分析师：张洋 登记编码：S0730516040002 证券Ⅱ zhangyang-yjs@ccnew.com 021-50586627 券商板块 2026 年 1 月回顾及 2 月前瞻 ——券商板块月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 证券Ⅱ相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：聚源、中原证券研究所 -14% -9% -4% 1% 6% 11% 16% 21% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.02 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 相关报告 | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 12 月 | | --- | --- | --- | | 回顾及 2026 年 | 1 月前瞻》 2026-01-28 | | | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 11 月 | | 回顾及 12 月前瞻》 | 2025-12-26 | | | 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 | 2025 年 | 10 月 | | 回顾及 11 月前瞻》 | 2025-11-25 | | 联系人：李智 ⚫ 券商板块 2026 年 1 月行情回顾：1 月券商指数尝试转强但以失败 告终，全月在各行业指数中 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

Group 1 - In January 2026, the number of new fund issuances reached 169, the highest level since March 2023, with several funds selling out in one day and some triggering proportionate allotment due to oversubscription [1] - Fund advisors have accelerated their reallocation strategies, with 178 out of nearly 650 fund advisor portfolios adjusting their allocations, favoring undervalued value-type funds [1] - The overall asset allocation has seen an increase in A-shares and bond positions while reducing cash assets, U.S. stocks, and Hong Kong stocks, with a focus on sectors like non-ferrous metals, electronics, and communications [1] Group 2 - The issuance of bond funds has significantly declined in 2026, with new pure bond funds being very few, while "fixed income +" funds continue to dominate the new bond fund market [3] - The latest VAT policy has excluded regular life insurance products from the exemption, leading to increased costs and a projected price rise of 5% to 10% for new products [3] - The recent rise in the onshore and offshore RMB against the USD, surpassing the 6.90 mark, is attributed to seasonal corporate demand for currency settlement and external factors affecting the USD [4] Group 3 - Several securities firms, including Caida Securities, are expanding their credit business scale, raising the upper limit of related quotas from 100% to 140% of audited net capital for 2024 [5] - The rapid expansion of margin financing demand has led to an increase in the total scale of margin financing, which is expected to boost revenue for securities firms [5] - The introduction of new refinancing policies by major exchanges is seen as a positive development for the investment banking business, with a focus on leveraging these opportunities post-holiday [6] Group 4 - The public fund of funds (FOF) sector has seen a rapid increase, with 31 new FOFs established in 2026, a year-on-year growth of 244.44%, driven by demand for stable investment products and continuous innovation [7] - The pre-prepared food market is experiencing a surge in demand as the Lunar New Year approaches, with both online and offline platforms actively promoting various meal kits and specialty dishes [7] - The urban real estate financing coordination mechanism has shown effectiveness, with significant credit support provided to "white list" projects, ensuring funding for ongoing construction and protecting homebuyer rights [8]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw most major indices rise last week (February 4 to February 10), with the Shanghai 50 index experiencing the largest increase of 1.74%. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.49%, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.59%. The ChiNext index fell by 0.13%, and the CSI 300 rose by 1.38% [3]. - As of February 10, the margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 26,517.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 459.93 billion yuan from the previous week. The financing balance was 26,350.49 billion yuan, down by 460.03 billion yuan, while the securities lending balance increased slightly to 167.34 billion yuan [3]. Industry Insights - The media, comprehensive, and environmental protection industries saw significant net buying in financing, while the non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, and non-bank financial sectors experienced lower net buying. The industries with higher financing buy-in ratios relative to transaction volumes included non-bank financials, telecommunications, and electronics, whereas textiles, light manufacturing, and construction materials had lower ratios [4]. - In terms of securities lending, the media, coal, and machinery equipment sectors had higher net selling amounts, while non-ferrous metals, food and beverage, and defense industries had lower net selling amounts [4]. ETF and Stock Performance - As of February 10, the financing balance for ETFs was 1,124.56 billion yuan, a decrease of 26.48 billion yuan from February 3, while the securities lending balance increased by 0.60 billion yuan to 75.45 billion yuan. The top five ETFs by net buying were E Fund CSI Overseas China Internet 50 (QDII-ETF), Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Hang Seng Technology, GF CSI Hong Kong Innovative Medicine (QDII-ETF), and Huabao CSI Medical ETF [4]. - The top five stocks by net buying in financing last week were Zhongwen Online (300364), Cambricon (688256), Kingsoft Office (688111), Kunlun Wanwei (300418), and Hengtong Optic-Electric (600487). The top five stocks by net selling in securities lending were Yanzhou Coal (600188), Jiangbolong (301308), Hengyi Petrochemical (000703), Changchuan Technology (300604), and Yinlun Machinery (002126) [4].

