投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 | 2025/5/16 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | | 指标 | 2025/5/14 | 2025/5/15 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | SC | INE原油(元/桶) PTA-SC(元/陣) | 486. 6 1337.8 | 463. 2 1431.9 | -23. 40 94. 05 | 成交情况: PTA:PTA行情窄幅下跌,主因是原油下跌,大宗化工 品市场未能延续普涨行情,且市场也需要时间消化近 | | | | | | 0. 0471 | 日PTA的涨幅。PTA主力供应商出售5月货源,现货基差 走弱。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. 3783 | 1. 4254 | | | | PX | CFR中国PX | 870 | 854 | -16 | | | | PX-石脑油价差 | 2 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 PTA现货价格 - MEG内盘 基差 -- PTA现货价格 -- PTA主力期货价格 8000 - 1700 9200 1500 7000 1300 8200 1100 6000 7200 900 700 5000 6200 500 5200 4000 300 100 4200 3000 -100 3200 -300 2000 2025- 2025- 2023- 2023- 2023- 2024- 2024- 2024- 2024-09 2024-11 2025-01 2025-03 2024-05 2024-07 05 09 02 09 01 01 01 05 数据图表 800 现货加工区间 -- 盘面加工区间 FDY现金流 POY现金流 =DTY现金流 800 涤短现金流 切片现金流 600 700 400 600 500 200 400 0 01 300 -200 200 -400 100 0 -600 2023- 2023- 2025- 2023- 2024- 2024- 2024- 2025- 05 0d 05 0a 01 05 01 0 ...

【导读】事关中美经贸磋商机制，商务部重磅发声 事关中美经贸磋商机制，商务部重磅发声来了！ 5月15日下午，商务部召开5月第2次例行新闻发布会，商务部新闻发言人何咏前介绍近期商务领域重点 工作有关情况，并答记者问。 商务部介绍中美经贸磋商机制 何咏前表示，中方对通过对话沟通解决经贸关切始终持开放态度。依据中美日内瓦会谈共识，双方同意 建立经贸磋商机制，就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。中方将适时发布相关消息。 中美双方将依据中美日内瓦会谈共识 就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通 何咏前表示，5月10日至11日，中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部 部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔，在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会谈。双方围绕落实今年1月17日中美 元首通话重要共识，进行了坦诚、深入、具有建设性的沟通，达成一系列重要共识，会谈取得实质性进 展，双方达成《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》。下一步，中美双方将依据中美日内瓦会谈共识，就经 贸领域各自关切保持沟通。 中方敦促美方尽快停止232关税措施 何咏前表示，关于美方针对进口汽车、钢铝的232关税，以及对进口药品发起232调查，中方认为，美方 做法是典型的单边主义和 ...

5月15日下午，商务部召开例行新闻发布会。商务部新闻发言人何咏前就中美经贸高层会谈等内容回答 记者提问。 中美双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商机制 有记者询问近期及未来中美经贸高层交流中的讨论重点，何咏前介绍："5月10日至11日，中美经贸中方 牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头人、美国财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔在瑞士日内瓦举行 中美经贸高层会谈。双方围绕落实今年1月17日中美元首通话重要共识，进行了坦诚、深入、具有建设 性的沟通，达成一系列重要共识，会谈取得实质性进展。双方达成《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声 明》。" 何咏前表示，下一步，中美双方将依据中美日内瓦会谈共识，就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。 据商务部新闻发言人5月12日就中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发表的谈话，中美双方一致同意建立中美 经贸磋商机制，就经贸领域各自关切保持密切沟通，开展进一步磋商。中方代表是国务院副总理何立 峰，美方代表是财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔。双方将定期或不定期轮流在中国、美国开展磋商， 或在商定的第三国开展磋商。根据需要，双方可就相关经贸议题开展工作层面磋商。 有记者就中美经贸磋商机制进行提问，何咏前表示，中方对通过对话沟通 ...

5月15日下午，商务部召开例行新闻发布会，有记者就中美经贸磋商机制进行提问。 商务部新闻发言人何咏前表示，中方对通过对话沟通解决经贸关切始终持开放态度。依据中美日内瓦会谈 共识，双方同意建立经贸磋商机制，就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。中方将适时发布相关消息。 商务部介绍中美经贸磋商机制 校对： 王蔚 版权声明 中美双方将依据中美日内瓦会谈共识 就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通 有记者就中美经贸会谈下一步情况进行提问。 商务部新闻发言人何咏前表示，5月10日至11日，中美经贸中方牵头人、国务院副总理何立峰与美方牵头 人、美国财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔，在瑞士日内瓦举行中美经贸高层会谈。双方围绕落实今年1 月17日中美元首通话重要共识，进行了坦诚、深入、具有建设性的沟通，达成一系列重要共识，会谈取 得实质性进展，双方达成《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》。下一步，中美双方将依据中美日内瓦会谈共 识，就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。 商务部回应美方限制华为昇腾芯片 美国商务部下属工业安全局近期公告显示，在世界任何地方使用华为昇腾芯片均违反美国出口管制。5月 15日，商务部新闻发言人何咏前对此回应表示，美方滥用出口管制措施，对中 ...

