Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - The fundamentals of lithium carbonate may be in a stage where supply expectations are somewhat repaired, demand is temporarily weak, consumption expectations are positive, and price increases are due to the release of market sentiment, so caution is needed [2]. - The operation suggestion is to conduct light - position oscillating trading and pay attention to trading rhythm to control risks [2]. Summary According to Related Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract was 70,840 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2,280 yuan; the net position of the top 20 was - 186,221 hands, a decrease of 20,241 hands; the position volume of the main contract was 300,620 hands, a decrease of 77,852 hands; the spread between near - and far - month contracts was - 100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 380 yuan/ton; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt was 12,276 hands/ton, an increase of 280 hands [2]. 现货市场 - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 73,150 yuan/ton, a decrease of 750 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 71,000 yuan/ton, a decrease of 700 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract was 2,310 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,530 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) was 810 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite was 6,500 yuan/ton, a decrease of 350 yuan; the price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) was 2,367 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate was 44,100 tons, an increase of 2,000 tons; the monthly import volume was 17,697.62 tons, a decrease of 3,448.16 tons; the monthly export volume was 429.65 tons, an increase of 142.92 tons; the monthly enterprise operating rate was 52%, an increase of 5 percentage points; the monthly output of power batteries was 129,200 MWh, an increase of 5,700 MWh; the price of lithium manganate was 30,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate was 5.03 million yuan/ton, an increase of 0.08 million yuan; the price of lithium cobaltate was 225,000 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of ternary material (811 type) in China was 145,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,000 yuan; the price of ternary material (622 power type) in China was 121,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 2,000 yuan [2]. Downstream and Application Situation - The price of ternary material (523 single - crystal type) in China was 126,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 2,000 yuan; the monthly operating rate of ternary cathode materials was 51%, a decrease of 4 percentage points; the price of lithium iron phosphate was 3.27 million yuan/ton, unchanged; the monthly operating rate of lithium iron phosphate cathodes was 52%, an increase of 3 percentage points; the monthly output of new energy vehicles was 1,268,000, a decrease of 2,000; the monthly sales volume was 1,329,000, an increase of 22,000; the cumulative sales penetration rate was 44.32%, an increase of 0.33 percentage points; the cumulative sales volume was 6,937,000, an increase of 1,993,000; the monthly export volume was 205,000, a decrease of 70,000; the cumulative export volume was 1.06 million, an increase of 455,000 [2]. Option Situation - The total call position was 244,387, an increase of 35,337; the total put position was 135,778, an increase of 2,858; the total position put - call ratio was 55.56%, a decrease of 8.0243 percentage points; the at - the - money IV implied volatility was 0.54%, a decrease of 0.1804 percentage points [2]. Industry News - The National Conference of Heads of Industry and Information Technology Departments was held in Beijing on July 28, aiming to deepen reforms, promote the implementation of the "15th Five - Year Plan", consolidate the achievements of the comprehensive rectification of the "involution - type" competition in the new energy vehicle industry, and strengthen the governance of key industries such as photovoltaics [2]. - Shanghai will expand the open area of autonomous driving, aiming to achieve full - area opening of autonomous driving test roads in Pudong New Area by the end of this year and promote the opening of Fengxian and Minhang areas [2]. - A new automobile central enterprise, China Chang'an Automobile Group Co., Ltd., is about to be established, and its social media accounts have been launched [2]. Viewpoint Summary - The main lithium carbonate contract dropped significantly, with a decrease of 5.9% at the close. The position volume decreased, the spot was at a premium, and the basis strengthened [2]. - On the raw material side, recent disturbances in the lithium carbonate mining end and domestic policies on industrial structure adjustment led to an increase in the futures price and stronger price - holding intentions of miners [2]. - On the supply side, affected by policies and mining events, the supply of lithium carbonate is expected to be gradually controlled. In terms of imports and exports, Chile's exports increased slightly in June, and the average price also rose significantly, which is expected to increase the domestic import volume and price [2]. - On the demand side, due to the rapid rise in lithium prices and the off - season, downstream acceptance of high - priced lithium carbonate is low, and only rigid - demand purchases are maintained, resulting in a dull trading situation in the spot market [2]. - In terms of inventory, the industrial inventory is still at a high level, and effective demand is needed to drive inventory reduction [2].

