冥冥之中，自有天命。 有些传闻只是传闻，很多传闻会成真，当传闻成真的时候，却也不意外。 01 1月8日，万科公告，郁亮到龄辞任万科执行副总裁。 郁亮生于1965年，今年61岁，今年是加入万科的第36年。以北大毕业生的光鲜履历南下，第一站是深圳 外贸集团，此后离职加入万科。巧合的是，原万科董事长辛杰从沈阳工业大学毕业南下，在深圳的第一 站，也是深圳外贸集团。 郁亮后来加入万科，从证券事务部起，直至接班王石，先后出任CEO、董事局主席，又在中年瘦身成 功，成为健康运动达人，职场成就与个人魅力兼具，一时为人追捧，成为"个人奋斗成为精英"的最好诠 释。 关于此番辞任，我们无意推测，其实也无须推测。很多答案就在谜题本身之中。 郁亮的成长经历，已大为人所熟知，此时回顾，没有太大意义。倒是他在万科走向前台，尤其是在历经 万宝之争王石退任接获权杖之后，万科经营战略和风格发生的变化值得思考。 郁亮主政万科期间，销售规模、资产规模快速增长，虽然"第一"被碧桂园、恒大超越，但在企业地位 上，仍是老大；同样是在他主政期间，万科资本运作、资产交易的数量和规模明显增大，有多宗堪 称"漂亮"的资产买卖。正是在此期间，跟投制、"合伙人制"都 ...

陈彦先生的最新长篇小说《人间广厦》，写的是分房，或者说是一场惊心动魄的"战争"。作者借一栋三 十层的高楼，搭了个戏台，让"西京文化艺术研究院"的各色人等轮番登场，唱了一出关于欲望、坚守、 体面与苟且的人间大戏。陈彦最厉害的地方，就是在"分房"里塞进了秦腔、面花、民歌、涂鸦、考古、 书画，让柴米油盐的算计撞上琴棋书画的清雅，撞出了最真实的人性火花，也撞出了"安居"不只是有房 住，更是心有归处的深层叩问。 小说第一章标题"分房是一场战争"——懂的都懂。快退休的院长满庭芳，本想平稳着陆，却被上头逼着 必须在退休前把分房事了了。这个研究院说是"文化航母"，其实是好几家破落户凑一块儿——戏曲研究 所、民俗所、美术书法印社，还有个西秦腔传习所，一百七十九号人，鱼龙混杂。为了多分一套房，单 位里突然冒出来几十个离婚的，真假难辨；退休的老干部拿着功劳簿堵门，青年骨干举着学历职称要政 策，连边缘部门的职工都来"逼宫"。小说中分房名单一榜二榜出台后，有人直接一命呜呼，其子到单位 设灵堂大闹，又从老满办公室窗户一跃而下。 陈彦延续了《装台》《主角》《星空与半棵树》的现实主义路子，却又写出了新花样，其中，刁顺子、 忆秦娥、胡三元、温 ...

Core Argument - The book "Atlantic Realism: The Intersection of Imperial and International Political Thought in Germany and America" by Matthew Specter explores the intertwining of ideas across the Atlantic, particularly focusing on the rise of realism in international relations and its implications for contemporary politics [3][4]. Group 1: Historical Context and Development of Realism - Realism is portrayed as a dominant theory in international relations, emphasizing power and interest-driven politics, resonating with current U.S. practices [4]. - The book presents a sociological perspective on realism, tracing its origins and evolution from the late 19th century to the late 20th century, highlighting its German-American connections [4]. - The concept of "Weltpolitik" (world policy) from Germany significantly influenced the development of realism, reflecting Germany's aspirations for global power during the late 19th century [11][12]. Group 2: Key Figures and Theoretical Contributions - The book discusses influential figures such as Carl Schmitt, Wilhelm Grewe, and Hans Morgenthau, detailing their contributions to realism and the personal experiences that shaped their thoughts [4][9]. - Friedrich Ratzel's "Lebensraum" (living space) theory and Alfred Mahan's naval theories are identified as critical components of Atlantic realism, merging German ideas with American contexts [14][12]. - The narrative emphasizes the importance of a transatlantic intellectual network that facilitated the exchange of ideas between German and American scholars, impacting U.S. foreign policy [15][16]. Group 3: Institutionalization and Impact on Policy - Post-World War II, realism transitioned from a theoretical framework to a significant influence on U.S. and European foreign policy, reflecting the pressures of the Cold War [20][21]. - The establishment of institutions like the German Council on Foreign Relations marked the institutionalization of realism, bridging academic and policy-making spheres [22][24]. - The book critiques the transformation of realism into a tool for state strategy, losing its critical and historical depth in the process [25][27]. Group 4: Contemporary Reflections and Future Directions - The text raises questions about the future of realism in international relations, suggesting it should maintain a balance between theoretical insight and practical application [27][28]. - It argues for a renewed focus on the moral and philosophical dimensions of realism, advocating for a critical engagement with power and human nature [28].