（原标题：新高！） 【导读】1月两融余额创历史新高 中国基金报记者 莫琳 数据显示，1月融资融券新开户数达19.05万户，较2025年12月的14.71万户环比增长29.5%，较2025年1月的7.4万户同比大增157%。仅略低于2025 年9月创下的全年峰值20.54万户。 截至1月末，市场两融账户总数已达1580.16万户，全市场两融余额报2.72万亿元，再创历史新高。 监管出手 融资已显著"降温" 市场赚钱效应的回升显著提升了投资者参与热情，成为新开户数激增的核心驱动力。1月12日、13日、14日，A股总成交额连创新高，1月12日达 到3.64万亿元，1月14日达到3.99万亿元。 在市场融资情绪高涨的背景下，监管层适时出手进行逆周期调节。1月14日，经证监会批准，沪深北交易所同步发布通知，将投资者融资买入证券 时的融资保证金最低比例由80%上调至100%，自1月19日起实施。该调整采用"新老划断"原则，仅适用于新开融资合约，存量业务不受影响。 上交所数据显示，自1月19日以来，融资买入额显著"降温"。截至1月30日，融资买入额从1月16日的1649.7亿元降至1314.4亿元，降幅超20%。 多家券商 ...

监管出手 融资已显著"降温" 市场赚钱效应的回升显著提升了投资者参与热情，成为新开户数激增的核心驱动力。1月12日、13日、14日，A股总成交额连创新高，1月12日达到3.64万 亿元，1月14日达到3.99万亿元。 在市场融资情绪高涨的背景下，监管层适时出手进行逆周期调节。1月14日，经证监会批准，沪深北交易所同步发布通知，将投资者融资买入证券时的融 资保证金最低比例由80%上调至100%，自1月19日起实施。该调整采用"新老划断"原则，仅适用于新开融资合约，存量业务不受影响。 近日，中证数据公布了2026年1月的两融数据。 数据显示，1月融资融券新开户数达19.05万户，较2025年12月的14.71万户环比增长29.5%，较2025年1月的7.4万户同比大增157%。仅略低于2025年9月创 下的全年峰值20.54万户。 截至1月末，市场两融账户总数已达1580.16万户，全市场两融余额报2.72万亿元，再创历史新高。 | | | | | | | | | | 融资融券业务月度统计表 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

