（资料图） 21世纪经济报道记者 杨坪 资本市场股份回购、增持的新常态已经形成。 11月5日晚间，贵州茅台公告，在现金分红300亿元（含税）的同时，计划以自有资金实施股份回购，回 购资金总额不低于15亿元（含）且不超过30亿元（含），回购价格不超过1887.63元/股（含），回购股 份将全部用于注销并减少公司注册资本。 这并不是个例。据记者不完全统计，今年以来，A股市场已有超过700家上市公司发布了回购计划或方 案，合计有1412家上市公司实施回购，回购金额达到1288.00亿元；同期，港股市场也有241家港股上市 公司进行了回购操作，累计回购金额达1466.73亿港元。 今年以来，A股持续回暖，但在不少产业资本看来，上市公司的整体估值仍有上行空间。基于对后市的 积极看好，驱动了产业资本持续的回购增持行为。 Wind数据显示，今年以来，合计有269家企业股份回购金额过亿元，其中14家企业回购金额超过十亿 元，消费、科技和智能制造企业是A股回购的"主力军"。 回购规模最大的莫过于美的集团。据美的集团11月4日公告，截至2025年10月31日，公司通过回购专用 证券账户，以集中竞价交易方式累计回购公司A股股份数量 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, indicating a positive outlook for the business [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 1-3Q25, the company achieved revenue of 37.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.920 billion yuan, up 24.9% [1]. - In 3Q25 alone, revenue reached 12.301 billion yuan, reflecting a 24.9% year-on-year growth, while net profit rose by 35.8% to 1.156 billion yuan [1]. - The company's cash flow showed significant improvement, with net cash inflow from operating activities in 3Q25 amounting to 1.114 billion yuan, compared to 0.383 billion yuan in the same period last year [1]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The comprehensive gross margin for 1-3Q25 increased by 0.1 percentage points to 28.1%, while it slightly decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 28.0% in 3Q25 [1]. - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreased by 0.3 percentage points, 1.8 percentage points, and 0.5 percentage points, respectively, in 3Q25 [1]. - The net profit margin for 3Q25 increased by 0.8 percentage points to 9.4%, and for 1-3Q25, it rose by 1.4 percentage points to 10.6% [1]. Industry Trends - The company continues to benefit from the recovery in domestic non-excavator demand, with domestic excavator sales increasing by 21.5% year-on-year in 1-3Q25 and 18.0% in 3Q25 [2]. - The sales of automotive cranes also saw a significant year-on-year increase of 24.4% in 3Q25 [2]. - The company plans to issue up to 6 billion yuan in H-share convertible bonds, with 50% of the funds allocated for overseas business development and 50% for robotics project R&D [2]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 0.58 yuan and 0.73 yuan, respectively [3]. - The current A-shares are valued at 14.4x and 11.4x P/E for 2025 and 2026, while H-shares are at 12.3x and 9.6x P/E [3]. - Target prices for A-shares and H-shares have been raised by 17.5% and 31.9% to 11.0 yuan and 10.0 HKD, respectively, indicating potential upside of 31.3% and 28.5% [3].

姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 市场情绪回暖，钢矿震荡企稳 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价震荡企稳，录得 0.40%日涨幅，量仓收缩。现阶段， 螺纹钢供应有所回落，但需求同样下行，供需双弱局面下产业矛盾未 解，库存去化有限，钢价继续承压运行，相对利好则是成本尚有支撑， 预计后续走势延续震荡寻底态势，关注钢厂生产情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0.22%日涨幅，量增仓缩。目前来 看，热卷供应高位回落，但需求表现同样不佳，供需双弱局面产业矛盾 持续累积，热卷价格继续承压运行，鉴于成本端尚有支撑，后续走势呈 现震荡寻底态势，且走势会弱于建材，破局有待钢厂加大减产力度。 铁矿石：主力期价震荡企稳，录得 0.65%日涨幅，量仓收缩。现阶 段，铁矿石供应居高不下，而需求持续下行，供增需弱局面下矿石产业 矛盾加速累库，矿价继续承压，相对利好则是市场短期回暖，后续走势 延续偏弱震荡，关注钢材表现情况。 ...

Market Overview - The engineering machinery sector increased by 1.85% on November 6, with Hengli Hydraulic leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4007.76, up 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13452.42, up 1.73% [1] Stock Performance - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) closed at 93.15, up 6.66% with a trading volume of 110,000 shares and a transaction value of 1.004 billion [1] - Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157) closed at 8.63, up 2.98% with a trading volume of 1.4719 million shares and a transaction value of 1.261 billion [1] - Xiamen XGMA (600815) closed at 3.80, up 2.43% with a trading volume of 4.7292 million shares and a transaction value of 1.863 billion [1] - Other notable performers include Hangcha Group (603298) up 2.23% and Zhejiang Dingli (603338) up 1.81% [1] Capital Flow - The engineering machinery sector experienced a net outflow of 201 million from institutional investors and 183 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 384 million [2][3] - Major stocks like Zoomlion Heavy Industry had a net inflow of 63.06 million from institutional investors but a net outflow from retail investors [3] - Hengli Hydraulic had a net inflow of 21.10 million from institutional investors, indicating mixed investor sentiment [3]