Report Title - Nickel and Stainless Steel Daily Review 20250729: "Anti-Involution" Sentiment Declines, Volatility Increases [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - On July 28, the main nickel contract fluctuated downward. The pure nickel fundamentals are loose, but the macro - atmosphere dominates with large sentiment changes. The nickel price is expected to oscillate at a high level. Short - term high - selling and short - positions are recommended, waiting for the "anti - involution" sentiment to subside (Viewpoint Score: -1) [2] - On July 28, the main stainless - steel contract fluctuated downward. The current macro - sentiment has a large influence. Although the fundamentals are loose, it takes time for the price to return to the fundamentals. The price is expected to follow macro - fluctuations. It is recommended to wait and see (Viewpoint Score: 0) [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Nickel Market Price and Volume - Shanghai nickel futures: On July 28, the closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts decreased compared to previous days. The trading volume of the active contract was 297,904 hands (+132,194), and the open interest was 96,124 hands (-2,883) [2] - LME nickel: On July 28, the closing prices of the 3 - month nickel in the electronic and physical trading sessions decreased. The trading volume was 7,318 hands (-3,337) [2] Inventory - Shanghai Futures Exchange nickel inventory increased, LME nickel inventory increased, social inventory decreased, and bonded - area inventory remained flat [2] Supply and Demand - Supply: Nickel ore prices were flat, nickel ore arrivals increased last week, and port inventory decreased. Nickel - iron mills' losses narrowed, domestic and Indonesian nickel - iron production decreased in June, and nickel - iron inventory decreased. Domestic electrolytic nickel production decreased in July, and export profits expanded [2] - Demand: Ternary material production increased, stainless - steel mills' production plans decreased, and alloy and electroplating demand was stable [2] Stainless - Steel Market Price and Volume - On July 28, the main stainless - steel contract fluctuated downward. The trading volume was 349,991 hands (+149,518), and the open interest was 112,413 hands (-12,340). The spot market trading was weak, and the basis premium expanded [2] Inventory - Shanghai Futures Exchange stainless - steel inventory decreased, and the 300 - series social inventory last week was 638,500 tons (-17,800) [2] Supply and Demand - Supply: Stainless - steel production decreased in June [2] - Demand: Terminal demand was weak [2] Cost - High - nickel pig iron prices increased, and high - carbon ferrochrome prices remained stable [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 28, all the current - month contracts of the four major stock index futures rose. IF rose 0.18%, IH rose 0.39%, IC rose 0.18%, and IM rose 0.11% [1]. - On the trading day, the total trading volume of stock index futures rebounded, indicating that investors' trading enthusiasm increased. Specifically, the total trading volume of IF increased by 547 lots, IH decreased by 870 lots, IC increased by 11,258 lots, and IM increased by 26,844 lots. In terms of positions, the total position of IF increased by 3,663 lots, IH decreased by 1,993 lots, IC increased by 3,134 lots, and IM increased by 11,728 lots [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1期指期现数据跟踪 - **IF Futures**: The closing prices of IF2508, IF2509, IF2512, and IF2603 were 4131.2, 4122, 4090.8, and 4057 respectively, with increases of 0.18%, 0.16%, 0.11%, and 0.07%. The trading volumes were 23,316, 54,638, 10,792, and 4,247 respectively, and the position changes were +1,739, +1,331, +620, and +1,213 respectively [1]. - **IH Futures**: The closing prices of IH2508, IH2509, IH2512, and IH2603 were 2806, 2805.8, 2807.4, and 2809.6 respectively, with increases of 0.39%, 0.36%, 0.34%, and 0.34%. The trading volumes were 12,722, 28,883, 3,824, and 928 respectively, and the position changes were -1,590, +403, -111, and +111 respectively [1]. - **IC Futures**: The closing prices of IC2508, IC2509, IC2512, and IC2603 were 6274, 6222, 6091.4, and 5973 respectively, with increases of 0.18%, 0.09%, 0.01%, and 0.00%. The trading volumes were 23,810, 46,353, 13,923, and 4,105 respectively, and the position changes were +504, +1,256, +655, and +719 respectively [1]. - **IM Futures**: The closing prices of IM2508, IM2509, IM2512, and IM2603 were 6674.6, 6602, 6419.4, and 6256.2 respectively, with increases of 0.11%, -0.04%, -0.03%, and -0.06%. The trading volumes were 39,355, 116,079, 24,230, and 6,593 respectively, and the position changes were +2,878, +73,550, +311, and +1,017 respectively [1]. 