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中炬高新(600872):中炬高新2025年三季报点评:渠道调整致收入
Changjiang Securities· 2025-10-31 12:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10]. Core Views - The company's total revenue for Q1 to Q3 of 2025 was 3.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.01%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 380 million yuan, down 34.07% year-on-year [2][5]. - The revenue for Q3 2025 alone was 1.025 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 22.84%, with a net profit of 123 million yuan, down 45.66% year-on-year [2][5]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to channel adjustments and the company's focus on optimizing distributor inventory, which has impacted sales negatively [6][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by product for Q1 to Q3 2025: Soy sauce 1.896 billion yuan (down 17.5% year-on-year), chicken essence and powder 393 million yuan (down 22.76%), edible oil 198 million yuan (down 42.67%), and others 465 million yuan (down 4.9%) [6]. - Revenue by region: Eastern region 649 million yuan (down 28.21%), Southern region 1.227 billion yuan (down 17.48%), Central and Western region 643 million yuan (down 14.68%), and Northern region 433 million yuan (down 12.78%) [6]. Profitability Analysis - The net profit margin for Q1 to Q3 2025 decreased by 2.57 percentage points to 12.04%, while the gross margin increased by 1.84 percentage points to 39.21%. The expense ratio rose by 6.33 percentage points to 25.72% [7]. - For Q3 2025, the net profit margin fell by 5.05 percentage points to 12.01%, with a gross margin of 39.53% (up 0.71 percentage points) and an expense ratio of 26.9% (up 10.75 percentage points) [7]. Future Outlook - The company is undergoing a painful period of channel adjustments, with short-term revenue pressure. However, with the new board of directors in place since July 2025, governance is being adjusted, and a turnaround is anticipated [8]. - As inventory is gradually digested and the pricing system is streamlined, along with ongoing efforts in the catering channel, compound seasonings, and overseas markets, growth momentum is expected to gradually release in the medium to long term [8]. - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 are approximately 0.70 yuan and 0.91 yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 26 and 20 times [8].
海天味业(603288):2025年三季报点评:逆势增长,保持稳健
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-29 03:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 21.628 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.322 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.48%, and a net profit of 1.408 billion yuan, up 3.40% year-on-year [1]. - Despite weak external demand, the company continues to capture market share from competitors and is focused on developing new products, maintaining a steady growth trajectory [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, total revenue is projected at 26.901 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.5%. The net profit is expected to be 6.344 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.8% [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is forecasted at 1.21 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32 times [3][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 39.6%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material costs and improved production efficiency [7]. Market and Product Insights - The company’s condiment business grew by 4.53% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauce revenues increasing by 4.98%, 1.99%, and 3.50% respectively [7]. - Online sales showed significant growth, increasing by 19.76% year-on-year, while offline sales grew by 3.59% [7]. - The company added 45 new distributors in Q3, bringing the total to 6,726, indicating a slight increase in distribution capacity [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for the full year of 2025, with profit performance anticipated to be even better due to ongoing cost advantages [7]. - An employee stock ownership plan was launched in September, with performance targets set for a compound annual growth rate of no less than 11% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, reflecting the company's confidence in sustained growth [7].
中炬高新(600872)25Q3点评:经营持续调整盈利能力承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 06:25
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, indicating operational challenges and a need for strategic adjustments [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.156 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 20.01%, and a net profit of 380 million, down 34.07% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 1.025 billion, a decline of 22.8%, with a net profit of 123 million, down 45.7% [1]. - The adjusted profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 513 million, 638 million, and 724 million, reflecting year-on-year changes of -42.6%, 24.5%, and 13.5% respectively [1]. Business Segment Analysis - The seasoning business reported revenue of 3.107 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, a decrease of 18.4%, with a net profit of 367 million, down 34.13% [2]. - In Q3 2025, the seasoning business generated revenue of 1.009 billion, a decline of 19.37%, and a net profit of 120 million, down 41.93% [2]. - Revenue breakdown for Q3 includes soy sauce at 599 million, chicken essence at 137 million, cooking oil at 89 million, and others at 134 million, with respective year-on-year declines [2]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 39.7%, an increase of 2.26 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower raw material costs [3]. - The selling and administrative expense ratios were approximately 14% and 7.69%, respectively, both showing increases compared to the previous year [3]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters was 11.81%, down 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to increased sales expenses from channel adjustments and intensified competition [3]. Market Position and Valuation - The company's current market valuation corresponds to a PE ratio of 28x, 22x, and 20x for 2025-2027, which is slightly below the average PE of 29.2x for comparable companies [1]. - The investment rating has been adjusted to "Accumulate" due to the anticipated recovery in channel performance and strategic adjustments [1].
