招商香港在2025年11月策略报告中指出，港股边际利好正在积聚，科技行业与有色金属板块共同呈 现活跃态势。报告提到，尽管市场经历盘整，但港股已迎来上行转折点，AI等科技领域的发展前景受 到关注。整体来看，港股科技板块在四季度策略中被视为重要增长领域之一。 港股科技ETF（513020）跟踪的是港股通科技指数（931573），该指数聚焦于通过港股通可交易的 科技主题公司，涵盖资讯科技业、电子零件等核心领域。指数由30只成分股构成，强调高研发投入和成 长性，侧重硬件制造与电子通信行业，同时覆盖软件服务及互联网应用，全面反映港股市场科技全产业 链的整体表现。 注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不 预示未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参 考，不构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险 等级相匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：张晓波 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性 ...

Core Viewpoint - Short-term risk factors for Hong Kong stocks are decreasing, but a rebound confirmation requires catalysts. The current position is attractive for medium to long-term allocation [1]. Group 1: Economic Factors - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December is fluctuating, leading to relatively weak performance in overseas markets represented by U.S. stocks. An increase in rate cut expectations could benefit Hong Kong stocks [1]. - The market is likely to refocus on policy ahead of the Central Economic Work Conference in December, which has not yet been priced in [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The narrative surrounding the AI technology bubble in U.S. stocks has weakened, resulting in significant corrections in Hong Kong technology stocks, which currently present an attractive allocation opportunity [1]. - Short-term, macroeconomic and geopolitical risks remain unresolved, suggesting a balanced allocation strategy, with relative strength in dividends still present [1]. Group 3: Investment Products - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media, focusing on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that a slow bull market is anticipated, with short-term fluctuations expected as the market awaits renewed expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and the resolution of uncertainties surrounding AI's long-term narrative [1] - In the medium to long term, economic growth is shifting from traditional demand-side stimulation to supply-side innovation, driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" promoting the transformation of old and new growth drivers [1] - Investment focus should shift from chasing demand fluctuations to paying attention to supply-side variables such as technological breakthroughs, resource scarcity, and industry clearing, in order to seize structural industrial upgrade opportunities [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media from the Hong Kong Stock Connect range [1] - This index focuses on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain, reflecting the overall performance of technology-related listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock technology sector has experienced significant recent pullbacks, with sensitivity to positive catalysts declining amid reduced risk appetite, yet there remains a revaluation opportunity as liquidity conditions improve [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The technology sector in Hong Kong is primarily focused on domestic computing power, models, and applications, with its prospects closely tied to China's technological development, differing from the ongoing cycles in the U.S. [1] - Under the support of the "14th Five-Year Plan," the theme of technological self-sufficiency is emphasized for the medium to long term [1] - Although short-term market sentiment has been largely released, Hong Kong stocks are entering a phase of positioning, with current valuations beginning to show cost-effectiveness [1] Group 2: Investment Products - The Hong Kong Technology ETF (513020) tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index (931573), which selects listed companies involved in information technology, electronic components, and interactive media from the Stock Connect range [1] - This index focuses on high-end manufacturing, hardware infrastructure, and the entire AI industry chain, aiming to reflect the overall performance of technology-related listed companies in the Hong Kong market [1]

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks are expected to experience short-term fluctuations, with a potential slowdown in upward momentum, but current levels are attractive for medium to long-term investment[1] - The Nasdaq fell by 3.0%, S&P 500 dropped by 1.6%, and Dow Jones decreased by 1.2% last week, with energy and financial sectors leading gains while information technology lagged[1] Economic Indicators - October saw over 150,000 layoffs in the U.S., a 175% increase year-on-year, marking the highest number of layoffs for October since 2003[2] - Non-farm employment in the U.S. decreased by 9,100 in October, indicating a contraction in the labor market, primarily driven by government job losses due to the ongoing government shutdown[2] Liquidity and Monetary Policy - The usage of the Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF) surged to nearly $15 billion, the second-highest since its establishment, indicating tight liquidity conditions[2] - The Treasury General Account (TGA) is expected to decrease as the government shutdown ends, alleviating liquidity pressures[6] AI Sector Concerns - OpenAI's CFO suggested the need for government support for AI infrastructure, raising market concerns about the sustainability of AI investments amid scrutiny of tech companies' capital expenditures[3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on dividend stocks, as historical data shows higher relative performance in November and December, although the elasticity of dividends may weaken compared to the past two years[1] - The technology sector's short-term upward momentum is limited, pending upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies[1] ETF Flows - Global stock ETFs saw a net inflow of $316.62 billion, while bond ETFs experienced a net inflow of $112.37 billion, indicating a shift in investor sentiment[8] - The top three sectors for net inflows in stock ETFs were technology, healthcare, and energy, while consumer staples, materials, and discretionary sectors saw the most outflows[8]

Core Viewpoint - In October, southbound funds recorded a cumulative net inflow of 92.5 billion HKD, a decrease of approximately 50% compared to September, primarily due to the suspension of Hong Kong Stock Connect trading during the National Day holiday [2][4]. Fund Flow Summary - Overall, southbound funds remained predominantly inflow-oriented in October, but the intensity of inflows weakened as the Hang Seng Index experienced volatility [4]. - The cumulative transaction volume of southbound funds reached 2,310.835 billion HKD, accounting for only 42% of the Hang Seng Index's total transaction volume, marking a low point since the beginning of the year [7]. Industry Analysis - In October, there was increased attention on the financial and energy sectors, with net inflows of 20.811 billion HKD and 9.27 billion HKD, respectively. Conversely, interest in technology and healthcare sectors declined [6]. - The inflow to the information technology sector decreased by over 40% month-on-month, while the healthcare sector saw a net outflow exceeding 5 billion HKD, likely due to the high cumulative gains in the innovative drug sector this year [6]. Stock Performance - Notable net inflows were observed in: - Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK): 6.728 billion HKD - Meituan-W (03690.HK): 5.409 billion HKD - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883.HK): 4.713 billion HKD - Pop Mart (09992.HK): 4.182 billion HKD [8][9] - Significant net outflows were recorded for: - SMIC (00981.HK): 6.480 billion HKD - Alibaba-W (09988.HK): 5.750 billion HKD - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK): 1.970 billion HKD [9]. Recent Trends - Xiaomi Group-W experienced a cumulative decline of 20% in October, with short-term fund inflows slowing down [10]. - Meituan-W saw a cumulative decline of 2.39%, with a similar trend of slowing short-term fund inflows [11]. - China National Offshore Oil Corporation recorded a cumulative increase of 3.83%, with accelerated short-term fund inflows [12]. - Alibaba-W faced a cumulative decline of 6.72%, with continuous outflows of short-term funds [13].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has shown remarkable activity, with new IPOs achieving a record subscription multiple of 7558 times and an average first-day increase of 38% this year [1][2] - The Hang Seng Index has risen by 48.10% year-to-date, outperforming major global indices [2] - The IPO market in Hong Kong is vibrant, with a total fundraising amount of approximately 186.5 billion HKD in 2025, making it the largest globally [2] Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed global markets since 2025, with the Hang Seng Technology Index increasing by 28.92% [2] - The new IPO market has seen a low first-day failure rate of 22%, the lowest in nine years, with no IPOs breaking below their issue price since September 9 [2][5] - Major IPOs include companies like Ningde Times and Zijin Mining International, which have seen significant first-day price increases [2][6] Investment Trends - Private equity firms such as Hillhouse, Gaoyi, and Jinglin have participated as cornerstone investors in new IPOs, indicating strong institutional interest [5][6] - Investors are focusing on fundamental analysis, emphasizing business models, industry prospects, and financial health rather than initial trading hype [4][7] - The market is characterized by a structural trend driven by the high-growth AI industry, with expectations for continued performance despite macroeconomic challenges [4][8] Future Outlook - The Hong Kong market is expected to maintain upward momentum due to attractive valuations, improved liquidity, and the global trend towards AI applications [8][9] - The influx of southbound capital has exceeded 1.2 trillion HKD this year, enhancing market liquidity and supporting ongoing structural trends [9] - Key investment sectors include technology, healthcare, and high-dividend assets, which are anticipated to provide safety margins and growth potential [8][9]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market has been exceptionally active, with new IPOs achieving a record subscription multiple of 7558 times and an average first-day increase of 38% this year [1][2][5] - The Hang Seng Index has risen by 48.10% year-to-date, outperforming major