金十数据5月15日讯，5月15日下午，商务部召开例行新闻发布会，有记者就中美经贸磋商机制进行提 问。商务部新闻发言人何咏前：中方对通过对话沟通解决经贸关切始终持开放态度。依据中美日内瓦会 谈共识，双方同意建立经贸磋商机制，就经贸领域各自关切保持沟通。中方将适时发布相关消息。 （日月谭天） 商务部介绍中美经贸磋商机制 ...

经济日报：充分发挥中美经贸磋商机制作用 金十数据5月15日讯，文章称，此次联合声明的达成为中美后续沟通与谈判奠定了基础，但诸多细节问 题仍有待进一步磋商。应当看到，中美之间结构性矛盾和深层次分歧依然存在，解决这些问题不可能一 蹴而就。 对于今后一段时间的中美经贸关系走向，应保持理性预期。双方需要维护好当前的对话势 头，在平等协商中管控分歧、积累共识、强化信任。当前，无论从最优化配置资源要素、更好适应创新 技术持续涌现带来的发展模式转变，还是从创造稳定的全球发展环境看，都需要中美协同发展。一方 面，要充分发挥中美经贸磋商机制的作用，就双方关切的问题进行持续、深入的沟通，及时化解可能出 现的矛盾和分歧；另一方面，要积极推动双边贸易和投资自由化便利化，进一步扩大市场开放，为两国 企业创造更加公平、透明、可预期的营商环境。聚焦共同利益，中美合作的清单能够拉得更长，合作的 蛋糕可以做得更大。 ...

同时，中美双方建立经贸磋商机制，继续就经贸关系进行协商。这一系列实质性进展，迈出了通过平等 对话协商解决分歧的重要一步，将中美经贸拉回到正常轨道。 中美日内瓦会谈取得实质性进展，反映出双方都有管控分歧、寻求共识的动机，以保护两国经贸关系不 偏航。这源于中美经贸关系的互利共赢本质，也揭示了中美两国"合则两利，斗则俱伤"的客观现实。 中美用对话协商开启了愈合分歧的合作之旅。 12日中美双方发布《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》，美方承诺取消根据4月8日第14259号行政令和4月 9日第14266号行政令对中国商品加征的共计91%的关税，修改4月2日第14257号行政令对中国商品加征 的34%的对等关税，其中24%的关税暂停加征90天，保留剩余10%的关税；相应地，中方取消对美国商 品加征的共计91%的反制关税，针对美对等关税的34%反制关税，相应暂停其中24%的关税90天，剩余 10%的关税予以保留。中方还相应暂停或取消对美国的非关税反制措施。 贸易战关税战没有赢家，尤其是过去一个月发生在世界第一、二大经济体之间，对双方乃至全球经济的 破坏力显而易见，双方分别高达125%和145%的关税，几乎给中美经贸按下了暂停键， ...

