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隔夜美股 | 美联储加息预期扰动市场,三大指数集体收跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-30 04:00
Market Overview - The three major US stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.46%, S&P 500 down 0.30%, and Nasdaq down 0.38% due to tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [1] - Technology stocks mostly declined, with Meta, Tesla, and Apple each falling over 1%, while Google rose 1.56% [1] - Novo Nordisk, a leader in weight-loss drugs, plummeted 21% after lowering its full-year earnings guidance, negatively impacting the healthcare sector [1] Chinese Market Performance - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 1.35%, continuing its downward trend [1] - Li Auto led the decline with a drop of 6.20%, followed by JD.com down 3.01%, Baidu down 2.91%, and both Alibaba and NIO down over 2% [1] - Tencent Music and Manbang saw slight increases amidst the overall market decline [1] Economic Sentiment - Concerns over tariffs are contributing to foreign capital outflow pressures [1] - Trump has called for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, but the market largely anticipates that the Fed will maintain current rates in its upcoming policy meeting [1] - Goldman Sachs warned that tariff risks could reignite recession fears, leading to increased market volatility [1]
德商银行:美元前景取决于降息押注背后的驱动因素
news flash· 2025-06-30 13:20
Core Viewpoint - The outlook for the US dollar is contingent on the underlying factors driving interest rate cut expectations from the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1 - Analysts from Deutsche Bank suggest that if the bets on rate cuts are driven by limited inflation impacts from US tariffs, the dollar may rebound in the short term [1] - Conversely, if these expectations stem from the assumption that the Federal Reserve will yield to political pressure to cut rates, the dollar could face further declines [1] - The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July [1] Group 2 - Any dissenting votes from policymakers against maintaining the current rate, in favor of cuts, could heighten concerns about the Federal Reserve becoming more politicized [1]
"美联储加息预期重创金市,现货黄金跌破3230美元大关"
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 10:03
国际现货黄金价格暴跌3.2%,自去年11月以来首次跌破3230美元/盎司关键支撑位,引发全球贵金属市场剧 烈震荡。这场突如其来的"黄金大逃杀",将美联储货币政策这只"看不见的手"对资本市场的强大影响力展现 得淋漓尽致。 当日亚市早盘,黄金价格还在3280美元附近震荡。但随着美国劳工部公布5月PPI数据超预期,市场对美联 储7月加息75个基点的预期概率从67%飙升至89%,金价开始断崖式下跌。伦敦金现最低触及3218美元/盎 司,单日振幅达62美元。国内沪金主力合约同步大跌2.7%,报收于412元/克。 "这简直是一场屠杀。"某外资行贵金属交易主管形容道,"3230美元是过去半年多空反复争夺的关键位,一 旦失守就触发了大量程序化交易的止损盘。"数据显示,COMEX黄金期货当日成交量暴增240%,未平仓合 约减少15%,显示大量多头被迫平仓离场。 二、三重利空:压垮黄金的"稻草" 值得注意的是,这波下跌中黄金ETF遭遇大规模赎回。全球最大黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Shares持仓量单日 减少8.7吨,为2021年以来最大单日流出。 一、行情闪崩:黄金遭遇"黑色星期四" 1. 鹰派美联储:点阵图显示2023 ...
基金研究周报:全球资产普遍承压,避险情绪显著升温(2.24-2.28)
Wind万得· 2025-03-01 22:20
一周摘要 市场概况: 上周(2月24日至2月28日)A股市场由强转弱,上证指数先扬后抑收报于3300点上方,周五 单日下跌近2%。全周日均成交额维持高位,周中两次突破2万亿大关,其余交易日也均在1.9万亿上 方,显示当前市场交易情绪仍较为亢奋。全周上证指数下跌1.72%,深证指数下跌3.46%,创业板指下 跌4.87%,包括沪深300、中证500、中证1000、创业板指、科创50指数等主流指数悉数回调,其中创业 板50指数跌幅达5.07%,成长股回调明显,唯有红利指数逆势上涨约1.04%。 行业板块: 上周 Wind一级平均跌幅1.84%,Wind百大概念指数上涨比例仅38%。 板块方面,26%板 块获得正收益,钢铁、房地产、食品饮料相对表现良好,分别上涨3.18%、2.22%和 1.77%,纺织服 饰、建筑装饰、石油石化等出现小幅上行,而此前连续走强的泛TMT板块则大幅走弱,计算机、传 媒和通信分别下跌7.82%、8.00%、9.64%。 基金发行: 上周 合计发行31只,其中股票型基金发行22只,混合型基金发行3只,债券型基金发行 6只,总发行份额427.57亿份。 基金表现 : 上周万得中国基金总指数下 ...