在地缘政治紧张局势升级、以及美国可能进一步降息的预期推动下，黄金和白银价格双双上涨，刷新历史新高。 纽约时间周二上午，现货白银一度上涨2.4%，首次突破每盎司70美元。 黄金接近每盎司4500美元，在此前录得一个多月来最大单日涨幅后继续走高。铂金和钯金价格也同步上涨。 分析称，美国总统特朗普今年早些时候采取的一系列激进措施，意在重塑全球贸易体系，同时他对美联储独立性的威胁，也为这轮牛市火上浇油。投资者还 受到所谓"货币贬值交易"的推动，即因担忧债务规模不断膨胀会侵蚀长期价值，而撤离主权债券及其计价货币。 ETF的强劲买盘是推动金价大幅上涨的主要动力之一。今年以来，全球最大贵金属ETF——道富集团旗下的SPDR Gold Trust持仓量已增长超过五分之一。 交易员押注，美联储在已经连续三次降息之后，明年还将再次降息，这将对不产生利息收益的贵金属形成利好。 此外，过去一周，地缘政治紧张局势上升也进一步强化了黄金的避险吸引力，尤其是在委内瑞拉。美国已对该国油轮实施封锁，并持续加大对总统尼古拉斯 ·马杜罗政府的施压。 媒体报道，Pepperstone Group策略师Ahmad Assiri表示，地缘政治摩擦重新回 ...

[ 在各国央行大举购金、避险资金流入以及利率下行等多重因素推动下，今年以来金价已大幅上涨近 70%。 ] 受市场对美联储降息的预期以及持续的避险买盘推动，黄金价格于周一首次突破每盎司4400美元关口， 白银亦紧随其后，盘中突破69美元关口飙升至历史新高。与此同时，铂金和钯金也表现不俗，双双超越 金融危机和近三年以来的最高值。 贵金属市场无疑迎来了前所未有的狂欢年，未来的走势也受到了越来越多的关注。 黄金挑战5000美元？ 在各国央行大举购金、避险资金流入以及利率下行等多重因素推动下，今年以来金价已大幅上涨近 70%，仅次于1979年第二次石油危机和美国高通胀时期创下的纪录。经济或地缘政治动荡时期，黄金通 常被视作避险资产。 2025年最热门的交易策略之一是将黄金作为对冲美元风险的工具。这种被称为"货币贬值交易"的策略， 其核心逻辑是认为美元价值将面临贬值压力，各国政府无力应对财政赤字，债务不断累积。在此背景 下，投资者对政府债券和货币逐渐失去信心，开始寻求替代资产，进而将目光投向贵金属。 联邦基金利率期货定价显示，明年的宽松预期进一步指向两次（50个基点）。黄金作为无收益资产，通 常在低利率环境下表现较好。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold is projected to be the biggest winner among commodities and safe-haven assets in 2025, with a significant increase in its price, while traditional safe-haven assets have underperformed compared to the S&P 500 index [1][4]. Group 1: Precious Metals Performance - Precious metals, including gold, silver, and platinum, have collectively surged in 2025, outperforming the MSCI global stock index, with gold prices rising over 70%, marking the largest increase since the 1979 oil crisis [1][4]. - Silver and platinum have also seen their prices more than double, indicating a strong performance across the precious metals sector [1][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The unexpected resilience of the global economy, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions and concerns over an "AI bubble," has contributed to the extreme pricing dynamics where traditional safe-haven assets have failed [1][7]. - The defense and military sector has emerged as an alternative safe haven, with U.S. aerospace and defense stocks rising by 36% and European counterparts increasing by 55% due to rearmament efforts in Europe [4][8]. Group 3: Traditional Safe-Haven Assets - Traditional safe-haven assets, such as government bonds and defensive stocks, have underperformed significantly, with global government bond prices unexpectedly declining by about 1% [15][17]. - The performance of traditional defensive sectors, including utilities and consumer staples, has lagged behind the S&P 500 index, with consumer staples being the worst-performing sector, rising only about 2% [17][18]. Group 4: Currency Performance - The Japanese yen and Swiss franc, typically viewed as safe-haven currencies, have also disappointed in 2025, with the yen declining approximately 4% against major trading partners [20][21]. - The U.S. dollar index (DXY) experienced a significant drop of 12% during periods of geopolitical turmoil, indicating a lack of safe-haven characteristics for both the dollar and yen in 2025 [23][21]. Group 5: Volatility Strategies - Volatility strategies, often used as hedging tools, have failed to deliver returns in 2025, with the VIX index reflecting lower volatility levels by year-end compared to the beginning of the year [24][26].