此外，多家研究机构和媒体也做了相关测算，本届美国政府累计对华新增关税税率将降至30%，中国方 面也将对美新增关税税率从125%下降到了10%。 中美双方是否会就关税等问题作进一步磋商？商务部新闻发言人表示，双方一致同意建立中美经贸磋商 机制，就经贸领域各自关切保持密切沟通，开展进一步磋商。中方代表是国务院副总理何立峰，美方代 表是财政部长贝森特和贸易代表格里尔。双方将定期或不定期轮流在中国、美国开展磋商，或在商定的 第三国开展磋商。根据需要，双方可就相关经贸议题开展工作层面磋商。 （文章来源：南方都市报） 南都讯记者杨文君发自北京 北京时间5月12日下午3时，《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》正式公布， 中美双方承诺于5月14日前采取举措，同步调整关税税率。 根据联合声明，美方承诺取消根据2025年4月8日第14259号行政令和2025年4月9日第14266号行政令对中 国商品加征的共计91%的关税，修改2025年4月2日第14257号行政令对中国商品加征的34%的对等关 税，其中24%的关税暂停加征90天，保留剩余10%的关税。相应地，中方取消对美国商品加征的共计 91%的反制关税；针对美对等关税的34%反制关 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel price is expected to show a volatile trend. Last week, the industrial data was below expectations, with a significant weakening in steel demand. The output of rebar declined, and the apparent demand decreased substantially, leading to an increase in inventory. The output of hot-rolled coils remained stable, but the apparent demand also declined, resulting in a corresponding increase in inventory. The real estate downturn and seasonal patterns contributed to the decline in the apparent demand for building materials, and hot-rolled coils faced pressure on exports due to overseas anti-dumping measures. On the macro front, the high-level Sino-US economic and trade negotiations achieved substantial progress [1][6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Transaction Data - SHFE rebar had a closing price of 3022 yuan/ton, a decline of 74 yuan, and a drop of 2.39%. The total trading volume was 8,123,194 lots, and the total open interest was 2,893,444 lots [2]. - SHFE hot-rolled coils had a closing price of 3157 yuan/ton, a decline of 47 yuan, and a drop of 1.47%. The total trading volume was 2,485,168 lots, and the total open interest was 1,395,031 lots [2]. - DCE iron ore had a closing price of 696.0 yuan/ton, a decline of 7.5 yuan, and a drop of 1.07%. The total trading volume was 1,895,858 lots, and the total open interest was 699,233 lots [2]. - DCE coking coal had a closing price of 877.5 yuan/ton, a decline of 53.0 yuan, and a drop of 5.70%. The total trading volume was 1,356,112 lots, and the total open interest was 418,835 lots [2]. - DCE coke had a closing price of 1446.5 yuan/ton, a decline of 91.5 yuan, and a drop of 5.95%. The total trading volume was 98,662 lots, and the total open interest was 50,876 lots [2]. Market Review - Last week, steel futures fluctuated downward. The fundamental situation weakened, leading to a decline in steel prices. In the spot market, the price of Tangshan steel billets was 2910 (-50) yuan/ton, the Shanghai rebar was quoted at 3170 (-50) yuan/ton, and the Shanghai hot-rolled coils were at 3220 (-40) yuan/ton [4]. Macro Situation - On May 7, three departments issued a package of financial policies to stabilize the market and expectations. The central bank announced the introduction of ten policy measures, including a comprehensive reserve requirement ratio cut of 0.5 percentage points, a reduction of the policy interest rate by 0.1 percentage points, a decrease in the interest rates of structural monetary policy tools and provident fund loans by 0.25 percentage points, and the establishment of a 500 billion yuan "service consumption and elderly care re-loan" [1][5][10]. - The Financial Regulatory Administration will introduce eight incremental policies, including accelerating the introduction of a financing system suitable for the new model of real estate development and re-approving a 60 billion yuan long-term investment pilot for insurance funds [5][10]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission will fully support China Central Huijin to play the role of a quasi-"stabilization fund" and introduce policy measures to deepen the reform of the Science and Technology Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market [5][10]. - The high-level Sino-US economic and trade talks were held in Geneva, Switzerland, from May 10 to 11. The two sides agreed to establish a Sino-US economic and trade consultation mechanism and will finalize relevant details as soon as possible and issue a joint statement on May 12 [1][5][10]. Industry Situation - Last week, the rebar output was 2.24 million tons, a decrease of 10 tons compared to the previous week. The apparent demand was 2.14 million tons, a decrease of 780,000 tons. The rebar inventory at mills was 1.88 million tons, an increase of 150,000 tons, and the social inventory was 4.65 million tons, a decrease of 50,000 tons. The total inventory was 6.54 million tons, an increase of 100,000 tons [1][6]. - The hot-rolled coil output was 3.2 million tons, an increase of 10,000 tons. The inventory at mills was 850,000 tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons, and the social inventory was 2.8 million tons, an increase of 120,000 tons. The total inventory was 3.65 million tons, an increase of 110,000 tons. The apparent demand was 3.1 million tons, a decrease of 230,000 tons [1][6]. Industry News - The high-level Sino-US economic and trade talks from May 10 to 11 in Geneva were candid, in-depth, and constructive, reaching important consensus and achieving substantial progress. The two sides agreed to establish a Sino-US economic and trade consultation mechanism [10]. - The Ministry of Commerce responded to the Sino-US economic and trade dialogue and consultation, stating that China has noticed the US high-level's multiple statements expressing willingness to negotiate on tariff issues with China. The US has also actively conveyed information to China through relevant channels, and China is evaluating the situation [10]. - On May 7, three departments issued a package of financial policies to stabilize the market and expectations, including measures from the central bank, the Financial Regulatory Administration, and the China Securities Regulatory Commission [10]. Relevant Charts - The report includes charts on the futures and monthly spreads of rebar and hot-rolled coils, the basis of rebar and hot-rolled coils, the regional price differences of rebar and hot-rolled coil spot, the smelting profits of long-process steel mills, the profits of short-process electric furnaces in East China, the blast furnace operating rate of 247 domestic steel mills, the daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills, the output of rebar and hot-rolled coils, the social and mill inventories of rebar and hot-rolled coils, the total inventories of rebar and hot-rolled coils, and the apparent consumption of rebar and hot-rolled coils [9][11][13]