关税霸凌

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周志伟:巴西能否对美国霸凌“硬刚”到底
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-25 00:07
Core Points - The trade negotiations between Brazil and the United States have reached a stalemate, with Brazil facing significant tariff increases from the U.S. [1][2] - The U.S. has imposed a 40% tariff on Brazilian imports, raising the total tariff rate to 50%, making Brazil one of the most affected countries by U.S. tariffs [1] - Brazil's response includes a legal challenge at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and a commitment to defend its sovereignty against U.S. actions [2][3] Trade Impact - The total trade volume between Brazil and the U.S. is projected to be approximately $91.5 billion in 2024, with the U.S. being Brazil's second-largest trading partner [2] - 36% of Brazilian exports to the U.S. will be impacted by the new tariffs, particularly in sectors like coffee, steel, agricultural machinery, and meat products [2] - If the tariffs are fully implemented, Brazil's export revenue could decrease by approximately 10 billion Brazilian Reais, and economic growth may slow by 0.16% to 0.3% in 2025 [2] Government Response - Brazil's government is implementing emergency policies to stabilize the economy, including a "Sovereignty Plan" to support exporters and maintain employment [4] - The plan includes providing approximately 30 billion Reais (about $5.5 billion) in preferential loans to affected exporters and tax incentives for impacted companies [4] - Brazil aims to diversify its export markets, focusing on the EU, Asia-Pacific, and BRICS countries to reduce reliance on the U.S. market [5]
关税硬扛30天后,巴西等来中方一通电话,卢拉有了斗争到底的决心
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 03:55
Group 1 - Brazil's President Lula has gained determination to resist U.S. tariff threats after receiving a supportive call from China [1][3][4] - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi expressed three firm supports for Brazil, emphasizing the defense of national sovereignty and the importance of cooperation among developing countries [4][6] - The situation illustrates that even countries closely tied to the U.S., like Brazil, are willing to stand against U.S. hegemony, countering Trump's strategy to divide and conquer BRICS nations [6][10] Group 2 - Trump's initial strategy involved targeting BRICS countries individually, starting with China, but faced resistance leading to a shift towards negotiations [8][10] - The ongoing pressure from the U.S. has inadvertently strengthened the unity among global South countries, as they collectively resist hegemonic practices [10][11] - The U.S. actions are damaging its international credibility and increasing distrust in the dollar, undermining its own claims of maintaining dollar dominance [10][11]
中国给出5年大单,1.3万亿替巴西兜底,巴总统:对中国感激不尽
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 22:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's strategic support to Brazil in response to the aggressive tariff policies imposed by the Trump administration, highlighting the economic and political implications of this support for Brazil and the broader geopolitical landscape [1][3][4]. Economic Impact - The Trump administration imposed tariffs as high as 50% on Brazilian goods, severely impacting key sectors such as coffee and beef, leading to a significant drop in Brazil's foreign exchange income [1][3]. - China's expected foreign trade volume exceeds $1.3 trillion this year, providing substantial economic support to Brazil, akin to a "super ammunition depot" [3][5]. - In July, Brazil's soybean exports to China reached 4.812 million tons, reinforcing China's position as Brazil's largest soybean buyer [3]. Political Implications - Following China's support, Brazil's government initiated a formal request for consultations with the World Trade Organization (WTO) regarding the U.S. tariffs, marking a significant step in global resistance against U.S. economic bullying [4]. - The Brazilian government is also investigating corruption cases involving former President Bolsonaro, asserting judicial independence and resisting U.S. interference in domestic affairs [4][5]. Strategic Cooperation - Brazil's advisor praised the "iron friendship" with China, expressing a desire to deepen cooperation within the BRICS framework and enhance trade relations [5]. - The deepening of China-Brazil trade cooperation is expected to stabilize supply chains and enhance China's ability to counter U.S. decoupling strategies [5]. - Brazil has increased its reserve of Renminbi to 12% and signed a 190 billion Renminbi currency swap agreement with China, facilitating direct trade settlements in local currencies [5]. Conclusion - The economic defense strategy culminated in a win-win scenario for both China and Brazil, with China solidifying its strategic partnership and advancing the internationalization of the Renminbi, while the U.S. risks diminishing its global influence due to its tariff policies [5].