截至2025年12月23日，现货黄金年内涨幅已超71%，最高触及4522美元/盎司，刷新历史纪录。以下是 对这一现象的详细分析： 1. 全球经济不确定性增加：地缘政治风险（如俄乌冲突、中东局势）持续发酵，贸易摩擦（如中美 关税博弈）加剧市场波动，投资者避险情绪升温，黄金作为传统避险资产需求激增。 2. 美联储货币政策转向：美联储在2025年9月开启降息周期，叠加市场对2026年进一步降息的预期升 温，实际利率下行降低了持有黄金的机会成本，推动金价上涨。 3. 美元信用体系受质疑：美国债务规模突破36万亿美元，财政赤字持续膨胀，全球央行加速"去美元 化"，增持黄金以分散外汇储备风险。中国央行连续12个月增持黄金，成为金价上涨的重要支撑。 4. 投资需求与资金流入：全球黄金ETF连续六个月净流入，11月单月流入达52亿美元，资产管理总 规模创5300亿美元新高。投机性资金与配置型资金协同进场，进一步强化上涨趋势。 二、金价上涨的具体表现 1. 价格突破关键整数关口：现货黄金年内先后突破3000美元、4000美元、4500美元等关键心理阻力 位，最高触及4522美元/盎司，较年初上涨超71%。 2. 多次刷新历史新 ...

作者 胡群 当COMEX黄金冲破4500美元、全年涨幅高达70%，市场终于意识到：这场上涨不是投机狂欢，而是一 场关于"什么是真正安全资产"的全球投票。截至发稿前，COMEX黄金价格已站上4520美元/盎司，12月 23日更一度触及4530.8美元的历史新高。2025年由此成为自1979年以来黄金表现最强劲的一年。 来源：东方财富App 推动本轮行情的核心，并非短期情绪，而是多重结构性力量的共振。美国11月失业率升至4.6%；核心 CPI同比仅上涨2.8%。数据持续释放经济降温信号，强化了市场对美联储在2026年继续降息的预期。与 此同时，日本央行如期加息，利空提前消化，促使资金回流黄金进行中长期配置。 瑞银财富管理投资总监办公室(CIO)预测，基准情景下，金价到2026年6月将达4500美元/盎司；若地缘 冲突或金融动荡加剧，可能冲击4900美元。对大多数投资者来说，在投资组合中持有中个位数的黄金敞 口，有助于提高多元化，并且是应对意外情况的良好策略。尽管黄金不是万灵丹，但在构建审慎投资组 合中仍能发挥效用。但该机构也提醒："尽管长期前景乐观，短期估值已处极端高位，追高需谨慎。" 钱放银行不如买金条？ 对普 ...

Group 1 - Alibaba-W recorded a net buy of 1.36 billion, while Meituan-W saw a net buy of 0.223 billion, and Zijin Mining had a net buy of 0.111 billion [1][3] - China Mobile experienced a net sell of 1.975 billion, Tencent Holdings had a net sell of 1.088 billion, Kuaishou-W saw a net sell of 0.174 billion, and SMIC had a net sell of 0.141 billion [1][3] - Southbound funds have continuously net sold China Mobile for 8 days, totaling 6.49287 billion HKD [3] Group 2 - Alibaba has released a new end-to-end voice interaction model called Fun-Audio-Chat, which includes open-sourced 8B model weights and inference code [4] - Zijin Mining benefits from the rise in gold prices, which have increased over 71% this year, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical risks [4] - Ganfeng Lithium reports a gradual increase in lithium carbonate futures prices, with optimistic market expectations for future lithium prices due to recovering quarterly performance in lithium companies [4] Group 3 - Kuaishou announced that its live streaming function was attacked on December 22, 2025, but has since been restored, with other services unaffected [5] - Shijiazhuang Pharmaceutical Group's shareholder Cai Dongchen increased his stake by acquiring 3.454 million shares at an average price of 8.1957 HKD per share, totaling approximately 0.11 billion HKD [5]