券商两融业务迎来"开门红"。 最新数据显示，2026年1月融资融券新开户数达19.05万户，环比增长29.5%，同比大幅增长157%。市场活跃度提升与政策逆周期调节同步推进， 推动两融余额攀升至历史高位，机构普遍看好其对券商业绩的提振作用。 新开户数超19万同比增长157% 中证数据有限责任公司统计显示，2026年1月两融新开户数达19.05万户，较2025年12月的14.71万户增长29.5%，较2025年1月同期的7.4万户增长 157%。 | | | | | | | | | | 融资融券业务月度统计表 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 时间 | 标的证券数量 H) | | 融资融券交易(亿元) | | | 融资融券余额(亿元) | | 开展融资融券业务证券公 | la | 账户数(户) | | | | | 融资买人金 额 | 融券卖出金 题 | 融资融券交 易金额 | 融资余额 | 融券余额 | 合计 | 证券公司家 කිර | 营业部数量 | 期末账户数 | 本期新开账 户 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the margin financing and securities lending (two-in-one) business of brokerages has seen a strong start in 2026, with significant increases in new account openings and total margin balance, driven by market activity and policy adjustments [1][2][7]. Group 2 - In January 2026, the number of new margin financing accounts reached 190,500, representing a month-on-month increase of 29.5% and a year-on-year increase of 157% [2]. - The total margin balance reached a historical high of 2.72 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 53.1% and a month-on-month increase of 6.9% [2][5]. - The average daily trading volume of stock funds in January was 3.47 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 155.35% and a month-on-month increase of 58.94% [2]. Group 3 - Regulatory adjustments have been made to manage market volatility, including raising the minimum margin requirement for new financing contracts from 80% to 100%, effective January 19, 2026 [3]. - Analysts expect that the growth momentum of the margin financing market may stabilize following the new regulations, shifting from rapid expansion to high-quality development [4]. Group 4 - The total number of new margin financing accounts for 2025 reached a ten-year high of 1.5421 million, indicating strong market demand and potential for continued growth in 2026 [7]. - As of February 3, 2026, the margin balance was reported at 2.7065 trillion yuan, with the margin trading volume accounting for 9.56% of the total A-share trading volume [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Huaren Health has shown significant trading activity and financial performance, with a notable increase in revenue and net profit year-on-year [1][2]. - On February 3, Huaren Health's stock rose by 2.75%, with a trading volume of 396 million yuan. The financing buy-in amount was 28.81 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 33.14 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -4.33 million yuan [1]. - As of February 3, the total margin trading balance for Huaren Health was 182 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 5.60% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1]. Group 2 - As of September 30, the number of Huaren Health shareholders decreased by 22.86% to 20,100, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 29.64% to 7,422 shares [2]. - For the period from January to September 2025, Huaren Health achieved an operating income of 3.892 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.06%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 157 million yuan, up 45.21% year-on-year [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Huaren Health has distributed a total of 80.02 million yuan in dividends [3].

Summary of the Conference Call for Guiding Compass Company Overview - Guiding Compass reported a net profit of 228 million yuan for 2025, with an actual operating profit of approximately 170 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, primarily impacted by the fair value re-evaluation of Pioneer Fund and share-based payment expenses [2][3] - The company’s main business segments include financial information services and Maigao Securities, with a total revenue growth of over 40% year-on-year and a net profit growth of nearly 120% [3] Key Financial Metrics - The company’s advertising and customer acquisition costs increased significantly, with advertising expenses amounting to approximately 650 million yuan in 2025, leading to an estimated addition of 650,000 to 800,000 new paying users [3][8] - Contract liabilities and other non-current liabilities totaled approximately 920 million yuan, with an expected revenue recognition of 396 million yuan in 2026 [10] Business Strategy and Sales Approach - The software sales strategy remains stable, focusing on high-end products in Q1 and Q4, while promoting the Qinlong version of terminal products in Q2 and Q3, without adjusting sales plans based on quarterly performance [2][5] - The brokerage business is experiencing rapid growth, with a significant increase in market share in Beijing, and the new account opening fee rate set at 0.25% [3][12] Regulatory Compliance and Risk Management - Guiding Compass is actively responding to regulatory scrutiny regarding live-streaming customer acquisition, ensuring that all team members and hosts possess the necessary qualifications and that live content complies with regulations [2][4] - The company emphasizes the importance of compliance in live broadcasts, requiring hosts to display their qualifications and controlling the content of their speeches [4] Future Growth and Expansion Plans - The company plans to expand its overseas business, having registered the Polaris Internet Information Service Company in Hong Kong, although the specific development path is not yet clear [2][7] - Pioneer Fund has increased its registered capital to 250 million yuan and is focusing on talent acquisition and resuming operations pending regulatory approval [4][6] Operational Insights - The user renewal and refund rates for stock trading software have remained stable, contributing to steady revenue and cash flow growth [6] - The company’s advertising investment over the past five years has been 650 million yuan, with sales cash flow around 1.8 billion yuan, indicating a stable return on investment despite a slight decline in the investment ratio [9] Conclusion - Guiding Compass is positioned for growth with a solid financial performance, a stable sales strategy, and proactive regulatory compliance measures. The focus on overseas expansion and the enhancement of its brokerage services are expected to drive future profitability and market presence [2][7]