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央视网丨气温预报“人工压数值”?气象学家回应
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-11 09:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events in China, including record high temperatures and heavy rainfall, attributed to climate change and the behavior of the subtropical high-pressure system [1][5][9]. Group 1: Extreme Weather Trends - China has experienced the hottest June on record, with extreme heat and heavy rainfall occurring simultaneously in different regions [1]. - The National Climate Center reports a general increase in extreme heat records and rainfall intensity across most regions in China over the past few decades [1][5]. - The average annual warm days in China have increased by approximately 6.7 days every decade, indicating a lengthening of the warm season [5]. Group 2: Climate Change Impacts - The article highlights that global warming is a significant factor contributing to the observed warming and increased humidity in northern China [5][9]. - The average relative humidity in Beijing has risen by 5% from 2013-2022 compared to 2003-2012, indicating a trend towards a warmer and more humid climate [3][4]. - The subtropical high-pressure system's behavior has changed, leading to earlier and more intense heat waves in northern regions [7][8]. Group 3: Weather Forecasting Challenges - There is a discrepancy between reported temperatures and public perception due to differences in measurement standards and personal experiences of weather [2]. - Future weather forecasts may increasingly focus on "feels-like" temperatures rather than just air temperature, addressing public concerns more effectively [2]. Group 4: Regional Weather Patterns - The article describes how the subtropical high-pressure system influences weather patterns, causing drought in some areas while leading to heavy rainfall in others, creating a "drought in a large area, flood in a narrow line" phenomenon [6][10]. - The intensity and frequency of localized extreme rainfall events are increasing, with significant implications for flood management and infrastructure [10][11]. Group 5: Adaptation and Preparedness - The article emphasizes the need for improved disaster preparedness and water resource management in light of increasing extreme weather events [12]. - It suggests that alongside disaster mitigation, there should be a focus on utilizing rainfall during flood seasons for water conservation in drier months [12].
西班牙多地将出现强降雨等极端天气
news flash· 2025-07-10 18:17
Core Viewpoint - The Spanish National Meteorological Agency has issued warnings for "very strong" storms and heavy rainfall expected to impact multiple regions of Spain starting from the 11th, with effects anticipated to last until at least the 12th [1] Summary by Category - **Weather Impact** - Extreme weather is expected to severely affect the northeastern part of the Iberian Peninsula [1] - Three autonomous communities in Spain are under warnings for rain and storms, with Catalonia issuing an orange alert for rainfall and storms [1]
北半球夏季提前进入“炙烤模式”,会带来哪些经济影响|树线图
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 12:02
Group 1: Climate Change and Heatwaves - The current heatwave in the Northern Hemisphere is linked to a persistent high-pressure system known as the "heat dome," which traps warm air near the surface, resulting in prolonged hot, clear, and dry weather [1][5] - June 2025 was recorded as the third hottest June globally since records began, with an average surface temperature of 16.46 degrees Celsius, 0.47 degrees Celsius higher than the average from 1991 to 2020 [2] - The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warns that there is an 80% probability of experiencing the warmest years between 2025 and 2029, with a 86% chance of global warming exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels [2] Group 2: Regional Impacts and Trends - The frequency and intensity of extreme heat events in Europe are increasing, with projections indicating that by 2050, about half of the European population may face high heat stress risks during summer [3] - Since 1950, over two-thirds of extreme heat events in Europe have occurred after 2000, with a notable increase in "tropical nights," where nighttime temperatures remain above 25 degrees Celsius [3] Group 3: Economic Implications - The extreme heat is expected to slow global economic growth by 0.6 percentage points this year, with one day of extreme heat (temperatures exceeding 32 degrees Celsius) equating to half a day of work stoppage [10] - The International Energy Agency reported a 0.8% increase in CO2 emissions related to energy in 2024, reaching a record 3.78 billion tons, contributing to a rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration to 422.5 PPM, which is 50% above pre-industrial levels [7] Group 4: Global Response and Cooperation - The WMO emphasizes the need for enhanced international cooperation to address climate challenges, including the establishment of global early warning systems, as only 50% of countries currently have multi-hazard early warning systems [10] - Increased financing support from international financial institutions and climate funds is crucial for climate change mitigation efforts, particularly for vulnerable populations in developing countries [10]
极端天气是不是越来越频繁了?