原标题：彻底沸腾！涨疯了！创历史新高，50次！ 国内市场同样火热。上期所沪金期货盘中最高触及1018元/克，再度站上"千元关口"；金饰方面，今日 有多家品牌足金饰品报价首次站上每克1400元上方。其中，周大福、周生生报1403元/克，老庙黄金报 1402元/克。 与此同时，沪银期货主力合约突破16500元/千克，创历史新高；广期所铂、钯期货主力合约直线拉升， 双双触及涨停板，成为盘面最亮眼的"明星品种"。 贵金属市场，正在经历一场罕见的"集体狂欢"。 12月23日，黄金、白银等贵金属价格再度全线暴涨，多个品种刷新历史纪录，市场资金情绪被彻底点 燃。盘中，现货黄金最高触及4497美元/盎司，距离4500美元/盎司大关仅一步之遥；COMEX黄金期货 则率先突破4500美元/盎司大关。今年以来，金价已50次改写历史新高。 今年以来，贵金属已成为全球资本市场中最具爆发力的资产之一。截至目前，黄金年内累计涨幅约 65%，白银涨幅更是高达120%，显著跑赢黄金；铂、钯近期加速补涨，本月累计涨幅分别达到42%、 46%。 在期货市场持续狂飙的带动下，A股贵金属板块也掀起期股联动行情。23日，贵金属概念股再度走强， 山东黄金 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is experiencing a rare "collective frenzy," with significant price surges across various metals, particularly gold and silver, driven by macroeconomic factors and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Price Surge in Precious Metals - On December 23, gold and silver prices surged, with spot gold reaching a high of $4,497 per ounce and COMEX gold futures breaking the $4,500 per ounce mark. This marks the 50th time this year that gold prices have set a new record [2][4]. - In the domestic market, Shanghai gold futures hit a peak of 1,018 yuan per gram, while several gold jewelry brands quoted prices above 1,400 yuan per gram [2]. - Silver futures also saw significant gains, with the main contract surpassing 16,500 yuan per kilogram, reaching a historical high [2]. Performance of Precious Metals - Year-to-date, gold has increased by approximately 65%, while silver has surged by 120%, significantly outperforming gold. Platinum and palladium have also seen substantial gains, with monthly increases of 42% and 46%, respectively [2][6]. - The A-share precious metals sector has mirrored the bullish trend, with stocks like Shandong Gold rising nearly 7% [2]. Macroeconomic Influences - The rise in gold prices is attributed to macroeconomic conditions, including a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve and weaker U.S. non-farm payroll and CPI data, which support further rate cuts [4][5]. - Global central banks are increasing their gold reserves, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reporting that central bank gold reserves are expected to rise to 36,200 tons by the end of 2024, increasing their share of official foreign exchange reserves from 15% to nearly 20% [6]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Silver, platinum, and palladium are experiencing sharper price increases due to supply-demand imbalances and significant capital inflows. On December 23, spot silver reached $69.98 per ounce, while platinum and palladium futures hit their respective limits [8][9]. - The demand for silver is particularly strong, with a notable increase in COMEX silver delivery notices, indicating a tight supply situation [9]. Future Outlook - Institutions generally believe that precious metals will maintain strong support in the medium to long term, although short-term volatility risks are increasing. The Shanghai Gold Exchange has issued warnings about market instability and advised members to enhance risk awareness [11]. - Analysts suggest that while the current bullish trend is supported by macroeconomic factors, caution is advised against chasing prices in a rapidly rising market. It is recommended to wait for pullbacks before making new investments [11].

2025年12月23日，全球金融市场见证历史，黄金价格如同脱缰野马，一举突破4500美元大关，最高触及4497美元，单日暴涨超过100美元。这场疯狂的上涨 背后，是三个地缘政治火药桶同时冒烟：美国对委内瑞拉发出最后通牒，俄罗斯紧急撤离外交官家属，中东战云密布，俄乌冲突持续升级。 特朗普在海湖庄园与国家安全团队紧急会晤后，宣布将对委内瑞拉实施全面封锁，授权扣押任何驶往委内瑞拉的油轮。 他警告马杜罗："这是最后机 会。"委内瑞拉外长随即召开新闻发布会，谴责美国的行为是"海盗行径"，并揭露美国在加勒比地区的武装行动已造成104人死亡，400万桶原油运输中断。 俄罗斯开始紧急撤离驻委内瑞拉外交官的家属，欧洲情报官员透露，撤离行动已于上周五启动，包括妇女和儿童在内的多名人员正被转移出境。俄罗斯外交 部以"非常严峻的语气"评估当前局势，这一动作通常被视为军事冲突即将爆发的前兆。 与此同时，中东火药桶再次冒烟，以色列向美国通报，伊朗可能正在准备对以色列发动袭击。以色列总理内塔尼亚胡公开警告，如果伊朗攻击以色列，将遭 到"非常猛烈的回应"。尽管美国情报机构尚未发现明确迹象，但这一潜在冲突的风险已让全球投资者神经紧绷。 东欧战 ...

市场解读： 白银昨日开盘行情小幅回落后强势拉升，最高触及到69.44一线位置后整理，日线最终收线在69.04附近 以一根上下影线等长的大阳线收线，那么今日操作上建议回踩68.5多，止损68.25，目标看69-69.5和70- 70.5以及71． 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。 责任编辑：陈平 市场解读： 12月23日，在2025年岁末之际，全球金融市场迎来一场避险资产的狂欢。黄金价格节节攀高，现货黄金 周一（12月22日）刷新历史新高至4449美元/盎司，涨幅超过2.4%，周二（12月23日）亚市早盘，现货 黄金延续涨势，截止09：00，再度刷新历史高点至4486.5美元/盎司，美国与委内瑞拉的剑拔弩张、伊 朗与以色列的潜在冲突、俄乌冲突的持续，以及美元疲软和美联储降息预期等多重因素的合力，共同给 金价提供上涨动能。今年以来，黄金累计上涨逾69%，预计将创下自1979年以来的最大年度涨幅，而白 银的表现更是惊人，涨幅已达136%。 ...