国内市场综述 探底回升 震荡上扬 周三（11 月 5 日）大盘探底回升，震荡上扬。截至收 盘，上证综指收于 3969.25 点，上涨 0.23%；深成指 收于 13223.56 点，上涨 0.37%；科创 50 上涨 0.23%； 创业板指上涨 1.03%，万得全 A 成交额共 18943 亿元， 较前一日略有下降。 行业方面，30 个中信一级行业有 18 个行业上涨，其 中电力设备及新能源、煤炭、综合涨幅较大，而计算 机、非银行金融及综合金融则跌幅居前。概念方面， 特高压、光伏逆变器及磷酸铁锂电池等指数表现活跃。 海外市场综述 美股三大指数全线收涨，特斯拉涨超 4% 周三（11 月 5 日），美国三大股指全线收涨，道指涨 0.48%，标普 500 指数涨 0.37%，纳指涨 0.65%。安进 涨近 8%，卡特彼勒涨近 4%，领涨道指。万得美国科技 七巨头指数涨 0.15%，特斯拉涨超 4%，谷歌涨逾 2%。 中概股涨跌不一，晶科能源涨近 16%，再鼎医药跌超 4%。 新闻精要 1. 李强出席第八届中国国际进口博览会开幕式并发表 主旨演讲 2. 上海：推进南港二期滚装码头项目建设 确保 2025 年开港运营 ...

以钢铁为骨，以精度为魂。在中国中车戚墅堰高端制造基地的齿轮箱装配车间，专注的氛围遍布每 个角落。中车戚墅堰所研究院轨道交通传动技术研发部部长高扬正借助高倍放大镜和精密测量仪器，对 时速400公里"复兴号"CR450动车组的核心部件——齿轮箱进行最后的啮合调整。 "过去追求的是合格，如今追求的是'零缺陷'。"高扬向科技日报记者介绍，一个齿轮箱涉及上千个 零件，装配精度要求达到微米级，相当于"一根头发丝的几十分之一"。 为解决早期运行中偶发的微小异响问题，他和团队展开数月攻关。"我们拆解分析了上百个样本， 优化了17道装配工序，最终使关键指标达到100%，全面超越国际最严标准。" 科技日报记者 付丽丽 薛岩 走进福建辅布司产业园生产车间，只见织机旁的高清摄像头格外醒目，它们连接着由该公司与华为 联合推出的人工智能（AI）质检系统。该系统基于昇腾AI平台，每秒可处理60帧图像，能够清晰记录 蕾丝花边的每一处细微纹理，并实时定位故障点位。 凭借这一能力，车间从过去的人工抽检升级为自动化100%全检，有效解决了纺织行业长期依赖人 工导致的效率低、漏检率高等"老大难"问题，在提升产品品质的同时，大幅缩短了巡检时间。 习近 ...

Group 1 - As of October 31, 2025, Jiangsu has a total of 715 listed companies, including 220 on the Shanghai Stock Exchange Main Board, 114 on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, 125 on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Main Board (including one pure B-share), 203 on the Growth Enterprise Market, and 53 on the Beijing Stock Exchange [1] - In October 2025, Jiangsu added one new listed company (Changjiang Nengke), bringing the total number of new listings in 2025 to 21 [1] - The total market capitalization of the 714 listed companies in Jiangsu is 85,985.35 billion yuan, accounting for 13.12% of the total number of A-share listed companies and 8.01% of their total market capitalization [3] Group 2 - As of October 31, 2025, the companies in Jiangsu with a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan (excluding the Beijing Stock Exchange) include Hengrui Medicine, WuXi AppTec, Jiangsu Bank, Guodian Nari, Huatai Securities, Nanjing Bank, Huidian Co., S. Hengli Hydraulic, Dongshan Precision, Xugong Machinery, Tianfu Communication, and Yanghe Brewery [5] - The bottom ten ranked A-share listed companies in Jiangsu (excluding the Beijing Stock Exchange) are Yangzi New Materials, Nanwei Co., Guangge Technology, Xuelang Environment, Zhongshe Co., *ST Hengjiu, Ailong Technology, Jinpu Garden, *ST Tianlong, and *ST Suwu [7] - In October 2025, Jiangsu's A-share listed companies had a total of 3 financing events, raising a total of 1.269 billion yuan, while the total financing events for the year reached 49, raising a total of 61.438 billion yuan [7]