global indices [2] - The IPO market in Hong Kong has seen a total fundraising of approximately 186.5 billion HKD, with a low first-day failure rate of 22%, the lowest in nine years [2][9] Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has outperformed global markets since 2025, with significant contributions from the technology and healthcare sectors [2][8] - Major IPOs this year include companies like CATL, Zijin Mining, and Hengrui Medicine, indicating strong market interest [2][6] - The recent trend shows that new stocks are not only avoiding price drops but are also frequently doubling in value [5][6] Investment Sentiment - Private equity firms such as Hillhouse, Gaofeng, and Jinglin have participated as cornerstone investors in new IPOs, indicating confidence in the market [1][5] - Investors are focusing on fundamental analysis and valuation when considering new IPOs, rather than just initial trading activity [6][7] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend due to improved liquidity and attractive valuations, particularly in technology, healthcare, and high-dividend sectors [8][9] Future Outlook - Analysts believe that the Hong Kong market has the potential for sustained recovery, supported by trends in AI and improved liquidity conditions [1][4][8] - The influx of southbound capital has exceeded 1.2 trillion HKD this year, enhancing market liquidity and supporting the ongoing structural rally [9] - The valuation of Hong Kong stocks remains relatively low compared to other global markets, suggesting further upside potential [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a significant surge in IPO activity, with record subscription rates and strong first-day performances, driven by favorable market conditions and institutional participation from prominent private equity firms [2][4][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong IPO market has set a new record with a subscription rate of 7558 times, and the average first-day increase for new stocks this year is 38% [3][4]. - As of October 17, 2025, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 48.10% year-to-date, outperforming major global indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq [4]. - The total fundraising amount from IPOs in Hong Kong has reached approximately 186.5 billion HKD, making it the highest globally [4]. Group 2: Institutional Participation - Notable private equity firms such as Hillhouse, Gao Yi, and Jinglin have participated as cornerstone investors in recent IPOs, indicating strong institutional confidence in the market [2][7][8]. - The participation of these firms reflects a focus on fundamental analysis and valuation when selecting IPOs, rather than merely market hype [9][10]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Private equity firms express optimism about the long-term performance of the Hong Kong market, citing factors such as the clear trend in the AI industry, improved liquidity, and attractive valuations [6][12]. - The market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, particularly in sectors like technology, healthcare, and high-dividend stocks, supported by structural opportunities and increased capital inflow from mainland investors [11][13].

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (code: 159125) aims to closely track the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index, which includes leading technology companies in the Hong Kong market with core competitiveness [1] Group 1: Index Composition and Focus - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index selects 30 leading technology companies based on market capitalization, R&D investment, and revenue growth, focusing on "hard technology" and "new economy" sectors [2] - The index requires constituent stocks to have a compound revenue growth rate exceeding 10% over the past two years or an R&D expense ratio above 5%, ensuring a balance between scale and growth potential [2] - As of September 30, the index's sector weightings include 43% in consumer discretionary, 42% in information technology, and 12% in healthcare, with the top ten constituents accounting for 79% of the index [2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index has shown strong long-term performance, with a cumulative return of 209.77% and an annualized return of 14.03% since 2017, outperforming similar indices [3] - The index exhibits high elasticity, with an annualized volatility of 33.78%, indicating relatively high fluctuations [4] Group 3: Valuation and Market Trends - As of September 30, the index's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 26.45, positioned at the 39th percentile since inception, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to global tech indices like NASDAQ and ChiNext [6] - Hong Kong's technology companies have become significant players in stock buybacks, with a total buyback amount of 136.7 billion HKD in the first nine months of the year, indicating strong institutional confidence in long-term opportunities [8] - The influx of mainland capital into the Hong Kong market has reached a record high of 1.17 trillion HKD in net inflows this year, with technology stocks being a primary focus for investment [8]