Group 1 - The recent US-China talks resulted in unexpected outcomes, with both sides providing concessions without escalating tensions, indicating a strategic calculation behind the apparent win-win situation [1][5] - China achieved key results such as tariff extensions, partial reductions, and some sanctions being eased, while the US gained more negotiating space regarding rare earth exports [1][5] - The global implications of the US-China thaw are significant, as countries that previously relied on choosing sides must now navigate their own paths, leading to discomfort for Japan, South Korea, and the EU [5][8] Group 2 - Despite the easing of tensions, there remains an intense underlying competition, with China managing to withstand global tax pressures and maintain stability while others face increasing tax burdens [3][9] - Germany's rapid shift in stance reflects a realization of its precarious position, as it can no longer rely solely on ideological alignments with the US while facing its own industrial challenges [8][9] - The EU, particularly Germany, must reassess its economic relationship with China, focusing on practical cooperation in key industries like electric vehicles, energy, and AI, rather than ideological posturing [9][10] Group 3 - The current geopolitical landscape presents both pressure and opportunity for Europe, as it can no longer depend on US policies for protection and must engage in meaningful economic collaboration to influence global rules [14] - Germany's recent pivot towards realism signifies a shift from being a passive player to actively seeking beneficial partnerships, recognizing that cooperation is essential for economic survival [10][14] - The ongoing US-China détente provides a "repair window" for Europe to propose cooperation in sectors where mutual benefits can be realized, emphasizing the need for action over rhetoric [12][14]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential for prolonged trade friction between China and the U.S., with the APEC meeting not necessarily being a decisive moment for resolution [1][9][11] - There is a focus on the semiconductor and rare earth sectors as central to the ongoing tensions, highlighting their importance in both capital markets and geopolitical strategies [1][8] - The article emphasizes the need for understanding technology and its evolution as a critical factor in macroeconomic and geopolitical analysis [1] Group 2 - The U.S. government shutdown has led to a lack of employment data, while China's consumer spending has declined, indicating economic concerns on both sides [2] - China proposed a significant increase in direct investment in the U.S. during negotiations, aiming to ease restrictions on Chinese investments and trade [3][6] - The article notes that direct investment can deepen ties between nations, potentially fostering local support for Chinese interests in the U.S. [3] Group 3 - The importance of direct dialogue between ordinary citizens of both nations is highlighted as crucial for improving bilateral relations [4] - The U.S. appears to need China's manufacturing experience, reflecting a shift in the dynamics of international trade relationships [5] - The article points out that the U.S. has implemented further restrictions on semiconductors and shipping, increasing insecurity in trade relations [7][8] Group 4 - The article discusses the security dilemma and suspicion spiral in international relations, emphasizing the lack of trust between nations [21][22] - It notes that countries are increasingly creating non-military "weapons" in trade and technology to assert their influence [22][23] - The article suggests that the U.S. has opened a "Pandora's box" in trade relations, leading to a cycle of learning and adaptation among nations [23][30] Group 5 - The article raises questions about the negotiation power dynamics between buyers and sellers in a trade conflict, suggesting that sellers may hold more leverage due to control over key resources [24][25] - It discusses the significance of the U.S. dollar's status as a reserve currency and its implications for global trade [26][32] - The article concludes with observations on Trump's negotiation style and its impact on international relations, suggesting a decline in the credibility of threats made by the U.S. [35][36]

Core Points - The article discusses the absurdity of recent humanitarian efforts to aid Gaza, led by a coalition of European countries, which faced a predictable response from Israel, including the interception and detention of participants [1][3][5] - The scale of the current humanitarian fleet is significantly larger than previous attempts, receiving considerable political support in Europe, yet the outcome remains ineffective [3][5] - The article highlights the political dynamics within Israel, particularly Netanyahu's use of war to divert attention from internal pressures, suggesting that the ongoing conflict is more about political survival than military strategy [8][9] - The perception of Israel as a civilized nation defending against barbarism is critiqued, emphasizing that such narratives do not lead to civilized outcomes and can result in greater disasters [10][11] - The article argues that the current international order, which promotes a two-state solution, is unrealistic given the deep-rooted cultural, religious, and geopolitical conflicts that cannot be resolved through negotiation alone [17][18] - It points out the contradictions in Western leftist perspectives on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, noting that their actions have not significantly changed the situation for the people of Gaza [20][21] - The article concludes that a realistic approach is necessary to address the complexities of the conflict, rather than relying on idealistic or simplistic solutions [22][23]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of online literature in China, highlighting its reflection of societal changes and the impact of different historical periods on literary themes and genres [5][6]. Group 1: Evolution of Online Literature - Online literature has undergone significant transformations, paralleling the industrial and technological revolutions from the 1980s to the present [6][7]. - The article categorizes online literature into four main genres: Wuxia (martial arts), time travel, cultivation (Xianxia), and female-oriented narratives [8]. Group 2: Wuxia Literature - Wuxia literature represents the agricultural society, emphasizing collective values and the traditional master-apprentice relationship [10][12]. - The genre reflects a high moral standard and a strong sense of justice, rooted in the historical context of small artisan communities [12]. Group 3: Time Travel Literature - Time travel narratives resonate with the industrial era, often portraying protagonists who seek to improve the past using modern knowledge [13][18]. - The genre is experiencing a decline due to the rapid industrialization and the saturation of historical periods available for exploration [19][20]. Group 4: Cultivation Literature - Cultivation literature mirrors contemporary society, characterized by individualism and a hierarchical structure similar to modern corporate environments [21][23]. - The genre emphasizes personal growth and the importance of resources, reflecting a realistic approach to success and achievement [31]. Group 5: Female-Oriented Narratives - Female-oriented literature encompasses various genres but primarily focuses on themes of love and human nature, appealing to both male and female readers [33][34]. - This genre has proven commercially viable, with many popular adaptations originating from female-oriented narratives [33][36]. Group 6: Future of Online Literature - The article suggests that the future of online literature may align with China's advancements in science and technology, potentially leading to a resurgence of science fiction [38][39]. - The evolution of online literature serves as a mirror to societal changes, emphasizing the need to understand the underlying production forces shaping narratives [41][42].