【中炬高新(600872.SH)】改革仍在持续,25Q3业绩承压——2025年三季报点评(陈彦彤/汪航宇/聂博雅)
光大证券研究· 2025-10-27 23:04
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025, indicating ongoing challenges in its operational strategy and market conditions [4][5]. Revenue Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.156 billion, down 20.01% year-on-year, with a net profit of 380 million, down 34.07% year-on-year [4]. - In Q3 2025, revenue was 1.025 billion, a decrease of 22.84% year-on-year, and net profit was 123 million, down 45.66% year-on-year [4]. Product Segment Analysis - Revenue declines were observed across various product categories: soy sauce (-17.50%), chicken essence and powder (-22.76%), cooking oil (-42.67%), and others (-4.90%) for the first three quarters of 2025 [5]. - In Q3 2025, the revenue changes were: soy sauce (-19.2%), chicken essence and powder (-24.2%), cooking oil (-31.6%), and others (-8.8%) [5]. Sales Channel Insights - Revenue from distribution channels decreased by 21.06% in the first three quarters, while direct sales increased by 43.99% [5]. - In Q3 2025, distribution revenue fell by 23.07%, but direct sales surged by 57.44% [5]. Regional Performance - Revenue declines varied by region: Eastern (-28.21%), Southern (-17.48%), Central and Western (-14.68%), and Northern (-12.78%) for the first three quarters of 2025 [6]. - In Q3 2025, the regional revenue changes were: Eastern (-27.32%), Southern (-19.67%), Central and Western (-11.52%), and Northern (-20.26%) [6]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 39.2%, an increase of 1.84 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to sustained raw material cost benefits [8]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters was 12.0%, down 2.57 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - The company is undergoing significant reforms, with a focus on improving channel management and operational efficiency [9]. - Key areas of focus include enhancing connections with restaurant clients and improving internal operations under new leadership [9].
中炬高新(600872):2025年三季报点评:仍有压力,延续调整
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-27 11:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 23.1 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company continues to face significant pressure, with ongoing adjustments expected. The third quarter of 2025 showed a revenue decline of 22.8% year-on-year, with a net profit drop of 45.7% [1]. - Despite the financial challenges, the company is focusing on proactive adjustments and management reforms to restore its business fundamentals and unlock growth potential [1][5]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 3.16 billion yuan, down 20.0% year-on-year, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, down 34.1% [1]. - The third quarter alone reported revenues of 1.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, reflecting a 45.7% decline [1]. - The overall gross margin improved slightly to 39.5%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower raw material costs [5]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.67 yuan, with estimates for 2026 and 2027 at 0.82 yuan and 0.98 yuan, respectively [1][9]. Revenue and Profitability Trends - Revenue growth rates are projected to be negative for 2025 at -19.7%, with a gradual recovery expected in subsequent years [9]. - The net profit margin for the third quarter of 2025 was recorded at 12.0%, down 5.0 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing profitability challenges [5][6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is actively working on channel adjustments and inventory management to stabilize market prices and improve sales performance [5]. - The management emphasizes a long-term approach to recovery, focusing on building confidence within the team and maintaining a steady pace of operational improvements [1][5].
