Core Insights - The company is shifting focus back to vehicle production as growth rates have slowed, prompting CEO Li Xiang to announce new vehicle plans [1][4][24] - The internal sales target for the year has been adjusted down from 700,000 to 640,000 units, indicating a strategic shift towards electric vehicles [3][8][10] Financial Performance - In Q1, the company delivered 92,864 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, but fell behind competitors in terms of delivery numbers [12][14] - Revenue for Q1 was 25.9 billion yuan, with automotive sales revenue at 24.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.1% and 1.8% respectively [14][18] - The average selling price of vehicles decreased to approximately 265,700 yuan, down 11.9% year-on-year [17][21] Market Strategy - The company is launching two new electric SUVs, the i8 and i6, in July and September, respectively, to enhance its electric vehicle lineup [4][31] - The MEGA Home version has received significant orders, accounting for over 90% of total MEGA orders, with expected delivery volumes stabilizing between 2,500 and 3,000 units by July [6][10] - The company is expanding its supercharging station network, aiming to complete 2,500 stations by June and reach 4,000 by the end of the year [31] Competitive Landscape - The company faces increased competition in the extended-range vehicle market, with rivals like AITO and XPeng gaining traction [10][12] - The shift towards electric vehicles is driven by declining battery costs and a growing consumer preference for electric over extended-range vehicles [10][24] - The company aims to capture a larger share of the electric vehicle market, which is projected to grow significantly this year [24][35] Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve monthly sales of 50,000 units again, driven by new model launches and enhancements in technology [29][35] - The introduction of the VLA model, which enhances user interaction and experience, is set to launch alongside the i8 in July [35]

Core Insights - Li Auto reported Q1 2025 financial results, showing revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 41.4%. Net profit was 647 million yuan, up 9.4% year-on-year, but down 81.7% quarter-on-quarter. The company attributes revenue growth to increased sales and effective cost management, achieving profitability for ten consecutive quarters [1][4]. Revenue Sources - Vehicle sales and service revenue were the primary sources of Li Auto's Q1 revenue. The company delivered 92,864 vehicles in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%. The L series remains the main sales driver, surpassing 1 million cumulative deliveries [4]. Future Models and Production Goals - Li Auto plans to launch the upgraded L series and the new model Li MEGA Home aimed at family users in Q2, with pre-orders for MEGA Home nearing 10,000 units. The company has adjusted its annual production target to 640,000 units, with 520,000 units for the L series and 120,000 units for electric products [4][6]. Competitive Landscape - Li Auto's Q1 delivery volume was slightly below that of XPeng Motors, which delivered 94,008 vehicles. Challenges are anticipated in sales, gross margin, and expenses, particularly as the L series faces increased competition from new entrants in the market [6]. Production Capacity and Charging Infrastructure - Li Auto's Beijing factory and supply chain are ramping up production capacity, with expected delivery volumes in July reaching 2,500 to 3,000 units. The company is also investing in charging infrastructure, with over 5,000 kilometers of highway coverage and 2,350 operational supercharging stations [6]. Q2 Outlook - For Q2, Li Auto expects delivery volumes between 123,000 and 128,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.3% to 17.9%. Projected quarterly revenue is estimated to be between 32.5 billion and 33.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.5% to 6.7% [6].

Core Viewpoint - Li Auto has adjusted its annual production target to 640,000 units, down from an initial target of 700,000 units, with specific goals of 520,000 units for the range-extended L series and 120,000 units for pure electric products, including MEGA [1] Group 1: Sales and Production Adjustments - The adjustment in production targets reflects a shift in focus towards increasing sales of pure electric products while reducing the target for the range-extended L series [1] - Li Auto's sales performance from January to April showed a total of 127,000 units sold, marking a 19.4% year-on-year increase, but still lagging behind competitors like XPeng [3][4] - The company is facing increased competition in the range-extended segment, with new models from competitors expected to launch in 2025 [3] Group 2: Product Launches and Market Strategy - To boost sales, Li Auto launched the L series smart upgrade model in early May, featuring enhancements in driver assistance technology [4] - Despite the new model release, order volumes have shown fluctuations, with a decrease noted in the third week of May [4] - Li Auto plans to release the i8 in July and the i6 later in the year, with a focus on user value rather than just internal sales targets [5] Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Li Auto aims to establish itself as a leading brand in the pure electric vehicle segment within three years, emphasizing the importance of user experience and service [5] - The MEGA model has performed well, with around 8,000 pre-orders since its recent launch, indicating strong market interest [4]

