华创证券认为，春节消费旺季大幕拉开，各地促消费政策密集出台，为全年消费市场的"开门红"注入强 劲动力。通过梳理全国各地的春节促消费活动，观察到本轮活动呈现出"政府主导、多方联动、全域覆 盖"的鲜明特征，其核心在于通过"政策+活动"的双轮驱动，深度融合商、文、旅、体、展等多元业态， 旨在激发消费潜力、优化消费供给、营造浓厚节日氛围。在强有力的政策支持和丰富多彩的活动供给 下，2026年春节消费市场有望迎来强劲复苏，消费数据或将超市场预期，为全年消费市场的持续回暖奠 定坚实基础。 港股通消费ETF华夏（513230）紧密跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，覆盖酒旅、餐饮等传统服务业龙 头，更包含潮玩、金饰等高成长资产，以及运动服饰、白电等高股息标的，截至2月4日，指数滚动市盈 率为17.9倍，位于2020年发布以来2.3%分位处，股息率达3.6%；指数成分股近乎囊括港股消费的各个领 域，包括泡泡玛特、百胜中国、安踏体育、农夫山泉等消费龙头。 2月4日百胜中国公布2025年全年业绩，受强劲财报影响，今日涨幅超过9%，创出2023年10月以来新 高。全年来看，百胜中国经营利润达到13亿美元，同比实现11%的强劲增长，2025 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market's consumer stocks have seen significant gains, driven by strong performances from companies like Yum China and Miniso, which have positively influenced various consumer ETFs [1][5]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Yum China experienced a rise of over 9%, reaching a new high since October 2023, following the announcement of its strong financial results for 2025 [5]. - Miniso's stock increased by over 5% after announcing a share buyback program [6]. - Multiple consumer ETFs, including those managed by Huatai-PB, E Fund, and others, have also shown positive growth, with increases ranging from 1.31% to 2.16% on the day [2]. Group 2: Financial Highlights - Yum China's operating profit for the year reached $1.3 billion, reflecting a robust year-on-year growth of 11%, with plans to open 1,706 new stores, expanding its network to over 18,101 locations across more than 2,500 cities in China [5]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a significant 25% year-on-year increase in operating profit for Yum China, with same-store sales rising for the third consecutive quarter [5]. Group 3: Market Trends and Consumer Sentiment - The upcoming Chinese New Year is expected to boost consumer spending, supported by various government-led promotional activities aimed at stimulating consumption [7]. - The integration of diverse sectors such as commerce, culture, tourism, and exhibitions is anticipated to enhance consumer engagement and spending during the festive season [7].

Group 1: New Retail Channel Development - The company has successfully entered the Sam's Club retail channel and launched customized products, enhancing brand image and product value [1] - The collaboration with new retail channels is based on a customized model, which helps avoid direct price competition and improve brand image [1] - Future plans include deepening cooperation with leading retailers and exploring more customized, high-quality product lines [1] Group 2: Market Recovery Expectations - The company observes a clear trend of consumers pursuing cost-effectiveness, with stable demand for low-priced products [2] - Overall market recovery is expected to be gradual, with the company closely monitoring changes in the dining and retail sectors to adapt product and channel strategies [2] Group 3: Core Development Plans for the Next 2-3 Years - The company’s development plans focus on four main areas: optimizing hot pot products, expanding deep processing of aquatic products, developing snack food categories, and exploring baking-related businesses [3] - The realization of these plans depends on positive progress in market and channel factors, which introduces uncertainty [3] Group 4: Cost Control and Financial Management - The increase in sales expense ratio is attributed to a contraction in revenue scale, leading to a higher expense proportion [4] - Future plans include enhancing detailed management and budget control of expenses, ensuring efficient allocation of marketing and channel investments [4] - The company aims to improve expense ratios as new channels and products gradually scale up, making cost control a continuous operational focus [4] Group 5: Product Development Challenges - The company is focusing on new product development in the hot pot category, emphasizing quality and optimizing existing products while developing exclusive new products based on channel needs [5] - Continued investment in research and development is prioritized to achieve breakthroughs in product formulation and technology, enhancing product competitiveness [5]