3.2期指前20大会员持仓增减 - **IF Contracts**: For IF2508, long - order increase was 1629, short - order increase was 1637; for IF2509, long - order increase was 2353, short - order increase was 586; for IF2512, long - order decrease was 387, short - order decrease was 632 [5]. - **IH Contracts**: For IH2508, long - order decrease was 1014, short - order decrease was 1318; for IH2509, long - order increase was 232, short - order decrease was 20; for IH2512, long - order decrease was 79, short - order increase was 335 [5]. - **IC Contracts**: For IC2508, long - order increase was 459, short - order increase was 8; for IC2509, long - order increase was 2181, short - order increase was 1272; for IC2512, long - order increase was 147, short - order increase was 413 [5]. - **IM Contracts**: For IM2508, long - order increase was 3017, short - order increase was 2265; for IM2509, long - order increase was 6181, short - order increase was 7275; for IM2512, long - order increase was 683, short - order increase was 623 [5]. 3.3 趋势强度 - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and the trend intensity of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.4 重要驱动 - On July 28, the China - US economic and trade teams held talks in Stockholm, Sweden [7]. - The State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the child - rearing subsidy system and fertility support measures on July 30 [7]. - The National Conference of Heads of Industry and Information Technology Departments emphasized measures to consolidate the industrial economy, including implementing a new round of stable - growth actions in ten key industries, promoting the development and application of technologies such as AI terminals, and continuing to maintain the stable development of the tobacco industry [7].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View The report focuses on the current situation of the lithium carbonate market, presenting detailed data on the fundamentals of lithium carbonate, including contract prices, trading volumes, open interest, and prices of various lithium-related products. It also mentions relevant macro and industry news and the trend strength of lithium carbonate [1][2][3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Contract Data**: For the 2509 contract, the closing price is 73,120 yuan, with a decrease of 7,400 yuan compared to T - 1; the trading volume is 1,005,395 lots, a decrease of 198,029 lots; the open interest is 378,472 lots, a decrease of 112,616 lots. For the 2511 contract, the closing price is 71,420 yuan, a decrease of 7,740 yuan; the trading volume is 327,845 lots, an increase of 58,097 lots; the open interest is 168,736 lots, an increase of 728 lots [1]. - **Other Data**: The warehouse receipt volume is 12,276 lots, an increase of 280 lots. The basis of spot - 2509 is 780 yuan, and spot - 2511 is 2,480 yuan. The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) is 805 US dollars, a decrease of 5 US dollars; the price of lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) is 1,805 yuan, an increase of 15 yuan. The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,900 yuan, an increase of 1,000 yuan [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - The SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 73,737 yuan/ton, a daily increase of 991 yuan/ton; the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 73,900 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,000 yuan/ton; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 71,700 yuan/ton, an increase of 1,000 yuan/ton [2]. - The National Conference of Heads of Industry and Information Technology Departments was held in Beijing on July 28, aiming to deepen reforms, improve industry governance, and strengthen the construction of mandatory national standards in the industrial and information technology fields [3]. 3.3 Trend Strength The trend strength of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral outlook [3].

Group 1 - The solar energy sector experienced significant stock price increases, with companies like Xurisheng Technology rising by 23.11%, Sunrun by 17.52%, and Tiger Technology ADR by 16.34% [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held its 15th manufacturing enterprise symposium, focusing on the photovoltaic industry [1] - Li Lecheng, the Minister of Industry and Information Technology, emphasized the need to address key challenges, regulate low-price competition, and guide companies to improve product quality [1] Group 2 - The meeting included discussions from 14 photovoltaic companies and industry association leaders [1] - The ministry aims to promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity to achieve healthy and sustainable development in the photovoltaic sector [1]