点击招商研究小程序查看PDF报告原文 龙迅股份主营高清视频桥接及处理芯片和高速信号传输芯片，产品应用于PC及周边、显示器及商显、 视频会议系统、AR/VR等领域，未来大力布局汽车、HPC等领域。龙迅股份发布2025年中报，结合公 告信息，点评如下： 25H1营收增速部分受到产能问题限制影响，Q2新品带动毛利率环比提升。 1）25H1：营收2.5亿元，同 比+11.4%，公司H1营收增速部分受到产能问题限制，归母净利润0.72亿元，同比+15.2%，上半年股份 支付费用为663万元，毛利率54.88%，同比微增，净利率29%，同比+1pct；2） 25Q2 ：营收1.38亿元， 同比+17.4%/环比+26.6%，归母净利润0.43亿元，同比+38.3%/环比+50.9%，毛利率55.2%，环比 +0.8pct，毛利率环比提升主要系新产品利润情况相对较好，净利率31.2%，同比+4.7pcts/环比+5pcts。 Serdes新业务领域拓展顺利，AI端侧、超算、数据中心等领域新品研发中。 公司车载Serdes芯片目前处 于全面推广阶段，已进入eBike、摄影云台、无人机等新业务领域，H1新增2个产品通过AEC- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 60.39 CNY, based on a PE ratio of 61 times for 2025 [4][2]. Core Views - The company's H1 2025 revenue reached 2.935 billion CNY, a slight increase of 0.47%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 87 million CNY, down 77.49% [1]. - The decline in profitability is attributed to several factors, including a decrease in military product orders, rising raw material costs, and increased depreciation [8]. - The company expects a recovery in defense revenue in the second half of the year, driven by improved order fulfillment and cash collection efforts [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 6.537 billion CNY, 8.246 billion CNY, and 9.873 billion CNY, respectively, with expected growth rates of 30.1%, 26.1%, and 19.7% [3]. - The forecasted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.99 CNY, 1.77 CNY, and 2.20 CNY, respectively [2]. - The company's gross margin is expected to decline to 34.3% in 2025, with net profit margins stabilizing at 6.9% [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in military connectors, with significant market share in aerospace and missile sectors, benefiting from the recovery in defense spending and technological advancements [8]. - The company is also focusing on expanding into emerging markets and new industries, such as commercial aerospace and data centers, which are expected to drive future growth [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant revenue increase in the first half of 2025, driven by its software business, while reducing its net loss compared to the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.722 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.77% [1]. - The net loss attributable to shareholders was 92.9944 million yuan, a notable decrease from the adjusted loss of 244 million yuan in the same period last year [1]. - The non-deductible net profit loss was 126 million yuan, also reduced from 320 million yuan year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Business Strategy and Development - The company has shifted its focus to software as its main business after divesting its textile operations, enhancing its core competitiveness [1]. - The company has established strategic partnerships with industry giants such as Huawei and Hikvision, aiming to expand its presence in sectors like finance, government, and state-owned enterprises [2]. - The company has made significant investments in research and development, resulting in 749 software copyrights, 32 invention patents, and 2 utility model patents [2]. Group 3: Project Progress and Future Outlook - The company has completed the construction filing for the second phase of the Changshan Cloud Data Center project and plans to proceed with the procurement of power equipment and cabinets [2]. - The company is closely monitoring trends in artificial intelligence and supercomputing, aiming to enhance its project implementation and market presence [2]. - The company intends to continue focusing on its software business to strengthen and optimize its operations in the future [3].