Hu Xiu· 2025-07-10 01:36
Group 1 - The mainstream academic consensus is that climate change is significantly accelerating, leading to an increase in extreme weather events [2][5] - Human activities are identified as the primary cause of the surge in greenhouse gases, with current warming rates being 50 times faster than natural climate variations [5][6] - The greenhouse effect, while beneficial to a certain extent, can become dangerous if it exceeds a certain threshold, potentially leading to catastrophic climate scenarios [7][8][11] Group 2 - Global warming is expected to cause both droughts and floods, as increased temperatures enhance evaporation and alter precipitation patterns [12][14][15] - The frequency of extreme weather events, such as unprecedented heavy rainfall, is rising, posing challenges to existing infrastructure built on historical climate data [17][19] - A critical concern is the potential for irreversible changes, such as the melting of ice caps and the release of methane from permafrost, which could accelerate global warming [23][24] Group 3 - There are some potential benefits from global warming, such as the northward shift of precipitation lines, which has led to increased rainfall in certain regions [25][26] - Efforts to combat desertification and improve vegetation cover in arid areas have shown positive results, indicating that proactive measures can mitigate some effects of climate change [28] - However, the overall economic impact may not shift significantly, as major economic activities remain concentrated around oceans and rivers [29][30] Group 4 - The increasing severity of extreme temperatures poses risks to human habitation, particularly in regions experiencing unprecedented heat [32][33] - The social implications of climate change, including exacerbated inequalities and threats to vulnerable populations, are becoming more pronounced [36]
西班牙山火烧毁约3200公顷土地 火势仍未得到控制
news flash· 2025-07-09 08:22
Core Points - The wildfires in Catalonia, Spain, have burned approximately 3,200 hectares of land as of July 9, with the situation still not under control [1] - Around 18,000 residents have been forced to stay indoors due to the intense fire and smoke [1] - The government has deployed over 300 firefighters, about 100 emergency troops, and several aerial firefighting units to combat the blaze [1] - Since the beginning of summer, wildfires in Catalonia have destroyed over 9,500 hectares of land and resulted in two fatalities [1]
土耳其10天发生761起野火
news flash· 2025-07-07 06:27
土耳其10天发生761起野火 金十数据7月7日讯,土耳其政府6日发布的数据显示,过去10天该国发生761起野火。由于干燥、大风以 及极端高温天气,土耳其今年野火季形势严峻。德新社援引土耳其方面发布的信息报道,在伊兹密尔 省,野火造成至少3人死亡。其中,一名81岁老人常年卧床不起,没有及时随村民疏散,不幸死亡;另 外两名死者为救援人员。最近数日,土耳其数以万计民众被紧急疏散。 跟踪全球极端天气动态 +订阅 ...