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Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto (stock code: 2015.HK) [1][4][5] Core Views - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 144.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, but net profit decreased by 31.37% to 8.03 billion yuan [4][6] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 44.27 billion yuan, up 6.09% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.52 billion yuan, down 37.74% year-on-year [4] - The company delivered 500,500 vehicles in 2024, a 33.10% increase year-on-year, with Q4 deliveries reaching 158,700 units, a 20.40% increase year-on-year [4][5] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles decreased by 13.48% year-on-year to 276,800 yuan in 2024, primarily due to the increased sales of lower-priced models [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2025E: Revenue of 186.90 billion yuan, net profit of 11.49 billion yuan, EPS of 5.41 yuan [6][8] - 2026E: Revenue of 235.39 billion yuan, net profit of 15.40 billion yuan, EPS of 7.26 yuan [6][8] - 2027E: Revenue of 276.45 billion yuan, net profit of 19.11 billion yuan, EPS of 9.01 yuan [6][8] - Key Financial Ratios: - 2024: Gross margin at 20.53%, net profit margin at 5.56% [8] - 2025E: Gross margin expected to decrease to 19.86% [8] - 2024 R&D expense ratio at 7.66%, with a focus on maintaining cost control [4][6] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of new electric models, including the i8 and i6, is expected to enhance market competitiveness and drive sales growth [4][5] - The company is expanding its charging infrastructure, with plans to increase the number of charging stations to 4,000 by the end of 2025 [4][5] - Li Auto is focusing on international market expansion, establishing a presence in Central Asia and planning to enter markets in the Middle East, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Auto (stock code: 2015.HK) [1] Core Views - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 144.46 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 16.64%, but net profit decreased by 31.37% to 8.03 billion yuan, with an EPS of 4.03 yuan [4] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 44.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.09%, and a net profit of 3.52 billion yuan, down 37.74% year-on-year but up 25.18% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company delivered 500,500 vehicles in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 33.10%, with Q4 deliveries reaching 158,700 units, up 20.40% year-on-year [4] - The average selling price (ASP) of vehicles decreased by 13.48% year-on-year to 276,800 yuan in 2024, with Q4 ASP at 268,700 yuan, down 12.29% year-on-year [4] - The company expects Q1 2025 deliveries to be between 88,000 and 93,000 units, a year-on-year growth of 9.5% to 15.7% [4] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are as follows: - 2025E Revenue: 186.90 billion yuan, Net Profit: 11.49 billion yuan, EPS: 5.41 yuan - 2026E Revenue: 235.39 billion yuan, Net Profit: 15.40 billion yuan, EPS: 7.26 yuan - 2027E Revenue: 276.45 billion yuan, Net Profit: 19.11 billion yuan, EPS: 9.01 yuan [6][8] - The company’s gross margin for vehicle sales in 2024 was 19.8%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [4] - R&D expense ratio for 2024 was 7.66%, a decrease of 0.88 percentage points year-on-year [4] Strategic Initiatives - The launch of new electric models, including the i8 SUV in July and the i6 later in the year, aims to enhance market presence [4] - Upgrades in intelligent driving technology and expansion of charging infrastructure are expected to boost sales [4] - The company is focusing on international market expansion, establishing a luxury brand image in Central Asia and planning to enter markets in the Middle East, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific [4][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by 10% to 20% over the next six months [17]. Core Views - The company has a clear rhythm in electric vehicle production and is accelerating iterations in intelligent driving technology. The L series is set for a significant upgrade in 2025, focusing on intelligent driving hardware enhancements [11][10]. - The company is expected to launch two new electric SUV models, i8 and i6, in the second half of 2025, with a more mature market entry compared to previous models [11]. - The first quarter of 2025 is anticipated to be a low point for profitability due to a decrease in delivery volumes and increased discounts, but the second half of 2025 may exceed market expectations with the new model launches [11]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company achieved revenue of 442.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 16.6%, while the net profit for the same period was 35.2 billion CNY, reflecting a decline of 31.4% year-on-year [4]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 144.46 billion CNY in 2024 to 271.34 billion CNY by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.6% [6][14]. - Net profit is expected to recover from 80.3 billion CNY in 2024 to 232 billion CNY by 2027, indicating a significant rebound in profitability [6][14]. Key Financial Metrics - The gross margin is projected to stabilize around 21.5% by 2027, while the net margin is expected to improve to 8.6% [14]. - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to increase from 11.3% in 2024 to 18.9% in 2027, reflecting improved profitability and efficiency [14]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 27.6 in 2024 to 9.6 by 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [14]. Delivery and Production Insights - The company reported a Q4 2024 delivery volume of 159,000 units, which was slightly below previous guidance but showed a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [9]. - The first quarter of 2025 is projected to see a significant increase in delivery volumes, with expectations of 88,000 to 93,000 units, driven by promotional strategies [11].

