行业周期调整

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“茅五”再相会,谈了什么? | 锐评
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 06:53
Group 1 - The meeting between Moutai and Wuliangye focused on discussing the current challenges and future development of the Chinese liquor industry, emphasizing the importance of collaboration and mutual support during the cyclical adjustments [2][3][4] - Both companies acknowledged the need for a united front to navigate the current cyclical adjustments in the liquor industry, committing to enhance their cooperative mechanisms for high-quality development [4][5] - Moutai's General Manager Wang Li highlighted the importance of a rational perspective on the current cycle, advocating for long-term collaboration and the cultivation of a healthy consumption ecosystem within the industry [5][6] Group 2 - The two companies proposed a framework for collaboration that includes building a stable development environment, fostering innovation, and promoting green development within the industry [6][7] - Moutai and Wuliangye's commitment to avoiding internal competition and fostering a cooperative development ecosystem is seen as a model for the industry, aiming to enhance market order and brand value [6][7] - Moutai's proactive engagement with other leading companies, such as BYD and Huawei, reflects a broader strategy to integrate technological innovation into the liquor industry, supporting its transformation and internationalization [7][8]
白酒这轮调整,会持续多久?
雪球· 2025-04-27 07:03
风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者: 红鑫24 来源:雪球 请持有白酒的朋友理性讨论 。 先上观点: 白酒业绩成长性面临永久性下滑甚至停滞 , 再也不会回到过去 。 长按即可参与 就行业长期趋势而言 , 投资逻辑 , 不如品牌中药 。 头部业绩都出来了 , 行业集中度继续提升 , 但空间远不如过去了 , 体现在增速上就是下滑 。 五粮液 , 基本已经进入利润增长停滞状态 , 5%的增速也是千方百计整出来的 。 高端白酒疲态尽显 , 已是不争的事实 。 三线酒企的业绩和股价 , 至少5年内 , 回不到21年的高点 。 洋河 , 被两面夹击 , 上有老窖 和五粮液 , 下有汾酒和今世缘 , 短期也不用看 。 这轮调整 , 伴随着国内固定资产投资见顶后持续走低 , 这是大背景 。 在房地产没有见底前 , 行业不会有多好 , 这基本是确定的 。 个人预计 , 必须等房地产见底 , 新一轮刺激政策出台 后才具备投资时机 。 现在估值合理 , 但说特别便宜绝对没有 。 很多人对白酒的认识还停留在静态和过去的业绩里 , 但行业大背景和发展阶段早已不如过去 。 这轮大周 ...