year bonds, there were various changes over different time periods. For instance, the latest change in the US was - 0.010, and the one - year change was - 0.830 [3] Exchange Rates - **US Dollar against Major Emerging - Economy Currencies**: On May 21, 2025, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Brazilian real was 5.646. There were different percentage changes in the latest, weekly, monthly, and yearly data. For example, the latest change was - 0.39%, and the one - year change was 9.61% [3] - **Renminbi**: The on - shore, off - shore, and middle - price of the renminbi on May 21, 2025, were 7.202, 7.204, and 7.194 respectively. There were also different percentage changes over different time periods [3] Stock Indices - **Major Economies' Stock Indices**: On May 21, 2025, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and NASDAQ were 5844.610, 41860.440, and 18872.640 respectively. The latest, weekly, and yearly changes varied. For example, the latest change in the S&P 500 was - 1.61%, and the one - year change was 11.94% [3] - **Other Stock Indices**: Including the Russian, Japanese, and Hong Kong stock indices, with their respective values on May 21, 2025, and different changes over different time periods [3] Credit Bond Indices - There were different percentage changes in the latest, weekly, monthly, and yearly data for US investment - grade, euro - zone investment - grade, and emerging - economy investment - grade credit bond indices, as well as high - yield credit bond indices [3] Stock Index Futures Trading Data - **Index Performance**: The closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 were 3387.57, 3916.38, 2728.43, 2065.39, and 5757.92 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes [4] - **Valuation**: The PE (TTM) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 12.65, 10.98, 29.04, 25.00, and 39.60 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [4] - **Risk Premium**: The 1/PE - 10 - year interest rate and its环比 change were provided for S&P 500 and German DAX [4] - **Trading Volume**: The latest trading volumes of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, small - and medium - sized board, and ChiNext were 11734.45, 2170.38, 597.88, 2684.11, and 3160.19 respectively, with corresponding环比 changes [4] - **Main Contract Basis**: The basis and basis percentage of IF, IH, and IC were - 35.18 (- 0.90%), - 15.83 (- 0.58%), and - 102.32 (- 1.78%) respectively [4] Government Bond Futures Trading Data - The closing prices of government bond futures T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 were 108.570, 105.725, 108.835, and 106.010 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes [5] - The R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M of the money market were 1.5426%, 1.5884%, and 1.6400% respectively, with corresponding daily changes in basis points [5]

Global Asset Market Performance - The 10-year treasury bond yields of major economies on May 20, 2025, were 4.489% in the US, 4.702% in the UK, etc. The latest, weekly, monthly, and annual changes varied across countries [3]. - The 2-year treasury bond yields of major economies on May 20, 2025, were 3.980% in the US, 4.003% in the UK, etc. Changes also differed in different time - spans [3]. - The US dollar exchange rates against major emerging - economy currencies on May 20, 2025, were 5.652 against the Brazilian real, 108.000 against the Russian ruble, etc. Weekly, monthly, and annual changes were presented [3]. - Major economy stock indices on May 20, 2025, included 5940.460 for the S&P 500, 42677.240 for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, etc. Their latest, weekly, monthly, and annual changes were provided [3]. - Credit bond indices: for the latest change, all investment - grade and high - yield credit bond indices in the US, eurozone, and emerging economies were 0.00%. Weekly, monthly, and annual changes were also shown [3]. Stock Index Futures Trading Data - Closing prices of A - shares, CSI 300, SSE 50, ChiNext, and CSI 500 were 3380.48, 3898.17, 2716.63, 2048.46, and 5747.37 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes [4]. - PE (TTM) values of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 12.59, 10.94, 29.00, 25.51, and 39.29 respectively, along with their环比changes [4]. - Risk premiums of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, S&P 500, and German DAX were 3.70, 5.77, - 0.38, - 0.53, and - 0.04 respectively, with no环比changes [4]. - The latest values and 5 - day average values of capital flows in A - shares, main board, SME board, ChiNext, and CSI 300 were presented [4]. - The latest trading volumes of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, CSI 300, SSE 50, SME board, and ChiNext were 11696.81, 2016.37, 566.74, 2657.66, and 3242.13 respectively, with环比changes [4]. - The basis and amplitude of IF, IH, and IC in stock index futures were - 32.77, - 17.23, - 96.57 and - 0.84%, - 0.63%, - 1.68% respectively [4]. Treasury Bond Futures Trading Data - Closing prices of T00, TF00, T01, and TF01 treasury bond futures were 108.565, 105.705, 108.840, and 105.955 respectively, with corresponding percentage changes [5]. - R001, R007, and SHIBOR - 3M in the money market were 1.5556%, 1.5986%, and 1.6420% respectively, with daily changes in basis points [5]. Domestic and Foreign Markets - There are domestic and foreign currency markets, bond markets, stock markets, and exchange - rate markets [6][7]

| 大类资产早报 | | --- | 研究中心宏观团队 2025/05/19 | | 全 球 资 产 市 场 表 现 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要经济体10年期国债收益率 | | | | | | | | | | | 美国 | 英国 | 法国 | 德国 | 意大利 | 西班牙 | 瑞士 | 希腊 | | 2025/05/16 | 4.480 | 4.648 | 3.262 | 2.589 | 3.595 | 3.211 | 0.295 | 3.341 | | 最新变化 | 0.047 | -0.011 | -0.031 | -0.031 | -0.031 | -0.024 | -0.019 | -0.042 | | 一周变化 | 0.100 | 0.082 | -0.002 | 0.028 | -0.013 | 0.006 | 0.023 | -0.016 | | 一月变化 | 0.144 | 0.001 | -0.031 | 0.057 | -0.120 | -0.028 | -0.15 ...