Group 1: Stock Market Performance - The US stock market showed mixed results with the Dow Jones up by 0.14%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell by 0.29% and 0.09% respectively [1] - Bitcoin-related stocks saw gains, with Circle rising over 12% and Coinbase increasing by more than 3% [1] - Chinese concept stocks experienced declines, with Huya dropping over 7% and other companies like Bilibili, JD.com, Douyu, Li Auto, and Xpeng falling by more than 2% [1] Group 2: Economic Developments - The largest "Triple Witching" event in history is set to occur, with potential implications for the US stock market, as options worth up to $6.5 trillion are set to expire [2] - President Trump has called for a 250 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, criticizing Chairman Powell for delaying action that he claims is costing the US billions [3] Group 3: Corporate News - The European Investment Bank is expected to announce a funding plan of up to €70 billion (approximately $75 billion) to support technology companies in areas such as supercomputing, AI, and robotics over the next three years [4] - The European Court's chief legal advisor supports a previous antitrust ruling against Google, recommending a fine of €4.12 billion (approximately ¥34.1 billion) [5] - Berkshire Hathaway has underperformed the broader market, with its Class A shares dropping over 10% since May 3, contrasting sharply with the strong rebound of the S&P 500 [6] - Tesla has initiated a significant project in Shanghai, with a total investment of ¥4 billion for its first grid-side energy storage project in mainland China [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company is recognized as a national-level "little giant" in supercomputing cloud services, focusing on AI cloud and computing cluster businesses to empower industrial upgrades. It is a leading provider of computing services and operations in China, aiming to deliver secure, user-friendly, and cost-effective supercomputing and intelligent computing services for research and enterprise users [5][9]. - The company is expected to achieve a 115% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in 2024, with total revenue projected to reach 655 million yuan, reflecting a 32.07% increase [5][8]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price is 157.80 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 9,286.25 million yuan and a circulating market value of 6,389.82 million yuan. The company has a total share capital of 58.85 million shares and a debt-to-asset ratio of 78.10% [3]. Business Overview - The main business segments include supercomputing cloud services, system integration, software and technical services, and supercomputing conferences. The company primarily acquires computing resources through co-construction and procurement models, serving higher education institutions, research institutes, and enterprises [5][6]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 655 million yuan in 2024 to 1,364 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits increasing from 12 million yuan to 48 million yuan over the same period. The report anticipates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 52.4% for the supercomputing cloud service market in China from 2021 to 2025 [8][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.20 yuan in 2024 to 0.82 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio projected to decrease from 770.22 to 193.42 over the same period [8][10]. Industry Outlook - The report highlights the government's focus on computing resource construction and network layout, predicting that the supercomputing cloud service market in China could reach 112 billion yuan by 2025. The continuous investment in research and development (R&D) is expected to drive the growth of supercomputing and intelligent computing technologies [5][9].

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating on Tesla with a target price of $410, indicating approximately 17% upside potential, and reaffirms it as a top pick in the North American automotive sector [1] Group 1: Robot Development - Tesla's autonomous driving fleet in Austin is set to launch soon, but the initial scale will be cautious with only 10 to 20 vehicles for a limited public road test [1] - The Optimus humanoid robot is expected to be showcased in Q4, with plans for investor tours of its small-scale manufacturing facility [2] - Tesla acknowledges the potential for drones but prioritizes existing projects, citing management capacity as a significant bottleneck [3] Group 2: Cost Control and Production Plans - The target cost for the Optimus humanoid robot is set at $20,000 per unit, while the robotaxi aims for $30,000, emphasizing the importance of scalability in cost reduction [4] - Tesla plans to commercialize Optimus by mid-2026, with current production limited to "a few dozen" robots per batch at its Palo Alto lab, while Fremont's production line aims for a monthly capacity of 1,000 units, scaling up to 100,000 units [5] - The widespread adoption of household robots is expected to take several years due to the need for advancements in intelligence and cost [6] Group 3: Talent and Supply Chain Challenges - The competition for talent is intensifying, with Tesla noting a "fiercely competitive" job market, particularly in light of the rise of startups [7] - Tesla highlights the challenges of localizing supply chains in the U.S., as China currently dominates the supply chain for core next-generation technologies [8] Group 4: Computing Power and AI Development - Tesla's Dojo supercomputer is set to evolve, with plans for the D2 model in 2026, which is expected to be more efficient and cheaper than similar NVIDIA solutions, although it may not compete directly with NVIDIA [9] - The demand for computing power is projected to grow exponentially, with the next-generation AI5 expected to exceed the current AI4 by more than ten times in TOPS (trillions of operations per second) [10]