Group 1 - The three major indices opened lower on June 13, with the shipping and port sector initially rising, particularly China Merchants Energy which increased over 5% [1] - WTI crude oil futures saw a significant intraday increase of over 9% [1] - The A500 Index ETF (159351), which holds multiple shipping stocks including China Merchants Energy, experienced a trading volume exceeding 500 million yuan within the first half hour of trading [1] Group 2 - According to Shenwan Hongyuan, the short-term outlook for the European and American markets requires valuation digestion, while the Chinese market still has room for valuation recovery [2] - The report suggests overweighting Hong Kong and A-shares while underweighting US stocks, with a continued positive outlook on global technology stocks [2] - The current valuation of the A-shares and Hong Kong stocks is considered neutral to low, indicating potential for recovery, especially with decreasing tariff uncertainties and a restructuring of the global monetary order [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant shift in global asset allocation, with a notable inflow into European equities and bonds, while Chinese equities are experiencing outflows, indicating a "seesaw" effect in the market dynamics [1][3][41]. Market Review - The successful outcome of the China-US-Switzerland talks on May 12 has significantly boosted global risk appetite, leading to an increase in global stock indices [10][41]. - The 20-year US Treasury auction on May 22 was poorly received, with the final yield surpassing 5%, raising concerns about US fiscal pressure [1][10]. Global Asset Performance - In May, equity assets generally rose, while US Treasury yields increased and the dollar weakened. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 24 basis points [2][13]. - Gold prices increased by 2.1%, and Brent crude oil rose by 1.7% during the same period [2][13]. Global Fund Flows - In May, there was a significant inflow of $215 billion into global money market funds, with developed market equities receiving $305 billion, while emerging market equities saw an outflow of $83 billion [3][20]. - Developed European fixed income and equity funds attracted inflows of $190 billion and $247 billion, respectively, indicating stronger performance compared to the US [3][20]. China Market Dynamics - By the end of May, global equity funds experienced an outflow of $88.5 billion from China, a reversal from the inflow of $198.3 billion in April [4][41]. - The outflow was primarily driven by passive ETFs, which saw a withdrawal of $82.5 billion in May compared to an inflow of $203.9 billion in April [4][41]. - In terms of sector performance, there was a significant inflow into technology, real estate, and materials, while telecommunications, consumer staples, and healthcare saw outflows [4][41]. Country Allocation - Global market funds reduced their allocation to US equities by 1.0 percentage points in April, while increasing allocations to European equities [5][41]. - The allocation to China remains stable at 26.4%, indicating potential for further growth [5][41]. Emerging Markets - Emerging market funds saw a decrease in allocation to Chinese equities, with a drop of 1.6 percentage points compared to March, while the allocation to Indian equities also decreased [5][41]. - In May, emerging market equity funds experienced a net outflow of $45 billion, with China being the primary contributor to this outflow [43][46].