2025年上半年，房地产市场在政策的持续调控下，正逐步朝着稳定健康的方向发展。二季度以来政策面推进速度明显加快，助力房地产市场格局加快向新 向好。 4月末中共中央政治局会议以"持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势"替代两会中的"止跌回稳"表述，反映2024年四季度以来稳市场政策见效，房地产市场已经进 入供求平衡发展的新阶段。 目前整体围绕稳市场、促转型、防风险主线，部署三大核心任务：城市更新、高品质转型和库存优化，其后各部委快速落实相关任务。 据克而瑞研究中心不完全统计，2025年上半年，地方层面有130个省市362次出台稳市场政策，同比基本持平。 在中央因城施策、稳市场政策应出尽出的施政方针下，当前地方层面拥有足够的施政空间维持市场稳定。预计下半年地方层面将遵循中央部署，重点改善 自身主要矛盾，在"存量盘活、预期改善、精准破局"三方面发力。 政治局会议定性"稳市场"新阶段 下半年将更大力度推动止跌回稳 2025年4月25日，中共中央政治局会议提出"持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势"，围绕稳市场、促转型、防风险主线，部署三大核心任务，为年内政策实施划 定清晰路径：一、加力城市更新行动，以存量改造激活增量需求；二、构建房地产发 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月23日 滔搏（06110.HK） 优于大市 全年收入下滑 6.6%，加码全域零售与细分赛道 收入与净利润下滑符合预期，现金流充裕支撑高派息。受消费需求疲软及线 下客流下滑影响，2025 财年收入同比下降 6.6%至 270.1 亿元。分商业模式 看：零售渠道收入 230.3 亿元，同比下降 6.8%；批发渠道收入 37.9 亿元， 同比下降 5.8%。分品牌看：主力品牌（耐克、阿迪达斯）收入 233.1 亿元， 同比下降 6.1%；其他品牌收入 35.0 亿元，同比下降 9.9%。 利润方面，因促销力度加大及负经营杠杆影响，归母净利润同比下滑 41.9% 至 12.9 亿元。其中，毛利率同比下降 3.4 个百分点至 38.4%，主因促销折扣 加深、线上低毛利渠道占比提升及存货减值拨备增加；费用率小幅上升 0.3 个百分点至 33.1%；净利率同比下降 2.8 个百分点至 4.8%。 现金方面，经营现金流净额同比+20%至 37.6 亿元，自由现金流/净利润达 2.6 倍，体现高效现金创收能力，其中存货周转天数为 134.9 天，同比下降 1.2 天，较中期下降 13.4 天； ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月23日 现金方面，经营现金流净额同比+20%至 37.6 亿元，自由现金流/净利润达 2.6 倍，体现高效现金创收能力，其中存货周转天数为 134.9 天，同比下降 1.2 天，较中期下降 13.4 天；维持高派息率 135%（同期：100.9%），自 2019 年 上市以来累计派息率 104.2%，股息率行业领先。 半年度方面，下半年收入降幅收窄（上下半年分别下滑 7.9%/5.4%），利润 跌幅增大（上下半年分别下滑 34.7%/52.9%），主要因上下半年的核心利润 率降幅接近，而其他收入占比在下半年降幅加大，所得税率部分抵消影响。 门店结构优化，会员运营与全域零售能力提升，加码户外赛道。截至 2025 年 2 月末，直营门店净减少 1,124 家至 5,020 家（同比-18.3%），总销售面 积同比-12.4%，但单店销售面积同比+7.2%，反映"优中选优"策略下门店 效率提升。累计用户数达 8,600 万（环比+6%，同比+13%），会员贡献销售 额占比 93.2%；复购会员贡献 70%消费额，高价值会员占比中单位数，但贡 献近 40%销售额，用户粘性凸显。直营线 ...

Lazydays (GORV) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 15, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company Participants Jeff Needles - CFORon Fleming - Interim CEOAmber Dillard - COO Operator and welcome to the Lazydays RV Holdings First Quarter twenty twenty five Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen only mode. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host Mr. Jeff Needles, Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. Please go ahead. Jeff Needles Thank you, operator, and welc ...

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance for 2024 and Q1 2025 exceeded expectations, driven by a recovery in domestic home textile business and a reduction in losses from the U.S. furniture business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 4.559 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 433 million yuan, down 24.4% [1] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached 1.094 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 113 million yuan, up 26.3% [1] - The company plans to distribute a final cash dividend of 0.4 yuan per share, resulting in an annual cumulative dividend payout ratio of approximately 115%, corresponding to a dividend yield of about 7.2% based on the current stock price [1] Group 2: Domestic Home Textile Business - In 2024, domestic home textile revenue decreased by 12.4% to 3.737 billion yuan, with franchise revenue down 19.0% to 1.448 billion yuan due to proactive adjustments in franchise stores and inventory optimization [2] - The number of franchise stores decreased by 168 to 2,227, while direct sales revenue fell by 1.5% to 401 million yuan, with 76 new direct stores opened, totaling 411 [2] - Online revenue declined by 14.1% to 1.382 billion yuan, but Q1 2025 is expected to show positive growth in domestic home textile revenue, particularly in direct and online channels [2] - The gross profit margins for franchise, direct, and online channels improved by 1.4 percentage points, 0.3 percentage points, and 1.1 percentage points respectively, partly benefiting from rising raw material prices [2] - The net profit for the domestic home textile business in 2024 is projected to decrease by 13% to 462 million yuan, with expectations of growth in Q1 2025 [2] Group 3: U.S. Furniture Business - The U.S. furniture business reported a revenue decline of 21.5% to 822 million yuan in 2024, primarily impacted by the U.S. real estate cycle [3] - The business incurred a loss of 28.71 million yuan in 2024, with losses narrowing from 21.83 million yuan in the first half to 6.88 million yuan in the second half [3] - Q1 2025 is anticipated to show improvements in both revenue decline and loss reduction for the U.S. furniture business [3] Group 4: Inventory and Cash Flow - As of Q1 2025, inventory decreased by 24.3% to 981 million yuan, attributed to enhanced retail management and increased inventory clearance efforts [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities in Q1 2025 increased by 83.3% year-on-year to 176 million yuan, indicating strong cash flow [3] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain its efforts in opening direct model stores in 2025, with a gradual return to growth in franchise revenue as inventory adjustments near completion [4] - The U.S. furniture business is projected to continue reducing losses as inventory clearance progresses [4] Group 6: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 9.6% to 513 million yuan, with a new forecast for 2026 set at 554 million yuan [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 13.6x for 2025 and 12.6x for 2026 [5] - The target price has been increased by 33.8% to 9.88 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 18.1% based on 2025/26 P/E ratios of 16.0x/14.8x [5]