撰 文 / 张霖郁 设 计 / 赵昊然 2025年2月13日，春节假期后的第二周，李斌自己到北京和任少卿的智能驾驶团队开了一场内部 会，期间他在群里发了1000个红包。 "估计上万元了"，一位了解该沟通会的汽车行业人士告诉汽车商业评论。 会议地点在北京中关村的融科资讯中心，这里是蔚来北京智驾团队的办公地。 这栋写字楼恐怕是全北京市值最高的楼，里面挤满了全球高科技企业，比如苹果、微软、AMD、 英伟达……更出名的是DeepSeek，梁文锋的公司也在这里，此外，还有刚入驻的华为。 有人开玩笑，大家都是邻居，利于相互挖人，换了公司还不用换地方。 可以预测的是，接下来一年，智能驾驶将出现惨烈竞争，尤其对合资品牌来说，他们需要更多的智 驾人才，这些竞争背后是人员流动以及企业付出的更高成本。另一方面，对消费者来说，获得了 智驾平权。同时，智驾解决方案供应商或将进入存亡期，头部将形成聚拢效应。 李斌当天下午先去办公区附近体验了最新的泊车功能，之后两点全员会议开始，共持续了不到三小 时。全程李斌是唯一发言人，任少卿在现场。 蔚来的智驾团队目前超过1000人，主要分布在北京和上海。内部人士告诉汽车商业评论，任少卿大 部分时间在 ...

文丨赵宇 窦亚娟 曾兴 编辑丨宋玮 在第一款纯电旗舰车型 MEGA 发布并经历震荡之后，理想在短短两个月时间，启动组织大调整、裁 员，CEO 对内反思 "过度关注销量和竞争"。今天，理想又公布了一个重要变化：今年内不再发布新 的纯电车型。 这一消息是在理想今晚举行的业绩发布会上宣布的。2024 年一季度，理想比去年同期多卖了 2.8 万 辆车，总营收增长了 36.4 % 至 256 亿元，但净利润从 9.3 亿元降到了 5.9 亿元。 2024 年原本是理想的纯电大年。按照其去年年底的规划， 3 月发布 MEGA ，下半年发布 3 款纯电 SUV。其中，M9、M8 将在 2024 年内量产，M7 预计在 2025 年一季度量产。2 月，理想创始人、 CEO 李想信心满满的表示，今年将是理想汽车史无前例的产品大年，到年底，理想将有 4 款增程电 动和 4 款高压纯电车型在售。 以下文章来源于晚点Auto ，作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造，从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 先建超充站，再发纯电车。 但变化在三个月内发生。据最新计划，理想纯电 SUV 车型的发布时间将推迟到明年上 ...