七月飞雪又野火频发 土耳其现极端天气
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-07-06 15:57
Group 1 - Rare weather phenomenon of "July snow" occurred in northeastern Turkey, with significant snowfall in a 100-kilometer mountainous area, described by locals as unprecedented in decades [1][2] - In western Turkey, wildfires have been rampant, with 624 incidents reported in the past week, resulting in three deaths, destruction of approximately 200 homes, and evacuation of around 50,000 people [2] - The province of Izmir is experiencing extreme heat, with temperatures expected to exceed 40 degrees Celsius in the coming days, exacerbating the wildfire situation [2] Group 2 - Experts attribute the increase in extreme weather events to global warming, predicting that such occurrences will become more frequent and intense [3] - There is a call for improved early warning systems for extreme weather and a long-term focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions [3] - The privatization of Turkey's electricity sector has led to inadequate maintenance of power lines, increasing the risk of wildfires due to electrical faults [2]
意大利“烧烤”天气致多人死亡 政府加紧部署应对措施
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-04 05:45
Group 1 - Italy is experiencing one of the most severe summers in recent years, with high temperature alerts leading to increased pressure on the healthcare system and infrastructure failures [1][2] - As of July 2, 18 cities in Italy have entered a "red alert" status due to high temperatures, indicating health risks even for healthy adults [2] - The emergency medical response has seen a nearly 20% increase in patient visits, particularly among vulnerable groups such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses [2] Group 2 - The Italian government is implementing emergency and long-term adaptive measures, including mandatory regulations to limit outdoor labor during peak heat hours [3] - A national summer labor agreement is being developed to cover outdoor work sectors such as construction and agriculture [3] - Public health initiatives include a mobile app to help citizens locate drinking water and educational materials on heatstroke prevention [3] Group 3 - Climate experts indicate that extreme weather events, such as heatwaves, are becoming the "new normal" in Italy and across Europe due to climate change [4] - The Mediterranean region is identified as one of the fastest warming areas globally, with rising sea temperatures contributing to extreme weather patterns [4][5] - Without immediate emission reduction measures and local adaptation strategies, future summers are expected to become increasingly difficult to endure [4]
热浪来袭 高温“烤”验西班牙旅游业
Group 1 - The ongoing heatwave in Europe, particularly in the Iberian Peninsula, is significantly impacting tourism, with cities like Madrid, Seville, and Córdoba experiencing a noticeable drop in visitor numbers as temperatures exceed 40 degrees Celsius [1][5] - In Madrid, the highest temperature recorded exceeded 35 degrees Celsius, prompting the regional government to issue an orange heat warning, indicating that the heatwave has arrived earlier and more intensely this year [1][5] - Local businesses are adapting to the heat, with items like fans becoming popular among tourists, while traditional souvenirs are seeing reduced sales [1][3] Group 2 - The restaurant industry is facing challenges due to the prolonged high temperatures, leading to fewer customers during peak hours, particularly in central Madrid [3][5] - Tourist attractions, such as sightseeing buses, are experiencing a significant decline in passenger numbers during the hottest parts of the day, as visitors prefer to stay indoors or seek cooler environments [5][6] - The heatwave has resulted in approximately 380 heat-related deaths in Spain in June alone, with additional cases reported in July, highlighting the severe public health implications of extreme weather [5]
焦点访谈|应对汛期极端天气 多措并举筑牢安全防线
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-07-03 13:27
Core Viewpoint - Recent extreme weather events in China, including heavy rainfall and drought, have significantly impacted agricultural production and urban infrastructure, necessitating urgent disaster response measures and improved monitoring systems [1][5][9]. Group 1: Extreme Weather Events - China has experienced a notable increase in extreme weather events, including high temperatures, droughts, and heavy rainfall, particularly in the first half of the year [5][9]. - The rainfall in Nanyang, Henan, reached 225.3 mm in just a few hours, leading to emergency response actions [3]. - In Yunnan, heavy rainfall of 142.7 mm caused severe flooding, prompting the safe relocation of over 1,400 residents [5]. Group 2: Flood and Drought Patterns - The current weather pattern shows a division between flooding in the north and drought in the south, with significant flooding expected in the Yellow River and Huai River basins [11]. - Major rivers in China are experiencing a slight decrease in annual runoff, approximately 20% lower than the average for this time of year, while reservoir storage is 12% higher than usual, aiding drought response [11][14]. Group 3: Disaster Response and Management - A new early warning system for small and medium rivers has been developed, allowing for flood predictions within 24 hours for any river in the country [16]. - The Ministry of Water Resources has implemented a "grid management" approach for flood disaster prevention, ensuring effective evacuation and response strategies [24]. - Local governments are actively engaged in disaster recovery efforts, with significant manpower and resources allocated for cleanup and support for affected communities [26][28]. Group 4: Agricultural Impact - The heavy rainfall has adversely affected crops, particularly rice and passion fruit, with significant areas reported as damaged [29][33]. - Agricultural authorities are providing emergency supplies, including fertilizers, to support recovery efforts for affected farmers [31]. - Community efforts are underway to deliver essential supplies and meals to those impacted by the flooding, showcasing local solidarity [35][37].