综述丨巴西“硬刚”美国关税霸凌:主权与尊严之战
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-10 08:39
Group 1 - The U.S. has imposed a 40% tariff on Brazilian products, with many facing rates as high as 50%, claiming it aims to balance trade deficits while accusing Brazil of political persecution against former President Bolsonaro [1] - Brazilian President Lula has firmly rejected U.S. interference, emphasizing Brazil's commitment to sovereignty and dignity, and plans to strengthen ties with emerging economies through multilateral platforms like the WTO and BRICS [1][2] - Lula stated that U.S.-Brazil relations have reached their lowest point in 200 years, expressing skepticism about the possibility of direct talks with President Trump [1] Group 2 - Despite a strong stance against the U.S., Brazil is open to pragmatic negotiations regarding tariffs, with Lula indicating a cautious approach and no rush to reach an agreement [2] - Brazil has engaged in multiple rounds of negotiations with U.S. officials and industry representatives since July, aiming to restore rational discussions [2] - Lula has discussed enhancing cooperation with India, targeting a bilateral trade increase to $20 billion by 2030, and plans to expand trade agreements with Mexico [2] Group 3 - Brazil has requested consultations under the WTO dispute resolution mechanism to challenge U.S. tariffs, questioning the legitimacy of recent U.S. administrative orders [3] - The Brazilian government is considering a fund allocation of approximately 30 billion reais (about $5.54 billion) to support businesses affected by U.S. tariffs [3] - Brazil is also exploring adjustments to taxation on U.S. companies and developing new policies for strategic mineral resource exploitation [3]
事情反转,越南打破沉默,没打算接受美国关税,是特朗普自说自话
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 04:54
Group 1 - Vietnam unexpectedly rejected the US proposed tariff plan, which initially suggested a 20% tariff, while Vietnam aimed for a lower rate of 11% [1][2] - The US announcement of a 20% tariff was made without a formal agreement, catching all parties off guard and leading to Vietnam's disappointment and anger [2][4] - Vietnam's government issued a memo instructing local media not to publish unverified information regarding the tariff agreement, indicating their opposition to Trump's claims [2][4] Group 2 - Vietnam's dissatisfaction with the tariff announcement coincided with its recent status as a partner country in BRICS, where it expressed serious concerns over unilateral US tariff measures [4][6] - During a meeting with China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Vietnam received assurances of support against US tariff bullying, emphasizing the need for equal negotiations [6] - China's stance against US tariff practices strengthens Vietnam's position, providing it with confidence and backing from both BRICS and China in trade negotiations [6]
中方没料到,72小时内,两个亚洲国家先后对美国投降,都是中国的好兄弟
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 03:00
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that the United States has reached a trade agreement with Vietnam, which includes a minimum 20% tariff on all Vietnamese exports to the U.S. and a commitment from the U.S. to fully open its market to Vietnam [1][3] - Vietnam is the eighth largest trading partner of the U.S., with a trade surplus exceeding $120 billion in 2024, making it the fourth largest economy with a trade surplus with the U.S. [3] - Approximately 60% of American companies operating in Vietnam support the trade agreement, while 30% express concerns about the redefinition of "transshipment trade," which could lead to increased tariffs on goods processed in Vietnam but originally produced in China [3][6] Group 2 - Cambodia has also reached a tariff agreement with the U.S., becoming the second Southeast Asian country to do so after Vietnam, although specific details of the agreement remain unclear [4][6] - The agreements with Vietnam and Cambodia reflect a pragmatic strategy for these developing countries to negotiate favorable international cooperation conditions amid the complex global economic environment [8] - The U.S. maintains a dominant position in the global economic landscape, making it challenging for smaller countries to confront it directly, thus leading to diplomatic negotiations as a rational decision to protect national economic interests [8]
中美互相“摊牌”,欧洲也想上桌?但这张入场券,可不是靠求来的
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-20 04:45