Core Viewpoint - The film "无名之辈：否极泰来" directed by 饶晓志 explores the themes of ordinary people's struggles and choices in the face of adversity, continuing the narrative from the original film "无名之辈" released in 2018 [1][2] Group 1: Film Overview - "无名之辈：否极泰来" features the protagonist 陈三金, a small foreign trade businessman who finds himself in a bizarre yet real predicament due to a reality-show-like scam [1] - The film aims to provide not only visual enjoyment but also provoke thought and reflection among the audience [1] Group 2: Director's Perspective - 饶晓志 expresses concern over the lack of independent thinking and personal judgment in the internet age, where people often rely on external opinions for their value judgments [2] - He emphasizes the importance of personal interpretation and understanding of the world, advocating for a deeper engagement with one's own thoughts [2] Group 3: Future Projects - Following "无名之辈：否极泰来," another sequel titled "无名之辈：意义非凡" is set to be released by the end of the year, expanding the narrative to include broader themes and settings [4] - The new installment will take the story from 浙江义乌 to international locations like 泰国 and 意大利, reflecting the interconnectedness of individual fates in a global context [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significance of authenticity and emotional resonance in television dramas, as evidenced by the success of the award-winning series at the Shanghai Television Festival [1][2][3] - The 30th Shanghai Television Festival awarded notable works such as "My Alatai" and "Mountain Flowers Blooming" for their realistic portrayal of contemporary issues and historical narratives, reflecting a shift towards more meaningful storytelling [2][3] - The evaluation of the award-winning works emphasizes the importance of connecting with audience needs and societal realities, showcasing a trend towards realism in contemporary television [3][4] Group 2 - The competition for awards was intense, with several series receiving multiple nominations, indicating a vibrant and evolving television industry [2][4] - The judges and industry experts stress that regardless of the format, whether long or short dramas, the essence of good storytelling and meaningful themes remains paramount [4][5] - The ongoing evolution of television formats, including the rise of short dramas, is seen as complementary rather than a replacement for traditional long-form storytelling, with both having distinct roles in the industry [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The exhibition "Creating Modernity: Treasures of Art from the Musée d'Orsay" showcases significant artworks from the Musée d'Orsay, marking the largest exhibition of its kind in China, running from June 19 to October 12 at the Pudong Art Museum [1][12]. Group 1: Exhibition Highlights - The exhibition features masterpieces such as Van Gogh's "The Bedroom in Arles" and "Self-Portrait," Millet's "The Gleaners," Gauguin's "Women of Tahiti," and Monet's "Haystacks in Late Summer," among others [1][12]. - It covers various art movements from 1848 to 1914, including academic, realism, naturalism, impressionism, post-impressionism, and Nabi, emphasizing the social and political significance of the artworks [1][3]. Group 2: Artistic Context - The exhibition reflects the artistic tensions of the mid-19th century, highlighting the debate between accepted and rejected works in official salons, which set the stage for modern art transformations [3][4]. - Notable artists like Millet and Manet are featured, showcasing their contributions to realism and impressionism, respectively, and their influence on subsequent generations of artists [3][6]. Group 3: Immersive Experience - The exhibition design, led by French designer Cécile de Gault, creates an immersive experience reminiscent of the Musée d'Orsay, enhancing visitor engagement [12]. - A special immersive project titled "Paris 1874: Impressionist Night" allows visitors to experience the birth of impressionism through a 45-minute journey back to 1874 Paris [14]. Group 4: Educational Initiatives - The exhibition introduces a "Children's Exhibition Guide" to facilitate understanding of the artworks for younger audiences, promoting art education and engagement [14]. - A ticket collaboration with the Rodin Art Center allows visitors to explore Rodin's influence on modernity, enhancing the overall educational experience [15]. Group 5: Collaborative Efforts - The exhibition is organized by the Musée d'Orsay and Pudong Art Museum, with support from the French Consulate in Shanghai and inclusion in the 2025 "China-France Cultural Spring" initiative [17].