Market Review - The A-share market experienced a style switch with a mixed index performance, as technology stocks led the decline while small-cap stocks showed active performance. The Shanghai Composite Index broke through 4000 points before retreating, with an average daily trading volume of 2.33 trillion yuan, up from 1.80 trillion yuan the previous week [4][5]. Hard Technology - The global semiconductor expansion driven by AI continues, with Q2 2025 global semiconductor equipment sales reaching 33.1 billion USD, a 23% year-on-year increase. In September, Japan's semiconductor equipment sales reached 424.6 billion yen, up 14.9% year-on-year [14][15]. - Domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers saw significant revenue growth in Q3 2025, with an average year-on-year increase of 35%. This reflects strong order fulfillment from last year's orders and progress in downstream wafer fabs [25][26]. Healthcare - Chinese innovative drug companies showcased significant achievements at the 2025 ESMO conference, with 33 companies presenting research results and 35 studies selected for oral presentations. Chinese companies accounted for 15.3% of the total abstracts presented [28][29]. - The value of patent licensing transactions for Chinese innovative drugs exceeded 100.7 billion USD in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 170% year-on-year increase, indicating accelerated globalization of Chinese innovative drugs [32][33]. High-end Manufacturing - The tungsten price has significantly increased, reflecting supply-side policy tightening and recovering downstream demand. The average price of domestic black tungsten concentrate reached 299,000 yuan per ton, up 109.8% from the beginning of the year [38][39]. - The excavator industry in China has shown a continuous recovery, with sales reaching 174,000 units in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.1%. Both domestic and export markets experienced double-digit growth [42][43]. Consumer Sector - Cross-border e-commerce has emerged as a new highlight in China's foreign trade, with a rich midstream ecosystem involving merchants, platforms, and service providers. The development is driven by domestic "push" factors and overseas "pull" factors, leading to a comprehensive export era for platforms, factories, and sellers [5][6].

Macro Economic Group - The US October Services PMI is reported at 52.4%, exceeding expectations of 50.8% and up from September's 50%. New orders increased to 56.2%, a rise of 5.8 percentage points, marking a one-year high. The price index rose to 70%, up 0.6 percentage points, the highest in three years. The employment index is at 48.2%, showing a slight recovery but remaining in contraction for the fifth consecutive month [4] - The ADP employment data for October shows an increase of 42,000 jobs, surpassing the expected 30,000 and adjusting September's figure from a decrease of 32,000 to an increase of 29,000. This brings a two-month total increase of 103,000 jobs, influencing market expectations for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts in December [4] Advanced Manufacturing Group - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate on November 5 is reported at 119,000 yuan per ton, with a monthly increase of 78.7%. This price surge is driven by explosive demand from the new energy and storage industries, coupled with cautious supply-side capacity expansion. The effective domestic production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate in 2024 is estimated at 370,000 tons per year, with major players holding over 66% market share [11] Consumer Group - Sanrio's latest financial report indicates a 141.7% year-on-year increase in its China merchandise business for Q2 2025, attributed to the expansion of new and pop-up stores, as well as the popularity of IPs like Kuromi and Cinnamoroll. This reflects a successful multi-IP strategy, transitioning from single licensing to a dual-driven model of licensing and retail, supporting a high growth expectation of 50%-70% for the coming year [13][14] - Alibaba Pictures, as the core operator for Sanrio in China, benefits from exclusive licensing rights for 26 character figures, which is expected to drive growth in licensing and retail business. Guangbo Co., as a licensed distributor for Sanrio's cultural and food products, is also anticipated to see profit growth from new IP releases [13][14]

Industry Overview - The construction machinery sector is experiencing a recovery, with excavator sales maintaining a positive trend and both domestic and international market sales showing rapid year-on-year growth [1] - Non-excavator categories such as truck cranes, crawler cranes, truck-mounted cranes, and pavers are also witnessing significant sales increases [1] - Factors such as favorable downstream projects like hydropower and urban renewal are expected to continue driving demand for construction machinery [1] - The reduction of tariff disturbances in major global regions is enhancing the cost-performance advantage of domestic equipment [1] - The industry is anticipated to maintain a recovery trend due to large-scale equipment renewal policies [1] Export and Production Data - In September 2025, China's construction machinery export value reached $5.271 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, while import value was $234 million, up 18.5%, leading to a significant trade surplus [1] - The production of industrial robots increased by 28.3% year-on-year, driven by policies promoting equipment renewal and loan subsidies [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the development of high-end machine tools, which is expected to accelerate domestic advancements in this area [1] Company Performance - Zoomlion reported revenue of 37.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.06%, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 24.89% to 3.92 billion yuan [1] - XCMG achieved revenue of 78.157 billion yuan, up 11.61%, and net profit of 5.977 billion yuan, an increase of 11.67% [2] - Hengli Hydraulic's revenue for the same period was 7.790 billion yuan, a 12.31% increase, with net profit rising by 16.49% to 2.087 billion yuan [2] - Hengli Hydraulic's Q3 revenue grew by 24.53% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 30.60% [2] - The cash flow from operating activities for both Zoomlion and XCMG showed significant improvements, with increases of 137.3% and 178.47%, respectively [1][2] Market Indicators - The tower crane rental industry’s utilization rate was reported at 57.3% in September 2025, with a rental price index of 497.31 points, reflecting a month-on-month increase [2] - The construction machinery ETF (560280) saw a strong increase of 2.54% as of November 6, 2025, with significant growth in both scale and share volume over the past three months [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF accounted for 69.81% of the total, with notable performances from Weichai Power and Hengli Hydraulic [3]