Group 1 - The article highlights the marginalization of Europe in the context of US-China trade negotiations, with European business figures expressing frustration over their lack of involvement [3][5] - The US has made significant concessions to China in trade talks, raising questions about why similar considerations are not extended to Europe, which is also a key economic player [5][9] - Europe has historically relied on the US for technological advancements and military support through NATO, leading to a dependency that limits its ability to assert itself in global negotiations [7][9] Group 2 - The article points out that Europe lacks significant achievements in emerging sectors like electric vehicles and AI, where the US and China have made notable advancements [7] - It emphasizes that Europe must recognize the efforts China has made to achieve its current standing, including self-reliance in technology and military modernization [9][10] - The conclusion suggests that Europe needs to adopt a more assertive stance in international relations, as respect cannot be gained through appeasement but rather through a willingness to stand up for its interests [10]
没能拿下中国,特朗普被逼走投无路,可能决定要“弄死”大债主?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-24 00:01
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Japan and the UK have increased their holdings of US Treasury bonds, while China has reduced its holdings, signaling a shift in the global debt landscape [1] - Japan increased its US Treasury holdings by $4.9 billion, bringing its total to $1,130.8 billion, maintaining its position as the largest foreign holder of US debt [1] - China reduced its US Treasury holdings by $18.9 billion to $765.4 billion, marking its first reduction this year and causing it to drop from the second to the third largest holder [1] Group 2 - The ongoing US-China trade war, involving $450 billion in goods, is influencing China's decision to reduce its US Treasury holdings, which may serve as a strategic response to US tariffs [1] - This reduction in US Treasury holdings by China may impact the US debt market by affecting yield curves and increasing financing costs for the US Treasury [1] - China's actions reflect a broader strategy to diversify its asset allocation and reduce reliance on dollar-denominated assets in response to external economic pressures [1] Group 3 - Trump is increasingly focused on the US debt situation, targeting the Federal Reserve, which holds $7.5 trillion in US debt, as a potential solution to alleviate debt pressures [3] - Trump's administration is considering extreme measures, including freezing foreign creditor assets, in response to the growing debt crisis [5] - The ongoing negotiations and tensions between the US and China indicate that the US may be in a weaker position, as it relies on China for cooperation in stabilizing the debt situation [7]
加拿大想发“美难财”,使劲向中国说好话,中方直接把话挑明
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 14:52
Group 1 - China has not imported US LNG for nearly two and a half months since imposing a 15% retaliatory tariff in February, with imports dropping from 65,700 tons in February to zero in March compared to 412,500 tons last year [1][3] - The Chinese government is diversifying its natural gas supply channels and is not solely reliant on the US, focusing on increasing domestic production and utilizing cheaper alternatives such as coal and renewable energy [3][5] - The trade tensions have led to Canada imposing high tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles and steel products, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs on Canadian agricultural products [5][6] Group 2 - There is a call from various sectors in Canada for a pragmatic cooperation with China, suggesting a need to reassess past policies towards China to improve bilateral relations [7] - The Chinese ambassador to Canada emphasized the strong complementary nature of economic relations between China and Canada, particularly in the energy sector [6][7]
特朗普打残美国产业,体面认输,请中方给个台阶,中方就是不理
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 11:58
Group 1 - The core objective of the tariff war initiated by Trump was to suppress China, but it backfired, damaging the U.S. industries instead [10] - The U.S. reliance on Chinese critical minerals for its clean energy sector was highlighted, showing that tariffs on these minerals harmed American industries [3][5] - The Biden administration's approach to tariffs was more targeted and effective compared to Trump's broad measures, which inadvertently hurt U.S. industries [5][7] Group 2 - The international response to U.S. tariff policies has been one of resistance, with calls for unity against U.S. trade bullying, emphasizing the need to maintain a multilateral trade system [1] - Trump's declining approval ratings and public dissatisfaction with his policies indicate a lack of support for his tariff strategies, which have created uncertainty in global trade [9][10] - The European economy is facing significant threats due to U.S. tariff policies, with officials expressing a desire for negotiations to resolve trade issues [10]