中炬高新(600872):改革仍在持续,25Q3业绩承压
EBSCN· 2025-10-27 06:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is undergoing significant reforms, which are currently impacting its performance negatively. The focus is on channel inventory digestion and establishing a stable pricing system to create a healthy long-term channel ecosystem [8] - Despite the short-term challenges, the company is actively pursuing long-term growth opportunities, particularly in the restaurant channel and enhancing internal operational efficiency [8] - The report projects a decline in revenue and net profit for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 44.31 billion, 47.77 billion, and 51.23 billion respectively, and net profits of 5.57 billion, 6.37 billion, and 7.27 billion [9] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 31.56 billion, down 20.01% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.80 billion, down 34.07% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 10.25 billion, down 22.84% year-on-year, and net profit was 1.23 billion, down 45.66% year-on-year [4][5] - The core subsidiary, Meiwai Xian, reported revenue of 31.07 billion for the first three quarters, down 18.40% year-on-year, with Q3 revenue at 10.09 billion, down 19.37% year-on-year [4] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue by product category for the first three quarters showed declines: soy sauce (-17.50%), chicken essence and powder (-22.76%), cooking oil (-42.67%), and others (-4.90%). In Q3, the declines were more pronounced, particularly in soy sauce (-19.2%) and chicken essence and powder (-24.2%) [5] - Revenue by sales model indicated a decline in distribution channels (-21.06%) but an increase in direct sales (+43.99%) for the first three quarters. In Q3, distribution revenue fell by 23.07%, while direct sales rose by 57.44% [5] Cost and Margin Analysis - The company’s gross margin improved to 39.2% for the first three quarters, up 1.84 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to favorable raw material costs. However, the expense ratio increased to 25.7%, up 6.33 percentage points year-on-year [7] - In Q3, the gross margin was 39.5%, with a slight year-on-year increase, while the expense ratio rose to 26.9% [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue facing challenges due to ongoing reforms, but there is optimism regarding its long-term growth potential as it focuses on channel management and operational efficiency [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the company's inventory digestion and pricing recovery processes, as well as its expansion into restaurant clients [8]
中炬高新(600872):改革仍在持续,25Q3业绩承压:——中炬高新(600872.SH)2025年三季报点评
EBSCN· 2025-10-27 04:51
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is undergoing significant reforms, which are currently impacting its performance negatively. The adjustments in inventory and pricing strategies are aimed at establishing a healthier channel ecosystem in the long term [8][9] - The company has reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue at 3.156 billion yuan, down 20.01% year-on-year, and net profit at 380 million yuan, down 34.07% year-on-year [4][5] Revenue Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.025 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.84% year-on-year, and a net profit of 123 million yuan, down 45.66% year-on-year [4][5] - The core subsidiary, Meiwai Xian, reported revenue of 3.107 billion yuan for the first three quarters, down 18.40% year-on-year, with Q3 revenue at 1.009 billion yuan, down 19.37% year-on-year [4][5] Product and Sales Channel Analysis - Revenue from soy sauce, chicken essence, cooking oil, and other products declined by 17.50%, 22.76%, 42.67%, and 4.90% respectively in the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to inventory adjustments [5] - The company has seen a significant increase in direct sales revenue, up 43.99% year-on-year for the first three quarters, while distribution revenue fell by 21.06% [5] Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 39.2%, an increase of 1.84 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to favorable raw material costs [7] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters was 12.0%, down 2.57 percentage points year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is focusing on long-term growth by enhancing its restaurant channel and improving internal operational efficiency under new leadership [8][9] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards, with expected revenues of 4.431 billion, 4.777 billion, and 5.123 billion yuan respectively [9]
中炬高新(600872):渠道调整在途,经营短期承压
Minsheng Securities· 2025-10-26 15:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 18.39 yuan [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.16 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 20.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 380 million yuan, down 34.1% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing distributor inventory and strengthening its market foundation, although revenue is under short-term pressure [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 39.2%, an increase of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to lower procurement prices for raw materials [3]. - The company is undergoing channel adjustments and expects improvements in the future, with a focus on proactive strategies to enhance marketing and channel management [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.03 billion yuan, a decrease of 22.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 120 million yuan, down 45.7% year-on-year [1]. - The revenue breakdown for Q3 2025 by product shows soy sauce at 600 million yuan, chicken essence and powder at 140 million yuan, cooking oil at 90 million yuan, and other products at 130 million yuan, with respective year-on-year declines of 19.2%, 24.2%, 31.6%, and 8.8% [2]. - The company’s distributor count reached 2,898 by the end of Q3 2025, with a net increase of 99 distributors from Q2 [2]. Cost and Profitability - The company’s operating expenses increased, with a sales expense ratio of 13.8%, up 4.6 percentage points year-on-year, due to enhanced marketing efforts [3]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 12.0%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - The company projects revenues of 4.55 billion yuan, 4.91 billion yuan, and 5.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with expected year-on-year growth rates of -17.6%, +8.0%, and +6.1% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 570 million yuan, 650 million yuan, and 740 million yuan for the same years, with year-on-year changes of -36.6%, +15.0%, and +12.9% [4].