Core Viewpoint - Jihong Co., Ltd. (02603) expects significant profit growth for 2025, leading to a stock price increase of over 8% following the earnings announcement [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of approximately 331 million to 349 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.40% to 89.26% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be around 273 million to 291 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 50.00% to 60.00% year-on-year [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be about 240 million to 258 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 49.98% to 61.35% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The packaging business has seen substantial growth due to the recovery of the consumer market, which has increased packaging demand from downstream clients [2] - The company benefits from long-term strategic partnerships with leading firms in the fast-moving consumer goods sector, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability [2] - In the cross-border social e-commerce sector, the company focuses on technology-driven innovation and supply chain management, leading to significant revenue and profit growth [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share consumer sector has experienced a strong rebound since the beginning of 2026, driven by continuous policy support, with retail stocks like Xinhua Department Store leading the surge [2][5]. Group 1: Retail Sector Performance - Xinhua Department Store's stock has achieved a four-day limit-up streak, closing at 20.70 yuan per share on January 19, 2026, with a year-to-date increase of 52.77%, significantly outperforming the broader market and retail sector index [3]. - Other retail stocks, such as Guangbai Co., Sanjiang Shopping, and Maoye Commercial, have also shown significant gains in January, with increases of 27.81%, 18.49%, and 18.21% respectively [5]. - The trading activity for Xinhua Department Store has been notable, with turnover rates reaching as high as 22.45% on January 16, indicating high market interest and trading volume [3]. Group 2: Company Fundamentals - Xinhua Department Store, as the largest retail enterprise in Ningxia, has a diverse business model that includes retail, logistics, and commercial property leasing, contributing to its strong market presence [4]. - The company's revenue has shown steady growth, with figures of 58.83 billion yuan in 2022, 60.65 billion yuan in 2023, and projected revenues of 61.16 billion yuan for 2024 [4]. Group 3: Policy Support - The central government's economic work conference has prioritized domestic demand and the construction of a strong domestic market as key tasks for 2026, which is expected to boost the consumer market [7]. - Specific policies, such as large-scale equipment updates and consumer goods replacement programs, have been implemented to stimulate consumption, providing a strong impetus for the retail sector [7][8]. - Additional supportive measures include financial policies aimed at enhancing consumer capacity and promoting service sector growth, further solidifying the foundation for consumer market recovery [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company expects to achieve a net profit of approximately 331 million to 349 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 79.40% to 89.26% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be around 273 million to 291 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 50.00% to 60.00% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is estimated to be between 240 million to 258 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 49.98% to 61.35% [1] Business Growth Drivers - Packaging Business: The continuous recovery of the consumer market has led to a steady increase in packaging demand from downstream clients. The company benefits from long-term strategic partnerships with leading enterprises in the fast-moving consumer goods sector, enhancing operational efficiency and significantly improving profitability [1] - Cross-Border Social E-commerce: The company emphasizes technology-driven innovation and continuously improves its supply chain management system. It maintains a high level of digital operational capability while expanding sales regions and replicating business models, resulting in substantial growth in revenue and profit, further boosting overall performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Jihong Co., Ltd. (002803) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 273 million to 291 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 60% [1] Group 1: Packaging Business - The recovery of the consumer market has led to a steady increase in packaging demand from downstream customers [1] - Group-level refined management has improved operational and resource utilization efficiency, significantly enhancing profitability [1] Group 2: Cross-Border E-Commerce Business - The company continues to drive growth through technology, enhancing its supply chain management system [1] - High-level digital operational capabilities have been maintained, with ongoing expansion of sales regions and replication of business models [1] - Revenue scale and profits have seen substantial growth, further boosting the overall performance of the company [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jihong Co., Ltd. (002803.SZ), expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a growth of 50.00% to 60.00% compared to the previous year, driven by strong performance in its packaging and cross-border e-commerce businesses [1]. Group 1: Financial Projections - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is between 272.90 million and 291.09 million yuan [1]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 239.90 million and 258.09 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 49.98% to 61.35% year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Packaging Business - The recovery of the consumer market has led to a steady increase in packaging demand from downstream clients [1]. - The company benefits from long-term strategic partnerships with leading enterprises in the fast-moving consumer goods sector, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability through refined group management [1]. Group 3: Cross-Border E-Commerce Business - The company emphasizes technology-driven innovation and continuously improves its supply chain management system [1]. - There is a significant increase in revenue scale and profit due to the expansion of sales regions and replication of business models, contributing to the overall performance enhancement of the company [1].

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a net profit of 331 million to 349 million yuan for the year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 79.40% to 89.26% [1] Group 1: Business Performance - The company has achieved significant growth in both revenue and profit during the reporting period [1] - The packaging business has benefited from the continuous recovery of the consumer market, leading to a steady increase in packaging demand from downstream customers [1] - The company has established long-term strategic partnerships with leading enterprises in the fast-moving consumer goods sector, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability through group management [1] Group 2: Cross-Border E-commerce - The company emphasizes technology-driven innovation and continuously improves its supply chain management system [1] - High levels of digital operational capability have been maintained, contributing to substantial growth in revenue and profit [1] - The company is deepening its sales area expansion and replicating its business model, further enhancing overall performance [1]

Carrer 1 # # are many C 2 149 家宴贺新岁。 "3！2！1！新年快乐！"2026年元旦零点的钟声敲响，西宁新千王府井生活广场瞬间沸腾。绚烂的烟花如金色星河倾泻，璀璨的光芒照亮夜空，映照着一张 张喜悦的脸庞。市民李女士牵着女儿的手，举着点燃的仙女棒欢呼雀跃，用手机记录下这漫天绚烂："跨年夜太有仪式感了，孩子都舍不得走！" 元旦假期，青海省各级商务主管部门与商贸企业紧抓消费黄金期，印发《关于加紧谋划2026年促消费活动的通知》，指导各地围绕重点节假日制定活动计 划，以"省市县联动、政企协同"的强劲合力，点燃全省消费热情。从湖畔家宴到商圈狂欢，从以旧换新到民生保障，高原大地处处涌动着蓬勃的消费活力。 超市货品供应充足。 本报记者 董 洁 特色活动轮番上阵 点燃城乡消费热情 消费热潮的涌动，离不开顶层设计的精准引领与全省一盘棋的统筹布局。省级层面聚焦两节消费关键节点，以"6+N"系列促消费活动为抓手，打造特色消费 品牌。其中"6"即省商务厅牵头出台1份全省方案——《2026年全省消费促进活动方案》，统筹安排促消费工作；举办1场全年促消费活动启动仪式，同步推 出"青海家宴·饗在刚察——日出刚 ...