中炬高新(600872):持续调整,静待反转
CMS· 2025-10-26 14:05
Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating to "Accumulate" based on the company's performance and future expectations [1][2]. Core Views - The company is experiencing ongoing performance pressure, with Q3 2025 revenue and net profit down by 19.37% and 41.93% year-on-year, respectively [1][3]. - Despite the revenue decline, the gross margin shows a positive trend, but increased expenses are putting pressure on profitability [1][3]. - The new management team is expected to continue reforms and enhance mergers and channel expansion, aiming to gradually improve the company's situation [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.156 billion and net profit of 380 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 20.01% and 34.07% respectively [1][4]. - Q3 2025 saw revenue of 1.024 billion and net profit of 123 million, with year-on-year declines of 22.84% and 45.66% [1][4]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2025 was 39.5%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 12.0%, down 5.1 percentage points year-on-year due to rising expense ratios [1][4]. Product Performance Summary - The soy sauce segment faced significant pressure, with Q3 2025 revenue down 19.16% year-on-year, while other product lines also showed declines [1][3]. - The company maintained pricing strategies and improved channel inventory health despite the challenging market environment [1][3]. Regional Performance Summary - Revenue by region in Q3 2025 showed declines across all areas, with the eastern region down 27.3% and the southern region down 19.7% year-on-year [1][3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue facing operational pressures in Q4 2025 due to high base effects and seasonal factors, but it is also working on clearing burdens and pushing forward with reforms [1][4]. - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 0.76 and 0.88 yuan, respectively, with a corresponding valuation of 24 times for 2025 [1][4].
中炬高新(600872):仍在调整进程中 业绩暂承压 期待改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-25 08:30
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 3.16 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 20.0% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1-Q3 2025 was 380 million yuan, down 34.1% year-on-year [1] - The company is still undergoing adjustments, leading to pressure on performance [1] Revenue Breakdown - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, a decline of 22.8% year-on-year [1] - Revenue by product category in Q3 2025: soy sauce 600 million yuan (-19.2%), chicken essence/chicken powder 140 million yuan (-24.2%), cooking oil 90 million yuan (-31.6%), others 130 million yuan (-8.8%) [1] - Revenue by sales model in Q3 2025: distribution 890 million yuan (-23.1%), direct sales 70 million yuan (+57.4%) [1] - Revenue by region in Q3 2025: Eastern 210 million yuan (-27.3%), Southern 420 million yuan (-19.7%), Central/Western 210 million yuan (-11.5%), Northern 120 million yuan (-20.3%) [1] Distributor Insights - As of Q3 2025, the company had a total of 2,898 distributors, with a net increase of 99 distributors compared to Q2 2025 [1] - Distributor growth by region in Q3 2025: Eastern +17, Southern +21, Central/Western +12, Northern +49 [1] Profitability Analysis - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 39.5%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Sales expense ratio increased significantly, with sales/management/R&D expense ratios rising by 8.1, 1.9, and 0.4 percentage points respectively [2] - The net profit margin attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.0 percentage points to 12.0% year-on-year [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.11 billion, 4.37 billion, and 4.77 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -25.5%, +6.2%, and +9.2% respectively [2] - Net profit projections for 2025-2027 are 550 million, 660 million, and 790 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -38.5%, +20.0%, and +19.3% respectively [2]